Alert archive / West Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 261
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 16, 2016, 1:58 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 16, 2016, 1:58 PM EDT (17:58 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 16, 2016, 10:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 166 counties
Allegany County, MD, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Frederick County, MD, Garrett County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Washington County, MD, Athens County, OH, Belmont County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Gallia County, OH, Guernsey County, OH, Harrison County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Jefferson County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Meigs County, OH, Monroe County, OH, Morgan County, OH, Muskingum County, OH, Noble County, OH, Perry County, OH, Stark County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Vinton County, OH, Washington County, OH, Adams County, PA, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Butler County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Greene County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Perry County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, York County, PA, Albemarle County, VA, Alleghany County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Augusta County, VA, Bath County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Craig County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Giles County, VA, Greene County, VA, Highland County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Madison County, VA, Nelson County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Barbour County, WV, Berkeley County, WV, Boone County, WV, Braxton County, WV, Brooke County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Clay County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Fayette County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Grant County, WV, Greenbrier County, WV, Hampshire County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Hardy County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Jefferson County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Logan County, WV, Marion County, WV, Marshall County, WV, Mason County, WV, McDowell County, WV, Mercer County, WV, Mineral County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Monongalia County, WV, Monroe County, WV, Morgan County, WV, Nicholas County, WV, Ohio County, WV, Pendleton County, WV, Pleasants County, WV, Pocahontas County, WV, Preston County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Raleigh County, WV, Randolph County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Summers County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Tucker County, WV, Tyler County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Webster County, WV, Wetzel County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV, Wyoming County, WV
The radar
The Pittsburgh radar (KPBZ), 147 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 95%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
78 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Stark | 44 min |
| Jun 16, 2:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Page, Rockingham, Shenandoah | 49 min |
| Jun 16, 2:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Carroll, Columbiana, Tuscarawas | 67 min |
| Jun 16, 2:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Carroll, Columbiana | 46 min |
| Jun 16, 2:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Bedford, Somerset | 54 min |
| Jun 16, 3:05 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Bedford, Fulton | 40 min |
| Jun 16, 3:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Harrison, Jefferson | 38 min |
| Jun 16, 3:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Allegany, Washington | 79 min |
| Jun 16, 3:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Columbiana | 52 min |
| Jun 16, 3:38 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Allegany, Washington | 52 min |
| Jun 16, 3:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Bedford, Somerset | 62 min |
| Jun 16, 3:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Beaver, Washington | 62 min |
| Jun 16, 3:49 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Westmoreland | 3 hr |
| Jun 16, 3:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Greene, Madison, Orange | 49 min |
| Jun 16, 3:57 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PBZ | Columbiana | 4 hr |
| Jun 16, 4:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | Athens, Washington | 29 min |
| Jun 16, 4:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Clarke, Loudoun | 39 min |
| Jun 16, 4:11 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Berkeley, Morgan | 34 min |
| Jun 16, 4:12 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Fayette, Washington, Westmoreland | 3 hr |
| Jun 16, 4:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | Jackson, Roane | 33 min |
| Jun 16, 4:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Fayette, Greene, Washington, Westmoreland | 44 min |
| Jun 16, 4:28 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PBZ | Fayette, Greene, Washington | 4 hr |
| Jun 16, 4:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | Kanawha, Mason, Putnam | 29 min |
| Jun 16, 4:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | Doddridge, Gilmer, Lewis, Ritchie | 37 min |
| Jun 16, 4:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Washington | 36 min |
| Jun 16, 4:40 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PBZ | Fayette, Westmoreland | 4 hr |
| Jun 16, 4:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | Calhoun, Roane, Wirt | 35 min |
| Jun 16, 4:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Garrett | 62 min |
| Jun 16, 4:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Fauquier, King George, Spotsylvania, Stafford, City of Fredericksburg | 45 min |
| Jun 16, 4:47 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PBZ | Monongalia, Preston | 28 min |
| Jun 16, 4:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Montgomery | 22 min |
| Jun 16, 4:51 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PBZ | Fayette | 24 min |
| Jun 16, 4:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | Barbour, Harrison, Lewis, Upshur | 49 min |
| Jun 16, 5:00 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Fauquier, Spotsylvania, Stafford, City of Fredericksburg | 29 min |
| Jun 16, 5:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Somerset | 57 min |
| Jun 16, 5:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | Gilmer, Lewis, Ritchie | 27 min |
