Tornado Warning 43, NWS Little Rock, AR

095 
WWUS54 KLZK 300717
SVSLZK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
217 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

ARC069-085-117-300745-
/O.CON.KLZK.TO.W.0043.000000T0000Z-170430T0745Z/
Prairie AR-Lonoke AR-Jefferson AR-
217 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 AM CDT FOR SOUTHERN
PRAIRIE...SOUTHEASTERN LONOKE AND NORTH CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTIES...
    
At 217 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Humnoke, or 14 miles west of Stuttgart, moving
northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely. 

Locations impacted include...
Carlisle...                       Altheimer...
Humnoke...                        Brummitt...
Prairie Center...                 Parkers Corner...
Stuttgart Municipal Airport...    Wabbaseka...
Allport...                        Coy...
Tucker...                         Screeton...
Gethsemane...                     Slovak...
Culler...                         Tomberlin...
Seaton...                         Ferda...

This includes Interstate 40 between mile markers 185 and 186.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3456 9154 3456 9160 3451 9160 3448 9164
      3448 9170 3443 9171 3433 9183 3445 9200
      3482 9170 3464 9144
TIME...MOT...LOC 0717Z 227DEG 34KT 3451 9181 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

62

665 
WWUS54 KLZK 300721
SVSLZK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
221 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

ARC069-085-117-300745-
/O.CON.KLZK.TO.W.0043.000000T0000Z-170430T0745Z/
Prairie AR-Lonoke AR-Jefferson AR-
221 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 AM CDT FOR SOUTHERN
PRAIRIE...SOUTHEASTERN LONOKE AND NORTH CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTIES...
    
At 221 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Humnoke, or 13 miles west of Stuttgart, moving
northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely. 

Locations impacted include...
Carlisle...                       Humnoke...
Brummitt...                       Prairie Center...
Parkers Corner...                 Stuttgart Municipal Airport...
Allport...                        Coy...
Screeton...                       Slovak...
Culler...                         Tomberlin...
Seaton...                         Ferda...

This includes Interstate 40 between mile markers 185 and 186.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3456 9154 3456 9160 3451 9160 3448 9164
      3448 9170 3443 9171 3445 9200 3482 9170
      3464 9144
TIME...MOT...LOC 0721Z 227DEG 29KT 3454 9178 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

62

551 
WWUS54 KLZK 300729
SVSLZK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
229 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

ARC069-300738-
/O.CAN.KLZK.TO.W.0043.000000T0000Z-170430T0745Z/
Jefferson AR-
229 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has  moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 600 AM CDT for
central, eastern and southeastern Arkansas.

LAT...LON 3456 9154 3456 9160 3451 9160 3448 9164
      3448 9170 3461 9187 3482 9170 3464 9144
TIME...MOT...LOC 0728Z 216DEG 36KT 3462 9172 

$$

ARC085-117-300745-
/O.CON.KLZK.TO.W.0043.000000T0000Z-170430T0745Z/
Prairie AR-Lonoke AR-
229 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 AM CDT FOR SOUTHERN
PRAIRIE AND SOUTHEASTERN LONOKE COUNTIES...
    
At 228 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Parkers Corner, or 13 miles northwest of Stuttgart,
moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely. 

Locations impacted include...
Carlisle...                       Humnoke...
Prairie Center...                 Parkers Corner...
Stuttgart Municipal Airport...    Brummitt...
Allport...                        Screeton...
Slovak...                         Culler...
Seaton...                         

This includes Interstate 40 between mile markers 185 and 186.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3456 9154 3456 9160 3451 9160 3448 9164
      3448 9170 3461 9187 3482 9170 3464 9144
TIME...MOT...LOC 0728Z 216DEG 36KT 3462 9172 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

62

658 
WWUS54 KLZK 300744
SVSLZK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
244 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

ARC085-117-300754-
/O.EXP.KLZK.TO.W.0043.000000T0000Z-170430T0745Z/
Prairie AR-Lonoke AR-
244 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHERN PRAIRIE AND SOUTHEASTERN LONOKE
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 245 AM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened, and no longer
appears capable of producing a tornado. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.  However gusty winds and heavy rain are still
possible with this thunderstorm.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 600 AM CDT for
central, eastern and southeastern Arkansas.

