Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 39

March 8, 201652 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 8, 2016, 7:03 PM CST for 52 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 8, 2016, 7:03 PM CST (01:03 UTC)
Expired
Mar 9, 2016, 4:00 AM CST
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 52 counties

Aransas County, TX, Atascosa County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bee County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Brooks County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Calhoun County, TX, Cameron County, TX, Comal County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Duval County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Goliad County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Hidalgo County, TX, Jim Hogg County, TX, Jim Wells County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kenedy County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kleberg County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Live Oak County, TX, Llano County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Medina County, TX, Nueces County, TX, Real County, TX, Refugio County, TX, San Patricio County, TX, Starr County, TX, Travis County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Victoria County, TX, Webb County, TX, Willacy County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zapata County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 8, 7:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXUvalde50 min
Mar 8, 7:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Kerr, Real59 min
Mar 8, 7:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROZapata20 min
Mar 8, 7:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXFrio, Zavala64 min
Mar 8, 7:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXUvalde79 min
Mar 8, 8:01 PM CSTTornado WarningEWXUvalde44 min
Mar 8, 8:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Edwards, Kerr, Real48 min
Mar 8, 8:48 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXGillespie72 min
Mar 8, 8:50 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Medina, Uvalde70 min
Mar 8, 8:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPWebb37 min
Mar 8, 9:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXFrio53 min
Mar 8, 9:19 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDimmit, Zavala56 min
Mar 8, 9:31 PM CSTTornado WarningEWXDimmit17 min
Mar 8, 9:35 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBurnet, Llano32 min
Mar 8, 10:37 PM CSTTornado WarningEWXFrio, Medina33 min
Mar 8, 11:51 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXAtascosa, Bexar, Medina54 min
Mar 8, 11:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKendall41 min
Mar 9, 12:20 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBlanco, Gillespie28 min
Mar 9, 12:36 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXAtascosa, Bexar39 min
Mar 9, 1:14 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROJim Hogg, Starr31 min
Mar 9, 1:43 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningEWXHays, Travis, Williamson4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 00:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 164 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-03-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2133 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-03-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -50 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2133 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-139 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
929 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-50 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-30 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

251 
WWUS20 KWNS 090059
SEL9  
SPC WW 090059
TXZ000-CWZ000-090800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 39
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
700 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTH CENTRAL AND DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
  COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 700 PM
  UNTIL 200 AM CST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
WHILE SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY INTO SOUTH
TEXAS OVERNIGHT.  THE STORM ENVIRONMENT WILL PRIMARILY FAVOR LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WITH BOTH SUPERCELLS AND MERGING CLUSTERS OF
STORMS.  AN ISOLATED TORNADO MAY OCCUR...MAINLY LATER TONIGHT CLOSER
TO THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF
NEW BRAUNFELS TEXAS TO 15 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF MCALLEN TEXAS. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24025.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 8, 6:25 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Brooks, Dimmit, Duval, Edwards, Frio and 13 more3 hr
Mar 8, 7:07 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche and 37 more113 min
Mar 8, 9:26 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Atascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bee, Bell and 44 more2 hr
Mar 8, 11:54 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Atascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bee, Bell and 63 more2 hr
Mar 9, 3:59 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Austin, Brazos, Burleson, Cherokee and 23 more3 hr
Mar 9, 7:29 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Aransas, Austin, Bee, Brazoria, Brooks and 47 more2 hr
Mar 9, 7:58 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAransas, Bee, Brazoria, Calhoun, Fort Bend, Goliad and 8 more4 hr
Mar 9, 10:07 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChambers, Hardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Liberty, Newton and 2 more2 hr
Mar 9, 10:29 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Brazoria, Calhoun, Fort Bend, Harris, Jackson and 6 more91 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.