Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 135

May 1, 201621 counties in Virginia; 4 counties in West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 1, 2016, 7:45 PM EDT for 21 counties in Virginia; 4 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 1, 2016, 7:45 PM EDT (23:45 UTC)
Expired
May 1, 2016, 11:03 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 25 counties

Alleghany County, VA, Bath County, VA, Bland County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Radford, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, Craig County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Giles County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Wythe County, VA, Greenbrier County, WV, Mercer County, WV, Monroe County, WV, Summers County, WV

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 1, 7:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKMonroe, Summers43 min
May 1, 8:15 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKGreenbrier, Summers6 hr
May 1, 8:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Bath, Botetourt, Craig, City of Covington33 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 93 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-05-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-05-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 389 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
468 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
389 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
480 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 1, 3:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Dickenson61 min
May 1, 7:30 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlleghany, Bedford, Bland, Botetourt, Buchanan, Carroll and 19 more60 min
May 1, 4:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoone, Cabell, Jackson, Kanawha, Lincoln, Logan and 5 more6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.