River Flood Warning 26, NWS Springfield, MO

420 
WGUS83 KSGF 261554
FLSSGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1054 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017



 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri and Kansas...

  Roubidoux Creek Near Waynesville affecting Pulaski County 
  Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate affecting Pulaski 
  County 
  Little Osage River near Horton affecting Vernon County 
  Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County 
  Spring River above Baxter Springs affecting Cherokee County 
   
.Heavy rainfall combined with saturated soils will cause river levels to 
rise above flood stage. Details on each warned location are included
below.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for later statements.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC169-270654-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0024.170427T0333Z-170428T0800Z/
/RBXM7.1.ER.170427T0333Z.170427T1200Z.170428T0200Z.NO/
1054 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

...For the The Roubidoux Creek Near Waynesville...
* At  9:30 AM Wednesday The stage was 3.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 9.1 feet by tomorrow morning.  The river will fall below 
  flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...The RV Park on the west side of Roubidoux in 
  Waynesville just north of the Business 66 bridge floods. Spring 
  Road near I-44 floods.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Roubidoux Creek
  Waynesville       7   3.2 Wed 09 AM   9.1   5.4   4.2


&&


LAT...LON 3785 9226 3786 9218 3776 9215 3777 9221

 

$$

MOC169-270654-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0025.170427T0419Z-170429T0234Z/
/BIGM7.1.ER.170427T0419Z.170428T0000Z.170428T2034Z.NO/
1054 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

...For the The Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate...
* At 10:00 AM Wednesday The stage was 4.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 14.5 feet by tomorrow evening.  The river will fall below 
  flood stage by Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Moderate flood stage. Water at the lower TA 
  250 Training Ground is three feet deep.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Big Piney River
  Fort Leonard Wo   8   4.6 Wed 10 AM  11.6  11.8   5.5


&&


LAT...LON 3784 9218 3787 9206 3763 9203 3764 9211

 

$$

MOC217-270654-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0026.170427T1200Z-170429T1330Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.170427T1200Z.170428T0000Z.170428T1330Z.NO/
1054 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

...For the The Little Osage River near Horton...
* At  9:45 AM Wednesday The stage was 40.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 41.5 feet by this afternoon.  The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Friday morning.
* Impact...At 41.0 feet...Minor flooding affects low lying areas near 
  the gage site and farmland along the river.  

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Little Osage River Basin
  Horton           41  40.6 Wed 10 AM  41.0  41.1  39.3


&&


LAT...LON 3800 9454 3801 9437 3795 9437 3794 9455

 

$$

MOC217-270653-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0027.170427T0430Z-170429T1500Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.170427T0430Z.170427T1200Z.170428T1500Z.UU/
1054 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

...For the The Marmaton River near Nevada...
* At  9:45 AM Wednesday The stage was 19.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 20.4 feet by tomorrow morning.  The river will fall below 
  flood stage by late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor flooding occurs near the gage site and
  affects low lying areas along the river.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Marmaton River Basin
  Nevada           20  19.2 Wed 10 AM  20.4  20.2  17.3


&&


LAT...LON 3793 9438 3791 9435 3784 9441 3785 9454

 

$$

KSC021-270653-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0023.170427T0900Z-170428T2100Z/
/BXTK1.1.ER.170427T0900Z.170427T1200Z.170427T2100Z.NO/
1054 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

...For the The Spring River above Baxter Springs...
* At  9:30 AM Wednesday The stage was 9.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to
  rise to near 14.3 feet by tomorrow morning.  The river will fall 
  below flood stage by tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 14.5 feet...The north end of Kiwanis Park floods.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Spring River Basin
  Baxter Springs   14   9.4 Wed 09 AM  14.3  12.1   8.0


&&


LAT...LON 3715 9462 3699 9461 3700 9475 3714 9471

 

$$

499 
WGUS83 KSGF 261921
FLSSGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
221 PM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017


 ...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Kansas...
 
  Spring River above Baxter Springs affecting Cherokee County
  
 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Roubidoux Creek Near Waynesville affecting Pulaski County 
  Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate affecting Pulaski 
  County 
  Little Osage River near Horton affecting Vernon County 
  Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County 
   
.Heavy rainfall over the region combined with saturated soils will
cause river levels to rise above flood stage along the Little
Osage...Roubidoux...Big Piney and Marmaton Rivers. Details for each
river are included below. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for later statements.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC169-271021-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0024.170427T0333Z-170428T0800Z/
/RBXM7.1.ER.170427T0333Z.170427T1200Z.170428T0200Z.NO/
221 PM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

