Small Craft Advisory 95, NWS Anchorage, AK

020 
FZAK51 PAFC 301240
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
340 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-310115-
340 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE NORTHERN GULF DISSIPATES THIS
AFTERNOON. A FRONT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF TODAY AND WEAKENS
THROUGH TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-310115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
340 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-310115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
340 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-310115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
340 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AND INCREASING TO 20 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-310115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
340 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-310115-
PORT VALDEZ-
340 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-310115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
340 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-310115-
VALDEZ ARM-
340 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-310115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
340 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-310115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
340 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-310115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
340 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-310115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
340 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ136-310115-
CHINIAK BAY-
340 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-310115-
MARMOT BAY-
340 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-310115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
340 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-310115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
340 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-310115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
340 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ141-310115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
340 AM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

651 
FZAK51 PAFC 310028
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-311300-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT IN THE WESTERN GULF REMAINS AND WEAKENS THROUGH WED.

$$

PKZ119-311300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-311300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-311300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S
OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-311300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-311300-
PORT VALDEZ-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-311300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-311300-
VALDEZ ARM-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-311300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-311300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-311300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-311300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ136-311300-
CHINIAK BAY-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-311300-
MARMOT BAY-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-311300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-311300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-311300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-311300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

718 
FZAK51 PAFC 311258
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-010215-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT IN THE WESTERN GULF REMAINS AND WEAKENS THROUGH
TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN THE NORTHERN AND
WESTERN GULF TONIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ119-010215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. 
SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-010215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-010215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS 
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-010215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-010215-
PORT VALDEZ-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-010215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-010215-
VALDEZ ARM-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-010215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-010215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-010215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-010215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-010215-
CHINIAK BAY-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-010215-
MARMOT BAY-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-010215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-010215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT BY LATE MORNING. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-010215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-010215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
519 AM AKST Sun Jan 29 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
Several troughs rotating around an upper level low centered near
the Bering Strait are impacting the area this morning. One trough,
located near Prince William Sound, is swinging inland across the
northern Gulf Coast, while a second is tracking along the Alaska
Peninsula and into the western Gulf. Thunderstorms embedded in the
leading edge of the area of enhanced snow showers associated with
the second trough have been bringing lightning to Kodiak Island,
Shelikof Strait and the western Gulf this morning. In between the
two troughs, a small transient ridge is building into Southcentral
Alaska.

Out west, a vertically stacked low is located north of Shemya with
an associated front stretching across the western and central
Bering. A developing frontal wave is in the process of crossing
the Aleutian chain just to the west of Adak, with an associated
strong frontal system pushing east through central Aleutians.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models remain in good synoptic agreement. Some small differences
exist in the handling of the upper level trough swinging through
the western Gulf today. While all the models take the small
associated surface low on a similar track up Shelikof Strait and
then along southeastern Kenai coast, the Canadian takes a small
secondary trough up the western Kenai Peninsula brushing through
the Anchorage area and Matanuska Valley. The consequences of this
solution being correct would be some additional scattered snow
showers further inland, however given that it is the only model
suggesting this it was deemed an outlier.

Forecast challenges for the western domain include the timing of
the front coming in from the west as well as how fast the south to
southeasterly flow ahead of it warms temperatures...thus impacting
the likelihood and magnitude of snow and blowing snow concerns for
southwest Alaska.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Some patchy fog is possible through early afternoon as mid
and high level clouds break up in response to a small ridge
building over the area but otherwise expect VFR conditions to
persist through Monday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A neutrally tilted trough along the Alaska Peninsula this morning
will march eastward across the Gulf today through tonight, taking
on a slight negative tilt as it enters the western Gulf this morning.
Instability is quite impressive out ahead of it, as indicated by
cold cloud tops in infrared satellite imagery and recent lightning
strikes near Kodiak Island. 12Z sounding from Kodiak also shows
lapse rates around 9 degrees C/km for much of the column. Thus,
expect moderate to heavy showers right out ahead of the strongest
part of the upper short-wave.

