Alert archive / Nebraska / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 906

June 13, 201617 counties in Nebraska; 5 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 13, 2016, 7:30 PM MDT for 17 counties in Nebraska; 5 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 60 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 13, 2016, 7:30 PM MDT (01:30 UTC)
Expired
Jun 13, 2016, 8:30 PM MDT
In force
60 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 22 counties

Arthur County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Brown County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Garden County, NE, Grant County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keith County, NE, Logan County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Sheridan County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Bennett County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Oglala Lakota County, SD, Todd County, SD, Tripp County, SD

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 172 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2016-06-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1181 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2016-06-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 59 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1181 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-32 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1359 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

079 
ACUS11 KWNS 140130
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140130 
NEZ000-SDZ000-140230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0906
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0830 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF S-CNTRL SD AND WRN NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 249...

VALID 140130Z - 140230Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 249
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...MAINLY A DAMAGING WIND THREAT COULD CONTINUE BEYOND THE
SCHEDULED 02Z EXPIRATION OF WW 249 ACROSS PARTS OF S-CNTRL SD INTO
WRN NEB. A LOCAL EXTENSION IN TIME MAY BE NEEDED.

DISCUSSION...ONGOING CLUSTER OF STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTION
CONTINUES ACROSS PART OF S-CNTRL SD INTO CHERRY COUNTY NEB AS OF
0130Z. LATEST RAP MESOANALYSIS AND SFC OBSERVATIONS SHOW A CORRIDOR
OF INSTABILITY CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE OF 1000-1500 J/KG DOWNSTREAM
OF THIS ACTIVITY...WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT THE MAINTENANCE OF THIS
CLUSTER FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS IT MOVES ESEWD WITH
TIME. MID-LEVEL FLOW IS BEGINNING TO STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE MCD AREA
AS THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE GREAT BASIN/ROCKIES MOVES EWD...AND
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR VALUES OF 35-45 KT MAY ALLOW THE CONVECTION
ACROSS FAR NERN CO INTO THE NEB PANHANDLE TO BECOME ORGANIZED AND
ALSO POSE A DAMAGING WIND RISK FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS IT
MOVES EWD ACROSS WRN NEB. WITH WW 249 SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 02Z...A
LOCAL EXTENSION IN TIME ACROSS THE MCD AREA MAY BE NEEDED TO ADDRESS
THE ONGOING DAMAGING WIND THREAT.

..GLEASON.. 06/14/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...CYS...

LAT...LON   41060337 42940333 43640207 43650049 43579972 41099977
            41060337

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 13, 6:00 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Banner, Box Butte, Cherry, Cheyenne, Dawes and 13 more90 min
Jun 13, 10:26 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Brown, Chase, Custer, Dawson, Dundy and 11 more2 hr
Jun 14, 10:45 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurt, Butler, Cass, Clay, Colfax, Cuming and 17 more2 hr
Jun 14, 11:43 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBurt, Cuming, Dakota, Dixon, Dodge, Douglas and 4 more8 hr
Jun 14, 1:51 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurt, Dakota, Dodge, Douglas, Sarpy, Saunders and 2 more114 min
Jun 14, 2:31 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Brown, Cherry, Garfield, Keya Paha, Loup and 1 more119 min
Jun 14, 5:15 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCRichardson3 hr
Jun 14, 1:33 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCGrant, Marshall, Roberts5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in South Dakota, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.