Severe Thunderstorm Warning 129, NWS Springfield, MO

923 
WWUS53 KSGF 260539
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1239 AM CDT WED APR 26 2017

MOC119-145-260600-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0129.000000T0000Z-170426T0600Z/
Newton MO-McDonald MO-
1239 AM CDT WED APR 26 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEWTON AND MCDONALD COUNTIES...

At 1239 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Noel, or 7
miles west of Pineville, moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Big Sugar Creek State Park...     Anderson...
Noel...                           Dodge...
Goodman...                        South West City...
Pineville...                      Lanagan...
Fairview...                       Stella...
Cayuga...                         Tiff City...
Powell...                         Rocky Comfort...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. This storm may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 9462 3670 9462 3690 9407 3650 9408
TIME...MOT...LOC 0539Z 230DEG 48KT 3657 9451 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Hatch

943 
WWUS53 KSGF 260550
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1250 AM CDT WED APR 26 2017

MOC119-145-260600-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0129.000000T0000Z-170426T0600Z/
Newton MO-McDonald MO-
1250 AM CDT WED APR 26 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEWTON AND MCDONALD COUNTIES...

At 1250 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Pineville,
moving northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Big Sugar Creek State Park...     Anderson...
Noel...                           Goodman...
Pineville...                      Lanagan...
Fairview...                       Stella...
Powell...                         Rocky Comfort...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. This storm may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3651 9448 3674 9451 3690 9407 3650 9408
TIME...MOT...LOC 0550Z 245DEG 50KT 3664 9434 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Hatch

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1145 PM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

Breezy southerly winds continue to occur this afternoon. These
winds are helping to increase moisture from the south across
Oklahoma into southeastern Kansas and western Missouri this
afternoon into this evening.

As moisture continues to spread north instability will start to
increase ahead of an approaching front this evening. The front is
currently across southeastern Kansas and will slowly spread east
into Wednesday.

As instability increases and the cap weakens, storms are expected
to develop across eastern Kansas and develop southward into
Oklahoma, initially to the west of the forecast area. These storms
will then spread east, and these storms will likely develop into
line segments. Damaging straight line winds will be the main risk,
with hail up to the size of half dollars also possible with the
strongest updrafts. Low level shear will be strong enough to
support a mesovort potential with any line segments that can
surge to the northeast, result in a low brief tornado risk again
with any line segments that can surge to the northeast. The severe
risk will generally occur west of Highway 65, with the best
potential generally along and west of the Interstate 49 corridor
from the mid evening into the overnight hours.

As the storms start to spread east into the area late this this
evening into the overnight hours they should be begin to weaken,
with wind becoming the main risk until they dissipate altogether.
This may occur before reaching the eastern Ozarks overnight as
the front slows and the storms move off away from the better lift
and upper level support.

Wednesdays weather will be dependent on exactly how far the
convection plays out tonight. The front will be pushing across
the western portions of the forecast area Wednesday morning and
will slowly spread east and out of the area by Wednesday evening.
If a cold front/storms develop and spread across the entire area
it could work the area over farther to the east, with the severe
potential occurring farther east. If the outflow/overnight
convection does not work over the atmosphere too much, additional
storms should develop near the Highway 65 during the early
afternoon hours and spread east. Severe storms would be possible
with all modes possible but large hail and damaging winds the main
risk.

One to two inches of rain will be possible with this system and
could lead to some localized minor flooding.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

Slightly cooler weather will occur on Thursday behind this system
as highs warm into the 60s. A fast moving shortwave trough will
sweep through the region Thursday night and may bring some showers
and perhaps a few rumbles of thunder with it.

An upper level low will then dig to the southeast across the
southwestern U.S. Friday into the Weekend before kicking off to
the east through the region Sunday night into Monday. As the low
is off to the southwest of the area a front will setup over the
area and waves of energy will ride to the northwest and produce
periods of rain with widespread heavy rainfall. The medium range
models continue to show a signal for heavy rain over the region.

