River Flood Warning 30, NWS Wilmington, OH

833 
WGUS81 KILN 061729
FLSILN
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1229 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...

  Ohio Brush Creek above West Union

OHC001-070036-
/O.EXT.KILN.FL.W.0030.171106T1726Z-171107T0036Z/
/WUNO1.1.ER.171106T1556Z.171106T1800Z.171106T1836Z.NO/
1229 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

...Flooding now expected to continue until this evening... 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ohio Brush Creek above West Union
* until this evening.
* At 12 PM the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue rising to near 16 feet by early this afternoon. 
  The river will fall below flood stage later this afternoon.
* At stages near 16.0 feet, flooding of lowland areas continues.  A few 
  inches of water is over the creek side lanes of low-lying county roads
  near the creek close to Lawshee.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3886 8344 3887 8340 3866 8343 3868 8347
      3875 8349                       

$$

786 
WGUS81 KILN 061939
FLSILN
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
239 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers...

  Little Miami River at Kings Mills
  Little Miami River at Milford

OHC025-061-165-062009-
/O.CAN.KILN.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-171107T0515Z/
/KIMO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.171106T1200Z.171106T1859Z.NO/
239 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Little Miami River at Kings Mills
* At 2 PM the stage was 16.8 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage this afternoon.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to 9.7 feet by Tuesday morning.
* At stages near 17 feet, flooding of lowland areas occurs from South 
  Lebanon to Foster.  Portions of Mason-Morrow-Millgrove Road also 
  flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3941 8409 3936 8408 3933 8421 3927 8425
      3929 8428 3937 8426             

$$

OHC025-061-062009-
/O.CAN.KILN.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-171107T0843Z/
/MLGO1.1.ER.171106T0737Z.171106T1230Z.171106T1815Z.NO/
239 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Little Miami River at Milford
* At 1 PM the stage was 16.8 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage this afternoon.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to 11.3 feet by Tuesday morning.
* At stages near 17 feet, lowland flooding occurs along the river in 
  Clermont and Hamilton Counties.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3929 8428 3929 8426 3927 8425 3916 8428
      3907 8443 3910 8443             

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1007 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Clouds and much colder temperatures can be expected today in the
wake of a cold front. A disturbance will work across southern
portions of the region Monday night into Tuesday morning.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Mostly cloudy to cloud skies can be expected today in the post
frontal airmass in the wake of a cold front. Northern winds and
clouds will keep temperatures cool with little diurnal rise
from current readings. Highs will range from the upper 40s
northwest to the mid 50s far southeast.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
Although dry conditions will start out the short term expect the
dry conditions to be short lived as isentropic lift increases
across southern portions of the region overnight. Increased
precipitation chances across southern portions of the area due
to this. There is no instability therefore do not have any
thunder mention in. Rain showers will begin to taper off Tuesday
morning into the afternoon hours as the best lift moves out of
the region. With continued cloud cover across the region on
Tuesday do not expect most locations to make it out of the 40s.
Winds will also be breezy on Tuesday with wind gusts around 20
to 30 mph.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A weak positively tilted short wave will push across the area early
in the period, which could bring some additional light showers to
far southern counties Tuesday night. Thereafter, high pressure will
build in with dry and cool conditions. There will be a reenforcement
of the cooler air late in the week which will drop high to 10
degrees below normal. The high pressure system will move off to the
east over the weekend. 00Z models continue to have timing
differences with the next short wave tracking across the country.
Forecast leans towards the slower ECMWF which would hold off on
showers until Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Drizzle and gusty winds around 20 knots will taper off this
morning. IFR cigs will gradually become MVFR today. Expect KDAY,
KILN, KCMH, and KLCK to become VFR for awhile this evening into
tonight. KCVG and KLUK are expected to only improve to MVFR
conditions. Although KILN will improve to VFR conditions, expect
MVFR cigs to work back in late tonight.

A system will approach the southern TAF sites tonight. This will
bring showers to KCVG, KLUK, and KILN.

OUTLOOK...MVFR ceilings possible on Tuesday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Novak
NEAR TERM...Hickman
SHORT TERM...Novak
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...Novak

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
405 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-071000-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-
Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-
Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-
Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-
Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Pickaway-
Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-
Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
405 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana,
Southeast Indiana, Northeast Kentucky, Northern Kentucky, Central
Ohio, Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
837 AM EST MON NOV 06 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       W BROOKVILLE            39.42N 85.01W
11/06/2017  M2.34 INCH       FRANKLIN           IN   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24-HR TOTAL

&&

JGIBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
838 AM EST MON NOV 06 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       KINGS MILLS             39.36N 84.25W
11/06/2017  M2.88 INCH       WARREN             OH   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

JGIBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
850 AM EST MON NOV 06 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0849 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 W FINNEYTOWN          39.22N 84.61W
11/06/2017  M4.19 INCH       HAMILTON           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24-HR TOTAL

&&

JGIBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
851 AM EST MON NOV 06 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0849 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 N MADEIRA             39.20N 84.37W
11/06/2017  M2.76 INCH       HAMILTON           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24-HR TOTAL

&&

JGIBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
909 AM EST MON NOV 06 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 NNW OSGOOD            39.20N 85.31W
11/06/2017  M2.56 INCH       RIPLEY             IN   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24-HR TOTAL

&&

JGIBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
933 AM EST MON NOV 06 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0922 AM     FLOOD            1 ESE BELLBROOK         39.63N 84.06W
11/06/2017                   GREENE             OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL ROADS STILL CLOSED IN GREENE COUNTY BECAUSE OF
            HIGH WATER. SR725 AND LOWER BELLBROOK, SR725 AND PENEWIT,
            AREAS OF WASHINGTON MILL AND STEWART ROADS

&&

JGIBSON