Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 14
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 15, 2016, 9:30 AM CST for 33 parishes in Louisiana; 45 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 15, 2016, 9:30 AM CST (15:30 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 15, 2016, 5:19 PM CST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 78 counties
Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Ascension Parish, LA, Assumption Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Winston County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
64 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 9:36 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Avoyelles, Evangeline, Rapides | 54 min |
| Feb 15, 10:01 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Concordia | 59 min |
| Feb 15, 10:10 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Hinds | 65 min |
| Feb 15, 10:28 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LCH | Avoyelles | 17 min |
| Feb 15, 10:31 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Pointe Coupee, West Feliciana | 44 min |
| Feb 15, 10:56 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Franklin, Jefferson | 64 min |
| Feb 15, 10:59 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Hinds | 32 min |
| Feb 15, 11:05 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | East Feliciana, Pointe Coupee, West Feliciana | 40 min |
| Feb 15, 11:05 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Greene, Perry, Wayne | 40 min |
| Feb 15, 11:08 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Madison | 33 min |
| Feb 15, 11:10 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln | 38 min |
| Feb 15, 11:16 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Madison | 59 min |
| Feb 15, 11:17 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Greene | 28 min |
| Feb 15, 11:31 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | East Feliciana, West Feliciana | 29 min |
| Feb 15, 11:33 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LCH | Saint Landry | 27 min |
| Feb 15, 11:38 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Leake, Madison, Rankin, Scott | 82 min |
| Feb 15, 11:44 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | East Feliciana, West Feliciana | 31 min |
| Feb 15, 11:46 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Greene, Wayne | 44 min |
| Feb 15, 11:50 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Rankin | 14 min |
| Feb 15, 11:58 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Copiah, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson | 62 min |
| Feb 15, 12:00 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Jackson | 14 min |
| Feb 15, 12:06 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Pointe Coupee, West Feliciana | 24 min |
| Feb 15, 12:07 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Leake | 30 min |
| Feb 15, 12:13 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | East Feliciana, Saint Helena, Tangipahoa | 32 min |
| Feb 15, 12:26 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Attala, Winston | 43 min |
| Feb 15, 12:27 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Pointe Coupee, West Feliciana | 33 min |
| Feb 15, 12:40 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Simpson, Smith | 65 min |
| Feb 15, 12:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Saint Helena, Tangipahoa, Washington | 48 min |
| Feb 15, 12:47 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | George, Greene | 28 min |
| Feb 15, 12:50 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Pike | 25 min |
| Feb 15, 1:00 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Neshoba | 39 min |
| Feb 15, 1:05 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lawrence, Lincoln | 58 min |
| Feb 15, 1:14 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Acadia, Lafayette, Saint Landry, Saint Martin | 31 min |
| Feb 15, 1:19 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Walthall | 26 min |
| Feb 15, 1:21 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Acadia, Lafayette, Saint Landry, Saint Martin | 24 min |
| Feb 15, 1:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Acadia, Jefferson Davis, Vermilion | 52 min |
| Feb 15, 1:25 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Marion | 38 min |
| Feb 15, 1:26 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Jasper, Smith | 52 min |
| Feb 15, 1:28 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Acadia, Allen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Jefferson Davis | 62 min |
| Feb 15, 1:35 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Acadia, Avoyelles, Evangeline, Saint Landry | 25 min |
| Feb 15, 1:36 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Clarke, Lauderdale | 19 min |
| Feb 15, 1:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Hancock, Harrison | 32 min |
| Feb 15, 1:46 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson | 44 min |
| Feb 15, 1:49 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Allen, Evangeline | 32 min |
| Feb 15, 2:08 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Simpson, Smith | 33 min |
| Feb 15, 2:10 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Jasper, Newton | 16 min |
| Feb 15, 2:15 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Calcasieu, Jefferson Davis, Vermilion | 45 min |
| Feb 15, 2:21 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Livingston | 24 min |
| Feb 15, 2:22 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Smith | 18 min |
| Feb 15, 2:25 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis | 16 min |
| Feb 15, 2:32 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jones | 41 min |
| Feb 15, 2:32 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jasper | 43 min |
| Feb 15, 2:37 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Newton | 35 min |
| Feb 15, 2:38 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | George, Greene, Perry, Wayne | 52 min |
| Feb 15, 2:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Ascension, East Baton Rouge, Iberville, Livingston, West Baton Rouge | 31 min |
| Feb 15, 2:47 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Harrison, Jackson | 28 min |
| Feb 15, 2:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Clarke, Lauderdale | 70 min |
| Feb 15, 2:51 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Acadia, Cameron, Jefferson Davis, Lafayette, Vermilion | 54 min |
| Feb 15, 3:02 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Kemper, Neshoba | 47 min |
| Feb 15, 3:19 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | George, Greene, Perry, Stone, Wayne | 41 min |
| Feb 15, 3:26 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Harrison | 34 min |
| Feb 15, 3:37 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Iberia, Saint Martin | 38 min |
| Feb 15, 3:52 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Iberia, Saint Martin, St. Mary | 23 min |
| Feb 15, 3:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | George, Greene | 31 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 3.5 hours before the alert went out and 84 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 55 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -58 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 733 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 33 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 238 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 329 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
The text
As transmitted.
734 WWUS20 KWNS 151528 SEL4 SPC WW 151528 LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-160000- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 14 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 930 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 930 AM UNTIL 600 PM CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN OVER PARTS OF LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON...A FEW OF WHICH COULD PRODUCE TORNADOES...DAMAGING WIND...AND HAIL. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES EAST OF MERIDIAN MISSISSIPPI TO 15 MILES SOUTH OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040. ...CORFIDI
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 5:27 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston and 11 more | 3 hr |
| Feb 15, 7:41 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Catahoula, Concordia and 8 more | 3 hr |
| Feb 15, 11:50 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Livingston, Saint Helena, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa and 1 more | 115 min |
| Feb 15, 1:51 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston and 11 more | 114 min |
| Feb 15, 4:24 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | George, Jackson | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2016Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.