There are still questions on exactly where the band of heavy rain
will set up, but it will likely be somewhere across northern
Arkansas into southern Missouri. An additional 2, up to possibly
5 inches of widespread rainfall will be possible this weekend.
With the rain last weekend and the rain expected tonight into
Wednesday, the ground will already be mostly saturated which will
lead to a flooding risk under the axis of heavy rain.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

A cold front over eastern Kansas late this evening will continue
to push eastward overnight. Showers and thunderstorms will
continue ahead of the front, but will likely weaken some as the
night progresses and they reach KSGF and KBBG. Still expect
convection at all sites into Wednesday morning. IFR to lower MVFR
ceilings will then overspread the terminals on Wednesday. Biggest
question will be location of front and how convection plays out
later in the day. Most likely scenario is for the strongest storms
to be located east of the TAF sites, limiting thunder chances at
the terminals.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday afternoon for MOZ088-090-
     093>095-101>104.

KS...Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday afternoon for KSZ101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Wise
LONG TERM...Wise
AVIATION...Raberding

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1204 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-270515-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
1204 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Tornado risk.
  Elevated Hail risk.
  Elevated Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated Flooding risk.
  Significant Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Thunderstorms will continue ahead of a cold front across western
Missouri and southeast Kansas, spreading eastward towards the
eastern Ozarks late tonight.

Instability and shear will be sufficient enough for some strong
to severe storms, with hail to the size of half dollars and wind
gusts up to 60 mph possible. While the tornado risk is fairly
low, an isolated tornado or two embedded within the line of
storms can not be ruled out over extreme southeast Kansas into
western Missouri.

Frequent lightning and locally heavy rainfall can also be
expected with these storms. There is an elevated risk for
flooding over southeast Kansas and southwest Missouri, especially
where heavy rains fell last weekend.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The threat for severe storms will then continue into Wednesday
and Wednesday evening, especially along and east of Highway 65.
The threat for severe storms will be highly dependent on how much
thunderstorm activity occurs tonight, and whether or not this
activity reaches the eastern Missouri Ozarks Wednesday morning.

If thunderstorms reach the eastern Ozarks by Wednesday morning,
the threat for severe storms may diminish for the remainder of
Wednesday. However, if thunderstorms remain absent tonight and
Wednesday morning across south central Missouri and the eastern
Ozarks, there will be an elevated threat for severe storms
Wednesday afternoon and evening. Damaging winds and large hail
would be the primary potential hazards across the eastern Ozarks,
with a limited threat for a tornado or two. A limited risk for
flooding will also exist on Wednesday generally along and east of
the U.S. 65 corridor.

Confidence then continues to increase in the potential for
widespread heavy rainfall from later Friday into the weekend.
With soils nearly saturated, excessive runoff will be likely and
will lead to an increasing risk for flooding. While details
remain unclear regarding where the eventual axis of heaviest
rainfall will develop, it does appear that widespread flooding
will become possible beneath this axis of heaviest rainfall.

Additionally, there will be at least a limited risk for strong to
severe thunderstorms from Friday into Saturday across southern
Missouri.

Those with outdoor and travel plans for this upcoming weekend
should pay close attention to the forecast as there is the
potential for multiple weather hazards, including the potential
for widespread flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed in areas mainly west of highway
 65 over the next 3 hours.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Raberding

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1059 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

KSZ101-MOZ066-067-077-078-088-089-260445-
Cherokee KS-Vernon MO-Cedar MO-Barton MO-Jasper MO-Dade MO-
St. Clair MO-
1059 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN CHEROKEE...BARTON...
WESTERN CEDAR...VERNON...SOUTHWESTERN ST. CLAIR...NORTHERN JASPER AND
WESTERN DADE COUNTIES UNTIL 1145 PM CDT...

At 1059 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles northwest of Nevada to near Sheldon to
Mindenmines to near Weir. Movement was northeast at 35 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Prairie State Park...             Nevada...
Lamar...                          El Dorado Springs...
Jasper...                         Golden City...
Sheldon...                        Nashville...
Montevallo...                     Carytown...
Walker...                         Schell City...
Jerico Springs...                 Asbury...
Lamar Heights...                  Milo...
Irwin...                          Harwood...
Milford...                        Sylvania...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
southeastern Kansas...and southwestern and west central Missouri.

