Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 39
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 8, 2016, 7:03 PM CST for 52 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 8, 2016, 7:03 PM CST (01:03 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 9, 2016, 4:00 AM CST
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 52 counties
Aransas County, TX, Atascosa County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bee County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Brooks County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Calhoun County, TX, Cameron County, TX, Comal County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Duval County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Goliad County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Hidalgo County, TX, Jim Hogg County, TX, Jim Wells County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kenedy County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kleberg County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Live Oak County, TX, Llano County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Medina County, TX, Nueces County, TX, Real County, TX, Refugio County, TX, San Patricio County, TX, Starr County, TX, Travis County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Victoria County, TX, Webb County, TX, Willacy County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zapata County, TX, Zavala County, TX
The radar
The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 7:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 50 min |
| Mar 8, 7:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Edwards, Kerr, Real | 59 min |
| Mar 8, 7:31 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BRO | Zapata | 20 min |
| Mar 8, 7:41 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Frio, Zavala | 64 min |
| Mar 8, 7:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 79 min |
| Mar 8, 8:01 PM CST | Tornado Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 44 min |
| Mar 8, 8:12 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Edwards, Kerr, Real | 48 min |
| Mar 8, 8:48 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Gillespie | 72 min |
| Mar 8, 8:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Medina, Uvalde | 70 min |
| Mar 8, 8:53 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Webb | 37 min |
| Mar 8, 9:07 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Frio | 53 min |
| Mar 8, 9:19 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Dimmit, Zavala | 56 min |
| Mar 8, 9:31 PM CST | Tornado Warning | EWX | Dimmit | 17 min |
| Mar 8, 9:35 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Burnet, Llano | 32 min |
| Mar 8, 10:37 PM CST | Tornado Warning | EWX | Frio, Medina | 33 min |
| Mar 8, 11:51 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Atascosa, Bexar, Medina | 54 min |
| Mar 8, 11:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Kendall | 41 min |
| Mar 9, 12:20 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Blanco, Gillespie | 28 min |
| Mar 9, 12:36 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Atascosa, Bexar | 39 min |
| Mar 9, 1:14 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BRO | Jim Hogg, Starr | 31 min |
| Mar 9, 1:43 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Hays, Travis, Williamson | 4 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 00:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 164 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2133 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -139 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 929 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -50 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -30 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 2.1
The text
As transmitted.
251
WWUS20 KWNS 090059
SEL9
SPC WW 090059
TXZ000-CWZ000-090800-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 39
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
700 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL AND DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS
* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 700 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CST.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
WHILE SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY INTO SOUTH
TEXAS OVERNIGHT. THE STORM ENVIRONMENT WILL PRIMARILY FAVOR LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WITH BOTH SUPERCELLS AND MERGING CLUSTERS OF
STORMS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO MAY OCCUR...MAINLY LATER TONIGHT CLOSER
TO THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF
NEW BRAUNFELS TEXAS TO 15 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF MCALLEN TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24025.
...THOMPSONSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 6:25 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bandera, Brooks, Dimmit, Duval, Edwards, Frio and 13 more | 3 hr |
| Mar 8, 7:07 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche and 37 more | 113 min |
| Mar 8, 9:26 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aransas, Atascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bee, Bell and 44 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 8, 11:54 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aransas, Atascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bee, Bell and 63 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 9, 3:59 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Angelina, Austin, Brazos, Burleson, Cherokee and 23 more | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 7:29 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Angelina, Aransas, Austin, Bee, Brazoria, Brooks and 47 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 9, 7:58 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Aransas, Bee, Brazoria, Calhoun, Fort Bend, Goliad and 8 more | 4 hr |
| Mar 9, 10:07 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chambers, Hardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Liberty, Newton and 2 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 9, 10:29 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aransas, Brazoria, Calhoun, Fort Bend, Harris, Jackson and 6 more | 91 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.