Alert archive / Arkansas / River Flood Warnings in 2016

River Flood Warning 39, NWS Little Rock, AR

March 30, 2016Randolph County, Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this river flood warning at Mar 30, 2016, 9:50 PM CDT for Randolph County, Arkansas. It took effect at Mar 31, 2016, 2:12 PM CDT. It was in force for 56 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 30, 2016, 9:50 PM CDT (02:50 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 31, 2016, 2:12 PM CDT
Expired
Apr 2, 2016, 9:46 PM CDT
In force
56 hr
Issued by
NWS Little Rock, AR
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Randolph County, AR

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Black River at Pocahontas (POCA4). The gauge peaked at 16.01 ft at Apr 2, 2016, 2:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate510152003/3104/0104/0204/0304/04
Action stage
16 ft
Minor stage
17 ft
Moderate stage
22 ft
Major stage
25 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07069000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

601 
WGUS44 KLZK 310250
FLWLZK


FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
950 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

...The National Weather Service in Little Rock has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Arkansas...

  Black River At Pocahontas affecting Randolph County

  Spring River At Imboden affecting Lawrence and Randolph Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.
 
Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our  
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don't Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC121-311750-
/O.NEW.KLZK.FL.W.0039.160331T1912Z-160403T0246Z/
/POCA4.1.ER.160331T1912Z.160401T0600Z.160401T2046Z.NO/
950 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

The National Weather Service in Little Rock has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Black River At Pocahontas.
* from Thursday afternoon to Saturday evening...or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  9:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 8.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Thursday afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 18.5 feet by early Friday morning.
* Impacts at 17.0 feet...Agricultural lands along the river east 
  and south of Pocahontas will be impacted by high water. Equipment 
  and livestock should be moved to higher ground.  



             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Black River
  Pocahontas  17   8.8 Wed 09 PM   14.4   18.3   14.2   10.9    9.3


&&


LAT...LON 3612 9115 3625 9106 3630 9095 3620 9089
 3617 9098 3610 9101                  



$$

ARC075-121-311749-
/O.NEW.KLZK.FL.W.0040.160331T1640Z-160402T1800Z/
/IMBA4.1.ER.160331T1640Z.160401T0000Z.160401T1200Z.NO/
950 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

The National Weather Service in Little Rock has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Spring River At Imboden.
* from Thursday morning to Saturday afternoon...or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  8:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Thursday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 18.5 feet by Thursday evening.
* Impacts at 18.0 feet...Lower lying cultivated farmlands and pastures
  flood.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Spring River
  Imboden     18   9.3 Wed 09 PM   17.3   18.0   10.8    7.1    6.5


&&


LAT...LON 3612 9115 3616 9118 3618 9126 3625 9119
 3619 9110 3610 9101                  



$$

224
4 follow-up statements
841 
WGUS84 KLZK 311409
FLSLZK


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
909 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood 
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Pocahontas affecting Randolph County

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Independence...Jackson and 
  Lawrence Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.
 
Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our  
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don't Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC121-010509-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0039.160401T1300Z-160405T0900Z/
/POCA4.1.ER.160401T1300Z.160402T1200Z.160404T0300Z.NO/
909 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Black River At Pocahontas.
* from Friday morning to late Monday night...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 8:00 AM Thursday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 18.5 feet by Saturday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Sunday before midnight.
* Impacts at 17.0 feet...Agricultural lands along the river east and
  south of Pocahontas will be impacted by high water. Equipment and 
  livestock should be moved to higher ground.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Black River
  Pocahontas  17  12.4 Thu 08 AM   16.9   18.5   17.9   16.6   15.5


&&


LAT...LON 3612 9115 3625 9106 3630 9095 3620 9089
 3617 9098 3610 9101                  



$$

ARC063-067-075-010508-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.160331T0633Z.160402T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
909 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Black Rock.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:00 AM Thursday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.5 feet by 
  Friday evening.
* Impacts at 20.0 feet...Agricultural land is flooding along both 
  banks of the river in Lawrence, Independence, and Jackson counties.
  Minor flooding in Powhatan Community and Courthouse State Park.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Black River
  Black Rock  14  17.1 Thu 08 AM   21.1   21.4   20.1   18.1   16.1


&&


LAT...LON 3570 9140 3591 9125 3612 9115 3610 9101
 3588 9110 3564 9128                  



$$

61
250 
WGUS84 KLZK 010205
FLSLZK


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
905 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood 
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Pocahontas affecting Randolph County

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Independence...Jackson and 
  Lawrence Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.
 
Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our  
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don't Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC121-011705-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0039.160401T1948Z-160405T0900Z/
/POCA4.1.ER.160401T1948Z.160402T1200Z.160404T0300Z.NO/
905 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Pocahontas.
* from Friday afternoon to late Monday night...Or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 18.5 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impacts at 17.0 feet...Agricultural lands along the river east and 
  south of Pocahontas will be impacted by high water. Equipment and 
  livestock should be moved to higher ground.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Black River
  Pocahontas  17  14.7 Thu 08 PM   15.9   18.5   17.6   16.7   15.9


&&


LAT...LON 3612 9115 3625 9106 3630 9095 3620 9089
 3617 9098 3610 9101                  



$$

ARC063-067-075-011704-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.160331T0633Z.160403T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
905 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Black Rock.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.5 feet by 
  Saturday evening.
* Impacts at 20.0 feet...Agricultural land is flooding along both 
  banks of the river in Lawrence, Independence, and Jackson counties.
  Minor flooding in Powhatan Community and Courthouse State Park.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Black River
  Black Rock  14  19.0 Thu 08 PM   19.8   21.0   21.5   20.9   19.9


&&


LAT...LON 3570 9140 3591 9125 3612 9115 3610 9101
 3588 9110 3564 9128                  



$$

224
711 
WGUS84 KLZK 011453
FLSLZK


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
953 AM CDT FRI APR 1 2016

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood 
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Pocahontas affecting Randolph County

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Independence...Jackson and 
  Lawrence Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.
 
Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our  
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don't Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC121-020553-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0039.160403T0000Z-160404T0600Z/
/POCA4.1.ER.160403T0000Z.160403T0000Z.160403T0000Z.NO/
953 AM CDT FRI APR 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Pocahontas.
* from Saturday evening to late Sunday night...Or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 9:00 AM Friday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  by Saturday evening.
* Impacts at 17.0 feet...Agricultural lands along the river east and 
  south of Pocahontas will be impacted by high water. Equipment and 
  livestock should be moved to higher ground.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Black River
  Pocahontas  17  15.6 Fri 09 AM   16.8   16.8   16.2   15.5   15.0


&&


LAT...LON 3612 9115 3625 9106 3630 9095 3620 9089
 3617 9098 3610 9101                  



$$

ARC063-067-075-020552-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.160331T0633Z.160401T0815Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
953 AM CDT FRI APR 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Black Rock.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9:00 AM Friday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 18.0 feet 
  by Saturday morning.
* Impacts at 17.0 feet...Low lying cultivated land and pastures in 
  Lawrence, Jackson, and Independence counties flood.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Black River
  Black Rock  14  19.1 Fri 09 AM   18.0   16.7   15.9   15.2   14.6


&&


LAT...LON 3570 9140 3591 9125 3612 9115 3610 9101
 3588 9110 3564 9128                  



$$

61
171 
WGUS84 KLZK 020056
FLSLZK


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
756 PM CDT FRI APR 1 2016

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...The Flood 
Warning is cancelled for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Pocahontas affecting Randolph County


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.
 
Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our  
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don't Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC121-020126-
/O.CAN.KLZK.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-160404T0600Z/
/POCA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
756 PM CDT FRI APR 1 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Black River At Pocahontas.
* At  7:00 PM Friday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 16.6 feet 
  Saturday afternoon.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Black River
  Pocahontas  17  15.9 Fri 07 PM   16.5   16.2   15.5   14.6   13.9


&&


LAT...LON 3612 9115 3625 9106 3630 9095 3620 9089
 3617 9098 3610 9101                  



$$

224

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 30, 6:38 PM CDT, 3 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 30, 6:38 PM CDT, 3 hours 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
638 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED TO INCLUDE THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION. HAVE ALSO UPDATED
FORECAST TO EXPAND THE TOR WATCH #60 FURTHER NORTH AND EAST.

&&

.AVIATION...

SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA ONGOING ACROSS THE AREA...WITH SIGNIFICANT
DECREASE IN FLIGHT CONDITIONS. SOME STRONG TO SVR STORMS COULD BE
SEEN AS WELL. WILL NOT EXPECT WIDESPREAD IMPROVEMENTS UNTIL THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE ON THU AFTERNOON/EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 259 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016/

DISCUSSION...

MAIN CONCERNS THIS FORECAST CYCLE ARE CHANCES OF CONVECTION...WITH
HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE POTENTIAL IN THE FIRST 36 HOURS. FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

AFTERNOON CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER AR...WITH SEVERAL REPORTS
OF SMALL HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN. UPPER LEVEL LIFT AND LOW LEVEL
JET...AS WELL HAS HIGH PRECIP WATER VALUE AIR...HAS MOVED INTO
AR...AND WIDE SPREAD CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED. FORECAST WILL HAVE
A HIGH PERCENT OF RAIN. ALSO SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED...AND CURRENT TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT OVER SW AR UNTIL
10 PM. THE UPPER LOW WAS OVER THE WESTERN PLAINS...WITH A STRONG
SW UPPER FLOW INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. SPC DAY ONE HAS ENHANCED
AND SLIGHT RISK OVER ALL OF AR.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT

FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON TO TONIGHT WILL HAVE A HIGH CHANCE OF
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLATED SEVERE
POTENTIAL. CURRENT CLOUDS AND RAIN OVER AR SHOULD HOLD INSTABILITY
AT BAY...AND SEVERE STORM THREAT MAY BE HELD DOWN A BIT. A VEERING
PROFILE REMAINS OVER AR...ESPECIALLY IN THE EAST...AND AN ISOLATED
TORNADO THREAT WILL REMAIN STILL DO EXPECTED SOME FLASH FLOODING
WITH STORMS DUE TO HIGH WATER CONTENT. THE COLD FRONT WILL NOT
MOVE THROUGH AR UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...AND EVEN A LOWER CHANCE
OF RAIN WILL BE HELD AFTER FRONT UNTIL THE DRIER AND COOLER AIR
MASS FILTERS IN OVER THE REGION. TEMPS WILL BE AROUND NORMAL
VALUES...COOLING A BIT BEHIND THE FRONT.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

COMPARATIVELY QUIET LONG TERM...AS SUCH HAVE MADE VERY LITTLE IN THE
WAY OF SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE ONGOING FORECAST. LONG TERM BEGINS
WITH AN UPPER TROUGH SWINGING THROUGH COMBINED WITH NORTHERLY
SURFACE FLOW RESULTING IN BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE STATE MONDAY NIGHT...AT
THIS POINT HAVE MAINTAINED A DRY FORECAST AS MOISTURE REMAINS
LACKING. DID GO AND INCLUDE POPS WITH THE NEXT FRONT WEDNESDAY...AS
MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE A BIT BETTER. HOWEVER DIFFERENCES STILL
EXIST WITH THE MODELS AND ONLY WENT WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS AT THIS
TIME

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     60  75  45  65 /  90  30  10  10
CAMDEN AR         63  78  49  69 /  90  50  10  10
HARRISON AR       58  71  40  60 /  60  10   0  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    62  76  46  66 /  90  30  10   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  62  77  47  67 /  90  40  10   0
MONTICELLO AR     64  78  51  69 / 100  70  30   0
MOUNT IDA AR      62  75  44  64 /  80  20   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  59  75  42  63 /  80  10   0  10
NEWPORT AR        61  76  45  66 / 100  30  10   0
PINE BLUFF AR     63  78  49  67 / 100  50  20   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   61  76  44  65 /  80  20   0  10
SEARCY AR         62  76  45  66 /  90  30  10   0
STUTTGART AR      62  77  47  67 / 100  50  20   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR ARKANSAS-BRADLEY-
CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEVELAND-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
JEFFERSON-LINCOLN-MONROE-OUACHITA-PIKE.