...For the The Roubidoux Creek Near Waynesville...
* At  1:30 PM Wednesday The stage was 3.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 9.1 feet by tomorrow morning.  The river will fall below 
  flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...The RV Park on the west side of Roubidoux in 
  Waynesville just north of the Business 66 bridge floods. Spring 
  Road near I-44 floods.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Roubidoux Creek
  Waynesville       7   3.2 Wed 01 PM   9.1   5.4   4.2


&&


LAT...LON 3785 9226 3786 9218 3776 9215 3777 9221

 

$$

MOC169-271021-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0025.170427T0419Z-170429T0234Z/
/BIGM7.1.ER.170427T0419Z.170428T0000Z.170428T2034Z.NO/
221 PM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

...For the The Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate...
* At  2:00 PM Wednesday The stage was 4.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 14.5 feet by tomorrow evening.  The river will fall below 
  flood stage by Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Moderate flood stage. Water at the lower TA 
  250 Training Ground is three feet deep.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Big Piney River
  Fort Leonard Wo   8   4.8 Wed 02 PM  11.6  11.8   5.5


&&


LAT...LON 3784 9218 3787 9206 3763 9203 3764 9211

 

$$

MOC217-271021-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0026.170427T1200Z-170429T1330Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.170427T1200Z.170428T0000Z.170428T1330Z.NO/
221 PM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

...For the The Little Osage River near Horton...
* At  1:45 PM Wednesday The stage was 40.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 41.5 feet by tomorrow evening.  The river will fall
  below flood stage by Friday morning.
* Impact...At 41.0 feet...Minor flooding affects low lying areas near 
  the gage site and farmland along the river.  

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Little Osage River Basin
  Horton           41  40.6 Wed 02 PM  41.0  41.1  39.3


&&


LAT...LON 3800 9454 3801 9437 3795 9437 3794 9455

 

$$

MOC217-271021-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0027.170427T0430Z-170429T1500Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.170427T0430Z.170427T1200Z.170428T1500Z.UU/
221 PM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

...For the The Marmaton River near Nevada...
* At  1:45 PM Wednesday The stage was 19.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 20.4 feet by tomorrow morning.  The river will fall below 
  flood stage by late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor flooding occurs near the gage site and
  affects low lying areas along the river.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Marmaton River Basin
  Nevada           20  19.6 Wed 02 PM  20.4  20.2  17.3


&&


LAT...LON 3793 9438 3791 9435 3784 9441 3785 9454

 

$$

KSC021-261951-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-170428T2100Z/
/BXTK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
221 PM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

For The Spring River above Baxter Springs.
* At  1:30 PM Wednesday The stage was 9.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 10.0 feet 
  tomorrow morning.


&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Spring River Basin
  Baxter Springs   14   9.6 Wed 01 PM  10.0   9.2   6.4


&&


LAT...LON 3715 9462 3699 9461 3700 9475 3714 9471

 

$$

853 
WGUS83 KSGF 270112
FLSSGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
812 PM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate affecting Pulaski 
  County 
  Little Osage River near Horton affecting Vernon County 
  Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County 
   
.Recent heavy rainfall across the region will cause river levels to 
rise above flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for later statements.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC169-271612-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0025.170427T1617Z-170428T2221Z/
/BIGM7.1.ER.170427T1617Z.170428T0000Z.170428T1621Z.NO/
812 PM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

...For the Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate...
* At  7:00 PM Wednesday The stage was 5.0 feet. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 9.3 feet by tomorrow evening.  The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...The Happy Hollow Picnic Area floods.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Big Piney River
  Fort Leonard Wo   8   5.0 Wed 07 PM   8.8   5.4   4.5


&&


LAT...LON 3784 9218 3787 9206 3763 9203 3764 9211
 

$$

MOC217-271612-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0026.170427T1000Z-170429T1330Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.170427T1000Z.170427T1800Z.170428T1330Z.NO/
812 PM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

...For the Little Osage River near Horton...
* At  7:45 PM Wednesday The stage was 40.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to
  rise to near 41.3 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.  The river will
  fall below flood stage by Friday morning.
* Impact...At 41.0 feet...Minor flooding affects low lying areas near 
  the gage site and farmland along the river.  

