Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 48, NWS Jackson, MS

February 15, 20164 counties in Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Feb 15, 2016, 11:38 AM CST for 4 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 82 min. 6 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Feb 15, 2016, 11:38 AM CST (17:38 UTC)
Expired: Feb 15, 2016, 1:00 PM CST
In force: 82 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Leake County, MS, Madison County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 29 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Feb 15, 12:15 PM CST	TORNADO 1	5 Se Thomastown, MS	NUMEROUS TREES DOWNED ALONG MS HWY 429. THREE CHICKEN HOUSES FLATTENED AND ONE DAMAGED. HEAVY TREE DAMAGE EVIDENT ALONG PATH. 1.9 MILE PATH LENGTH. 300 YARDS WIDE. 110 MAX WIND SPEED. EF-1.
Feb 15, 12:15 PM CST	TORNADO	4 Se Thomastown, MS	NUMEROUS TREES DOWNED ALONG MS HWY 429
Feb 15, 12:15 PM CST	TORNADO	4 Se Thomastown, MS	THE ROOF OF A SHOP BUILDING WAS DAMAGED
Feb 15, 12:18 PM CST	TORNADO	5 Ssw Singleton, MS	TREES DOWNED AND CHICKEN HOUSES DAMAGED AT COOPER RD AND WAGGONER RD NEAR THE CONWAY COMMUNITY
Feb 15, 12:18 PM CST	TORNADO	5 Ssw Singleton, MS	TREES DOWNED AND CHICKEN HOUSES DESTROYED AT COOPER RD AND WAGGONER RD NEAR THE CONWAY COMMUNITY. HOME HAD ROOF DAMAGE AND A SHED WAS DESTROYED HERE ALSO.
Feb 15, 12:50 PM CST	TSTM WND DMG	Walnut Grove, MS	TREES AND POWERLINES DOWNED IN WALNUT GROVE.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 72 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Feb 15, 9:30 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 5.6 hours before the alert went out and 31 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 55 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -58 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 733 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 238 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 329 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

290 
WUUS54 KJAN 151738
SVRJAN
MSC079-089-121-123-151900-
/O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0048.160215T1738Z-160215T1900Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1138 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  LEAKE COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  NORTHERN RANKIN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  NORTHERN SCOTT COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  SOUTHEASTERN MADISON COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 100 PM CST

* AT 1138 AM CST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM NEAR SHARON TO NEAR CANTON TO NEAR FLOWOOD...MOVING
  EAST AT 35 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  FARMHAVEN AND SHARON AROUND 1145 AM CST.
  LUDLOW AND PISGAH AROUND 1205 PM CST.
  CARTHAGE AROUND 1210 PM CST.
  BRANCH AND LEESBURG AROUND 1215 PM CST.
  FORKVILLE...TUSCOLA AND RENFROE AROUND 1225 PM CST.
  EDINBURG AROUND 1235 PM CST.
  HARPERVILLE...MADDEN...HILLSBORO AND MIDWAY AROUND 1240 PM CST.
  STEELE AROUND 1245 PM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE
REDWATER...STANDING PINE...WALNUT GROVE...LENA AND SEBASTOPOL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST FOR EAST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3249 8932 3231 9001 3230 9016 3234 9011
      3238 9010 3240 9007 3240 9014 3255 9008
      3268 8997 3293 8959 3293 8932
TIME...MOT...LOC 1738Z 255DEG 30KT 3268 8988 3255 8997 3235 9009 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

19

3 follow-up statements

907 
WWUS54 KJAN 151809
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1209 PM CST MON FEB 15 2016

MSC079-089-121-123-151900-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160215T1900Z/
LEAKE MS-RANKIN MS-SCOTT MS-MADISON MS-
1209 PM CST MON FEB 15 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CST
FOR LEAKE...NORTHEASTERN RANKIN...NORTHERN SCOTT AND EAST CENTRAL
MADISON COUNTIES...

