Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170

May 11, 201626 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 11, 2016, 4:29 PM CDT for 26 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 11, 2016, 4:29 PM CDT (21:29 UTC)
Expired
May 11, 2016, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 26 counties

Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Denton County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Erath County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Hood County, TX, Jack County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kent County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Wise County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 4:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBStonewall62 min
May 11, 5:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTFisher, Jones56 min
May 11, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTFisher, Haskell, Jones45 min
May 11, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTJones, Shackelford45 min
May 11, 6:42 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTShackelford33 min
May 11, 7:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEastland, Stephens55 min
May 11, 7:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Shackelford39 min
May 11, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Taylor43 min
May 11, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTColeman42 min
May 11, 7:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTJones39 min
May 11, 7:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJack65 min
May 11, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEastland, Palo Pinto, Stephens67 min
May 11, 7:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Coleman47 min
May 11, 8:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown, Callahan, Coleman52 min
May 11, 8:46 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTBrown, Callahan, Coleman3 hr
May 11, 8:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTColeman, Runnels49 min
May 11, 8:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDPalo Pinto, Parker62 min
May 11, 9:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEastland, Erath, Palo Pinto, Stephens68 min
May 11, 9:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown, Callahan, Coleman47 min
May 11, 9:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDParker, Tarrant63 min
May 11, 9:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Coleman, Taylor46 min
May 11, 10:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown, Coleman66 min
May 11, 10:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTJones, Shackelford48 min
May 11, 10:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Dallas, Denton26 min
May 11, 11:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Jones, Shackelford, Taylor45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -33 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-658 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2066 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
6 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-33 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
210 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 9:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Brown, Burnet and 61 more62 min
May 11, 2:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche, Denton and 21 more88 min
May 11, 3:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDallam, Hansford, Hartley, Hutchinson, Moore, Oldham and 2 more119 min
May 11, 6:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Carson, Collingsworth, Donley, Gray, Hartley and 7 more3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.