LAT...LON 3734 9467 3734 9462 3741 9462 3764 9438
      3793 9450 3805 9429 3805 9424 3802 9424
      3805 9421 3806 9415 3803 9406 3808 9405
      3810 9402 3807 9394 3760 9394 3730 9399
      3725 9475
TIME...MOT...LOC 0359Z 242DEG 29KT 3791 9447 3766 9437 3746 9456 3727
9473

Hatch

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1127 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

KSZ101-MOZ088-260515-
Cherokee KS-Jasper MO-
1127 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN CHEROKEE AND WESTERN
JASPER COUNTIES UNTIL 1215 AM CDT...

At 1127 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Carl Junction, or 10 miles northwest of Joplin, moving northeast at
45 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Northern Joplin...                Carthage...
Webb City...                      Carl Junction...
Oronogo...                        Carterville...
Airport Drive...                  Alba...
Purcell...                        Carytown...
Asbury...                         Neck City...
Brooklyn Heights...               Waco...
Lawton...                         Crestline...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
southeastern Kansas...and southwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3737 9453 3736 9451 3736 9441 3733 9433
      3714 9430 3709 9470 3725 9476
TIME...MOT...LOC 0427Z 239DEG 38KT 3719 9465

Hatch

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1141 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

MOZ067-078-260530-
Cedar MO-St. Clair MO-
1141 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL CEDAR AND ST. CLAIR
COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 AM CDT...

At 1140 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
El Dorado Springs, moving northeast at 40 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Truman Lake...                    Osceola...
Lowry City...                     Collins...
Roscoe...                         Vista...
Gerster...                        Tiffin...
Cedar Springs...                  Harper...
Iconium...                        Monegaw Springs...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3819 9350 3792 9351 3792 9357 3790 9357
      3784 9394 3795 9403 3820 9380
TIME...MOT...LOC 0440Z 240DEG 37KT 3792 9393

Hatch

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1142 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1120 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CRESTLINE               37.17N 94.70W
04/25/2017                   CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN ON POWER LINES IN CRESTLINE.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1152 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

KSZ101-260530-
Cherokee KS-
1152 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CHEROKEE COUNTY UNTIL 1230 AM
CDT...

At 1152 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Chetopa, moving northeast at 40 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Baxter Springs...                 Columbus...
Galena...                         Weir...
Lowell...                         Scammon...
West Mineral...                   Treece...
Roseland...                       Neutral...
Melrose...                        Riverton...
Lawton...                         Carona...
Skidmore...                       Hallowell...
Sherwin...                        Faulkner...
Stippville...                     Crestline...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
southeastern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3724 9507 3734 9479 3734 9462 3700 9462
      3700 9507
TIME...MOT...LOC 0452Z 240DEG 36KT 3709 9499

Hatch

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1208 AM CDT WED APR 26 2017

MOZ067-068-078-079-088-089-094-260545-
Cedar MO-Polk MO-Jasper MO-Dade MO-Hickory MO-St. Clair MO-
Lawrence MO-
1208 AM CDT WED APR 26 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN HICKORY...CEDAR...
WESTERN POLK...NORTHWESTERN LAWRENCE...SOUTHEASTERN ST. CLAIR...
NORTHEASTERN JASPER AND DADE COUNTIES UNTIL 1245 AM CDT...

At 1208 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near El Dorado Springs to near Golden City to
near Jasper. Movement was east at 25 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Carthage...                       Stockton Lake...
Stockton State Park...            Stockton...
Greenfield...                     Humansville...
Lockwood...                       Miller...
Fair Play...                      Weaubleau...
Everton...                        Dadeville...
Collins...                        Flemington...
Avilla...                         La Russell...
South Greenfield...               Aldrich...
Arcola...                         Umber View Heights...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
southwestern Missouri. A severe thunderstorm watch also remains in
effect until 600 AM CDT for southwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3715 9431 3735 9411 3735 9408 3783 9394
      3793 9344 3744 9359 3742 9362 3741 9362
      3712 9389
TIME...MOT...LOC 0508Z 266DEG 21KT 3781 9398 3746 9408 3726 9427

Hatch