AT 1209 PM CST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR THOMASTOWN TO 8 MILES WEST OF CARTHAGE TO NEAR
FORKVILLE TO NEAR FANNIN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

THESE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  THOMASTOWN AROUND 1215 PM CST.
  SINGLETON AROUND 1220 PM CST.
  CARTHAGE AROUND 1225 PM CST.
  MIDWAY AROUND 1230 PM CST.
  TUSCOLA AROUND 1235 PM CST.
  RENFROE AROUND 1240 PM CST.
  EDINBURG AROUND 1250 PM CST.
  HARPERVILLE AND HILLSBORO AROUND 1255 PM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE
REDWATER...STANDING PINE...WALNUT GROVE...LENA AND SEBASTOPOL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST FOR EAST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3249 8932 3234 8991 3272 8990 3293 8959
      3293 8932
TIME...MOT...LOC 1809Z 244DEG 27KT 3287 8961 3272 8968 3249 8972 3237
8988

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

19

369 
WWUS54 KJAN 151831
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1231 PM CST MON FEB 15 2016

MSC089-121-151841-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160215T1900Z/
RANKIN MS-MADISON MS-
1231 PM CST MON FEB 15 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN RANKIN AND EAST
CENTRAL MADISON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST FOR EAST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3238 8974 3249 8976 3260 8968 3293 8959
      3293 8932 3249 8932
TIME...MOT...LOC 1831Z 255DEG 30KT 3292 8940 3277 8947 3254 8951 3242
8967

$$

MSC079-123-151900-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160215T1900Z/
LEAKE MS-SCOTT MS-
1231 PM CST MON FEB 15 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CST
FOR LEAKE AND NORTHERN SCOTT COUNTIES...

AT 1231 PM CST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR ZAMA TO NEAR CARTHAGE TO NEAR HARPERVILLE TO NEAR
BRANCH...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

THESE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  RENFROE AROUND 1235 PM CST.
  EDINBURG AROUND 1245 PM CST.
  MADDEN AROUND 1250 PM CST.
  STEELE AROUND 100 PM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE
STANDING PINE...REDWATER...WALNUT GROVE...LENA AND SEBASTOPOL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST FOR EAST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3238 8974 3249 8976 3260 8968 3293 8959
      3293 8932 3249 8932
TIME...MOT...LOC 1831Z 255DEG 30KT 3292 8940 3277 8947 3254 8951 3242
8967

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

19

142 
WWUS54 KJAN 151849
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1249 PM CST MON FEB 15 2016

MSC079-123-151900-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160215T1900Z/
LEAKE MS-SCOTT MS-
1249 PM CST MON FEB 15 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CST
FOR EASTERN LEAKE AND NORTHEASTERN SCOTT COUNTIES...

AT 1249 PM CST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR EDINBURG TO NEAR MADDEN TO NEAR TUSCOLA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

THESE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  EDINBURG AROUND 1255 PM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE
STANDING PINE...WALNUT GROVE...LENA AND SEBASTOPOL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST FOR EAST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3245 8968 3254 8968 3260 8961 3265 8950
      3293 8940 3293 8932 3249 8932
TIME...MOT...LOC 1849Z 229DEG 59KT 3286 8931 3271 8936 3258 8950 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

19

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Feb 15, 11:09 AM CST, 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 15, 11:09 AM CST, 29 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1109 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016

.DISCUSSION...TORNADO WATCH 14 HAS BEEN POSTED FOR AREAS GENERALLY
ALONG AND SE OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE. CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY ONGOING
ALONG A CONVERGENCE AXIS FROM AROUND NATCHEZ NEWD BETWEEN VKS AND
JAN TO NEAR WINONA. MOST OF THIS IS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT SINKING
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE DELTA THIS MORNING. RIGHT NOW SURFACE BASED
INSTABILITY RESIDES PRIMARILY SOUTH OF I-20, THOUGH FAIRLY STEEP MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES (ON THE ORDER OF UP TO 7 C/KM) EXIST OVER MUCH OF
THE AREA. THOUGH THE ENTIRE WATCH IN OUR AREA IS A TORNADO WATCH,
THE GREATER THREAT FOR ANY TORNADO WILL REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE AREA, WHERE STORMS HAVE A GREATER CHANCE OF BECOMING
SURFACE BASED. FARTHER NORTH, HAIL WILL BE A GREATER THREAT DUE TO
COOLING TEMPS ALOFT/STEEPER LAPSE RATES, THOUGH SOME STRONGER WIND
GUSTS COULD ALSO MIX TO THE SURFACE AND PRODUCE WIND DAMAGE. A
TORNADO CANNOT BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT IN THAT AREA EITHER, BUT RIGHT
NOW WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER AND CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH IS PREVENTING
GREATER DESTABILIZATION NORTH OF I-20. DEWPOINTS AROUND COLUMBUS
REMAIN IN THE 40S AT THIS POINT.

