Severe Thunderstorm Warning 81, NWS Louisville, KY

732 
WWUS53 KLMK 052013
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
413 PM EDT WED APR 5 2017

KYC027-052023-
/O.CAN.KLMK.SV.W.0081.000000T0000Z-170405T2030Z/
Breckinridge KY-
413 PM EDT WED APR 5 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL BRECKINRIDGE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore the warning has been cancelled.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for south central
Indiana...and central Kentucky.

LAT...LON 3816 8619 3812 8597 3784 8618 3793 8630
TIME...MOT...LOC 2013Z 203DEG 49KT 3797 8629 

$$

INC061-KYC163-052030-
/O.CON.KLMK.SV.W.0081.000000T0000Z-170405T2030Z/
Harrison IN-Meade KY-
413 PM EDT WED APR 5 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN HARRISON AND SOUTHEASTERN MEADE COUNTIES...

At 413 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Brandenburg,
moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Brandenburg, Ekron, Mauckport, Laconia, Guston, Central, Haysville,
Buck Grove, Brandenburg Station and Hillgrove.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Report severe weather to local law enforcement, post your report to
the National Weather Service Louisville Facebook page, or tweet your
report using hashtag L, M, K, spotter.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for south central
Indiana...and central Kentucky.

LAT...LON 3816 8619 3812 8597 3784 8618 3793 8630
TIME...MOT...LOC 2013Z 203DEG 49KT 3797 8629 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DM

355 
WWUS53 KLMK 052019
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
419 PM EDT WED APR 5 2017

INC061-KYC163-052029-
/O.CAN.KLMK.SV.W.0081.000000T0000Z-170405T2030Z/
Harrison IN-Meade KY-
419 PM EDT WED APR 5 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN HARRISON AND
SOUTHEASTERN MEADE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.  However small hail and
gusty winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for south central
Indiana...and central Kentucky.

LAT...LON 3816 8619 3812 8597 3784 8618 3793 8630
TIME...MOT...LOC 2018Z 203DEG 49KT 3805 8624 

$$

DM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
202 PM EDT Wed Apr 5 2017

.Short Term...(This evening through Thursday night)
Issued at 200 PM EDT Wed Apr 5 2017

...Severe Storms Likely this Afternoon/Evening...
...Windy Conditions Late Tonight and Thursday...

Broad area of low pressure, 999 mb, extends from central MO to
southern IL, with a warm front extending across southern IN this
hour. Sunshine warming up the warm sector quickly, but dewpoints
have stayed down according to area observations. Narrow area of
higher dewpoints over western TN this hour, but very narrow. Still
focused on potential for very large hail and damaging wind gusts as
cold pools come out of supercells. Looking at a better tornado
threat in a couple of areas, one over southern Indiana, along the
front and another across Lake Cumberland as LCL's start to fall.

Even outside of these storms, expect gusty winds because of the
pressure gradient associated with that low pressure. The gradient
will stick around overnight and Thursday. In fact, looking at very
windy conditions for the day Thursday, as much colder air pours in.
Likely we will issue a Wind Advisory later tonight for that Thursday
period, with gusts to around 40 mph.

In addition to the wind, expect showery conditions as moisture wraps
around the upper low travelling by to our north. We may see a brief
transition to rain/snow mix or just snow by daybreak Friday.

&&

.Long Term...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 230 PM EDT Wed Apr 5 2017

...Freezing Temperatures May Return Early Saturday...

Friday morning will be near freezing, but with windy conditions not
expecting frost development. Saturday morning, high pressure will
move across the TN Valley, and that looks to be a better chance for
a freeze, especially in our normally colder locations.

High pressure then shifts east of the region and we should have
another warmup in store for the end of the weekend and the beginning
of the next work week. Our next good rain chance will come in Monday
night, as a cold front approaches.

&&

.Aviation...(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 110 PM EDT Wed Apr 5 2017

Well...strong low pressure system over MO will move into the CWA by
21z bringing a strong risk of severe storms across KY.

Ahead of this system, winds will slowly veer to the SE and S and
increase to 10 to 18 mph later this afternoon and this evening.  A
potent cold front will move through tonight with winds shifting to
more westerly.

Ahead of the cold front in the warm sector expect 30% coverage of
shra/tsra from 20z through 03z. We are looking for 20-30% coverage
of supercells to develop west of I 65 between 18-20z and move
rapidly to the NE at 50 mph. These will produce very large hail,
damaging winds and isolated tornadoes.  All aircraft flying into all
3 airports should practice tsra avoidance procedures for all
supercell thunderstorms. Very large hail from supercells.

Storms will be widely scattered so will continue to carry VCTS for
now. But will be monitoring closely should one affect any of the
sites.  My hunch is LEX will have thunderstorms around 00z
timeframe.

The storms will move out this evening. Light showers will develop
behind the cold front and move in late tonight and continue into
Thursday.