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Little Osage River Basin
  Horton           41  40.5 Wed 08 PM  41.1  39.3  36.8


&&


LAT...LON 3800 9454 3801 9437 3795 9437 3794 9455

 

$$

MOC217-271612-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0027.170427T0111Z-170429T0300Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.170426T2130Z.170427T1200Z.170428T0300Z.UU/
812 PM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

...For the Marmaton River near Nevada...
* At  7:45 PM Wednesday The stage was 20.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.7 feet by 
  tomorrow morning.  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow 
  late evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor flooding occurs near the gage site and
  affects low lying areas along the river.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Marmaton River Basin
  Nevada           20  20.4 Wed 08 PM  19.2  11.5   9.4


&&


LAT...LON 3793 9438 3791 9435 3784 9441 3785 9454

 

$$

Frye

682 
WGUS43 KSGF 271419
FLWSGF


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Springfield MO
919 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017



  The Little Osage River near Horton affecting Vernon County
  The Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Those with property and livestock along the river should continue to 
monitor river conditions.Additional river information can be found on
our Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service page at 
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC217-280219-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-170429T0900Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.170427T1103Z.170427T1800Z.170428T0900Z.NO/
919 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

...For the Little Osage River near Horton...
* At  8:45 AM Thursday The stage was 41.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 41.2 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 41.0 feet...Minor flooding affects low lying areas near 
  the gage site and farmland along the river.  

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun

Little Osage River Basin
  Horton           41  41.1 Thu 09 AM  40.9  39.3  36.8


&&


LAT...LON 3800 9454 3801 9437 3795 9437 3794 9455

 

$$

MOC217-280219-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-170429T1830Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.170426T2130Z.170428T0000Z.170428T1830Z.UU/
919 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

...For the Marmaton River near Nevada...
* At  8:45 AM Thursday The stage was 21.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.6 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Flood waters impact the county road west of 
  Nevada at the gage site. 

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun

Marmaton River Basin
  Nevada           20  21.2 Thu 09 AM  21.0  14.9   9.9


&&


LAT...LON 3793 9438 3791 9435 3784 9441 3785 9454

 

$$

853 
WGUS83 KSGF 271912
FLSSGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
212 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Roubidoux Creek Near Waynesville affecting Pulaski County 
  Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate affecting Pulaski 
  County 
  Little Osage River near Horton affecting Vernon County 
  Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County 
   
.Recent heavy rainfall has caused river levels to rise above
 flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for later statements.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC169-280036-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-170428T0036Z/
/RBXM7.1.ER.170427T1027Z.170427T1415Z.170427T1836Z.NO/
212 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

...For the Roubidoux Creek Near Waynesville...
* At  1:30 PM Thursday The stage was 7.0 feet. 
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Low parts of Spring Road south of Business 66
  in Waynesville flood.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun

Roubidoux Creek
  Waynesville       7   7.0 Thu 01 PM   5.2   4.4   4.1


&&


LAT...LON 3785 9226 3786 9218 3776 9215 3777 9221

 

$$

MOC169-281012-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-170428T1612Z/
/BIGM7.1.ER.170427T1738Z.170428T0000Z.170428T1012Z.NO/
212 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

...For the The Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate...
* At  1:00 PM Thursday The stage was 8.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.2 feet by this 
  evening.  The river will fall below flood stage early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...The Happy Hollow Picnic Area floods.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun

Big Piney River
  Fort Leonard Wo   8   8.1 Thu 01 PM   7.7   4.9   4.2


&&


LAT...LON 3784 9218 3787 9206 3763 9203 3764 9211

 

$$

MOC217-281012-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-170429T0900Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.170427T1103Z.170428T0000Z.170428T0900Z.NO/
212 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

...For the The Little Osage River near Horton...
* At  1:45 PM Thursday The stage was 41.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 41.2 feet by this
  evening.  
* Impact...At 41.0 feet...Minor flooding affects low lying areas near 
  the gage site and farmland along the river.  

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun

Little Osage River Basin
  Horton           41  41.1 Thu 02 PM  40.9  39.3  36.8


&&


LAT...LON 3800 9454 3801 9437 3795 9437 3794 9455

 

$$

MOC217-281012-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-170429T1830Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.170426T2130Z.170428T0000Z.170428T1830Z.UU/
212 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

...For the The Marmaton River near Nevada...
* At  1:45 PM Thursday The stage was 21.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.6 feet by this
  evening.  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Flood waters impact the county road west of 
  Nevada at the gage site. 

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun

Marmaton River Basin
  Nevada           20  21.4 Thu 02 PM  21.0  14.9   9.9


&&


LAT...LON 3793 9438 3791 9435 3784 9441 3785 9454

 

$$

Frye

915 
WGUS83 KSGF 280048
FLSSGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
748 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017



 ...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Little Osage River near Horton affecting Vernon County

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for later statements.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC217-280118-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-170429T0900Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.170427T1103Z.170427T1715Z.170427T2107Z.NO/
748 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

The Flood Warning has been cancelled for  The Little Osage River near
Horton.* At  6:45 PM Thursday The stage was 40.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 37.3 feet by Saturday
  morning.
* Impact...At 41.0 feet...Minor flooding affects low lying areas near 
  the gage site and farmland along the river.  

