Brisk Wind Advisory 9, NWS Anchorage, AK

651 
FZAK51 PAFC 310028
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-311300-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT IN THE WESTERN GULF REMAINS AND WEAKENS THROUGH WED.

$$

PKZ119-311300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-311300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-311300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S
OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-311300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-311300-
PORT VALDEZ-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-311300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-311300-
VALDEZ ARM-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-311300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-311300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-311300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-311300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ136-311300-
CHINIAK BAY-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-311300-
MARMOT BAY-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-311300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-311300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-311300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-311300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
328 PM AKST MON JAN 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

718 
FZAK51 PAFC 311258
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-010215-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT IN THE WESTERN GULF REMAINS AND WEAKENS THROUGH
TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN THE NORTHERN AND
WESTERN GULF TONIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ119-010215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. 
SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-010215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-010215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS 
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-010215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-010215-
PORT VALDEZ-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-010215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-010215-
VALDEZ ARM-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-010215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-010215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-010215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-010215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-010215-
CHINIAK BAY-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-010215-
MARMOT BAY-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-010215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-010215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT BY LATE MORNING. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-010215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-010215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
358 AM AKST TUE JAN 31 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
418 PM AKST Sun Jan 29 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The upper level longwave trough remains over the western Bering
sea bringing in southwest flow aloft over the Bering Sea. The
Upper level ridge to the east of the trough is fairly weak and
situated over Bristol Bay. It is causing enough subsidence to
bring in some locally dense fog along the coast. A strong
shortwave trough is moving over Kodiak Island and the southern
half of Cook Inlet as it heads toward Prince William Sound this
evening. This has been the source of the occasionally heavy snow
showers in the Kachemak Bay area today.
Another short wave over the Copper river basin has brought some
snowfall there as well today.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The most significant near-term model item is the movement of the
upper level wave through the Cook Inlet region and into Prince
William Sound. Overnight model runs were mostly bringing this
system south of the Kenai Peninsula except for just clipping the
kachemak Bay area, but the track today has been farther northward
which seems to be caught by the 18Z model runs of the GFS and NAM
models. The low in the Bering Sea remains a complex low with
multiple centers, but most of the energy has consolidated into two
main centers which are being resolved much better than they were
yesterday. This has increased confidence in the Winter Weather
Advisories in effect for Southwest mainland Alaska. The system
moving into Southcentral Alaska Tuesday has some subtle
differences between the models that will be the difference
between the precipitation downsloping on the leeward side of the
Kenai and Chugach mountains and those areas getting another shot
of snowfall before the warm upper level ridge builds over the
mainland part of the state for the second half of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...some evening snow showers will be in the area which may
cause brief MVFR conditions. Otherwise the should be VFR
conditions through tomorrow.

&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
An upper level short-wave will track across the Gulf and Northern
Gulf Coast tonight, with some left over instability ahead of it
causing showery conditions mainly over the Gulf waters. An upper
level ridge and more stable conditions will quickly build in from
west to east behind the above mentioned short-wave, bringing a
brief break from the showery conditions along the Gulf coast
overnight tonight and into Monday morning.

By late Monday morning, precipitation will redevelop over the
areas surrounding the Northern Gulf and Cook Inlet region as
another system moves in from the west. This will initially be a
good set-up for strong low level southeasterly downsloping winds
along the Kenai and Chugach ranges. This will keep areas on the
lee side of the ranges mostly dry, while coastal areas and the
western Susitna Valley will likely see quite a bit of precip with
deep southerly flow from the sub-tropics. However, models are
beginning to show a slightly more southerly component to the
winds, which can result in some precipitation making it over the
mountains. Currently we are expecting little to no snow
accumulation on the lee side of the Kenai and Chugach mountains,
which is subject to change if models continue to trend toward a
more southerly flow pattern. Confidence is high with regards to
the cold air feeding in behind this system and hindering any
significant warm-up. This will keep precipitation mainly as snow,
with rain likely relegated to Kodiak Island and portions of the
Gulf coast.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

A warm front continues to move across the eastern Bering Sea
toward Southwest Alaska this afternoon. Within the next several
hours, winds should begin to ramp up along the western capes of
the Bristol Bay zone and coastal locations of the Kuskokwim Delta
as the front approaches. Shortly after the winds arrive, snowfall
will begin to fall which will create blowing snow concerns across
parts of the Kuskokwim Delta coastline as moderate to heavy snow
combines with the wind to create visibilities as low as one half
of a mile. Inland locations of the Kuskokwim Delta will see some
snowfall but the bulk of the snow will fall along the coastline
where 2-5 inches of new snowfall is expected. Higher snow amounts
are expected in the Bristol Bay area north and west of Dillingham
(in the vicinity of the Ahklun Mountains) where 4-8 inches are
expected and some higher amounts may be possible depending on how
long snowfall upslope toward the higher terrain.

The front will quickly dissipate on Monday as it moves inland
with precipitation struggling to move further inland. Current
thoughts are that downsloping will keep a chunk of the Bristol Bay
zone including King Salmon and Iliamna on the dry side until late
morning on Monday when the front really begins to dissipate and
downsloping ends. As the remnants of the front and associated
upper level trough shift eastward, snowfall is expected to taper
off from west to east although a few scattered snow showers are
possible through Tuesday night before high pressure settles into
the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

An area of low pressure west of the Pribilof Islands will continue
to move northeastward toward Saint Matthew Island tonight. As it
does so, it will continue to drive a warm front across the eastern
Bering Sea and allow the Pribilof Islands to warm up as snow
changes to or mixes with rain before ultimately ending later
tonight. Following the front, a showery pattern will reside across
the Bering Sea through Monday before high pressure builds across
the area on Tuesday. This high pressure will be short lived across
the western Bering Sea as an area of low pressure moves southwest
of Shemya late Tuesday. This will bring storm force winds and another
shot of rain and snow to the western Bering Sea late Tuesday into
Wednesday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
Ridging over the eastern Bering mid week will expand over mainland
Alaska where it looks to reside through much of the weekend. This
setup will keep much of the active weather south of the mainland
over places like the Aleutians and Bering. The systems moving over
the Aleutians and Bering during this time will come from the south
bringing warmer air and rain to the area.

The biggest question mark is with the system moving over the
Western and Central Aleutians Tuesday into Wednesday. Even with
the warm air advection associated with this system there is still
potential for winds to reach near warning level as the front
passes. The most critical time will be late Tuesday night/early
Wednesday morning as a shortwave moves across the islands.
However, at this time there is too much disagreement amongst
models and not enough support for winds to reach warning level.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory...155 161. MARINE...Storm
Warning...155 178 Gale warning...130 131 132 150 160 165 170 172
177 179 180 181 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PEPE
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MC
LONG TERM...DEK