The story on Thursday will be MVFR CIGS, and very gusty winds from
the west of 20 gusting to 35 mph staring at 16z.  Cold raw dreary
day on the flight line for sure.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

Short Term...RJS
Long Term...RJS
Aviation...JDG

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
257 PM EDT Wed Apr 5 2017

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-061900-
Orange-Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-Harrison-
Floyd-Clark-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-
Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-
Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Mercer-Jessamine-Larue-Marion-Boyle-
Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-
Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-
Cumberland-Clinton-
Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, Jasper,
English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany, Jeffersonville, Lewisport,
Hawesville, Hardinsburg, Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield,
Elizabethtown, Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford,
Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana,
Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle,
Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, Winchester,
Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond, Morgantown,
Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty,
Stanford, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin, Providence,
Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown,
Burkesville, and Albany
257 PM EDT Wed Apr 5 2017 /157 PM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017/

...TORNADO WATCH 127 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING...

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Indiana and Central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Scattered to numerous storms are likely this afternoon and evening as
a cold front approaches the region. Some of these storms will become
quite vigorous with severe weather likely to 10 PM EDT. Damaging
winds, large to very large hail, and a few tornadoes are all
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Cold conditions will return to the area behind the strong cold
front. As a result, light snow may mix in with rain showers Friday
morning. Temperatures will fall close to the freezing mark Saturday
morning with frost or a freeze possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are requested to report hail of any size, strong winds or
wind damage, and any rotation in storms today.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

RJS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
222 PM CDT WED APR 5 2017

KYZ027-061-051945-
Grayson-Butler-
222 PM CDT WED APR 5 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN BUTLER AND CENTRAL
GRAYSON COUNTIES...

At 221 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 7 miles northeast of
Morgantown, moving northeast at 50 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Leitchfield, Casey, Lee, Clarkson, Caneyville, Monford, Steff,
Aberdeen, Eden and Brooklyn.

LAT...LON 3739 8661 3743 8662 3758 8642 3757 8641
      3757 8639 3746 8616 3732 8645 3732 8647
      3731 8647 3723 8664 3729 8677
TIME...MOT...LOC 1921Z 229DEG 59KT 3733 8662

DM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
233 PM CDT WED APR 5 2017

KYZ026-061-051945-
Butler-Ohio-
233 PM CDT WED APR 5 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BUTLER AND SOUTHEASTERN OHIO
COUNTIES...

At 232 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 8 miles southwest of
Morgantown, moving northeast at 50 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Morgantown, Casey, Woodbury, Monford, Mining City, Dimple, Aberdeen,
Leetown, Eden and Flint Springs.

LAT...LON 3744 8679 3733 8649 3718 8661 3718 8662
      3717 8662 3704 8673 3709 8689
TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 211DEG 50KT 3714 8680

DM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
243 PM CDT WED APR 5 2017

KYZ024-027-052000-
Grayson-Breckinridge-
243 PM CDT WED APR 5 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN GRAYSON AND
SOUTHERN BRECKINRIDGE COUNTIES...

At 242 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 12 miles northwest
of Leitchfield, moving northeast at 55 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and dime size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Hardinsburg, Concord, Mcquady, Dyer, Garfield, Se Ree, Westview,
Tousey, Buras and Pine Knob.

LAT...LON 3755 8662 3755 8661 3754 8661 3754 8660
      3755 8659 3755 8658 3758 8661 3784 8654
      3774 8619 3772 8620 3747 8643 3750 8663
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 203DEG 47KT 3758 8649

DM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
344 PM EDT WED APR 5 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0338 PM     HAIL             1 ENE DUNBAR            37.19N 86.75W
04/05/2017  E0.75 INCH       BUTLER             KY   PUBLIC

            DIME SIZE HAIL IN DUNBAR.

&&

MRC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
347 PM EDT WED APR 5 2017

INZ076-077-083-084-052015-
Crawford-Orange-Washington-Dubois-
347 PM EDT WED APR 5 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL DUBOIS...
NORTHWESTERN CRAWFORD...ORANGE AND WEST CENTRAL WASHINGTON
COUNTIES...

At 347 PM EDT/247 PM CDT/, a strong thunderstorm was located 7 miles
west of English, moving northeast at 60 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and dime size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Paoli, English, Orleans, French Lick, Stampers Creek, Orangeville,
Campbellsburg, West Baden Springs, Birdseye and Livonia.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT/900 PM CDT/ for
south central Indiana.

LAT...LON 3867 8616 3821 8656 3822 8657 3827 8657
      3826 8667 3829 8673 3869 8659 3869 8631
      3870 8631
TIME...MOT...LOC 1947Z 208DEG 53KT 3837 8659

RJS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
357 PM EDT WED APR 5 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0355 PM     HAIL             HARDINSBURG             37.78N 86.46W
04/05/2017  E0.88 INCH       BRECKINRIDGE       KY   PUBLIC

&&

MRC