Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 331
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 5, 2016, 9:50 PM CDT for 10 counties in Illinois; 22 counties in Iowa; 37 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 5, 2016, 9:50 PM CDT (02:50 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 6, 2016, 5:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 69 counties
Allamakee County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Butler County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Linn County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Washington County, IA, Boone County, IL, Carroll County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Lee County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Adams County, WI, Clark County, WI, Columbia County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Dane County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Fond du Lac County, WI, Grant County, WI, Green County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Jefferson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, Kenosha County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Marathon County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Milwaukee County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Outagamie County, WI, Ozaukee County, WI, Portage County, WI, Racine County, WI, Richland County, WI, Rock County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Sheboygan County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Walworth County, WI, Washington County, WI, Waukesha County, WI, Waupaca County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Winnebago County, WI, Wood County, WI
The radar
The La Crosse radar (KARX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 90%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 50%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
26 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 10:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Jackson, Monroe | 30 min |
| Jul 5, 10:31 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ARX | Vernon | 29 min |
| Jul 5, 10:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Crawford | 41 min |
| Jul 5, 10:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Juneau, Monroe, Richland, Vernon | 45 min |
| Jul 5, 10:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Columbia, Iowa, Sauk | 71 min |
| Jul 5, 10:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Adams, Juneau | 62 min |
| Jul 5, 11:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Iowa, Lafayette | 25 min |
| Jul 5, 11:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Columbia, Green Lake, Marquette, Sauk | 59 min |
| Jul 5, 11:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Dane | 54 min |
| Jul 5, 11:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Dane, Green, Iowa, Jefferson, Lafayette, Rock | 66 min |
| Jul 6, 12:13 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Dodge, Fond du Lac | 62 min |
| Jul 6, 12:36 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Dane, Jefferson | 39 min |
| Jul 6, 12:46 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Rock | 44 min |
| Jul 6, 12:50 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Carroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson | 40 min |
| Jul 6, 1:13 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Racine, Rock, Walworth, Waukesha | 47 min |
| Jul 6, 1:20 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Boone, Lake, McHenry, Winnebago | 55 min |
| Jul 6, 1:26 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Carroll, Whiteside | 64 min |
| Jul 6, 1:29 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Jackson, Jones | 34 min |
| Jul 6, 1:38 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Kenosha, Racine | 52 min |
| Jul 6, 1:50 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Boone, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Kane, Lake and 1 more | 70 min |
| Jul 6, 2:08 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DVN | Jones, Linn | 4 hr |
| Jul 6, 2:42 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Cedar, Clinton, Jackson, Johnson, Jones, Linn and 2 more | 48 min |
| Jul 6, 2:46 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Jo Daviess | 44 min |
| Jul 6, 3:06 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Carroll, Jo Daviess, Rock Island, Stephenson, Whiteside | 54 min |
| Jul 6, 3:09 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Mercer, Rock Island | 51 min |
| Jul 6, 3:46 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Bureau, Henry, Mercer, Putnam, Rock Island | 59 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 195 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 505 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -125 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1508 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 22 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -9 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 8 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.4
The text
As transmitted.
538
WWUS20 KWNS 060248
SEL1
SPC WW 060248
IAZ000-ILZ000-WIZ000-061000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 331
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
950 PM CDT TUE JUL 5 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN IOWA
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN WISCONSIN
* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 950 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...A FAST-MOVING CONVECTIVE LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN WISCONSIN AND FAR
NORTHEAST IOWA...WHILE EVENTUALLY REACHING NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND
ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF EASTERN IOWA DURING THE OVERNIGHT. WIDESPREAD
DAMAGING WINDS ARE A SIGNIFICANT CONCERN...WHILE A LINE-EMBEDDED
TORNADO OR TWO MAY ALSO OCCUR.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF MADISON WISCONSIN TO 75 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
CEDAR RAPIDS IOWA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 324...WW 326...WW
328...WW 329...WW 330...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 31045.
...GUYERSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 8:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson | 67 min |
| Jul 5, 10:46 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Carroll, Jo Daviess, Ogle, Stephenson, Winnebago | 89 min |
| Jul 6, 1:27 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DeWitt and 35 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 6, 1:55 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bureau, Cass, Champaign, Cook, DeWitt, DuPage and 33 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 6, 5:04 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Brown, Cass, Champaign, Christian, Clark and 41 more | 116 min |
| Jul 6, 10:32 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Pulaski, Union | 58 min |
| Jul 6, 10:48 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Alexander, Gallatin, Hardin, Jackson, Johnson, Massac and 5 more | 5 hr |
| Jul 6, 12:53 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Franklin, Gallatin, Hardin, Jackson, Johnson and 6 more | 67 min |
| Jul 5, 7:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Dickinson, Emmet, O'Brien, Osceola, Winnebago | 97 min |
| Jul 5, 8:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Harrison, Monona, Pottawattamie, Shelby | 5 hr |
| Jul 5, 10:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Audubon, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 13 more | 90 min |
| Jul 5, 10:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adair, Audubon, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Cass and 22 more | 5 hr |
| Jul 5, 8:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Florence | 3 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.