AS THE FRONT CONTINUES TO SHIFT SE ACROSS THE AREA, IT STILL APPEARS
ACTIVITY WILL COME TO AN END BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON. WE WILL LIKELY
BE ABLE TO CLEAR MUCH IF NOT ALL OF THE TORNADO WATCH EARLY.
FORECAST UPDATES HAVE BEEN SENT, WITH ADDITIONAL INCREMENTAL UPDATES
TO COME THROUGH THE DAY. /DL/

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR/IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF
THE REGION AS A LARGE AREA OF SHRA/TSRA PUSHES THROUGH AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL,
WIND GUSTS OVER 50 KT, AND TORNADOES MAINLY OVER THE SE HALF OF THE
AREA. AS THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH DURING THE AFTERNOON, WINDS WILL
SHIFT FROM SOUTHERLY TO NW/NLY. PRECIP WILL MOSTLY END RIGHT BEHIND
THE FRONT, BUT MVFR/IFR STRATUS MAY PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE
NIGHT. SOME FOG IS ALSO POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT/EARLY TUES MORNING.
IMPROVING CIGS/VISBYS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAYTIME TUES. /DL/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 415 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016/
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING OUT AHEAD OF A
STRONG SHORT WAVE AND A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM TENNESSEE
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST TEXAS. A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW IS LOCATED
OVER NORTHEAST TEXAS AND THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN AND MOVE
INTO WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE SURFACE
LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST INTO NORTHERN ALABAMA AND THIS
WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON. IT
CONTINUES TO LOOK LIKE THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS OUT
AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY. MODELS SUGGEST 1000-1500 MU CAPE MAINLY ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON WITH 500-1000 POSSIBLE
FURTHER NORTH...EAST OF I-55. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO KEEP THE BEST
MOISTURE OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA WITH 60 DEGREE
DEWPOINTS ONLY MAKING IT UP TO THE HWY 84 CORRIDOR. THE MAIN RISK
CONTINUES TO LOOK LIKE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH ANY BOWING
SEGMENTS...BUT WITH DECENT LAPSE RATES OF NEAR 6.5 C/KM...QUARTER TO
HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. IT LOOKS LIKE THERE
COULD BE A BRIEF WINDOW THIS AFTERNOON WHEN A TORNADO CANNOT BE
RULED OUT...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR WHERE THE BEST
SHEAR/INSTABILITY COMBINES BEFORE THE BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH.

THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE JUST EAST OF THE AREA BY EARLY EVENING WITH
THE SHOWERS COMING TO AN END FROM WEST TO EAST. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY BUILD IN OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS FALLING INTO THE
UPP34 30S TO LOW 40S. TUESDAY LOOKS LIKE A NICE DAY WITH MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES AND HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE MID 60S IN THE
NORTH TO AROUND 70S IN THE SOUTH. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH
ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY EVENING WITH THE MODELS SUGGESTING THAT THE
AIRMASS WILL NOT BE OVERLY COLD...WITH LOWS ONCE AGAIN ONLY FALLING
BACK INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOW 40S ON WEDNESDAY MORNING./15/

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND...THE MAIN STORY FOR THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL BE WARM TEMPERATURES WITH
RAIN CHANCES NOT REALLY IN THE PICTURE UNTIL LATE IN THE WEEKEND.

