Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 682

May 22, 20164 counties in Kansas; Beaver County, Oklahoma; 28 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 22, 2016, 7:02 PM CDT for 4 counties in Kansas; Beaver County, Oklahoma; 28 counties in Texas. It was in force for 118 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 22, 2016, 7:02 PM CDT (00:02 UTC)
Expired
May 22, 2016, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
118 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 33 counties

Haskell County, KS, Meade County, KS, Seward County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Beaver County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Borden County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Childress County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Donley County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Garza County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Howard County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Motley County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-05-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2186 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-05-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 30 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2186 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1794 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
30 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
126 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
5.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

065 
ACUS11 KWNS 230003
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230002 
OKZ000-TXZ000-KSZ000-230200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0682
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0702 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN TX...OK PANHANDLE AND SWRN KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 190...

VALID 230002Z - 230200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 190 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR VERY LARGE HAIL...TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 03Z FROM PORTIONS OF WRN TX INTO THE TX
AND OK PANHANDLES AND SWRN KS.

DISCUSSION...NUMEROUS STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS THAT INITIATED
ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF DRYLINE PERSIST FROM NWRN TX NWD INTO SWRN
KS. VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH THESE
STORMS...AND THIS THREAT WILL LIKELY PERSIST DURING THE NEXT 2-3
HOURS BEFORE A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND BEGINS. VWP DATA FROM
AMARILLO HAVE SHOWN A NOTABLE INCREASE IN BOTH 0-1 KM HODOGRAPHS
SIZE /200-250 0-1 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITY/ AND MID-LEVEL WINDS.
THESE STORMS REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE LOCATION TO INGEST AIR FROM A
VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER WHERE WARM-SECTOR CAPE RANGES
FROM 2500-3500 J/KG. STORMS REMAIN RELATIVELY DISCRETE DESPITE
NUMEROUS STORM MERGERS...AND THE THREAT FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND
TORNADOES WILL PERSIST NEXT 2-3 HOURS. 

ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING WILL RESULT IN A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION...AND STORMS SHOULD BEGIN A WEAKENING TREND BY
03Z. HOWEVER...THE STRENGTHENING LLJ MIGHT FOSTER THE MAINTENANCE OF
ONE OR MORE STORM CLUSTERS INTO THE LATE EVENING...BUT IF THIS
OCCURS PRIMARY THREAT WILL TRANSITION TO DAMAGING WIND.

..DIAL.. 05/23/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

LAT...LON   32190153 34140160 36630150 37890120 37600001 34809998
            32560018 32190153

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 22, 9:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGray, Haskell, Meade, Seward65 min
May 22, 10:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Gove, Graham, Lane, Logan and 9 more86 min
May 23, 2:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Comanche, Finney, Ford, Gray, Haskell and 4 more117 min
May 23, 2:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGraham, Jewell, Mitchell, Norton, Osborne, Phillips and 3 more2 hr
May 23, 3:37 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney, Ford and 5 more8 hr
May 23, 6:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney, Ford and 5 more2 hr
May 22, 7:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCComanche, Greer, Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman89 min
May 22, 8:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCComanche, Cotton, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Jefferson and 3 more5 hr
May 23, 1:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Comanche, Cotton, Jefferson, Love, Marshall and 2 more84 min
May 23, 2:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCarter, Cotton, Jackson, Jefferson, Love, Marshall and 2 more5 hr
May 23, 4:58 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Choctaw, Jefferson, Love, Marshall and 1 more62 min
May 22, 9:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCIrion, Reagan85 min
May 23, 1:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Coke, Crockett, Crosby, Dawson, Garza and 15 more118 min
May 23, 2:32 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBorden, Brewster, Briscoe, Childress, Coke, Cottle and 37 more7 hr
May 23, 5:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Briscoe, Coke, Cottle, Crockett, Crosby and 30 more91 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.