Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 134

May 1, 201626 counties in Kentucky; Gallia County, Lawrence County, Ohio; 11 counties in West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 1, 2016, 4:12 PM EDT for 26 counties in Kentucky; Gallia County, Lawrence County, Ohio; 11 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 1, 2016, 4:12 PM EDT (20:12 UTC)
Expired
May 1, 2016, 9:47 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 39 counties

Bath County, KY, Boyd County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Carter County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Lee County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Martin County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Gallia County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Boone County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Logan County, WV, Mason County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Roane County, WV, Wayne County, WV

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 1, 4:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoyd41 min
May 1, 4:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXCarter37 min
May 1, 4:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFloyd, Johnson, Martin, Pike36 min
May 1, 4:41 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRLXLawrence6 hr
May 1, 4:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXLincoln, Wayne46 min
May 1, 4:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoyd, Carter, Greenup, Lawrence42 min
May 1, 4:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFloyd, Johnson, Martin, Pike36 min
May 1, 5:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBath, Menifee, Montgomery, Powell28 min
May 1, 5:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoyd, Carter, Lawrence51 min
May 1, 5:25 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRLXBoyd, Carter, Greenup, Lawrence3 hr
May 1, 5:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLMartin, Pike16 min
May 1, 5:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXLogan, Mingo47 min
May 1, 5:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXGallia41 min
May 1, 5:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Kanawha, Lincoln48 min
May 1, 6:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXCabell, Lincoln, Wayne44 min
May 1, 6:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLMagoffin, Menifee, Morgan, Wolfe37 min
May 1, 6:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Fayette, Kanawha, Raleigh43 min
May 1, 6:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXLincoln, Wayne22 min
May 1, 6:25 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRLXBoone, Cabell, Clay, Fayette, Kanawha, Lincoln and 2 more4 hr
May 1, 6:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Cabell, Kanawha, Lincoln, Putnam25 min
May 1, 6:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXLincoln18 min
May 1, 6:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLMagoffin, Morgan30 min
May 1, 6:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFloyd, Pike43 min
May 1, 6:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Kanawha48 min
May 1, 7:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLJohnson, Magoffin, Martin27 min
May 1, 7:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Logan, Mingo41 min
May 1, 7:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLPike23 min
May 1, 7:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXMcDowell, Mingo, Wyoming37 min
May 1, 7:24 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRLXLawrence3 hr
May 1, 7:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Logan, Wyoming37 min
May 1, 7:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLKnott, Letcher, Pike36 min
May 1, 8:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLLetcher, Pike11 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2016-05-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 196 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2016-05-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 109 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
196 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-30 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
619 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
91 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 1, 1:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bracken, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Campbell, Carroll and 18 more2 hr
May 1, 2:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Calloway, Christian, Logan, Muhlenberg, Todd and 1 more64 min
May 1, 2:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Boone, Bourbon and 67 more6 hr
May 1, 3:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Elliott, Floyd and 13 more61 min
May 1, 6:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Boone and 72 more87 min
May 1, 7:30 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFloyd, Knott, Martin, Pike60 min
May 1, 7:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGreenbrier, Mercer, Monroe, Summers3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.