Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2016

Tornado Watch 255

June 14, 201638 counties in Minnesota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 14, 2016, 2:33 PM CDT for 38 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 14, 2016, 2:33 PM CDT (19:33 UTC)
Expired
Jun 14, 2016, 7:22 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 38 counties

Big Stone County, MN, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Carver County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Cottonwood County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Lincoln County, MN, Lyon County, MN, Martin County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Murray County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Pope County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Steele County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 14, 2:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDCottonwood, Jackson, Murray, Nobles35 min
Jun 14, 2:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDCottonwood, Murray, Nobles30 min
Jun 14, 2:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDCottonwood, Jackson27 min
Jun 14, 2:48 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXBlue Earth, Watonwan42 min
Jun 14, 2:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMartin, Watonwan46 min
Jun 14, 3:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDCottonwood, Jackson27 min
Jun 14, 3:10 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDCottonwood35 min
Jun 14, 3:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBrown, Redwood54 min
Jun 14, 3:29 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXBlue Earth46 min
Jun 14, 3:37 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMPXBlue Earth38 min
Jun 14, 3:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMPXBlue Earth, Watonwan4 hr
Jun 14, 3:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBlue Earth, Faribault56 min
Jun 14, 3:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXNicollet, Renville, Sibley35 min
Jun 14, 4:04 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMPXLe Sueur, Rice41 min
Jun 14, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBlue Earth, Nicollet48 min
Jun 14, 4:15 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedABRBig Stone30 min
Jun 14, 4:28 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXBlue Earth32 min
Jun 14, 4:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXFaribault, Freeborn, Le Sueur, Steele, Waseca57 min
Jun 14, 4:42 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXLe Sueur, Waseca19 min
Jun 14, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXRice49 min
Jun 14, 5:16 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMPXBlue Earth, Le Sueur, Nicollet5 hr
Jun 14, 5:25 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedABRBig Stone, Traverse35 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2016-06-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 7 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2016-06-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 99 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
7 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-188 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
566 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
8 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
99 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

266 
WWUS20 KWNS 141932
SEL5  
SPC WW 141932
MNZ000-150300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 255
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
235 PM CDT TUE JUN 14 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHERN MINNESOTA

* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 235 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER
    POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD...CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
TO BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR A COUPLE OF TORNADOES ALONG
WITH HAIL/WIND THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
ORTONVILLE MINNESOTA TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MINNEAPOLIS
MINNESOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 254...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.


...GUYER

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 14, 11:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Cottonwood, Faribault, Freeborn, Jackson and 12 more2 hr
Jun 14, 12:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCottonwood, Jackson, Lincoln, Lyon, Murray, Nobles and 2 more8 hr
Jun 14, 2:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJackson, Nobles114 min
Jun 14, 3:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFillmore, Houston, Mower, Olmsted, Wabasha, Winona56 min
Jun 14, 4:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDodge, Fillmore, Houston, Mower, Olmsted, Wabasha and 1 more7 hr
Jun 14, 5:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Blue Earth, Carver, Chippewa, Dakota, Faribault and 20 more59 min
Jun 14, 6:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFillmore, Houston, Mower, Olmsted, Winona66 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.