&&

AVIATION...62
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 30, 3:45 PM CDT, 6 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
345 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-311015-
BOONE-MARION-BAXTER-FULTON-SHARP-NEWTON-SEARCY-STONE-IZARD-
INDEPENDENCE-JOHNSON-POPE-VAN BUREN-CLEBURNE-JACKSON-LOGAN-CONWAY-
FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-POLK-MONTGOMERY-GARLAND-
SALINE-PULASKI-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-MONROE-PIKE-CLARK-HOT SPRING-GRANT-
JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-DALLAS-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-DESHA-OUACHITA-CALHOUN-
BRADLEY-DREW-
345 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT
BRINGING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE STATE. HEAVY
RAIN WILL BE SEEN WITH THE STORMS...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE
SEEN.

WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
HEAVIEST AMOUNTS OVER THE SOUTH AND CENTRAL. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS ABOVE
3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF THE SLOW MOVING STORMS.
ISOLATED AREAS OF 3 INCHES TO AS MUCH AS 5 INCHES OF RAIN MAY BE
SEEN IF THE STORMS MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR SOUTHERN ARKANSAS.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. WHILE ANY PART
OF THE STATE COULD SEE SEVERE WEATHER...ONCE AGAIN THE SOUTH APPEARS
TO HAVE THE BEST CHANCE. ALL OF ARKANSAS IS IN A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER BUT AREAS SOUTH OF A MENA TO HOT SPRINGS TO STUTTGART
LINE WILL SEE AN ENHANCED THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER.

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS AND
A TORNADO RISK ALSO EXISTS. WHILE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ANYWHERE ACROSS THE STATE TODAY...THE STRONGEST STORMS ARE EXPECTED
THIS EVENING AND DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS IN THE ENHANCED RISK
AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVING EAST THURSDAY MORNING...AND
GRADUALLY MOVE OUT OF THE STATE AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH
ARKANSAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

56/59

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 30, 8:20 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
820 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CABOT                   34.97N 92.02W
03/30/2016                   LONOKE             AR   OTHER FEDERAL

            STREET FLOODING WAS REPORTED IN NEIGHBORHOODS AROUND THE
            MOUNT TABOR AREA IN CABOT.

&&

57
Special weather statement, Mar 30, 8:26 PM CDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
826 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

ARZ056-057-064-310215-
ARKANSAS AR-JEFFERSON AR-LINCOLN AR-
826 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON AND NORTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM
CDT...

AT 825 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
GRADY...OR 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF STAR CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GOULD...               GILLETT...             GRADY...
LITTLE BAYOU METO PA...
WHITEFIELD...          WOODVILLE...
DOUGLAS...             LANGFORD...            MERRISACH LAKE...
SARASSA...             VARNER...              AVERY...
FRESNO...              REYDELL...             BAYOU METEO STATE GA...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
ARKANSAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS.

LAT...LON 3406 9125 3401 9141 3401 9142 3400 9143
      3401 9146 3399 9147 3397 9151 3398 9154
      3396 9155 3391 9169 3406 9179 3431 9143
TIME...MOT...LOC 0125Z 237DEG 21KT 3403 9166

44
Special weather statement, Mar 30, 9:00 PM CDT, 50 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
900 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

ARZ047-057-310245-
ARKANSAS AR-MONROE AR-
900 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MONROE AND
SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM CDT...

AT 900 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
GILLETT...OR 18 MILES WEST OF WHITE RIVER NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GILLETT...             ST. CHARLES...         DE WITT...
MERRISACH LAKE...      WEBER...               CROSS ROADS IN MONRO...
ETHEL...               DE LUCE...             INDIAN BAY...
TICHNOR...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
ARKANSAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS.

LAT...LON 3434 9105 3432 9106 3431 9105 3425 9108
      3422 9106 3420 9109 3415 9108 3410 9113
      3402 9140 3413 9144 3415 9149 3418 9151
      3449 9106 3447 9105 3447 9100 3434 9100
TIME...MOT...LOC 0200Z 240DEG 32KT 3414 9138

44
Local storm report, Mar 30, 9:12 PM CDT, 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
912 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MERONEY                 33.96N 91.73W
03/30/2016                   LINCOLN            AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            THE ROOF WAS BLOWN OFF OF A MOBILE HOME.

&&

57
Local storm report, Mar 30, 9:13 PM CDT, 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
913 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CAMDEN                  33.57N 92.84W
03/30/2016                   OUACHITA           AR   SOCIAL MEDIA

            A FEW TREES DOWN WITH ONE FALLING ON A HOUSE AND DAMAGING
            A CAR.

