Alert archive / Oklahoma / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

July 3, 2016Craig County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at Jul 3, 2016, 5:01 PM CDT for Craig County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 3, 2016, 5:01 PM CDT (22:01 UTC)
Expired: Jul 3, 2016, 5:30 PM CDT
In force: 29 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK

County Craig County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 704 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -53 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 928 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 279 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 270 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.0
Supercell composite: 4.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

495 
WWUS84 KTSA 032201
SPSTSA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
501 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016
 
OKZ057-032230-
CRAIG OK-
501 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL CRAIG COUNTY UNTIL 530 PM
CDT...

AT 501 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES NORTH OF
WHITE OAK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
WELCH...                          BLUEJACKET...
PYRAMID CORNERS...                HOLLOW...
CENTRAILIA...                     CENTRALIA...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 291 AND 293.
 
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA.

LAT...LON 3675 9500 3668 9500 3667 9543 3687 9543
      3697 9506
TIME...MOT...LOC 2201Z 245DEG 21KT 3679 9528 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 3, 2:43 PM CDT, 2 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 2:43 PM CDT, 2 hours 18 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
243 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Weak area of surface low pressure currently located over central
Oklahoma this afternoon with quasi-stationary boundary located
further north near the Oklahoma/Kansas border. With a few breaks
in the cloud cover, atmosphere has become moderately unstable
with lifted indices from -5 to -7 deg C southwest of Tulsa. Low
level moisture convergence continues northeast of surface low near
the interstate 44 corridor. With limited cap present, strong to
severe thunderstorms are expected to develop near aforementioned
area by mid/late afternoon with the threat for heavy rainfall and
to a lesser extent damaging downburst winds. In addition, slightly
backed surface winds/modest deep layer shear and low LCL heights
would suggest that the chance for a brief tornado is not zero, but
will likely remain very low.

Main threat this evening into the overnight hours will be the
potential for heavy rainfall/flash flooding as multiple
thunderstorm clusters move across much of eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas. A flash flood watch remains in effect through
tonight for much of the area and flash flood guidance remains
relatively low from the previous rainfall. The heavier rainfall is
expected to shift east of the region Monday morning with only a
few lingering showers/isolated thunderstorms across far southeast
Oklahoma/northwest Arkansas monday afternoon.

Focus will quickly shift to the excessive heat potential Tuesday
through the remainder of the week as large upper ridge builds
over the southern plains. High temperatures in the upper 90s will
be common across much of eastern Oklahoma and west-central
Arkansas with heat indices exceeding 105 degrees in some
locations. A heat advisory will likely be required for at least
portions of the area during this time as afternoon dewpoints
become a little more certain. Limited precipitation chances
return by Friday into next weekend a weak northwest flow aloft
develops.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   72  90  77  96 /  70  10  10  10
FSM   74  90  76  96 /  80  40  10  10
MLC   74  90  77  94 /  80  20  10  10
BVO   67  88  71  96 /  60  10  10  10
FYV   72  85  70  93 /  90  40  10  10
BYV   71  85  71  93 /  80  50  10  10
MKO   73  90  74  93 /  90  20  10  10
MIO   70  86  73  95 /  60  20  10  10
F10   73  90  76  93 /  90  10  10  10
HHW   74  92  76  93 /  70  40  10  10

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...Flash Flood Watch through Monday morning for OKZ054>076.

AR...Flash Flood Watch through Monday morning for ARZ001-002-010-011-
     019-020-029.

&&

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....12

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 3, 4:29 PM CDT, 32 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
429 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
429 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

.TORNADO.
    RISK...LIMITED.
 	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON.  THIS ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS WITH THE THREAT FOR
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS. A BRIEF TORNADO OR
TWO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT WITH ANY ISOLATED SUPERCELLS THIS AFTERNOON
OR EVENING.

FLASH FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY IN SOME AREAS AS STORMS SPREAD ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS
EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WIDESPREAD 2 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY WITH LOCALLY 5 INCHES
POSSIBLE.  A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE
ADDITIONAL RAINS COULD ALSO LEAD TO NOTABLE RISES ON A FEW AREA
RIVERS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY EARLY IN
THE DAY ON MONDAY...WITH PRECIPITATION ENDING BY MONDAY
EVENING.

THE HEAT WILL RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO
NEXT WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION.
TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE PREVALENT BEGINNING TUESDAY
AND CONTINUING INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 3:59 PM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
359 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016

OKZ056-057-032130-
CRAIG OK-NOWATA OK-
359 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN NOWATA AND WEST
CENTRAL CRAIG COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

AT 359 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES EAST OF
NOWATA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
DELAWARE...                       CENTRAILIA...
CENTRALIA...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA.

