Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 87

April 12, 201632 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 12, 2016, 7:45 PM CDT for 32 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 12, 2016, 7:45 PM CDT (00:45 UTC)
Expired
Apr 13, 2016, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 32 counties

Atascosa County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bee County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Comal County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Goliad County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kinney County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Live Oak County, TX, Maverick County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Medina County, TX, Real County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Victoria County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 12, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Real63 min
Apr 12, 8:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMaverick64 min
Apr 12, 8:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Kendall, Kerr, Medina59 min
Apr 12, 8:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMedina, Uvalde66 min
Apr 12, 9:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBexar, Comal, Medina58 min
Apr 12, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMedina61 min
Apr 12, 9:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDimmit, Zavala60 min
Apr 12, 9:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBexar, Guadalupe, Wilson56 min
Apr 12, 10:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPLa Salle66 min
Apr 12, 10:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMaverick48 min
Apr 12, 10:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXAtascosa, Bexar, Medina64 min
Apr 12, 10:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDeWitt, Gonzales, Guadalupe, Wilson52 min
Apr 12, 10:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Fayette, Gonzales, Lavaca, Lee and 1 more63 min
Apr 12, 11:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPLa Salle, McMullen34 min
Apr 12, 11:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDimmit53 min
Apr 12, 11:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDeWitt, Gonzales, Lavaca49 min
Apr 12, 11:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBastrop, Fayette, Gonzales, Lavaca, Lee45 min
Apr 13, 12:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPLa Salle, Webb24 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDLF), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 164 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-04-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 844 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-04-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 64 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
844 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-6 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
903 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
255 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.9
Supercell composite
5.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

547 
WWUS20 KWNS 130042
SEL7  
SPC WW 130042
TXZ000-130600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 87
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
745 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS

* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 745 PM
  UNTIL 100 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN
EDWARDS PLATEAU AND MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...WITH STORMS SPREADING
EASTWARD OVERNIGHT THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.  THE STORM
ENVIRONMENT WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF OCCASIONAL LARGE HAIL THE NEXT FEW
HOURS WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS...AND EVENTUALLY TRANSITION TO MORE
OF AN ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND RISK AS STORMS GROW INTO CLUSTERS AND
LINE SEGMENTS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 90 MILES WEST OF
HONDO TEXAS TO 70 MILES NORTHEAST OF BEEVILLE TEXAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27030.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 12, 7:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal and 17 more3 hr
Apr 12, 9:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bee, Bexar, Blanco, Caldwell and 25 more92 min
Apr 12, 11:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Brazoria, Colorado, DeWitt, Fayette, Fort Bend and 7 more114 min
Apr 12, 11:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAustin, Brazoria, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend, Galveston and 5 more6 hr
Apr 13, 2:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Jackson and 3 more119 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.