Gale Warning 351, NWS Anchorage, AK

861 
FZAK51 PAFC 061110
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
310 AM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-070000-
310 AM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front pushes onshore over the Eastern Gulf by Tue afternoon. A 
994 mb low enters the Eastern Gulf 180 nm southwest of Sitka Tue
afternoon before moving 50 nm northeast of Chirikof Islands at 995
mb late Wed morning. This system moves 230 nm southeast of Chirikof
Islands at 1001 mb early Thu morning. A 999 mb low enters the 
eastern Gulf 220 nm southwest of Sitka Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-070000-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
310 AM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-070000-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
310 AM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-070000-
Resurrection Bay-
310 AM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Higher winds and seas S of Caines
Head. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Higher winds and seas S of 
Caines Head. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Higher winds and
seas S of Caines Head. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-070000-
Prince William Sound-
310 AM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-070000-
Port Valdez-
310 AM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-070000-
Valdez Narrows-
310 AM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain
showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-070000-
Valdez Arm-
310 AM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10
kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-070000-
Passage Canal-
310 AM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-070000-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
310 AM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt becoming NE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft 
building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft 
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-070000-
Barren Islands East-
310 AM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14
ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-070000-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
310 AM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt except N 30 kt N of Dangerous Cape. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-070000-
Chiniak Bay-
310 AM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 9 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10
ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-070000-
Marmot Bay-
310 AM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft
subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-070000-
Shelikof Strait-
310 AM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft building to 15 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-070000-
Cook Inlet Kalgin island to Point Bede-
310 AM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-070000-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
310 AM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-070000-
Kachemak Bay-
310 AM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

210 
FZAK51 PAFC 062347
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
347 PM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-071300-
347 PM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 991 mb low 240 nm southeast of Middleton Island will strengthen
to 989 mb as it moves to 80 nm southeast of Kodiak late tonight. 
This low will then gradually weaken to 994 mb as it moves to 90 nm
south of Sitkinak Wed afternoon before moving south into the 
Pacific Ocean Wed evening.

$$

PKZ119-071300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
347 PM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt becoming SE 20 kt towards morning. Seas 17 
ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-071300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
347 PM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-071300-
Resurrection Bay-
347 PM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming S 10 kt towards morning. Seas 3 ft.
Higher winds and seas S of Caines Head. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Higher seas S of Caines Head. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Higher winds and seas S of 
Caines Head. Rain showers.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-071300-
Prince William Sound-
347 PM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt in the evening becoming NE 25 kt after
midnight. Gusts to 35 kt near Hinchinbrook entrance after midnight.
Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-071300-
Port Valdez-
347 PM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt after 
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-071300-
Valdez Narrows-
347 PM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-071300-
Valdez Arm-
347 PM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-071300-
Passage Canal-
347 PM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-071300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
347 PM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt becoming NE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft 
building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-071300-
Barren Islands East-
347 PM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-071300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
347 PM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight. South of
Dangerous Cape, NE wind 20 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-071300-
Chiniak Bay-
347 PM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 9 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10
ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-071300-
Marmot Bay-
347 PM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 12 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft
subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding to 1 ft after
midnight.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-071300-
Shelikof Strait-
347 PM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-071300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin island to Point Bede-
347 PM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 8 
ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-071300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
347 PM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft 
after midnight.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-071300-
Kachemak Bay-
347 PM AKDT Tue Jun 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 
ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

885 
FZAK51 PAFC 071130
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
330 AM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-080045-
330 AM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 990 mb low 50 nm east of Sitkinak Island moves to 125 nm
southeast of Chirikof Island at 997 mb this afternoon...then 
moves into the North Pacific. A trough of low pressure develops 
over the central Gulf tonight and persists through Thu night.

$$

PKZ119-080045-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
330 AM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-080045-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
330 AM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft subsiding to 10 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-080045-
Resurrection Bay-
330 AM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt becoming variable wind less than 10 kt by late
morning. Seas 4 ft. Higher winds and seas S of Caines Head. Rain 
showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Higher seas S of Caines Head.
Widespread rain showers.
.THU...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 
kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-080045-
Prince William Sound-
330 AM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-080045-
Port Valdez-
330 AM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-080045-
Valdez Narrows-
330 AM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-080045-
Valdez Arm-
330 AM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-080045-
Passage Canal-
330 AM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.THU...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-080045-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
330 AM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft 
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ131-080045-
Barren Islands East-
330 AM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-080045-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
330 AM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-080045-
Chiniak Bay-
330 AM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-080045-
Marmot Bay-
330 AM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding to 1 ft after
midnight.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-080045-
Shelikof Strait-
330 AM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT through fri...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ139-080045-
Cook Inlet Kalgin island to Point Bede-
330 AM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-080045-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
330 AM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-080045-
Kachemak Bay-
330 AM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

