Severe Thunderstorm Warning 126, NWS Springfield, MO

272 
WWUS53 KSGF 260325
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1025 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

KSC011-037-MOC011-217-260400-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0126.000000T0000Z-170426T0400Z/
Bourbon KS-Crawford KS-Barton MO-Vernon MO-
1025 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN BOURBON...EASTERN CRAWFORD...WESTERN BARTON AND
SOUTHWESTERN VERNON COUNTIES...

At 1025 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Arma, or near
Girard, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Pittsburg...                      Prairie State Park...
Frontenac...                      Girard...
Arma...                           Liberal...
Cherokee...                       Mulberry...
Chicopee...                       Nashville...
Mindenmines...                    Franklin...
Arcadia...                        Bronaugh...
Burgess...                        Beulah...
Croweburg...                      Yale...
Farlington...                     Hannon...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Springfield.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3763 9488 3779 9456 3767 9437 3737 9441
      3736 9451 3736 9461 3735 9462 3734 9469
      3734 9489 3754 9482
TIME...MOT...LOC 0325Z 245DEG 35KT 3754 9472 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Hatch

712 
WWUS53 KSGF 260336
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1036 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

KSC011-037-MOC011-217-260400-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0126.000000T0000Z-170426T0400Z/
Bourbon KS-Crawford KS-Barton MO-Vernon MO-
1036 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN BOURBON...EASTERN CRAWFORD...WESTERN BARTON AND
SOUTHWESTERN VERNON COUNTIES...

At 1036 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Mulberry, or
11 miles north of Pittsburg, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Pittsburg...                      Prairie State Park...
Frontenac...                      Arma...
Liberal...                        Cherokee...
Mulberry...                       Chicopee...
Nashville...                      Mindenmines...
Franklin...                       Arcadia...
Bronaugh...                       Burgess...
Croweburg...                      Yale...
Iantha...                         Oskaloosa...
Verdella...                       Lone Oak...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Springfield.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3769 9475 3779 9456 3767 9437 3737 9441
      3736 9451 3736 9461 3735 9462 3734 9469
      3734 9484 3755 9472
TIME...MOT...LOC 0336Z 247DEG 25KT 3757 9463 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Hatch

713 
WWUS53 KSGF 260348
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1048 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

KSC011-260358-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0126.000000T0000Z-170426T0400Z/
Bourbon KS-
1048 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BOURBON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
southeastern Kansas...and southwestern and west central Missouri.

LAT...LON 3761 9459 3772 9462 3776 9462 3779 9456
      3767 9437 3737 9441 3736 9461 3735 9462
      3734 9469 3735 9478
TIME...MOT...LOC 0348Z 259DEG 28KT 3760 9451 

$$

KSC037-MOC011-217-260400-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0126.000000T0000Z-170426T0400Z/
Crawford KS-Barton MO-Vernon MO-
1048 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN CRAWFORD...WESTERN BARTON AND SOUTHWESTERN VERNON
COUNTIES...

At 1048 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Liberal, or 14
miles northwest of Lamar, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Pittsburg...                      Prairie State Park...
Frontenac...                      Liberal...
Mulberry...                       Chicopee...
Nashville...                      Mindenmines...
Bronaugh...                       Burgess...
Yale...                           Iantha...
Oskaloosa...                      Verdella...
Hannon...                         

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Springfield.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3761 9459 3772 9462 3776 9462 3779 9456
      3767 9437 3737 9441 3736 9461 3735 9462
      3734 9469 3735 9478
TIME...MOT...LOC 0348Z 259DEG 28KT 3760 9451 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Hatch

896 
WWUS53 KSGF 260353
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1053 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

KSC037-MOC011-217-260403-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0126.000000T0000Z-170426T0400Z/
Crawford KS-Barton MO-Vernon MO-
1053 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CRAWFORD...
WESTERN BARTON AND SOUTHWESTERN VERNON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1100
PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
southeastern Kansas...and southwestern and west central Missouri.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Springfield.

LAT...LON 3761 9459 3772 9462 3776 9462 3779 9456
      3767 9437 3737 9441 3736 9461 3735 9462
      3734 9469 3735 9478
TIME...MOT...LOC 0353Z 245DEG 35KT 3762 9446 

$$

Hatch

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
633 PM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

Breezy southerly winds continue to occur this afternoon. These
winds are helping to increase moisture from the south across
Oklahoma into southeastern Kansas and western Missouri this
afternoon into this evening.

As moisture continues to spread north instability will start to
increase ahead of an approaching front this evening. The front is
currently across southeastern Kansas and will slowly spread east
into Wednesday.

As instability increases and the cap weakens, storms are expected
to develop across eastern Kansas and develop southward into
Oklahoma, initially to the west of the forecast area. These storms
will then spread east, and these storms will likely develop into
line segments. Damaging straight line winds will be the main risk,
with hail up to the size of half dollars also possible with the
strongest updrafts. Low level shear will be strong enough to
support a mesovort potential with any line segments that can
surge to the northeast, result in a low brief tornado risk again
with any line segments that can surge to the northeast. The severe
risk will generally occur west of Highway 65, with the best
potential generally along and west of the Interstate 49 corridor
from the mid evening into the overnight hours.

As the storms start to spread east into the area late this this
evening into the overnight hours they should be begin to weaken,
with wind becoming the main risk until they dissipate altogether.
This may occur before reaching the eastern Ozarks overnight as
the front slows and the storms move off away from the better lift
and upper level support.

Wednesdays weather will be dependent on exactly how far the
convection plays out tonight. The front will be pushing across
the western portions of the forecast area Wednesday morning and
will slowly spread east and out of the area by Wednesday evening.
If a cold front/storms develop and spread across the entire area
it could work the area over farther to the east, with the severe
potential occurring farther east. If the outflow/overnight
convection does not work over the atmosphere too much, additional
storms should develop near the Highway 65 during the early
afternoon hours and spread east. Severe storms would be possible
with all modes possible but large hail and damaging winds the main
risk.

