Alert archive / West Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 261

June 16, 20165 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 16, 2016, 1:58 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 16, 2016, 1:58 PM EDT (17:58 UTC)
Expired
Jun 16, 2016, 10:00 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 166 counties

Allegany County, MD, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Frederick County, MD, Garrett County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Washington County, MD, Athens County, OH, Belmont County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Gallia County, OH, Guernsey County, OH, Harrison County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Jefferson County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Meigs County, OH, Monroe County, OH, Morgan County, OH, Muskingum County, OH, Noble County, OH, Perry County, OH, Stark County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Vinton County, OH, Washington County, OH, Adams County, PA, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Butler County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Greene County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Perry County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, York County, PA, Albemarle County, VA, Alleghany County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Augusta County, VA, Bath County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Craig County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Giles County, VA, Greene County, VA, Highland County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Madison County, VA, Nelson County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Barbour County, WV, Berkeley County, WV, Boone County, WV, Braxton County, WV, Brooke County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Clay County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Fayette County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Grant County, WV, Greenbrier County, WV, Hampshire County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Hardy County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Jefferson County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Logan County, WV, Marion County, WV, Marshall County, WV, Mason County, WV, McDowell County, WV, Mercer County, WV, Mineral County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Monongalia County, WV, Monroe County, WV, Morgan County, WV, Nicholas County, WV, Ohio County, WV, Pendleton County, WV, Pleasants County, WV, Pocahontas County, WV, Preston County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Raleigh County, WV, Randolph County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Summers County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Tucker County, WV, Tyler County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Webster County, WV, Wetzel County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV, Wyoming County, WV

The radar

The Pittsburgh radar (KPBZ), 147 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
95%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

