Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 56, NWS Little Rock, AR

March 31, 2016Jackson County, White County, Woodruff County, Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 31, 2016, 11:02 AM CDT for Jackson County, White County, Woodruff County, Arkansas. It was in force for 43 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 31, 2016, 11:02 AM CDT (16:02 UTC)
Expired
Mar 31, 2016, 11:45 AM CDT
In force
43 min
Issued by
NWS Little Rock, AR
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
50.0 mph

Counties Jackson County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Mar 31, 10:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 144 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2016-03-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 866 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2016-03-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 107 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
866 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-18 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
556 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
107 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
2.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 31, 2:27 AM CDT, 8 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 31, 2:27 AM CDT, 8 hours 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
227 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD SHRA/TSRA ARE ONGOING ACROSS EASTERN AND
PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL CWA EARLY THIS MORNING AROUND THE 2AM
HR...WITH ACTIVITY GENERALLY LIFTING NORTH AND NE. SEVERAL INCHES OF
RAIN HAVE FALLEN GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-30/US-67 CORRIDOR
SINCE MIDDAY ON WED...WITH OBSERVED RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 5
INCHES SO FAR.

EXPECT THE MORE WIDESPREAD SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY TO SLOWLY SHIFT EAST
THROUGHOUT THE REST OF THIS EARLY THU MORNING...WITH THE BEST POPS
OVER THE ERN AND SERN COUNTIES. WRN COUNTIES WILL SEE A SUBSTANTIAL
BREAK IN THE PRECIP ACTIVITY THIS MORNING...BUT WITH THE COLD FRONT
REMAINING WEST OF THE CWA INTO THE MORNING HRS...ADDITIONAL SHRA/TSRA
COULD DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT THROUGH MIDDAY ACROSS THE
WRN AND NWRN COUNTIES.

THE COLD COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT SE THROUGH THE REST OF THE CWA DURING
THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HRS...BEFORE EXITING THE STATE
SOMETIME EARLY FRI MORNING. AREAS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE
TO SEE AT LEAST SOME SCATTERED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME SVR STORMS THU AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE
SERN HALF OF THE CWA. THE MAIN SVR WX THREAT WITH THESE STORMS THU
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE
TORNADO THREAT WILL BE GREATEST EAST OF THE LZK CWA AS LOW LEVEL SHR
WILL BE FAIRLY LIMITED HERE...MAINLY THE RESULT OF A MORE
UNIDIRECTIONAL LOW LEVEL SHR PROFILE.

ONCE THE FRONT EXITS THE STATE FRI MORNING...CHANCES FOR PRECIP WILL
DROP...AND COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL THEN BE SEEN.
THERE MAY BE SOME MOISTURE LIFTING NORTH OF THE FRONT FRI NIGHT THAT
SRN COUNTIES MAY NEED POPS REINTRODUCED...BUT POTENTIAL LOOKS TOO
LIMITED AT THIS TIME TO HAVE MENTIONABLE POPS.

&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY SATURDAY WILL MOVE
EAST TO THE EAST COAST SUNDAY. A LARGE UPPER RIDGE IN THE WESTERN
U.S. WILL MOVE INTO THE ROCKIES MONDAY...PLAINS TUESDAY...AND TO THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY FOR WEDNESDAY.

GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH MUCH OF
THE LONG TERM PERIOD. SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL BE DRY WITH
MAINLY HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE STATE MONDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES ON WEDNESDAY
AND WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A WARMING TREND IS
EXPECTED SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT COOLER
BEHIND THE DRY COLD FRONT TUESDAY...THEN WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL
VALUES ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     75  45  65  39 /  40  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         78  49  69  43 /  60  10  10  10
HARRISON AR       71  40  60  36 /  20   0  10   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    76  46  66  40 /  50  10   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  77  47  67  41 /  50  10   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     78  51  69  44 /  70  30   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      75  44  64  38 /  40   0  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  75  42  63  37 /  30   0  10   0
NEWPORT AR        76  45  66  39 /  50  10   0  10
PINE BLUFF AR     78  49  67  43 /  60  20   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   76  44  65  38 /  40   0  10  10
SEARCY AR         76  45  66  40 /  50  10   0  10
STUTTGART AR      77  47  67  42 /  60  20   0  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR ARKANSAS-
BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEVELAND-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-GRANT-HOT
SPRING-JEFFERSON-LINCOLN-MONROE-OUACHITA-PIKE.