| Jun 16, 5:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Clarke, Frederick | 52 min |
| Jun 16, 5:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Spotsylvania | 47 min |
| Jun 16, 5:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | Boone, Logan, Raleigh, Wyoming | 34 min |
| Jun 16, 5:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Garrett | 31 min |
| Jun 16, 5:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | Barbour, Lewis, Randolph, Upshur | 45 min |
| Jun 16, 5:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Clarke, Fauquier, Loudoun | 43 min |
| Jun 16, 5:50 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Clarke, Fauquier, Loudoun | 12 min |
| Jun 16, 5:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | Boone, Logan | 21 min |
| Jun 16, 5:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Garrett | 34 min |
| Jun 16, 6:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Allegany, Washington | 69 min |
| Jun 16, 6:05 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Clarke, Fauquier, Loudoun, Prince William | 40 min |
| Jun 16, 6:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | Clay, Nicholas, Webster | 40 min |
| Jun 16, 6:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | Raleigh, Wyoming | 37 min |
| Jun 16, 6:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | Pocahontas | 36 min |
| Jun 16, 6:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Mercer, Summers | 48 min |
| Jun 16, 6:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Highland | 67 min |
| Jun 16, 6:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | Pocahontas, Randolph, Webster | 52 min |
| Jun 16, 6:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Fairfax, Fauquier, Loudoun, Prince William, City of Fairfax, City of Manassas and 1 more | 38 min |
| Jun 16, 6:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | Nicholas, Pocahontas, Webster | 53 min |
| Jun 16, 6:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Albemarle, Augusta, Greene, Highland, Madison, Page and 7 more | 63 min |
| Jun 16, 6:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Fauquier, Madison, Orange, Spotsylvania | 47 min |
| Jun 16, 6:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Clarke, Frederick, Shenandoah, Warren, City of Winchester | 59 min |
| Jun 16, 6:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Bath | 61 min |
| Jun 16, 7:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Fairfax, Fauquier, Prince William, Stafford, City of Fairfax, City of Manassas and 1 more | 30 min |
| Jun 16, 7:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Clarke, Culpeper, Fauquier, Loudoun, Madison, Page and 3 more | 66 min |
| Jun 16, 7:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Fauquier, Orange, Prince William, Spotsylvania, Stafford and 1 more | 63 min |
| Jun 16, 7:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Albemarle, Augusta, Culpeper, Greene, Madison, Nelson and 5 more | 57 min |
| Jun 16, 7:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Alleghany, Bath, Botetourt, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista, City of Covington and 1 more | 55 min |
| Jun 16, 8:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | McDowell, Mingo, Wyoming | 40 min |
| Jun 16, 8:06 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Orange | 4 hr |
| Jun 16, 8:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Montgomery | 40 min |
| Jun 16, 8:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | McDowell | 58 min |
| Jun 16, 8:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Fauquier, King George, Madison, Orange, Prince William and 3 more | 40 min |
| Jun 16, 8:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Nelson | 33 min |
| Jun 16, 8:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Amherst, Bedford, Botetourt, Rockbridge | 48 min |
| Jun 16, 8:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Amherst, Appomattox, Buckingham | 58 min |
| Jun 16, 8:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Montgomery, Prince George's, Saint Mary's | 71 min |
| Jun 16, 9:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Charles, Saint Mary's | 48 min |
| Jun 16, 9:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Amherst, Appomattox, Bedford, Campbell, City of Lynchburg | 61 min |
| Jun 16, 9:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Bland, Giles, Pulaski, Tazewell, Wythe | 42 min |
| Jun 16, 9:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Bedford, Floyd, Franklin, Montgomery, Pulaski, Roanoke and 2 more | 42 min |
| Jun 16, 10:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Bedford, Campbell, Charlotte, Halifax, Pittsylvania | 60 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 134 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 645 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -71 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 838 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 36 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 130 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 0.6
The text
As transmitted.
025 WWUS20 KWNS 161757 SEL1 SPC WW 161757 DCZ000-MDZ000-OHZ000-PAZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-CWZ000-170200- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 261 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 155 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA WESTERN AND CENTRAL MARYLAND EASTERN OHIO PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN VIRGINIA MUCH OF WEST VIRGINIA COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 155 PM UNTIL 1000 PM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH EXPECTED SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS OHIO AT THIS TIME ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS THEY MOVE QUICKLY SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS TOWARD VIRGINIA. WIDESPREAD STRONG/DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...ALONG WITH SOME HAIL AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF ZANESVILLE OHIO TO 20 MILES SOUTH OF WASHINGTON DISTRICT OF COLUM. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035. ...GOSS
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 11:27 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Charles, Frederick, Garrett, Montgomery, Washington | 63 min |
| Jun 16, 1:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Anne Arundel, Calvert, Carroll, Charles, Frederick and 7 more | 97 min |
| Jun 16, 4:20 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Anne Arundel, Calvert, Carroll, Charles, Frederick and 6 more | 55 min |
| Jun 16, 6:54 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Charles, Frederick and 7 more | 96 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.