Tornado Warning 18, NWS Fort Worth, TX

270 
WWUS54 KFWD 110348
SVSFWD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1048 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

TXC309-110400-
/O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0018.000000T0000Z-170411T0400Z/
McLennan TX-
1048 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL MCLENNAN COUNTY...
    
At 1048 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Mart, or 15 miles north of Marlin, moving south at
25 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and ping pong ball size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely. 

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
east central McLennan County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3158 9699 3163 9688 3155 9681 3152 9680
      3144 9697
TIME...MOT...LOC 0348Z 338DEG 21KT 3152 9685 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.50IN

$$

05

915 
WWUS54 KFWD 110358
SVSFWD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1058 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

TXC309-110407-
/O.EXP.KFWD.TO.W.0018.000000T0000Z-170411T0400Z/
McLennan TX-
1058 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL MCLENNAN COUNTY WILL EXPIRE
AT 1100 PM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire. However heavy rain
is still possible with this thunderstorm.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
central Texas.

LAT...LON 3158 9699 3163 9688 3155 9681 3152 9680
      3144 9697
TIME...MOT...LOC 0357Z 341DEG 20KT 3152 9685 

$$

58

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
718 PM CDT Mon Apr 10 2017

.AVIATION...
The primary aviation weather concern with this TAF package will be
thunderstorms this evening. As of 00Z, the cold front had just
cleared all the Metroplex TAF sites. However, some storms were
riding up over the front and were in the vicinity of DAL and GKY.
We have decided to keep thunder in the vicinity at those terminals
through about 03Z. Waco should see temporary periods of
thunderstorms through about 04Z with most activity shifting to the
south of Waco overnight with the front.

Low end VFR ceilings will prevail through Tuesday morning with
some temporary ceilings between 2000 and 3000 FT this evening.
The only exception will be in Waco where MVFR ceilings will
prevail overnight through Tuesday morning. All ceilings should
slowly lift Tuesday afternoon with daytime mixing.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 319 PM CDT Mon Apr 10 2017/
Convection continues to develop along and ahead of a slow moving
cold front which was near a line from Paris to Dallas to
Goldthwaite at 3 PM. The atmosphere is quite unstable and severe
thunderstorms will likely continue into the mid evening hours with
storms slowly shifting southward with the cold front. Some
elevated showers and storms are possible north of the front
through the evening, but these should remain below severe limits.
Along with the threat for large hail and damaging winds, there
will be a potential for heavy rainfall and flash flooding,
especially southeast of a line from Goldthwaite to Hillsboro to
Athens where a Flash Flood Watch is in effect through 7 AM CDT
Tuesday. There is a good chance that the heavy rainfall will shift
south of the CWA overnight with the development of a strong cold
pool. Therefore, the Flash Flood Watch may be canceled during the
overnight hours if this occurs.

A weak shortwave will translate across the region on Tuesday and
result in scattered showers and thunderstorms through the day.
This activity will remain elevated above the front and should
remain well below severe limits.

Once the shortwave trough axis passes to the east, a weak ridge
will build in from the west and result in a brief dry period
Tuesday night. The presence of the ridge will be very temporary
due to the development of a strong trough across the western
states. A series of shortwaves will round the base of the long
wave trough and bring multiple chances for rain and thunderstorms
Thursday through Sunday with the best chances Thursday and again
on Sunday. At this time the severe potential appears low with the
end of the week/weekend storms.

79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    59  73  61  79  63 /  50  20  10  20  10
Waco                61  74  61  79  62 /  70  40  10  20  10
Paris               58  71  58  75  60 /  60  20  10  20  10
Denton              55  72  57  77  61 /  20  10  10  20  20
McKinney            57  71  58  77  61 /  50  20  10  20  10
Dallas              61  74  62  79  64 /  50  20  10  20  10
Terrell             60  73  60  78  62 /  60  40  10  20  10
Corsicana           62  73  62  79  62 /  70  40  20  20  10
Temple              62  73  61  78  62 /  80  50  20  20  10
Mineral Wells       54  72  57  78  61 /  20  20  10  20  20

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for TXZ135-142>148-
156>162-174-175.

&&

79/79

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
419 PM CDT Mon Apr 10 2017

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-111245-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
419 PM CDT Mon Apr 10 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.
There is a chance of thunderstorms across all of North and Central
Texas through tonight. Severe thunderstorms are likely through the
evening generally along and southeast of a line from Bonham to Fort
Worth to Goldthwaite. Large hail and damaging winds will be the
primary hazards. Heavy rainfall is also likely and may result in
flash flooding, especially along and south of a line from
Goldthwaite to Hillsboro to Athens, where a Flash Flood Watch is in
effect until 7 AM. The severe threat will diminish by late evening
but the flash flood threat will continue overnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Scattered thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday southeast of a line
from Bonham to Weatherford to Comanche. Severe storms are not
expected.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible, periodically,
across much of the region Tuesday night through Friday. Cloud to
ground lightning will be the primary hazard. Severe weather appears
unlikely at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is likely southeast of a line from Bonham to Fort
Worth to Goldthwaite through this evening.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
923 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 PM     HAIL             13 NE PALESTINE         31.88N  95.47W
04/10/2017  E0.75 INCH       ANDERSON           TX   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED 13 MI NE OF PALESTINE IN BRUSHY
            CREEK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
927 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0924 PM     FLASH FLOOD      6 SSE BLUM              32.07N  97.36W
04/10/2017                   HILL               TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WATER COMPLETELY COVERING THE HIGHWAY... FM 933 6 MI SSE
            OF BLUM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1001 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

TXZ157-158-110345-
Coryell TX-Bell TX-
1001 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CORYELL AND
NORTHWESTERN BELL COUNTIES UNTIL 1045 PM CDT...

At 1001 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Fort Hood, moving east at 15 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Killeen, Temple, Harker Heights, Belton, Fort Hood, Nolanville,
Morgan's Point Resort, Salado and Mother Neff State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so closely monitor for additional
information or possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
central Texas.

LAT...LON 3114 9781 3136 9776 3136 9744 3131 9741
      3124 9734 3125 9733 3106 9742 3092 9756
TIME...MOT...LOC 0301Z 274DEG 15KT 3121 9770

Carlaw

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1014 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1013 PM     HAIL             3 SSW MCKINNEY          33.16N  96.64W
04/10/2017  E0.88 INCH       COLLIN             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            0.8 IN HAIL REPORTED IN MCKINNEY VIA SPOTTER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1016 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

TXZ104-110400-
Collin TX-
1016 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN COLLIN COUNTY UNTIL
1100 PM CDT...

At 1016 PM CDT, trained weather spotters reported a strong
thunderstorm near McKinney, moving northeast at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
McKinney, Allen, Fairview, Princeton, Lucas, Farmersville, Lowry
Crossing, Melissa, Blue Ridge, New Hope, Weston and Westminster.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
north central Texas.

LAT...LON 3334 9638 3335 9629 3316 9630 3308 9664
      3325 9671 3339 9639
TIME...MOT...LOC 0316Z 235DEG 18KT 3320 9660

05

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1017 PM CDT MON APR 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1016 PM     HAIL             3 NNW ALLEN             33.14N  96.70W
04/10/2017  E0.75 INCH       COLLIN             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED 3 MI NNW OFALLEN