One to two inches of rain will be possible with this system and
could lead to some localized minor flooding.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

Slightly cooler weather will occur on Thursday behind this system
as highs warm into the 60s. A fast moving shortwave trough will
sweep through the region Thursday night and may bring some showers
and perhaps a few rumbles of thunder with it.

An upper level low will then dig to the southeast across the
southwestern U.S. Friday into the Weekend before kicking off to
the east through the region Sunday night into Monday. As the low
is off to the southwest of the area a front will setup over the
area and waves of energy will ride to the northwest and produce
periods of rain with widespread heavy rainfall. The medium range
models continue to show a signal for heavy rain over the region.

There are still questions on exactly where the band of heavy rain
will set up, but it will likely be somewhere across northern
Arkansas into southern Missouri. An additional 2, up to possibly
5 inches of widespread rainfall will be possible this weekend.
With the rain last weekend and the rain expected tonight into
Wednesday, the ground will already be mostly saturated which will
lead to a flooding risk under the axis of heavy rain.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 627 PM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

A front will approach the region but stay just west of the area
this evening and through the overnight hours. Showers and
thunderstorms are expected to develop and impact the regions
terminals from 02z for Joplin and nearer to 05z for Springfield
and Branson. Ceilings and visibilities will be impacted in
advance for the front with MVFR to IFR conditions anticipated.
The front is expected to move through the region around sunrise
for Joplin and closer to midday for Springfield and Branson.
Showers and storms are expected to impact the areas terminals
through Tomorrow afternoon.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Wise
LONG TERM...Wise
AVIATION...Hatch

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
849 PM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-270200-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
849 PM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Tornado risk.
  Elevated Hail risk.
  Elevated Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited Flooding risk.
  Elevated Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Southerly wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph can be expected across much
of the area this afternoon.

Thunderstorms are expected to develop along a cold front in
eastern Kansas this evening, eventually forming into a broken
line of storms which will track east into the area by mid to late
evening. then spreading east to near Highway 65 tonight.

Instability and shear will be sufficient enough for some strong
to severe storms, with hail to the size of half dollars and wind
gusts up to 60 mph possible. While the tornado risk is fairly
low, an isolated tornado or two embedded within the line of
storms can not be ruled out over extreme southeast Kansas into
western Missouri.

Frequent lightning and locally heavy rainfall can also be
expected with these storms. There will be a limited risk for
flooding over locations that receive multiple rounds of
thunderstorms overnight across western Missouri and southeastern
Kansas.

Rainfall may lead to some limited minor flooding across portions
of extreme southwestern Missouri overnight. Especially where heavy
rains fell over the past weekend.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The threat for severe storms will then continue into Wednesday
and Wednesday evening, especially along and east of Highway 65.
The threat for severe storms will be highly dependent on how much
thunderstorm activity occurs tonight, and whether or not this
activity reaches the eastern Missouri Ozarks Wednesday morning.

If thunderstorms reach the eastern Ozarks by Wednesday morning,
the threat for severe storms may diminish for the remainder of
Wednesday. However, if thunderstorms remain absent tonight and
Wednesday morning across south central Missouri and the eastern
Ozarks, there will be an elevated threat for severe storms
Wednesday afternoon and evening. Damaging winds and large hail
would be the primary potential hazards across the eastern Ozarks,
with a limited threat for a tornado or two. A limited risk for
flooding will also exist on Wednesday generally along and east of
the U.S. 65 corridor.

Confidence then continues to increase in the potential for
widespread heavy rainfall from later Friday into the weekend.
With soils nearly saturated, excessive runoff will be likely and
will lead to an increasing risk for flooding. While details
remain unclear regarding where the eventual axis of heaviest
rainfall will develop, it does appear that widespread flooding
will become possible beneath this axis of heaviest rainfall.

Additionally, there will be at least a limited risk for strong to
severe thunderstorms from Friday into Saturday across southern
Missouri.

Those with outdoor and travel plans for this upcoming weekend
should pay close attention to the forecast as there is the
potential for multiple weather hazards, including the potential
for widespread flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation along and west of Interstate 49 may be needed
over the next 3 hours. Area east of the interstate man be needed
over the next 6 hours.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Hatch

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
928 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

KSZ073-097-260315-
Bourbon KS-Crawford KS-
928 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN BOURBON AND
NORTHWESTERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 PM CDT...

At 928 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
St. Paul, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Uniontown...                      Walnut...
Hepler...                         Hiattville...
Petersburg...                     Farlington...
Brazilton...                      Porterville...
Pawnee Station...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Springfield.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
southeastern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3781 9509 3783 9508 3789 9500 3779 9480
      3763 9475 3750 9509
TIME...MOT...LOC 0228Z 231DEG 27KT 3757 9518

Hatch

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
945 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

KSZ097-101-260330-
Cherokee KS-Crawford KS-
945 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CHEROKEE AND
CRAWFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM CDT...

At 944 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Oswego, moving northeast at 40 mph.

Locations impacted include...
Pittsburg...                      Frontenac...
Girard...                         Cherokee...
Weir...                           Sherman...
Scammon...                        Chicopee...
Mccune...                         West Mineral...
Roseland...                       Beulah...
Greenbush...                      Ringo...
Carona...                         Lone Oak...
Skidmore...                       Stippville...

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
southeastern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3761 9482 3743 9471 3723 9478 3716 9508
      3738 9507 3739 9509 3750 9509
TIME...MOT...LOC 0244Z 242DEG 33KT 3725 9518

Hatch