&&

SHORT TERM...62 / LONG TERM...51
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 31, 5:00 AM CDT, 6 hours 2 minutes before
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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 31, 9:41 AM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Mar 31, 9:46 AM CDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before
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Local storm report, Mar 31, 9:57 AM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Mar 31, 10:10 AM CDT, 52 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Mar 31, 10:17 AM CDT, 45 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Mar 31, 10:50 AM CDT, 12 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 30, 7:00 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKDesha, Drew45 min
Mar 30, 7:02 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKLincoln43 min
Mar 30, 7:07 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Dallas, Hot Spring and 1 more3 hr
Mar 30, 7:08 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKLonoke52 min
Mar 30, 7:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Cleveland, Drew, Lincoln34 min
Mar 30, 7:17 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKBradley, Cleveland, Drew, Lincoln43 min
Mar 30, 7:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleveland, Dallas, Grant, Hot Spring, Jefferson, Lonoke and 4 more6 hr
Mar 30, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDesha, Drew48 min
Mar 30, 7:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln26 min
Mar 30, 8:07 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKGarland, Grant, Hot Spring, Pulaski, Saline3 hr
Mar 30, 8:26 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKArkansas49 min
Mar 30, 8:27 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Lonoke and 5 more3 hr
Mar 30, 8:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Perry, Pulaski, Saline3 hr
Mar 30, 8:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Bradley, Cleveland, Drew, Grant, Jefferson and 5 more3 hr
Mar 30, 9:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKArkansas45 min
Mar 30, 9:43 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKDesha, Drew47 min
Mar 30, 9:50 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLZKRandolph72 hr
Mar 30, 9:50 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLZKLawrence, Randolph63 hr
Mar 30, 10:15 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKArkansas45 min
Mar 30, 10:24 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKDesha51 min
Mar 30, 10:25 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Bradley, Desha, Drew, Lincoln3 hr
Mar 30, 10:53 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKDesha37 min
Mar 30, 11:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDesha, Drew38 min
Mar 30, 11:09 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKDesha, Drew51 min
Mar 30, 11:15 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Dallas, Hot Spring and 1 more3 hr
Mar 30, 11:45 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Independence, Izard, Jackson and 8 more3 hr
Mar 31, 1:30 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Cleveland, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln6 hr
Mar 31, 1:46 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie, Pulaski and 1 more6 hr
Mar 31, 7:11 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKScott34 min
Mar 31, 7:24 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKLogan51 min
Mar 31, 8:38 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKPerry52 min
Mar 31, 9:20 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKWhite40 min
Mar 31, 9:22 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKIndependence38 min
Mar 31, 9:41 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKJackson49 min
Mar 31, 9:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJackson, White, Woodruff12 min
Mar 31, 9:46 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKFaulkner, White44 min
Mar 31, 10:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, White17 min
Mar 31, 10:10 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKFaulkner35 min
Mar 31, 10:17 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKPulaski43 min
Mar 31, 10:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, White37 min
Mar 31, 10:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, White28 min
Mar 31, 10:50 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKWoodruff40 min
Mar 31, 11:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, White32 min
Mar 31, 11:36 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKWoodruff39 min
Mar 31, 2:01 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKJefferson44 min
Mar 31, 2:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJefferson, Lonoke43 min
Mar 31, 2:24 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKCleveland51 min
Mar 31, 2:30 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKGrant45 min
Mar 31, 2:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie46 min
Mar 31, 3:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe, Prairie38 min
Mar 31, 3:44 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKJefferson16 min
Mar 31, 4:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe35 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2016Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.