THE LAST GASP OF COOL SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE FOR A WHILE WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES ONLY A LITTLE ABOVE AVERAGE ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. HOWEVER...BY THURSDAY...THIS HIGH WILL BE TRANSLATING OFF TO
THE EAST AND A QUICK WARMING TREND (THAT SHOULD CULMINATE FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY) WILL HAVE BEGUN. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE BULK OF THE LONG
TERM PERIOD (ESPECIALLY AFTER WEDNESDAY) WILL BE ABOUT 10 TO 20
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE UNTIL A STOUT COLD FRONT PROGRESSING THROUGH
THE REGION BETWEEN SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY CHILLS CONDITIONS BACK
DOWN. OF COURSE RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE AROUND THIS FROPA...BUT
REALLY SHOULD REMAIN RATHER INSIGNIFICANT UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT AT
THE EARLIEST. OF COURSE IN THE WARM ANTICIPATED REGIME THERE WILL BE
PLENTY OF SOUTHERLY FLOW AND ASSOCIATED LATE NIGHT AND MORNING LOW
CLOUDS...ESPECIALLY FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
NOT CONFIDENT AT THIS POINT TO SAY WHETHER ANY RECORD HIGHS WILL BE
IN JEOPARDY OVER THIS STRETCH BECAUSE IT APPEARS MORE LIKELY MOST
MAXIMUM TEMPS WILL REMAIN SHY OF 80 DEGREES. /BB/

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

DL/15/BB

Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 15, 9:53 AM CST, 1 hour 45 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
953 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-023-MSZ018-019-025>030-034-035-040-041-
161600-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
FRANKLIN LA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-
WEBSTER-CLAY-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-
953 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THE REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY.

LAZ016-024-025-MSZ031>033-036>039-042>047-161600-
MADISON LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-HOLMES-
ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-
953 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THE REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...REMAINDER OF TODAY

SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND HALF DOLLAR
SIZED HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION THE REST
OF TODAY.

LAZ026-MSZ048>066-072>074-161600-
CONCORDIA-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
953 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND
SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THE REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...REMAINDER OF TODAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...REMAINDER OF TODAY

SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND HALF DOLLAR
SIZED HAIL ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. TORNADOES ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION THE REST
OF TODAY.

DL

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
SIGNIFICANT...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 15, 10:16 AM CST, 1 hour 22 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1016 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016

MSZ056-057-151700-
JASPER MS-SMITH MS-
1016 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL JASPER AND EAST CENTRAL
SMITH COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 AM CST...

AT 1016 AM CST...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR BAY SPRINGS...OR 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF STRINGER...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BAY SPRINGS AROUND 1025 AM CST.
  TURNERVILLE AROUND 1035 AM CST.
  PAULDING AROUND 1050 AM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE SYLVARENA...LOUIN AND
MONTROSE.

LAT...LON 3188 8937 3205 8951 3222 8911 3222 8906
      3202 8893
TIME...MOT...LOC 1616Z 243DEG 31KT 3200 8940

JC

Local storm report, Feb 15, 10:24 AM CST, 1 hour 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1024 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0955 AM     HAIL             BAY SPRINGS             31.98N 89.28W
02/15/2016  E1.00 INCH       JASPER             MS   PUBLIC

            PICTURE RECEIVED VIA TWITTER

&&

DL

Special weather statement, Feb 15, 10:29 AM CST, 1 hour 9 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1029 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016

MSZ052-151715-
LAUDERDALE MS-
1029 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL LAUDERDALE COUNTY UNTIL
1115 AM CST...

AT 1029 AM CST...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER MERIDIAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MARION AROUND 1040 AM CST.
  TOOMSUBA AROUND 1050 AM CST.
  LAUDERDALE AND KEWANEE AROUND 1055 AM CST.

