Severe Thunderstorm Warning 53, NWS Hastings, NE

560 
WWUS53 KGID 162121
SVSGID

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
421 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

KSC089-162131-
/O.CAN.KGID.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-170516T2200Z/
Jewell KS-
421 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN JEWELL COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 4000 9827 4015 9827 4032 9823 4034 9782
      4000 9782
TIME...MOT...LOC 2121Z 213DEG 38KT 4015 9811 

$$

NEC129-162200-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-170516T2200Z/
Nuckolls NE-
421 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT
FOR NUCKOLLS COUNTY...

At 421 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Nelson, or 33
miles northwest of Belleville, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Superior, Nelson, Davenport, Hardy, Ruskin, Oak, Nora and Bostwick. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4000 9827 4015 9827 4032 9823 4034 9782
      4000 9782
TIME...MOT...LOC 2121Z 213DEG 38KT 4015 9811 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Fay

038 
WWUS53 KGID 162131
SVSGID

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
431 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

NEC129-162200-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-170516T2200Z/
Nuckolls NE-
431 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN NUCKOLLS COUNTY...

At 431 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Nelson, or 30
miles southeast of Hastings, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Nelson, Ruskin, Oak and Nora. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4012 9815 4015 9827 4032 9823 4034 9782
      4014 9784
TIME...MOT...LOC 2131Z 213DEG 30KT 4021 9808 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Fay

637 
WWUS53 KGID 162144
SVSGID

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
444 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

NEC129-162154-
/O.CAN.KGID.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-170516T2200Z/
Nuckolls NE-
444 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN NUCKOLLS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 4012 9815 4015 9827 4032 9823 4034 9782
      4014 9784
TIME...MOT...LOC 2142Z 219DEG 36KT 4032 9797 

$$

Fay

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
408 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 339 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017

The ingredients are in place for an active evening and
potentially overnight period across the local area today with
multiple rounds of convection possible.

With clear skies this morning and through the early afternoon
hours...instability was able to build and the CIN has mostly
eroded over the past couple of hours...which means only weak
forcing will likely be needed to get some explosive convection
initiated this evening...and with a surface trough tracking
across the western fringes of the local area this afternoon and
an upper level disturbance emerging out of the southwest
overnight...forcing should be no problem. In addition...with good
shear and instability values already present in the atmosphere...
expect the potential for organized convection with a few
supercells across the local area...capable of producing large hail
and strong thunderstorm wind gusts. Can also not rule out an
isolated tornado or two through the early evening hours as 0-6 KM
shear values upwards of 50KTs are forecast through around 06Z.

After the initial round of convection propagates northeastward
across the local area this evening...expect an additional round of
thunderstorms to potentially roll in from the west as convection
across the high plains gets enhanced by the approaching shortwave
out of the southwest. This should keep the radar active through
the early morning hours Wednesday...although the greatest
potential for significant severe thunderstorms appears to be over
the remainder of the afternoon hours through this evening.

As the surface and upper level low track across the heart of the
local area tomorrow...expect a mostly cloudy day with additional
chances for some showers and thunderstorms...although the severe
potential looks fairly low at this time.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 339 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017

Expect multiple chances for showers and thunderstorms across the
local area through the extended periods as an upper level low
meanders across the intermountain west sending multiple impulses
across the local area from time to time. With relatively cooler
air in place across the region...expect instability and severe
thunderstorm chances to be somewhat limited with temperatures
hovering near to just below seasonal norms each day.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 18Z Wednesday)
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017

Plenty of uncertainty in the afternoon TAFs today. Expect showers
and thunderstorms to develop over the next couple of hours ahead
of an upper level wave across northeastern New Mexico. As these
storms propagate northeastward...expect mid level clouds to
increase with SHRA's and TSRA's overspreading much of the local
area by around 17/00Z. Winds ahead of this wave will generally be
out of the southwest...with multiple rounds of thunderstorms then
becoming possible during the evening and overnight hours. For the
time being...kept prevailing VFR conditions with a CB and a mention
of a VCTS through much of the time period...with chances tapering
off during the morning hours Wednesday. That said...expect MVFR
or lower CIGS/VSBYS...along with very gusty winds...with any
TSRAs that impact either terminal.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Rossi
LONG TERM...Rossi
AVIATION...Rossi

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
322 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
172030-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
322 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Severe thunderstorms are possible across the entire forecast area
this afternoon through tonight. At this time, the best chances
look to come after 6 PM, with the primary hazards being hail up
to 2 inches in diameter and wind gusts near 70 MPH. In addition...
localized heavy rain and flooding, as well as an isolated
tornado, cannot be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorm chances linger across the outlook area through
Wednesday, then intermittent thunderstorms are possible Thursday
through Friday night. Severe thunderstorms are not expected at
this time.

Another chance for thunderstorms returns next Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed late this afternoon
through tonight.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

Rossi

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
357 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

KSZ007-NEZ085-086-162130-
Jewell KS-Nuckolls NE-Webster NE-
357 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN JEWELL...SOUTHEASTERN
WEBSTER AND SOUTHWESTERN NUCKOLLS COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

At 357 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Burr Oak, or 29 miles northwest of Beloit, moving northeast at 40
mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Superior, Mankato, Burr Oak, Hardy, Esbon, Webber, Bostwick and
Lovewell State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3973 9844 3986 9850 4007 9846 4002 9792
      3980 9807
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 229DEG 35KT 3985 9837

Fay