Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2016

Tornado Watch 191

May 22, 201616 counties in Nebraska; 11 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 22, 2016, 2:20 PM MDT for 16 counties in Nebraska; 11 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 22, 2016, 2:20 PM MDT (20:20 UTC)
Expired
May 22, 2016, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 27 counties

Arthur County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Brown County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Custer County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Garden County, NE, Grant County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keith County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Logan County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Sheridan County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Bennett County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Hughes County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Jones County, SD, Lyman County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Sully County, SD, Todd County, SD, Tripp County, SD

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 22, 2:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry32 min
May 22, 2:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMellette, Todd53 min
May 22, 3:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry60 min
May 22, 3:05 PM MDTTornado WarningLBFCherry40 min
May 22, 3:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMellette, Todd58 min
May 22, 3:44 PM MDTTornado WarningLBFCherry34 min
May 22, 3:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry62 min
May 22, 4:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRTodd58 min
May 22, 4:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRTodd65 min
May 22, 4:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry61 min
May 22, 5:30 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedUNRTodd, Tripp45 min
May 22, 5:37 PM MDTTornado WarningLBFCherry38 min
May 22, 5:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster, Lincoln, Logan39 min
May 22, 6:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry41 min
May 22, 6:13 PM MDTTornado WarningUNRTodd, Tripp16 min
May 22, 6:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRTodd, Tripp59 min
May 22, 6:36 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningLBFCherry6 hr
May 22, 6:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry53 min
May 22, 6:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster, Logan27 min
May 22, 7:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry43 min
May 22, 7:13 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningUNRTodd, Tripp3 hr
May 22, 7:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRTripp62 min
May 22, 7:36 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningLBFBrown, Keya Paha6 hr
May 22, 7:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry43 min
May 22, 8:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRLyman27 min
May 22, 8:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry, Grant, Hooker51 min
May 22, 8:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRTripp49 min
May 22, 8:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRBennett, Jackson, Mellette, Todd62 min
May 22, 8:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFArthur, Grant, Hooker, Keith, McPherson46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KRAP), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 176 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2016-05-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 482 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2016-05-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -16 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
482 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-34 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
653 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

258 
WWUS20 KWNS 222018
SEL1  
SPC WW 222018
NEZ000-SDZ000-230300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 191
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
220 PM MDT SUN MAY 22 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  WEST CENTRAL NEBRASKA
  CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL
  900 PM MDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING OVER THE
WATCH AREA...AND WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON.  WINDS ALOFT ARE
SUFFICIENT TO POSE SOME RISK OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO AS WELL.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
PIERRE SOUTH DAKOTA TO 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NORTH PLATTE
NEBRASKA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 190...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 22, 1:54 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Blaine, Brown, Chase, Cherry, Dundy and 13 more96 min
May 22, 4:45 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHitchcock2 hr
May 22, 5:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChase, Dawson, Dundy, Frontier, Furnas, Gosper and 4 more6 hr
May 22, 5:35 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Cherry, Deuel, Garden, Grant, Hooker and 8 more115 min
May 22, 2:57 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCampbell, Corson, Dewey, Edmunds, Faulk, McPherson and 4 more93 min
May 22, 4:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrown, Buffalo, Campbell, Corson, Dewey, Edmunds and 7 more8 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2016Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.