LAT...LON 3235 8842 3228 8876 3229 8877 3244 8886
      3258 8849 3258 8839
TIME...MOT...LOC 1629Z 243DEG 31KT 3240 8874

JC

Local storm report, Feb 15, 10:32 AM CST, 1 hour 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1032 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0933 AM     HAIL             MAGEE                   31.87N 89.73W
02/15/2016  E1.00 INCH       SIMPSON            MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL

1025 AM     HAIL             NATCHEZ                 31.55N 91.39W
02/15/2016  E0.25 INCH       ADAMS              MS   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

DL

Local storm report, Feb 15, 10:55 AM CST, 43 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1055 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1005 AM     HAIL             6 SSE RALEIGH           31.95N 89.48W
02/15/2016  E1.00 INCH       SMITH              MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            OCCURRED NEAR CENTER RIDGE

&&

DL

Special weather statement, Feb 15, 10:56 AM CST, 42 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1056 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016

MSZ051-052-057-058-151745-
JASPER MS-NEWTON MS-CLARKE MS-LAUDERDALE MS-
1056 AM CST MON FEB 15 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN LAUDERDALE...
SOUTHEASTERN NEWTON...NORTHEASTERN JASPER AND NORTHWESTERN CLARKE
COUNTIES UNTIL 1145 AM CST...

AT 1056 AM CST...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A CLUSTER OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS NEAR GARLANDVILLE...OR 11 MILES SOUTH OF
NEWTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  GARLANDVILLE AROUND 1100 AM CST.
  ROSE HILL AROUND 1110 AM CST.
  MEEHAN AROUND 1135 AM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE CHUNKY AND HICKORY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST FOR EAST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3204 8912 3220 8926 3241 8891 3218 8875
TIME...MOT...LOC 1656Z 237DEG 25KT 3215 8913

JC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 15, 3:18 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Franklin	27 min
Feb 15, 4:30 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Lincoln	30 min
Feb 15, 5:04 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Lawrence	41 min
Feb 15, 5:37 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Lincoln	38 min
Feb 15, 5:50 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Simpson	40 min
Feb 15, 6:05 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Copiah	40 min
Feb 15, 8:11 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Issaquena	49 min
Feb 15, 9:09 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Jasper, Smith	66 min
Feb 15, 9:21 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Humphreys	39 min
Feb 15, 9:25 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Claiborne	50 min
Feb 15, 9:28 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Warren	62 min
Feb 15, 9:57 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Holmes	33 min
Feb 15, 10:01 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Adams	59 min
Feb 15, 10:05 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Grenada	40 min
Feb 15, 10:10 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Hinds	65 min
Feb 15, 10:16 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Jasper	44 min
Feb 15, 10:29 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Lauderdale	46 min
Feb 15, 10:56 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Newton	49 min
Feb 15, 10:56 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Franklin, Jefferson	64 min
Feb 15, 10:59 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Hinds	32 min
Feb 15, 11:08 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Madison	33 min
Feb 15, 11:10 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln	38 min
Feb 15, 11:16 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Madison	59 min
Feb 15, 11:50 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Rankin	14 min
Feb 15, 11:58 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Copiah, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson	62 min
Feb 15, 12:02 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Kemper	28 min
Feb 15, 12:07 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Leake	30 min
Feb 15, 12:26 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Attala, Winston	43 min
Feb 15, 12:40 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Simpson, Smith	65 min
Feb 15, 1:00 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Neshoba	39 min
Feb 15, 1:05 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lawrence, Lincoln	58 min
Feb 15, 1:25 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Marion	38 min
Feb 15, 1:26 PM CST	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	JAN	Jasper, Smith	52 min
Feb 15, 1:36 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Clarke, Lauderdale	19 min
Feb 15, 1:46 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Covington, Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson	44 min
Feb 15, 2:08 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Simpson, Smith	33 min
Feb 15, 2:10 PM CST	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	JAN	Jasper, Newton	16 min
Feb 15, 2:22 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Smith	18 min
Feb 15, 2:25 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Covington, Jefferson Davis	16 min
Feb 15, 2:32 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Jones	41 min
Feb 15, 2:32 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Jasper	43 min
Feb 15, 2:37 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Newton	35 min
Feb 15, 2:50 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Clarke, Lauderdale	70 min
Feb 15, 3:02 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Kemper, Neshoba	47 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.