It is quite difficult to pinpoint the track of these showers as
indicated by the differences in model guidance. Based on latest
trends in satellite and in guidance, there is increasing
confidence that some of the heaviest and more widespread showers
will track along Shelikof Strait this morning up to the southern
Kenai Peninsula this afternoon and then over to Cordova this
evening. Snow accumulation will vary significantly across small
distances, depending on where showers track, but on average expect
around 2 inches snow accumulation with locally higher amounts.
Visibility may drop to half mile or less in heavier showers.

An upper level ridge will build in behind the trough, but dry
weather will be short-lived as a front approaches from the Bering
Sea Monday through Monday Night. This will be a good set-up for
strong low level southeasterly downsloping winds along the Kenai
and Chugach ranges. This will keep areas in the lee mostly dry
while coastal areas and the western Susitna Valley will likely
see quite a bit of precip with deep southerly flow from the sub-
tropics. Cold air feeding into the back side of this system means
there will not be a significant warm-up. Thus, precip will fall
mainly as snow, with rain likely relegated to Kodiak Island and
portions of the Gulf coast.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The Southwest Alaska region has a weak shortwave moving through
this morning which is producing some light snow showers in the
Kuskokwim Delta and the Bristol Bay region. Meanwhile, the next
major synoptic feature is a weather front approaching the
Southwest Alaska coastline by Sunday evening. This will result in
blowing snow issues accompanied by moderate to heavy snowfall as
the frontal boundary moves inland before exiting the region by
Monday morning. The strongest southeasterly winds and snowfall
will occur along the Kuskokwim Delta coastline and along the
Western Capes northward extending through the Ahklun Mountains.
Since we have cold air in place over the Kuskokwim Delta region,
this should keep the warm air advection at bay just long enough
for the occurrence of the blowing snow phenomena. Therefore, a
Winter Weather Advisory for Blowing Snow was issued this morning
for the Kuskokwim Delta region west of Bethel.

The warmer air upstream will modify the air mass resulting in
temperatures reaching in the upper 30s for the Kuskokwim Delta
interior. As the aforementioned front moves through the Bristol
Bay region the temperatures are warmer along the coast, but cooler
air is in the interior. Therefore, a Winter Weather Advisory for
Snow was issued north and west of Dillingham after midnight
tonight through Monday afternoon as the frontal boundary moves
through the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The storm force low is tracking into the southern Bering Sea this
morning. The satellite imagery is showing a huge comma cloud over
the Central Aleutians with moisture streaming northward into the
Bering Sea. This will bring a strong push of warmer temperatures
to the Central/Eastern Aleutians northward into the Bering as the
low tracks into the northern Bering by Sunday evening. This will
bring gale to storm force southerly winds along the Central/Eastern
Aleutians with strong gusty gap winds out of the bays and passes
through Monday as the front moves eastward. By Monday the majority
of the Bering/Aleutians will have westerly flow accompanied by a
showery weather regime. By late Monday evening the next storm
force low tracks south of the Western Aleutians with the
associated weather front approaching the aforementioned region.
This results in a significant warm-up along the Western Aleutians
spreading northward into the Bering Sea.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
A front near the AKpen will decay over the Aleutian Range and
southcentral AK Mon night into Tue. In the process it will bring
snow to both sides of the Aleutian Range, the Alaska Range north
to Denali, as well as the Kenai and Chugach mountains. Out west a
fast moving storm force front will move into the western Bering,
with snow changing to rain on Tue over the western Aleutians.

By early Wed the Bering front reaches eastern Russia, with gales
and storm force winds slowly diminishing over the region into the
weekend. The front in the east decays into a trough along the
north Gulf coast, with precipitation diminishing to showers
through the week. High pressure will build across mainland AK
through the week. Warm air over the Bering cools by midweek,
while cold air associated with the mainland high becomes more
entrenched over Southcentral through the week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 185.
 		 Storm Warning 170 172 173 174 176.
 		 Gale Warning 132 150 155 160 165 171 175 179 180 181 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JR
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SEB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...DS