Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 335

July 6, 20165 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 6, 2016, 10:48 AM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 6, 2016, 10:48 AM CDT (15:48 UTC)
Expired
Jul 6, 2016, 3:20 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 72 counties

Baxter County, AR, Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Greene County, AR, Izard County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Ballard County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dent County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Madison County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Perry County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scott County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, Obion County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 143 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 6, 10:49 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarter, Wayne41 min
Jul 6, 10:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell, Oregon52 min
Jul 6, 11:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHButler, Carter, Ripley, Wayne39 min
Jul 6, 11:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXIron, Madison, Reynolds, Saint Francois, Washington65 min
Jul 6, 11:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarter, Wayne31 min
Jul 6, 11:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBollinger, Butler, Stoddard, Wayne53 min
Jul 6, 11:46 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGLawrence, Randolph3 hr
Jul 6, 11:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Randolph31 min
Jul 6, 11:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHButler, Carter, Ripley, Wayne33 min
Jul 6, 12:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSainte Genevieve, Saint Francois60 min
Jul 6, 12:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJackson42 min
Jul 6, 12:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDunklin25 min
Jul 6, 12:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHLyon, Marshall37 min
Jul 6, 12:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander, Jackson, Pulaski, Union33 min
Jul 6, 1:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGPemiscot45 min
Jul 6, 1:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander, Johnson, Massac, Pulaski, Union42 min
Jul 6, 1:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJohnson, Massac, Pope47 min
Jul 6, 1:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGHenry, Weakley37 min
Jul 6, 1:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCaldwell, Calloway, Crittenden, Graves, Livingston, Lyon and 2 more35 min
Jul 6, 2:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Henry42 min
Jul 6, 2:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Henry48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 255 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2016-07-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2145 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2016-07-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -46 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2145 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-156 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
771 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
2 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 6, 10:32 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Fulton, Greene, Randolph58 min
Jul 6, 12:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Greene, Independence, Jackson, Lawrence and 3 more67 min
Jul 5, 8:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson67 min
Jul 5, 9:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoone, Carroll, DeKalb, Jo Daviess, Lee, Ogle and 4 more7 hr
Jul 5, 10:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Carroll, Jo Daviess, Ogle, Stephenson, Winnebago89 min
Jul 6, 1:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DeWitt and 35 more2 hr
Jul 6, 1:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBureau, Cass, Champaign, Cook, DeWitt, DuPage and 33 more6 hr
Jul 6, 5:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Cass, Champaign, Christian, Clark and 41 more116 min
Jul 6, 1:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Bourbon, Boyd, Bracken, Carter, Clark and 19 more84 min
Jul 6, 1:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Boyle, Breckinridge and 43 more6 hr
Jul 6, 4:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Clay, Clinton, Cumberland, Knox, Laurel and 7 more57 min
Jul 6, 1:50 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Jasper85 min
Jul 6, 2:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarton, Bates, Cedar, Christian, Dade, Greene and 7 more7 hr
Jul 6, 5:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Christian, Dade, Greene, Jasper, Lawrence and 2 more2 hr
Jul 6, 6:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Cocke, Greene, Johnson, Sullivan, Unicoi and 1 more54 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.