Flash Flood Warning 8, NWS Fort Worth, TX

622 
WGUS74 KFWD 110308
FFSFWD

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1008 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

TXC217-309-110500-
/O.CON.KFWD.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170411T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
McLennan TX-Hill TX-
1008 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR
NORTHERN MCLENNAN AND SOUTHWESTERN HILL COUNTIES...

At 1005 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated slow moving thunderstorms 
producing heavy rain across northern McLennan County. Radar is 
estimating 3 to 5 inches of rain has fallen in this area since 800 
PM.  Some flooding has been reported on I-35 near West and Ross. An 
additional 1 inch of rain will be possible through midnight.  This 
rainfall will lead to excessive water runoff and cause flash 
flooding. Low-lying areas are most vulnerable to rapidly rising 
water. Some low-water crossings may flood and become impassable.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
North side of Waco, Lacy-Lakeview, West, Valley Mills, Gholson, 
Abbott, Leroy, Ross and Aquilla.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.  Be especially cautious at night when it 
is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3159 9760 3175 9728 3179 9733 3184 9728
      3184 9733 3188 9739 3189 9736 3190 9737
      3190 9738 3193 9707 3167 9691

$$

92

741 
WGUS74 KFWD 110453
FFSFWD

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1153 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

TXC217-309-110501-
/O.EXP.KFWD.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170411T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
McLennan TX-Hill TX-
1153 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHERN MCLENNAN AND SOUTHWESTERN
HILL COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT CDT... 

The heaviest rains have moved to the east and flash flooding is no 
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed any 
remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3159 9760 3175 9728 3179 9733 3184 9728
      3184 9733 3188 9739 3189 9736 3190 9737
      3190 9738 3193 9707 3167 9691

$$

58

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
718 PM CDT Mon Apr 10 2017

.AVIATION...
The primary aviation weather concern with this TAF package will be
thunderstorms this evening. As of 00Z, the cold front had just
cleared all the Metroplex TAF sites. However, some storms were
riding up over the front and were in the vicinity of DAL and GKY.
We have decided to keep thunder in the vicinity at those terminals
through about 03Z. Waco should see temporary periods of
thunderstorms through about 04Z with most activity shifting to the
south of Waco overnight with the front.

Low end VFR ceilings will prevail through Tuesday morning with
some temporary ceilings between 2000 and 3000 FT this evening.
The only exception will be in Waco where MVFR ceilings will
prevail overnight through Tuesday morning. All ceilings should
slowly lift Tuesday afternoon with daytime mixing.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 319 PM CDT Mon Apr 10 2017/
Convection continues to develop along and ahead of a slow moving
cold front which was near a line from Paris to Dallas to
Goldthwaite at 3 PM. The atmosphere is quite unstable and severe
thunderstorms will likely continue into the mid evening hours with
storms slowly shifting southward with the cold front. Some
elevated showers and storms are possible north of the front
through the evening, but these should remain below severe limits.
Along with the threat for large hail and damaging winds, there
will be a potential for heavy rainfall and flash flooding,
especially southeast of a line from Goldthwaite to Hillsboro to
Athens where a Flash Flood Watch is in effect through 7 AM CDT
Tuesday. There is a good chance that the heavy rainfall will shift
south of the CWA overnight with the development of a strong cold
pool. Therefore, the Flash Flood Watch may be canceled during the
overnight hours if this occurs.

A weak shortwave will translate across the region on Tuesday and
result in scattered showers and thunderstorms through the day.
This activity will remain elevated above the front and should
remain well below severe limits.

Once the shortwave trough axis passes to the east, a weak ridge
will build in from the west and result in a brief dry period
Tuesday night. The presence of the ridge will be very temporary
due to the development of a strong trough across the western
states. A series of shortwaves will round the base of the long
wave trough and bring multiple chances for rain and thunderstorms
Thursday through Sunday with the best chances Thursday and again
on Sunday. At this time the severe potential appears low with the
end of the week/weekend storms.

79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    59  73  61  79  63 /  50  20  10  20  10
Waco                61  74  61  79  62 /  70  40  10  20  10
Paris               58  71  58  75  60 /  60  20  10  20  10
Denton              55  72  57  77  61 /  20  10  10  20  20
McKinney            57  71  58  77  61 /  50  20  10  20  10
Dallas              61  74  62  79  64 /  50  20  10  20  10
Terrell             60  73  60  78  62 /  60  40  10  20  10
Corsicana           62  73  62  79  62 /  70  40  20  20  10
Temple              62  73  61  78  62 /  80  50  20  20  10
Mineral Wells       54  72  57  78  61 /  20  20  10  20  20

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for TXZ135-142>148-
156>162-174-175.

&&

79/79

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
419 PM CDT Mon Apr 10 2017

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-111245-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
419 PM CDT Mon Apr 10 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.
There is a chance of thunderstorms across all of North and Central
Texas through tonight. Severe thunderstorms are likely through the
evening generally along and southeast of a line from Bonham to Fort
Worth to Goldthwaite. Large hail and damaging winds will be the
primary hazards. Heavy rainfall is also likely and may result in
flash flooding, especially along and south of a line from
Goldthwaite to Hillsboro to Athens, where a Flash Flood Watch is in
effect until 7 AM. The severe threat will diminish by late evening
but the flash flood threat will continue overnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Scattered thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday southeast of a line
from Bonham to Weatherford to Comanche. Severe storms are not
expected.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible, periodically,
across much of the region Tuesday night through Friday. Cloud to
ground lightning will be the primary hazard. Severe weather appears
unlikely at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is likely southeast of a line from Bonham to Fort
Worth to Goldthwaite through this evening.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
800 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0758 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CLIFTON                 31.78N  97.58W
04/10/2017                   BOSQUE             TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            FLASH FLOODING REPORTED ON FM 708 NEAR CLIFTON

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
810 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

TXZ144-145-159-110200-
Bosque TX-Hill TX-McLennan TX-
810 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN MCLENNAN...SOUTHEASTERN
BOSQUE AND SOUTHWESTERN HILL COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

At 809 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles south of Lake Whitney State Park, or 13 miles east of Clifton,
moving northeast at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Hillsboro, Clifton, West, Whitney, Valley Mills, Lake Whitney State
Park, Gholson, Leroy, Ross and Aquilla.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
central Texas.

LAT...LON 3171 9769 3170 9772 3171 9773 3206 9720
      3172 9698 3160 9744 3158 9760
TIME...MOT...LOC 0109Z 246DEG 14KT 3178 9735

Carlaw

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
817 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0746 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CAYOTE                  31.77N  97.45W
04/10/2017                   BOSQUE             TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            8 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS IN CAYOTE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
835 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0831 PM     HAIL             4 SSW AQUILLA           31.80N  97.25W
04/10/2017  E1.00 INCH       HILL               TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTING QUARTER SIZE HAIL 4 MI SSW OF AQUILLA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
849 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0841 PM     HAIL             5 WNW CHINA SPRING      31.68N  97.40W
04/10/2017  E1.75 INCH       MCLENNAN           TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED 5 MI WNW OF CHINA SPRING

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
851 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0843 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CLIFTON                 31.78N  97.58W
04/10/2017                   BOSQUE             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLASH FLOODING ON FM 2114 NEAR FM 2490