Severe Thunderstorm Warning 211, NWS Fort Worth, TX

351 
WWUS54 KFWD 120320
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1020 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

TXC367-120329-
/O.CAN.KFWD.SV.W.0211.000000T0000Z-160512T0345Z/
PARKER TX-
1020 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR PARKER COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3298 9703 3255 9704 3256 9755 3299 9754
TIME...MOT...LOC 0319Z 269DEG 34KT 3284 9736 

$$

TXC439-120345-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0211.000000T0000Z-160512T0345Z/
TARRANT TX-
1020 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM CDT
FOR TARRANT COUNTY...

AT 1019 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER BLUE MOUND...OR
OVER SAGINAW...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  HALTOM CITY AROUND 1025 PM CDT. 
  WATAUGA AND RICHLAND HILLS AROUND 1030 PM CDT. 
  HURST AND NORTH RICHLAND HILLS AROUND 1035 PM CDT. 
  BEDFORD AND COLLEYVILLE AROUND 1040 PM CDT. 
  FORT WORTH...ARLINGTON...GRAND PRAIRIE AND EULESS AROUND 1045 PM 
  CDT. 

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE WESTOVER
HILLS...WESTLAKE AND NEWARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION STAY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND KEEP AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.


&&

LAT...LON 3298 9703 3255 9704 3256 9755 3299 9754
TIME...MOT...LOC 0319Z 269DEG 34KT 3284 9736 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

30

265 
WWUS54 KFWD 120341
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1041 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

TXC439-120351-
/O.EXP.KFWD.SV.W.0211.000000T0000Z-160512T0345Z/
TARRANT TX-
1041 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR TARRANT COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
1045 PM CDT...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS
AND EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM.


LAT...LON 3298 9703 3255 9704 3256 9755 3299 9754
TIME...MOT...LOC 0338Z 264DEG 30KT 3284 9736 

$$

30

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
634 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

.AVIATION...
Surface winds have backed in advance of a small convective complex
currently located just west of the area. These storms developed
in the vicinity of a triple-point between the cold front and
dryline over west texas and a quasi-stationary boundary stretching
northeastward across the Red River into Central OK. The easterly
shift in the surface wind component would suggest that warm moist
air will continue to feed the convection as it works its way east
along the boundary. Extrapolating the movement would bring storms
near the DFW area around 03Z. We will begin VCTS at this time in
the Metroplex with a 2-hour tempo for ts from 04-06Z. If we get
additional development ahead of the complex...we will adjust the
exact timing of thunder as needed. Hi-res guidance indicates that
we will see storms weakening as they approach the Waco area...but
we will still indicate a few hours of VCTS at KACT.

The front will begin to surge south overnight as an upper trough
translates across the Southern Plains. Additional showers and
storms are expected in the vicinity of the front during the
morning hours. Light north winds and vfr conditions are then
expected Thursday afternoon.

30

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 316 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016/
A cold front was just entering into the extreme northwest zones at
mid afternoon with the dryline extending from the cold front
across the South Plains and Permian Basin. These features show up
quite well in the afternoon visible satellite image. The cold
front had nearly stalled due to vigorous mixing along the leading
edge but should resume a southeastward movement later this evening
and overnight. The atmosphere continues to recover from overnight
convection and instability is on the increase. The latest analysis
shows that a cap still exists across North and Central Texas but
this should continue to weaken through late afternoon/early
evening. We expect storms to develop along the dryline and cold
front by late afternoon. These storms will move east through the
evening and should affect locations generally north of the
Interstate 20 corridor. Large hail and damaging winds will
accompany the stronger storms. As the storms move east off of the
cold front this evening they should weaken a bit once they move
into slightly less unstable air.

Once the cold front begins to accelerate southeast late this
evening/overnight it will provide additional focus for
thunderstorm development with the possibility of some severe
storms.

The front will move through much of the region on Thursday and
should stall somewhere over Central Texas. As a result...thunderstorm
chances will decrease from north to south through the day
Thursday. However...scattered showers and storms will remain in
the forecast across the southern zones Thursday night due to the
proximity of the cold front.

