Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 331

July 5, 201610 counties in Illinois; 22 counties in Iowa; 37 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 5, 2016, 9:50 PM CDT for 10 counties in Illinois; 22 counties in Iowa; 37 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 5, 2016, 9:50 PM CDT (02:50 UTC)
Expired
Jul 6, 2016, 5:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 69 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Butler County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Linn County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Washington County, IA, Boone County, IL, Carroll County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Lee County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Adams County, WI, Clark County, WI, Columbia County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Dane County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Fond du Lac County, WI, Grant County, WI, Green County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Jefferson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, Kenosha County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Marathon County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Milwaukee County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Outagamie County, WI, Ozaukee County, WI, Portage County, WI, Racine County, WI, Richland County, WI, Rock County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Sheboygan County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Walworth County, WI, Washington County, WI, Waukesha County, WI, Waupaca County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Winnebago County, WI, Wood County, WI

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
90%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

26 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 5, 10:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXJackson, Monroe30 min
Jul 5, 10:31 PM CDTTornado WarningARXVernon29 min
Jul 5, 10:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXCrawford41 min
Jul 5, 10:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXJuneau, Monroe, Richland, Vernon45 min
Jul 5, 10:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXColumbia, Iowa, Sauk71 min
Jul 5, 10:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXAdams, Juneau62 min
Jul 5, 11:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXIowa, Lafayette25 min
Jul 5, 11:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXColumbia, Green Lake, Marquette, Sauk59 min
Jul 5, 11:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXDane54 min
Jul 5, 11:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXDane, Green, Iowa, Jefferson, Lafayette, Rock66 min
Jul 6, 12:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXDodge, Fond du Lac62 min
Jul 6, 12:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXDane, Jefferson39 min
Jul 6, 12:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXRock44 min
Jul 6, 12:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCarroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson40 min
Jul 6, 1:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXRacine, Rock, Walworth, Waukesha47 min
Jul 6, 1:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTBoone, Lake, McHenry, Winnebago55 min
Jul 6, 1:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCarroll, Whiteside64 min
Jul 6, 1:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJackson, Jones34 min
Jul 6, 1:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXKenosha, Racine52 min
Jul 6, 1:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTBoone, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Kane, Lake and 1 more70 min
Jul 6, 2:08 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningDVNJones, Linn4 hr
Jul 6, 2:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Clinton, Jackson, Johnson, Jones, Linn and 2 more48 min
Jul 6, 2:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJo Daviess44 min
Jul 6, 3:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCarroll, Jo Daviess, Rock Island, Stephenson, Whiteside54 min
Jul 6, 3:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNMercer, Rock Island51 min
Jul 6, 3:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBureau, Henry, Mercer, Putnam, Rock Island59 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 195 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2016-07-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 505 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2016-07-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -9 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
505 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-125 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1508 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-9 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
8 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

538 
WWUS20 KWNS 060248
SEL1  
SPC WW 060248
IAZ000-ILZ000-WIZ000-061000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 331
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
950 PM CDT TUE JUL 5 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  EASTERN IOWA
  NORTHERN ILLINOIS
  CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN WISCONSIN

* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 950 PM
  UNTIL 500 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
    TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
  A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...A FAST-MOVING CONVECTIVE LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN WISCONSIN AND FAR
NORTHEAST IOWA...WHILE EVENTUALLY REACHING NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND
ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF EASTERN IOWA DURING THE OVERNIGHT. WIDESPREAD
DAMAGING WINDS ARE A SIGNIFICANT CONCERN...WHILE A LINE-EMBEDDED
TORNADO OR TWO MAY ALSO OCCUR.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF MADISON WISCONSIN TO 75 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
CEDAR RAPIDS IOWA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 324...WW 326...WW
328...WW 329...WW 330...

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 31045.


...GUYER

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 5, 8:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson67 min
Jul 5, 10:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Carroll, Jo Daviess, Ogle, Stephenson, Winnebago89 min
Jul 6, 1:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DeWitt and 35 more2 hr
Jul 6, 1:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBureau, Cass, Champaign, Cook, DeWitt, DuPage and 33 more6 hr
Jul 6, 5:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Cass, Champaign, Christian, Clark and 41 more116 min
Jul 6, 10:32 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Pulaski, Union58 min
Jul 6, 10:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Gallatin, Hardin, Jackson, Johnson, Massac and 5 more5 hr
Jul 6, 12:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Franklin, Gallatin, Hardin, Jackson, Johnson and 6 more67 min
Jul 5, 7:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Dickinson, Emmet, O'Brien, Osceola, Winnebago97 min
Jul 5, 8:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHarrison, Monona, Pottawattamie, Shelby5 hr
Jul 5, 10:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 13 more90 min
Jul 5, 10:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Audubon, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Cass and 22 more5 hr
Jul 5, 8:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFlorence3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.