LAT...LON 3456 9154 3456 9160 3451 9160 3448 9164
      3448 9170 3461 9187 3482 9170 3464 9144
TIME...MOT...LOC 0744Z 219DEG 33KT 3473 9161 

$$

62

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1242 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.AVIATION...
Numerous showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain will continue
across much of the area into the morning. The cold front will move
through the state today and rain will taper off behind the front.
Mainly MVFR and IFR conditions are expected into the morninig. VFR
conditions will return by Sunday evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 834 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017
)

AVIATION...30/00z Taf Cycle

Convection wl cont to increase in areal coverage later this
evening and durg the overnight hours. VFR/MVFR conds wl prevail
outside of convection, with persistent storms producing IFR conds
at times. Assocd CDFNT wl push EWD acrs AR later on Sun with
improving conds as drier air advects into the region. /44/

PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 312 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017)

SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Sunday

Surface low pressure was anchored over north central Texas this
afternoon, with a stationary boundary stretching northeast into
eastern Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas. Ascent across this
region has led to a dramatic increase in convection this
afternoon, with numerous showers and thunderstorms noted across
western, northwestern, and even north central Arkansas. Observed
rainfall rates have been in the 1.50 inch per hour range so far in
the heavier bands, with Highfill receiving over 2 inches between
17z-19z. Flash flooding has already become a concern, with
saturated soils and heavy rains leading to several water rescues
in the Fayetteville and Rogers areas already today.

Widespread 2-4 inch accumulations still appear likely across
central and northern Arkansas through the remainder of today and
tonight. This initial push of convection will be followed by a
second round later tonight as stronger forcing for ascent moves in
ahead of the upper low that will be approaching. As such, locally
heavier amounts will not be out of the question. Storm motions,
whether this afternoon, or with the cold front later tonight, will
be roughly parallel to the lines of convection so training cells
and resultant flash flooding will be an issue. Models are still
insistent on a PWAT plume of roughly 2" along the cold front later
tonight. In addition to northern Arkansas, suspect there will be
a considerable flash flooding threat in southern and southeastern
Arkansas tonight along the cold front as it moves through.

The other concern will be severe storms. The special release 18z
sounding shows and uncapped environment with considerable CAPE in
place, on the order of 3,700 J/kg. Any storms that do develop this
afternoon and evening will certainly have plenty of instability
to work with. The limiting factor will be shear as it pertains to
organized convection. Thus through this evening large hail and
damaging winds will be the primary threat in addition to flash
flooding. While shear isn't the best this afternoon, it will
improve this evening and tonight ahead of the cold front as the
low level jet kicks in. Model soundings suggest convection for
central and southern Arkansas will still be surface-based, so the
threat of severe storms will remain well into the evening and
overnight hours.

By daybreak Sunday morning, the cold front will be in central to
eastern Arkansas and working its way eastward. Some convection
will lag the front but the risk of any strong to severe storms
will be nearly over with by daybreak I believe.

LONG TERM...Sunday night Through Saturday

On Sunday night, the cold front will be moving south and east of the
area, with cooler air moving in behind it. As the closed upper low
passes north of the area, there will be some wraparound cloud cover
but this should clear out Monday, with the beginning of the week
being fairly pleasant.

Speaking of the front, as it hits nearly parallel upper flow to the
south of the state, it will stall out. As an upper trough digs down
into the Rockies, the flow will amplify again, and this will push
the boundary back to the north as a warm front around Tuesday. The
front looks to stall out somewhere over Arkansas, with several waves
moving through and interacting with it. This will make showers and
thunderstorms a good possibility through the end of the week.

By late in the week, surface low pressure will form along the front,
which will give it momentum. Of course, it looks like there will be
a cutoff upper low dropping down into the southern plains into
possibly the Arklatex region which would also give it a push.

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Lake Wind Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening FOR Arkansas-
Bradley-Calhoun-Clark-Cleburne-Cleveland-Dallas-Desha-Drew-
Faulkner-Garland-Grant-Hot Spring-Independence-Jackson-Jefferson-
Lincoln-Lonoke-Monroe-Ouachita-Prairie-Pulaski-Saline-Sharp-
White-Woodruff.