LAT...LON 3661 9555 3677 9565 3691 9541 3670 9516
TIME...MOT...LOC 2059Z 238DEG 18KT 3671 9553

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 4:11 PM CDT, 50 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
411 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016

OKZ054-059-032145-
PAWNEE OK-OSAGE OK-
411 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL OSAGE AND EASTERN PAWNEE
COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM CDT...

AT 411 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES EAST OF RALSTON TO 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MARAMEC. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
PAWHUSKA...                       PAWNEE...
HOMINY...                         CLEVELAND...
FAIRFAX...                        WYNONA...
JENNINGS...                       RALSTON...
OSAGE...                          HALLETT...
BLACKBURN...                      TERLTON...
MARAMEC...                        SKEDEE...
PERSHING...                       NELAGONEY...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA.

LAT...LON 3657 9675 3681 9619 3619 9636 3616 9665
      3616 9682 3619 9682
TIME...MOT...LOC 2111Z 241DEG 17KT 3652 9665 3621 9673

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 4:29 PM CDT, 32 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
429 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016

OKZ056-057-032200-
CRAIG OK-NOWATA OK-
429 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL NOWATA AND WEST
CENTRAL CRAIG COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

AT 429 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTHEAST
OF NEW ALLUWE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
CENTRAILIA...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA.

LAT...LON 3665 9545 3680 9552 3689 9529 3668 9516
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 245DEG 16KT 3674 9539

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 4:44 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
444 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016

OKZ054>056-059-032230-
NOWATA OK-PAWNEE OK-WASHINGTON OK-OSAGE OK-
444 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN OSAGE...PAWNEE...WEST
CENTRAL NOWATA AND CENTRAL WASHINGTON COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 443 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKESA TO 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF
HOMINY TO 2 MILES EAST OF MARAMEC. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 25 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
BARTLESVILLE...                   PAWHUSKA...
PAWNEE...                         SKIATOOK...
HOMINY...                         DEWEY...
CLEVELAND...                      FAIRFAX...
BARNSDALL...                      RAMONA...
WYNONA...                         OCHELATA...
DELAWARE...                       JENNINGS...
RALSTON...                        AVANT...
WESTPORT...                       OSAGE...
HALLETT...                        BLACKBURN...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA.

LAT...LON 3680 9562 3616 9625 3617 9682 3662 9681
      3684 9624
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 258DEG 21KT 3664 9610 3643 9645 3624 9664

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 4:54 PM CDT, 7 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
454 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016

OKZ059-032230-
PAWNEE OK-
454 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE COUNTY UNTIL
530 PM CDT...

AT 453 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MORRISON...
MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE
COUNTY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA.

LAT...LON 3651 9703 3651 9701 3649 9700 3646 9697
      3646 9695 3647 9691 3647 9688 3651 9684
      3651 9681 3625 9682 3625 9692 3633 9693
      3634 9703
TIME...MOT...LOC 2153Z 257DEG 18KT 3632 9700

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 5:01 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
501 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016

OKZ057-032230-
CRAIG OK-
501 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL CRAIG COUNTY UNTIL 530 PM
CDT...

AT 501 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES NORTH OF
WHITE OAK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
WELCH...                          BLUEJACKET...
PYRAMID CORNERS...                HOLLOW...
CENTRAILIA...                     CENTRALIA...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 291 AND 293.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA.

LAT...LON 3675 9500 3668 9500 3667 9543 3687 9543
      3697 9506
TIME...MOT...LOC 2201Z 245DEG 21KT 3679 9528

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 3, 3:17 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Craig, Ottawa, Rogers	43 min
Jul 3, 3:39 AM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Craig, Creek, Delaware, Haskell and 14 more	27 hr
Jul 3, 3:57 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Delaware, Mayes, Ottawa, Rogers	48 min
Jul 3, 3:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pawnee	29 min
Jul 3, 3:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Nowata	31 min
Jul 3, 4:11 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage, Pawnee	34 min
Jul 3, 4:29 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Craig	31 min
Jul 3, 4:44 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage, Pawnee, Washington	46 min
Jul 3, 4:47 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Nowata, Osage, Pawnee, Rogers, Washington	6 hr
Jul 3, 4:54 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pawnee	36 min
Jul 3, 5:08 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	37 min
Jul 3, 5:16 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Craig, Nowata	5 hr
Jul 3, 5:25 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Craig, Nowata, Washington	35 min
Jul 3, 5:29 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage, Pawnee	31 min
Jul 3, 5:44 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	31 min
Jul 3, 5:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Craig, Nowata	49 min
Jul 3, 6:00 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage	45 min
Jul 3, 6:13 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	47 min
Jul 3, 6:28 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Craig, Mayes, Rogers	5 hr
Jul 3, 6:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Okfuskee	16 min
Jul 3, 6:57 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	33 min
Jul 3, 8:52 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Benton, Carroll, Madison, Washington	113 min
Jul 3, 10:41 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Benton, Carroll, Madison, Washington	2 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Oklahoma, 2016 Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.