&&

226
Special weather statement, Mar 30, 9:43 PM CDT, 7 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
943 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

ARZ065-069-310330-
DESHA AR-DREW AR-
943 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN DESHA AND EASTERN DREW
COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM CDT...

AT 943 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
LADELLE...OR 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MONTICELLO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45
MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MONTICELLO...          DUMAS...               ROHWER...
TILLAR...              WATSON...              WINCHESTER...
MCGEHEE...             OMEGA...               LUCCA LANDING...
KELSO...               REED...                PICKENS IN DESHA COU...
MCARTHUR...            ENON...                PENDLETON...
SELMA...               YUKON...               COLLINS...
MORGAN POINT RECREAT...
MASONVILLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
ARKANSAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS.

LAT...LON 3379 9113 3372 9115 3370 9122 3367 9123
      3357 9145 3340 9171 3353 9186 3379 9160
      3379 9156 3384 9156 3400 9140 3398 9138
      3401 9134 3399 9132 3396 9135 3397 9129
      3378 9107
TIME...MOT...LOC 0243Z 223DEG 38KT 3353 9173

62

The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 30, 7:00 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKDesha, Drew45 min
Mar 30, 7:02 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKLincoln43 min
Mar 30, 7:07 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Dallas, Hot Spring and 1 more3 hr
Mar 30, 7:08 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKLonoke52 min
Mar 30, 7:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Cleveland, Drew, Lincoln34 min
Mar 30, 7:17 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKBradley, Cleveland, Drew, Lincoln43 min
Mar 30, 7:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleveland, Dallas, Grant, Hot Spring, Jefferson, Lonoke and 4 more6 hr
Mar 30, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDesha, Drew48 min
Mar 30, 7:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln26 min
Mar 30, 8:07 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKGarland, Grant, Hot Spring, Pulaski, Saline3 hr
Mar 30, 8:26 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKArkansas49 min
Mar 30, 8:27 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Lonoke and 5 more3 hr
Mar 30, 8:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Perry, Pulaski, Saline3 hr
Mar 30, 8:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Bradley, Cleveland, Drew, Grant, Jefferson and 5 more3 hr
Mar 30, 9:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKArkansas45 min
Mar 30, 9:43 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKDesha, Drew47 min
Mar 30, 9:50 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLZKLawrence, Randolph63 hr
Mar 30, 10:15 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKArkansas45 min
Mar 30, 10:24 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKDesha51 min
Mar 30, 10:25 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Bradley, Desha, Drew, Lincoln3 hr
Mar 30, 10:53 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKDesha37 min
Mar 30, 11:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDesha, Drew38 min
Mar 30, 11:09 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKDesha, Drew51 min
Mar 30, 11:15 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Dallas, Hot Spring and 1 more3 hr
Mar 30, 11:45 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Independence, Izard, Jackson and 8 more3 hr
Mar 31, 1:30 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Cleveland, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln6 hr
Mar 31, 1:46 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie, Pulaski and 1 more6 hr
Mar 31, 7:11 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKScott34 min
Mar 31, 7:24 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKLogan51 min
Mar 31, 8:38 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKPerry52 min
Mar 31, 9:20 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKWhite40 min
Mar 31, 9:22 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKIndependence38 min
Mar 31, 9:41 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKJackson49 min
Mar 31, 9:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJackson, White, Woodruff12 min
Mar 31, 9:46 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKFaulkner, White44 min
Mar 31, 10:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, White17 min
Mar 31, 10:10 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKFaulkner35 min
Mar 31, 10:17 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKPulaski43 min
Mar 31, 10:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, White37 min
Mar 31, 10:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, White28 min
Mar 31, 10:50 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKWoodruff40 min
Mar 31, 11:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJackson, White, Woodruff43 min
Mar 31, 11:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, White32 min
Mar 31, 11:36 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKWoodruff39 min
Mar 31, 2:01 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKJefferson44 min
Mar 31, 2:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJefferson, Lonoke43 min
Mar 31, 2:24 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKCleveland51 min
Mar 31, 2:30 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKGrant45 min
Mar 31, 2:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie46 min
Mar 31, 3:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe, Prairie38 min
Mar 31, 3:44 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKJefferson16 min
Mar 31, 4:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe35 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.