78 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 2:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEStark44 min
Jun 16, 2:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXPage, Rockingham, Shenandoah49 min
Jun 16, 2:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZCarroll, Columbiana, Tuscarawas67 min
Jun 16, 2:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZCarroll, Columbiana46 min
Jun 16, 2:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBedford, Somerset54 min
Jun 16, 3:05 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPBedford, Fulton40 min
Jun 16, 3:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZHarrison, Jefferson38 min
Jun 16, 3:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAllegany, Washington79 min
Jun 16, 3:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZColumbiana52 min
Jun 16, 3:38 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXAllegany, Washington52 min
Jun 16, 3:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBedford, Somerset62 min
Jun 16, 3:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Beaver, Washington62 min
Jun 16, 3:49 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPBZAllegheny, Westmoreland3 hr
Jun 16, 3:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCulpeper, Greene, Madison, Orange49 min
Jun 16, 3:57 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPBZColumbiana4 hr
Jun 16, 4:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXAthens, Washington29 min
Jun 16, 4:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXClarke, Loudoun39 min
Jun 16, 4:11 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXBerkeley, Morgan34 min
Jun 16, 4:12 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPBZAllegheny, Fayette, Washington, Westmoreland3 hr
Jun 16, 4:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXJackson, Roane33 min
Jun 16, 4:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZFayette, Greene, Washington, Westmoreland44 min
Jun 16, 4:28 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPBZFayette, Greene, Washington4 hr
Jun 16, 4:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXKanawha, Mason, Putnam29 min
Jun 16, 4:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXDoddridge, Gilmer, Lewis, Ritchie37 min
Jun 16, 4:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXWashington36 min
Jun 16, 4:40 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPBZFayette, Westmoreland4 hr
Jun 16, 4:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXCalhoun, Roane, Wirt35 min
Jun 16, 4:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZGarrett62 min
Jun 16, 4:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCulpeper, Fauquier, King George, Spotsylvania, Stafford, City of Fredericksburg45 min
Jun 16, 4:47 PM EDTTornado WarningPBZMonongalia, Preston28 min
Jun 16, 4:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXMontgomery22 min
Jun 16, 4:51 PM EDTTornado WarningPBZFayette24 min
Jun 16, 4:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBarbour, Harrison, Lewis, Upshur49 min
Jun 16, 5:00 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXCulpeper, Fauquier, Spotsylvania, Stafford, City of Fredericksburg29 min
Jun 16, 5:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPSomerset57 min
Jun 16, 5:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXGilmer, Lewis, Ritchie27 min
Jun 16, 5:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXClarke, Frederick52 min
Jun 16, 5:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXSpotsylvania47 min
Jun 16, 5:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Logan, Raleigh, Wyoming34 min
Jun 16, 5:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZGarrett31 min
Jun 16, 5:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBarbour, Lewis, Randolph, Upshur45 min
Jun 16, 5:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXClarke, Fauquier, Loudoun43 min
Jun 16, 5:50 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXClarke, Fauquier, Loudoun12 min
Jun 16, 5:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Logan21 min
Jun 16, 5:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZGarrett34 min
Jun 16, 6:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAllegany, Washington69 min
Jun 16, 6:05 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXClarke, Fauquier, Loudoun, Prince William40 min
Jun 16, 6:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXClay, Nicholas, Webster40 min
Jun 16, 6:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXRaleigh, Wyoming37 min
Jun 16, 6:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXPocahontas36 min
Jun 16, 6:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKMercer, Summers48 min
Jun 16, 6:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXHighland67 min
Jun 16, 6:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXPocahontas, Randolph, Webster52 min
Jun 16, 6:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFairfax, Fauquier, Loudoun, Prince William, City of Fairfax, City of Manassas and 1 more38 min
Jun 16, 6:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXNicholas, Pocahontas, Webster53 min
Jun 16, 6:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAlbemarle, Augusta, Greene, Highland, Madison, Page and 7 more63 min
Jun 16, 6:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCulpeper, Fauquier, Madison, Orange, Spotsylvania47 min
Jun 16, 6:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXClarke, Frederick, Shenandoah, Warren, City of Winchester59 min
Jun 16, 6:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBath61 min
Jun 16, 7:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFairfax, Fauquier, Prince William, Stafford, City of Fairfax, City of Manassas and 1 more30 min
Jun 16, 7:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXClarke, Culpeper, Fauquier, Loudoun, Madison, Page and 3 more66 min
Jun 16, 7:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCulpeper, Fauquier, Orange, Prince William, Spotsylvania, Stafford and 1 more63 min
Jun 16, 7:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAlbemarle, Augusta, Culpeper, Greene, Madison, Nelson and 5 more57 min
Jun 16, 7:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Bath, Botetourt, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista, City of Covington and 1 more55 min
Jun 16, 8:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXMcDowell, Mingo, Wyoming40 min
Jun 16, 8:06 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWXOrange4 hr
Jun 16, 8:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXMontgomery40 min
Jun 16, 8:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXMcDowell58 min
Jun 16, 8:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCulpeper, Fauquier, King George, Madison, Orange, Prince William and 3 more40 min
Jun 16, 8:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXNelson33 min
Jun 16, 8:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAmherst, Bedford, Botetourt, Rockbridge48 min
Jun 16, 8:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAmherst, Appomattox, Buckingham58 min
Jun 16, 8:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Montgomery, Prince George's, Saint Mary's71 min
Jun 16, 9:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCharles, Saint Mary's48 min
Jun 16, 9:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAmherst, Appomattox, Bedford, Campbell, City of Lynchburg61 min
Jun 16, 9:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBland, Giles, Pulaski, Tazewell, Wythe42 min
Jun 16, 9:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBedford, Floyd, Franklin, Montgomery, Pulaski, Roanoke and 2 more42 min
Jun 16, 10:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBedford, Campbell, Charlotte, Halifax, Pittsylvania60 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 134 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2016-06-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 645 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2016-06-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 36 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
645 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-71 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
838 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
130 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

025 
WWUS20 KWNS 161757
SEL1  
SPC WW 161757
DCZ000-MDZ000-OHZ000-PAZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-CWZ000-170200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 261
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
155 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
  WESTERN AND CENTRAL MARYLAND
  EASTERN OHIO
  PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
  PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN VIRGINIA
  MUCH OF WEST VIRGINIA
  COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 155 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH EXPECTED
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS OHIO AT THIS TIME ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS THEY MOVE QUICKLY
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS TOWARD VIRGINIA.  WIDESPREAD
STRONG/DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING...ALONG WITH SOME HAIL AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100
STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF
ZANESVILLE OHIO TO 20 MILES SOUTH OF WASHINGTON DISTRICT OF
COLUM.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29035.


...GOSS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 11:27 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Charles, Frederick, Garrett, Montgomery, Washington63 min
Jun 16, 1:08 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Anne Arundel, Calvert, Carroll, Charles, Frederick and 7 more97 min
Jun 16, 4:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Anne Arundel, Calvert, Carroll, Charles, Frederick and 6 more55 min
Jun 16, 6:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Charles, Frederick and 7 more96 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.