Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 192

May 22, 201631 counties in North Dakota; 13 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 22, 2016, 5:21 PM CDT for 31 counties in North Dakota; 13 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 22, 2016, 5:21 PM CDT (22:21 UTC)
Expired
May 23, 2016, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 44 counties

Barnes County, ND, Benson County, ND, Bottineau County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Cavalier County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Grant County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Renville County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Towner County, ND, Ward County, ND, Wells County, ND, Brown County, SD, Buffalo County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Corson County, SD, Dewey County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Hand County, SD, Hyde County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Potter County, SD, Spink County, SD, Walworth County, SD

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 22, 6:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCampbell, Corson, Walworth40 min
May 22, 6:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCampbell46 min
May 22, 7:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISFoster, Stutsman55 min
May 22, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRDewey, Potter, Walworth38 min
May 22, 8:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISStutsman57 min
May 22, 11:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISWells44 min
May 22, 11:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBenson, Eddy, Ramsey58 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 48 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2016-05-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2016-05-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 277 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
900 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
277 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
339 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 22, 3:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bottineau, Burleigh, Emmons, Grant, Hettinger and 14 more93 min
May 22, 2:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJones, Lyman, Mellette, Stanley, Todd, Tripp96 min
May 22, 3:20 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBennett, Haakon, Hughes, Jackson, Jones, Lyman and 5 more7 hr
May 22, 6:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Haakon, Hughes, Jackson, Jones, Lyman and 4 more115 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.