Severe Thunderstorm Warning 76, NWS La Crosse, WI

765 
WWUS53 KARX 172316
SVSARX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
616 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

WIC103-123-172326-
/O.CAN.KARX.SV.W.0076.000000T0000Z-170517T2330Z/
Vernon WI-Richland WI-
616 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN VERNON AND
NORTHERN RICHLAND COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for central and
southwestern Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4329 9037 4329 9067 4372 9053 4373 9031
      4355 9031 4355 9023
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 205DEG 38KT 4373 9044 4369 9017 

$$

JSB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
141 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Thursday Night)
Issued at 141 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

Main focus is on severe potential this afternoon into this evening.

Current analysis has surface/mid-level low pressure center over
eastern Nebraska. Radar has some ongoing showers/thunderstorms ahead
of the low moving across portions of southwest into central WI.
Otherwise, temperatures were in the upper 60s to middle 70s with dew
points in the 60s.

Severe threat looks on track for the area this afternoon into this
evening as the low lifts out of Nebraska into southeast MN.
Increasing MuCape/Bulk Shear/Helicity sets up across our area for
the likelihood of supercell thunderstorms capable of large hail,
damaging winds and a few tornadoes. The highest tornado threat looks
to be from northeast IA into southwest in central WI. The highest
severe threat time still looks to be in the 3 to 8 pm time frame.
There will also be the likelihood of some localized heavier rainfall
from the storms with precipitable water values around 1.5 inches.

Look for these storms to exit the area by later this evening but
lingering showers will continue through the night into Thursday on
the backside of the departing low/cyclonic flow aloft. Otherwise,
cooler temperatures will be seen Thursday under clouds and cold
cyclonic flow aloft. Look for highs only in the 50s to middle 60s
along with brisk north winds.

Decreasing cloudiness is expected Thursday night mainly north of I-
90 as high pressure noses in from Canada. Low temperatures are
expected to dip into the middle 30s to lower 40s.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 141 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

Friday will see a chance of showers mainly southwest of I-94 as a
mid-level trough and push of 850mb moisture transport move in.
Otherwise, still on the cool side with highs only in the 50s.

Low pressure lifts from the Southern Plains into the region Friday
night through Saturday for the likelihood of showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Otherwise, gulf looks wide open with this system for
plenty of available moisture. Look for the bulks of showers to move
out by late Saturday night, with a lingering chance of showers on
Sunday across north central WI. Otherwise, temperatures stay below
normal with highs Saturday and Sunday in the upper 50s to the middle
60s.

Cooler cyclonic flow aloft lingers over the region Monday through
Wednesday for shower chances and temperatures remaining below normal.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1238 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

Main taf concerns are thunderstorms at both RST/LSE taf sites this
afternoon into this evening...then the potential for IFR/MVFR
conditions after 06z Thursday. Low pressure pushing into western
Iowa is expected to spread a couple of rounds of
showers/thunderstorms into the area this afternoon into this
evening. Large hail and damaging winds are possible with the
thunderstorms at both taf sites late this afternoon into this
evening. Timing/placement of each individual band of
showers/thunderstorms moving into the taf sites will be tricky.
At this time...have introduced vicinity thunderstorms through this
evening at both RST/LSE taf sites...with a tempo group late this
afternoon into early evening hours to cover the timing of one of the
convective bands. Showers will continue after 06z Thursday...however
ceilings will lower into the IFR/MVFR conditions at both RST/LSE taf
sites.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...(This afternoon into Tonight)
Issued at 141 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

As of late this morning, emergency management and local law
enforcement reported numerous county and township roads closed due
to water over roads and washed out roadways across northern
Trempealeau, northwest Jackson and northeast Buffalo counties. These
were areas where radar estimated 4-6 inches had fallen last night.
As a result, Areal Flood Warnings remain in effect for portions of
northeastern Buffalo and northern Trempealeau/Jackson counties until
midnight tonight. In addition, river flood warnings are also in
effect for the Black River and Trempealeau Rivers. More showers and
thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into tonight across the
forecast area with another 1/2 to locally 2 inches of rainfall
possible. This will keep rivers running higher than usual and could
produce some ponding of water on roadway and lower lying areas, but
flash flooding is not anticipated due to the expected fast-moving
nature of the showers and storms, thereby not being focused over a
certain area for any length of time.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
MN...None.
IA...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...DAS
LONG TERM....DAS
AVIATION.....DTJ
HYDROLOGY....DAS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
337 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-
032>034-041>044-053>055-061-182045-
Mitchell-Howard-Winneshiek-Allamakee-Floyd-Chickasaw-Fayette-
Clayton-Wabasha-Dodge-Olmsted-Winona-Mower-Fillmore-Houston-
Taylor-Clark-Buffalo-Trempealeau-Jackson-La Crosse-Monroe-Juneau-
Adams-Vernon-Crawford-Richland-Grant-
337 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast
Minnesota, northeast Iowa, and southwest into central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Rest Of Today and Tonight

Severe thunderstorms are expected through this evening, primarily
before 8 pm. The risks will be isolated tornadoes, damaging winds
and large hail. At this time, the tornado risk looks to be across
portions of southeast Minnesota, northeast Iowa into western and
central Wisconsin. Storms with damaging winds and large hail could
occur across the entire area. Locally heavy rain will be possible
with any storm, however, the storms should be fast moving
limiting the potential for flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Another round of widespread rain looks to spread across the area
Friday into Saturday night, with amounts of 3/4 inch to locally
1 1/2 inches appearing likely.

Isolated thunderstorms are also possible later Friday night and
Saturday. Severe weather is not expected with any of these
storms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter groups should be prepared for rapid activation into this
evening as these storms will be fast moving. Any severe weather
reports would be appreciated through this evening.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

No webinar is scheduled.

DTJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
524 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0518 PM     TSTM WND GST     HOLMEN                  43.96N 91.26W
05/17/2017  E60.00 MPH       LA CROSSE          WI   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

DAVES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
535 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0534 PM     HAIL             BLUE RIVER              43.19N 90.57W
05/17/2017  E0.25 INCH       GRANT              WI   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

SHEA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
536 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     HAIL             3 E FLOYD               43.13N 92.68W
05/17/2017  M1.00 INCH       FLOYD              IA   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

SHEA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
539 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0538 PM     TSTM WND GST     PORTLAND                43.77N 90.85W
05/17/2017  M50 MPH          MONROE             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SHEA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
540 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0539 PM     HAIL             BOAZ                    43.33N 90.53W
05/17/2017  E0.75 INCH       RICHLAND           WI   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

SHEA

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
540 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

WIZ017-029-043-044-172345-
Taylor-Clark-Juneau-Adams-
Including the cities of Medford, Neillsville, Mauston,
and Friendship
540 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

...Severe Storms Moving Into The Area...

Severe storms are expected to move into the area this evening.
Large hail...isolated tornadoes possible...frequent
lightning...wind gusts to 60 mph and brief heavy rain can be
expected with the storms. Be prepared to move inside as storms
approach.

DTJ