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun

Little Osage River Basin
  Horton           41  40.9 Thu 07 PM  37.3  33.2  31.7


&&


LAT...LON 3800 9454 3801 9437 3795 9437 3794 9455

 

$$

Frye

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
635 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 313 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

Thunderstorms were able to congeal into a line overnight and march
east across most of the Missouri Ozarks. The progress of this line
of storms has thrown a wrench into the forecast for today.

The severe thunderstorm threat for later today and this evening
has become rather unclear. It is likely that the cold pool
established with this line will make it all of the way through the
eastern Ozarks. This alone will make destabilization difficult,
especially if trailing stratiform precipitation and cloud cover
remain. Additionally, a cold front currently extending from west-
central Missouri through eastern Oklahoma will slowly move east
today. This front should actually accelerate a bit this morning as
a frontal wave moves off to the northeast into central Missouri.

Thus, we believe that the main threat for severe storms will occur
over portions of far south-central Missouri with the greatest
threat to the south and east of the Missouri Ozarks. Damaging
straight line winds will be the primary potential severe weather
hazard. We are also going to hold onto a limited flooding risk
today as we could see a few of the typical low water crossings go
under. However, we did decide to cancel the Flash Flood Watch as
the threat for training thunderstorms (and flash flood potential)
has diminished.

Temperatures today will be a mess with the cold front passing
through along with showers and thunderstorms around. Steady or
slowly falling temperatures are expected behind the cold front
with high temperatures occurring in the morning over many
locations.

Showers and thunderstorms will then exit the region tonight as an
upper level trough axis pushes east across the area. Lows tonight
will be rather chilly with areas along and north of the I-44
corridor dipping into the upper 30s and lower 40s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 313 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

Thursday still looks like a quiet day before a very wet pattern
sets up across the region to end the week. A weak storm system
will move across the area from Thursday night into Friday and will
bring showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms.

The large scale pattern will then feature an amplifying
southwesterly flow aloft over the Missouri Ozarks as we get into
the upcoming weekend. A baroclinic zone will sharpen up from
southwest to northeast across the region with heavy rainfall
developing along and north of this zone from Friday night into
Sunday.

At this time, it looks like the heaviest axis of rainfall
will occur from northwestern Arkansas through southern Missouri
and into southern Illinois. This area could see a swath of 4-6"
rainfall amounts with locally higher amounts possible. Areas of
central Missouri may still pick up a solid 3-5" of rainfall. Top
analog matches from the St. Louis University CIPS Analog Guidance
also continue to support this forecast. Needless to say, flooding
will be a big concern as we head into the weekend.

Depending on where that front sets up, there will also be the
potential for strong to severe storms from Friday into the
weekend. Locations along and south of that front will stand the
best potential for severe storms. However, locations just north of
the front may have enough elevated instability for some hail
potential.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday morning)
Issued at 628 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

Periods of showers and thunderstorms will continue to move through
southern Missouri into this evening as a cold front moves east
through the region. MVFR and occasional IFR conditions can be
expected through this evening. Behind that front, surface winds
will shift to the northwest.

The rain will then end from west to east this evening. Skies will
then clear from late this evening into the overnight period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Schaumann
LONG TERM...Schaumann
AVIATION...Schaumann

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
546 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-271100-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
546 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated Hail risk.
  Elevated Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited Flooding risk.
  Significant Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Areas of showers and thunderstorms will track through the Missouri
Ozarks today and this evening ahead of a slowly moving cold
front. A few strong to severe storms will be possible into this
evening, mainly over south-central Missouri. Damaging wind gusts
over 60 mph and hail to the size of half dollars will be the
primary severe weather hazards. Locally heavy rainfall could also
lead to flooding of small creeks and a few low water crossings.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Confidence then continues to increase in the potential for
widespread heavy rainfall from later Friday into the weekend.
With soils nearly saturated, excessive runoff will be likely and
will lead to an increasing risk for flooding. At this time, it
appears that the heaviest axis of rainfall may occur from
northwestern Arkansas through southern Missouri where 3 to 6
inches of rainfall is forecast with locally higher amounts
possible. Widespread flooding will become possible beneath this
axis of heaviest rainfall.

Additionally, there will be a risk for strong to severe
thunderstorms from Friday into Saturday across southern Missouri.

Those with outdoor and travel plans for this upcoming weekend
should pay close attention to the forecast as there is the
potential for multiple weather hazards, including the potential
for widespread flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Schaumann