Flash Flood Watch through this evening FOR Arkansas-Baxter-Boone-
Bradley-Calhoun-Clark-Cleburne-Cleveland-Conway-Dallas-Desha-
Drew-Faulkner-Fulton-Garland-Grant-Hot Spring-Independence-Izard-
Jackson-Jefferson-Johnson-Lincoln-Logan-Lonoke-Marion-Monroe-
Montgomery-Newton-Ouachita-Perry-Pike-Polk-Pope-Prairie-Pulaski-
Saline-Scott-Searcy-Sharp-Stone-Van Buren-White-Woodruff-Yell.

&&

Aviation...51

Hazardous Weather Outlook...Updated
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1102 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-301000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-
Bradley-Drew-
1102 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Numerous showers and thunderstorms...some severe...will continue
through tonight. Damaging winds and large hail are the main threats.
Isolated tornadoes will also be possible with the cold front. With a
very moist atmosphere, very heavy rain will be seen through the
night in most areas. 1 to 3 inches are expected in the south with 3
to 6 inches elsewhwhere...with isolated higher amounts.

These heavy rain amounts will lead to flash flooding and river
flooding over many parts of Arkansas. Residents need to follow the
latest statements and possible warnings during this dangerous
weather situation. A flash flood watch is in effect for the expected
heavy rain. Winds will be elevated over mainly the eastern half of
Arkansas, and a lake wind advisory is in effect.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday Through Friday

A line of thunderstorms should be exiting eastern Arkansas Sunday
morning. Any severe thunderstorms will quickly weaken or move out of
the area. The main severe threats would be damaging winds or large
hail. Drier air moves into the state in the afternoon diminishing
rain chances.

The next system will arrive with a warm front Wednesday. Chances of
showers and thunderstorms are expected Tuesday night continuing into
Thursday. Severe thunderstorms are not expected with this system at
this time.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation may be needed later today through early
Sunday. Please monitor the latest forecasts over the next couple
of days.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

59/51

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
130 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1252 AM     TSTM WND DMG     GEORGETOWN              35.13N 91.45W
04/30/2017                   WHITE              AR   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN IN GEORGETOWN... INCLUDING A
            TREE DOWN ON A HOME.

&&

MBROWN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
136 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1143 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MALVERN                 34.36N 92.81W
04/29/2017                   HOT SPRING         AR   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ON A HOME IN MALVERN

&&

MBROWN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
145 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1140 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SULPHUR ROCK            35.75N 91.50W
04/29/2017                   INDEPENDENCE       AR   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ON A HOME IN SULPHUR ROCK.

&&

MBROWN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
149 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1150 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GLEN ROSE               34.46N 92.73W
04/29/2017                   HOT SPRING         AR   AMATEUR RADIO

            POWERLINES DOWN AROUND GLEN ROSE

&&

MBROWN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
158 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

ARZ044>047-055>057-300745-
Pulaski AR-Grant AR-Monroe AR-Lonoke AR-Arkansas AR-Prairie AR-
Jefferson AR-
158 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN WOODRUFF...
PRAIRIE...LONOKE...NORTHEASTERN GRANT...NORTHWESTERN MONROE...
JEFFERSON...SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS COUNTIES
UNTIL 245 AM CDT...

At 158 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Humnoke to near England to Hensley Island
to near Warbritton. Movement was northeast at 50 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Pine Bluff...                     Sheridan...
Lonoke...                         Hazen...
De Valls Bluff...                 White Hall...
England...                        Carlisle...
Redfield...                       Altheimer...
Humphrey...                       Fredonia...
Humnoke...                        Keo...
Barrettsville...                  Estes...
Toltec Mounds State Park...       McCreanor...
Orion...                          Stuttgart Municipal Airport...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3467 9141 3412 9198 3428 9247 3492 9179
      3497 9140 3487 9133
TIME...MOT...LOC 0658Z 227DEG 42KT 3459 9181 3449 9192 3445 9207 3429
9198

62

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
208 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     HAIL             MOUNTAIN HOME           36.34N 92.38W
04/29/2017  E1.00 INCH       BAXTER             AR   STORM CHASER

&&

MBROWN