508 
FZAK51 PAFC 072349
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
349 PM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-081315-
349 PM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
High pressure lingers over the North Gulf Coast through Thu
afternoon. Troughs push across the Western Gulf through Fri
afternoon. High pressure moves across the Eastern Gulf through Fri
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-081315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
349 PM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-081315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
349 PM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-081315-
Resurrection Bay-
349 PM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind less than 10 kt becoming N in the evening. Seas 2 ft.
Higher S of Caines Head. Rain.
.THU...n wind less than 10 kt in the morning becoming s in the afternoon.
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...s wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-081315-
Prince William Sound-
349 PM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...w wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-081315-
Port Valdez-
349 PM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-081315-
Valdez Narrows-
349 PM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-081315-
Valdez Arm-
349 PM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-081315-
Passage Canal-
349 PM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-081315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
349 PM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-081315-
Barren Islands East-
349 PM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-081315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
349 PM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...variable wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-081315-
Chiniak Bay-
349 PM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-081315-
Marmot Bay-
349 PM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding to 1 ft after
midnight.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-081315-
Shelikof Strait-
349 PM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-081315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin island to Point Bede-
349 PM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-081315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
349 PM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt or less after 
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-081315-
Kachemak Bay-
349 PM AKDT Wed Jun 7 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
1236 PM AKDT Mon Jun 5 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The upper level closed high has shifted westward, and is
positioned over Saint Lawrence Island with a ridge extending
eastward through the Brooks Range. The other associated ridge
extend south through the lower eastern Bering just north of the
Dutch Harbor region. This is producing stable conditions with some
stratus/fog over the Bering Sea. Meanwhile, a thermal trough
extends along the Alaska Range into the Lower Kuskokwim Valley,
Bristol Bay Interior, and into the Kuskokwim Mountains this
morning. This is setting up for active convection for the
Southwest Alaska region today as an upper level shortwave moves
from east to west as it tracks into the aforementioned region.
The other concern this morning will be for the Kuskokwim Delta
area with the offshore flow combined with low relative humidities
will produce very dry conditions. Therefore, close monitoring will
occur for Fire Weather issues for the Kuskokwim Delta today.
Meanwhile, the central Gulf has a closed low with a trough
extending into the Yakutat area. This synoptic feature is
reflected at the surface as a 985 mb gale force low near 53N 147W.
The satellite imagery is showing this system with a large
elongated swath of clouds extending just south of the Gulf, and
beginning to stream into the eastern Gulf this morning. Otherwise,
the Southcentral Region has the remnants of the shortwave which
pushed through yesterday. The satellite imagery is showing
northeasterly flow, and coincides with the northeasterly upper
level flow. The radar imagery is reflecting a showery regime over
the Anchorage Bowl under a northerly flow. Abundant cloud cover
has put a damper on any fog development for the Southwest or
Southcentral Alaska region this morning.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models remain in decent agreement but discrepancies occur
by Tuesday as the next low develops into the Gulf, and the
Western Aleutians. The ECMWF seems to be the outlier with the Gulf
low as it moves the low faster across the Gulf. The preferred
model of choice was the GFS, and the forecast confidence remains
above average, but diminishes heading into Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions but the remnants of the easterly wave will
bring light showers this morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
An easterly wave will produce widespread showers over south
central Alaska today, then move west into southwest Alaska this
evening. A strong low in the Gulf of Alaska will push a front into
the Gulf coast this evening. This front will produce rain for the
coastal areas, mainly along eastern Kenai and Kodiak Island.
Inland areas will only see isolated to scattered showers. Gale
force winds will be over much of the Gulf today and tonight, then
slowly diminish on Tuesday. Another low will work its way into the
northern Gulf Tuesday night, and then near Kodiak Island Tuesday
morning.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
The westward progression of an upper level shortwave combined
with a diurnal thermal trough and northeasterly winds will
enhance conditions for possible Red Flag Warning weather
conditions for hot, dry and windy conditions through the
Kuskokwim Delta this afternoon today through this evening time-
frame. The confidence is fairly high in reaching the Red Flag
weather conditions mainly west of Bethel except along the
immediate coast.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A ridge of high pressure over the region will shift northwest
today as a shortwave trough over the Gulf of Alaska moves west
this afternoon. Dynamic ascent and lift will result in the
development of a surface low across the Lower Kuskokwim Valley and
northern Bristol Bay. Afternoon thunderstorms will form along the
Alaska Range, and Kilbuck/Ahklun Mountains and continue into the
late evening. Some of these thunderstorms may be rather strong
given the impressive low level convergence. This may act to
organize some of the thunderstorms into longer lasting entities.
Meanwhile, northerly offshore winds will increase west of the low,
with high temperatures possibly reaching near 80 degrees across
parts of the Kuskokwim Delta. Showers, and possibly an isolated
thunderstorm, will last overnight before convective activity
diminishes and moves into the Bering Sea.

On Tuesday, strong easterly cyclonic flow aloft will mostly bring
cross-barrier downslope flow to Southwest. There will be some
sporadic showers as upper shortwave troughs embedded within the
flow move over the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
Rather quiescent weather will continue over the Bering Sea
through Tuesday night as high pressure centered over the Central
Bering Sea remains in place. Out west, a low moving toward Shemya
today will strengthen Tuesday and Tuesday night, reaching around
30 knots with rain moving east as far as Adak/Atka. Over the
Eastern Bering Sea, showers and with an isolated thunderstorm
near the Bristol Bay coast will develop this afternoon and
evening. Shower threats moving off the Southwest coast and toward
the Alaska Peninsula will continue to be a threat through Tuesday
night as two separate lows move toward Kodiak Island.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)...
The pattern moving into the long term has a blocking high over
northern Alaska with a low south of the Gulf of Alaska. Another
upper level low will over the far western Bering that will track
east staying just south of the Aleutians through the week.
Meanwhile, the high and low near the mainland will mostly stay in
place into late next week bringing moist, southeast flow to the
southern mainland. Most of the rain will stay along the coast with
afternoon showers for inland locations. On Thursday this pattern
will break down making way for the western low to move near the
Alaska Peninsula on Friday. However, there is disagreement with
where this low will end up with some models bringing it north
towards the Bristol Bay area while others stay south of the Alaska
Peninsula.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gale Warning...119 120 131 132 136 137 351 352.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...PD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA
LONG TERM...DK