Severe Thunderstorm Warning 51, NWS Nashville, TN

823 
WWUS54 KOHX 100617
SVSOHX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1217 AM CST FRI MAR 10 2017

TNC003-100627-
/O.CAN.KOHX.SV.W.0051.000000T0000Z-170310T0630Z/
Bedford TN-
1217 AM CST FRI MAR 10 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BEDFORD COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 100 AM CST for
Middle Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3535 8648 3536 8649 3550 8641 3548 8624
      3546 8625 3545 8624 3545 8625 3541 8625
      3541 8629 3539 8630 3538 8633 3536 8633
      3536 8636 3535 8637 3535 8641 3533 8641
TIME...MOT...LOC 0613Z 274DEG 47KT 3535 8595 

$$

07

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1154 PM CST Thu Mar 9 2017

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A significant change in weather pattern is expected. An MCS is
expected to move into the mid state region tonight. Grids adjusted
accordingly to show greatest impacts between 03z-06Z, and this
system should push out of the mid state quickly. Some strong to
svr tstms possible, especially sw with this quick moving MCS,
with damaging winds and large hail the main concern. Southwestern
portions of the mid state region will be most prone. A strong
cold front will eventually push thru mid state region tonight.
This will set the stage for bringing in a significant CAA pattern
to the mid state region Fri and into the weekend, as strong
Canadian high pressure builds into the mid state region. Dry
conditions are expected Fri into Fri night with temps now expected
to be a few degrees below seasonal normal values.

Otherwise, will just get to the point about the much anticipated
potential snowfall event on Saturday night. Per national WPC
guidance, went with a 12Z GFS/12Z EURO solution. Did a lot of
coordination with surrounding offices also. This all lead to
increasing the chance of accumulating snowfall across the mid
state after midnight on Sat night, with greatest potential of
accumulating snowfall across southern portions of the Cumberland
Plateau Region. Does not look like precipitation that will move
into the mid state region as Sat progresses will be of frozen
form, i.e. looks like best chance of light rain will not occur
until the afternoon hours. Expect a quick turn over to all
snowfall after sunset though. There is still a great deal of
uncertainty with this system, though, as is usually the case with
any late season March type of snowfall event, but it now looks
like all locations across the mid state will have the potential of
an accumulating snowfall event Sat night. Thus, as of this time,
in general, for locations along and east of Interstate 24 will
experience snowfall accumulations of one to two inches, with
locally higher amounts approaching three inches across the
Cumberland Plateau Region. Other locations will experience between
a half to around one inch of snowfall. Expecting all snowfall to
end by the mid morning hrs on Sun. After this system, an unsettled
wx pattern will continue Sun thru Thu of next week with a
continuance of seasonally cool temps.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

CSV...CSV will see thunderstorms and showers through around 09z
Friday morning. Cigs will lower into at least MVFR heights through
12z Friday morning. Thunderstorms will contain gusty winds and
lightning. Showers may linger into Friday morning before skies
begin to clear and winds calm in the afternoon.

BNA...Although some lightning strikes and showers will be just
south of BNA until 07z the bulk of the activity has moved
southeast of the airport. Skies are expected to clear early Friday
morning as drier northerly flow sets in. Winds are expected to
remain gusty throughout the day.

CKV...Showers have moved southeast of CKV this evening. Other
than gusty southerly winds Friday morning and afternoon,
conditions will be VFR at CKV for the remainder of the TAF Period.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

DISCUSSION......31
AVIATION........11

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
838 AM CST Thu Mar 9 2017

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-101445-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-
Jackson-Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-
Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-
Coffee-Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
838 AM CST Thu Mar 9 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Middle
Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are expected tonight with the possibility
for a few strong to severe thunderstorms. Large hail and localized
damaging wind gusts will be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

A storm system will pass through Middle Tennessee this weekend
with a good chance for snow late Saturday and Saturday night.
Areas along and north of Interstate 40 may see around an inch of
snow, with up to 2 inches along the Cumberland Plateau, and a
dusting of snow south of Interstate 40.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter Thunderstorm Reporting Criteria...
Tornado
Funnel Cloud
Flooding Hail >= 1/2 inch
Winds > 50 mph (Measured)
Structural Damage
Trees or Power Lines Down

13

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1116 PM CST THU MAR 9 2017

TNZ032>034-066-100545-
Putnam TN-Cumberland TN-Fentress TN-Overton TN-
1116 PM CST THU MAR 9 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN OVERTON...NORTHERN
CUMBERLAND...SOUTHEASTERN PUTNAM AND SOUTHWESTERN FENTRESS COUNTIES
UNTIL 1145 PM CST...

At 1116 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Monterey, or 15 miles northwest of Crossville, moving east at 40 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Crossville, Fairfield Glade, Monterey, Slate Springs and Clarkrange.

LAT...LON 3601 8531 3619 8532 3625 8488 3621 8491
      3618 8490 3615 8491 3613 8487 3608 8483
      3610 8482 3609 8480 3605 8479 3601 8474
      3598 8473
TIME...MOT...LOC 0516Z 266DEG 34KT 3611 8523

Whitehead

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1121 PM CST THU MAR 09 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1110 PM     HAIL             4 SW COLUMBIA           35.59N  87.10W
03/09/2017  E1.00 INCH       MAURY              TN   911 CALL CENTER

            MAURY COUNTY 911 CALLED WITH 1 HAIL AND STRONG WINDS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1700170

FB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1133 PM CST THU MAR 09 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1124 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 WNW LAWRENCEBURG      35.26N  87.38W
03/09/2017  E70 MPH          LAWRENCE           TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EM REPORTED A 70 MPH WIND GUST AT DAVID CROCKET SCHOOL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1700171

FB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1141 PM CST THU MAR 09 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 WSW FRANKLIN          35.92N  86.89W
03/09/2017                   WILLIAMSON         TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED TREES DOWN ON TWIN OAKS
            DRIVE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1700172

FB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1143 PM CST THU MAR 09 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1120 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FRANKLIN                35.93N  86.84W
03/09/2017                   WILLIAMSON         TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN ON ARNO ROAD NEAR TRINITY ROAD...TREE IN
            ROADWAY AT 4255 GOSEY HILL ROAD...AND TREE IN ROADWAY AT
            FRANKLIN ROAD AND MOORES LANE

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1700173

SHAMBURGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1156 PM CST THU MAR 09 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1136 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 SE LAWRENCEBURG       35.19N  87.28W
03/09/2017  E60 MPH          LAWRENCE           TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EM REPORTED 60 MPH WIND GUST IN REVILO .. MULTIPLE
            POWER OUTAGES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1700174

FB