Friday and Friday night will be rain-free due to limited moisture
and subsidence aloft. There is a low chance that a nocturnal MCS
could develop across the High Plains Friday night and impact the
western zones Saturday morning.

The remainder of the weekend through early next week will remain
unsettled due to progressive westerly flow aloft. This upper flow
coupled with abundant low level moisture will yield multiple
opportunities for showers and thunderstorms through Wednesday of
next week.

79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    69  79  64  84  65 /  70  50  10  10   5
Waco                69  82  64  84  65 /  40  50  20  10   5
Paris               67  78  60  80  61 /  60  50  10  10   0
Denton              66  77  60  82  62 /  70  40  10  10   5
McKinney            67  79  61  81  62 /  70  40  10  10   5
Dallas              69  80  65  84  65 /  70  50  10  10   0
Terrell             69  81  63  82  63 /  60  50  10  10   0
Corsicana           68  81  65  84  65 /  40  50  20  10   5
Temple              68  82  66  84  65 /  30  40  30  10   5
Mineral Wells       66  78  61  83  63 /  70  40  10  10   5

&&

.FWD Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

30/58

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
354 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-121215-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
354 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING ACROSS ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS WITH THE BEST
CHANCES NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AND PROVIDE THE FOCUS
NECESSARY FOR ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. SOME SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION ON THURSDAY
AS A FRONT MOVES ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. SOME OF THESE
STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH A THREAT FOR HAIL AND STRONG WINDS.
LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO END FROM NORTH TO SOUTH DURING THE DAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO THE REGION SATURDAY AND INCREASE
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ON
TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS DURING THIS
PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 AND WEST OF
INTERSTATE 35. LIMITED ACTIVATION MAY ALSO BE REQUESTED SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 OVERNIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
815 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0814 PM     TSTM WND GST     BRECKENRIDGE            32.75N  98.90W
05/11/2016  E60 MPH          STEPHENS           TX   PUBLIC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
816 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0814 PM     HAIL             6 E BRECKENRIDGE        32.75N  98.80W
05/11/2016  E1.00 INCH       STEPHENS           TX   PUBLIC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
831 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

TXZ100-120200-
YOUNG TX-
831 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR YOUNG COUNTY UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

AT 831 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES SOUTHWEST OF GRAHAM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GRAHAM...OLNEY AND NEWCASTLE.

LAT...LON 3340 9895 3339 9842 3295 9843 3296 9895
TIME...MOT...LOC 0131Z 246DEG 12KT 3301 9867

30

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
901 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

TXZ115-116-129-130-120230-
PALO PINTO TX-STEPHENS TX-EASTLAND TX-ERATH TX-
901 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN EASTLAND...
NORTHWESTERN ERATH...SOUTHEASTERN STEPHENS AND SOUTHWESTERN PALO
PINTO COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

AT 901 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
RANGER...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EASTLAND...RANGER...GORDON...NECESSITY...HUCKABAY...STRAWN AND MINGUS.

LAT...LON 3230 9885 3274 9877 3266 9819 3230 9825
TIME...MOT...LOC 0201Z 276DEG 23KT 3252 9861

30

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
915 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

TXZ091-102-120300-
MONTAGUE TX-WISE TX-
915 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN WISE AND
SOUTHEASTERN MONTAGUE COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT...

AT 915 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
SUNSET...OR 11 MILES SOUTH OF BOWIE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BOWIE...ALVORD...ST. JO...CHICO...FORESTBURG AND SUNSET.

LAT...LON 3366 9748 3366 9749 3358 9748 3343 9749
      3329 9779 3344 9790 3372 9777 3373 9748
TIME...MOT...LOC 0215Z 237DEG 21KT 3341 9777

30

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
936 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0934 PM     TSTM WND GST     MILLSAP                 32.75N  98.02W
05/11/2016  E60 MPH          PARKER             TX   AMATEUR RADIO