Severe Thunderstorm Warning 96, NWS Fort Worth, TX

258 
WWUS54 KFWD 310027
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
727 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

TXC193-310036-
/O.CAN.KFWD.SV.W.0096.000000T0000Z-160331T0100Z/
HAMILTON TX-
727 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL HAMILTON COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR
CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3163 9785 3167 9777 3173 9781 3181 9777
      3178 9745 3154 9745 3158 9787
TIME...MOT...LOC 0026Z 279DEG 18KT 3170 9766 

$$

TXC035-099-309-310100-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0096.000000T0000Z-160331T0100Z/
BOSQUE TX-MCLENNAN TX-CORYELL TX-
727 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL BOSQUE...WEST CENTRAL MCLENNAN AND NORTHEASTERN
CORYELL COUNTIES...

AT 726 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF CLIFTON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
VALLEY MILLS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3163 9785 3167 9777 3173 9781 3181 9777
      3178 9745 3154 9745 3158 9787
TIME...MOT...LOC 0026Z 279DEG 18KT 3170 9766 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DUNN

967 
WWUS54 KFWD 310050
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
750 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

TXC035-099-309-310059-
/O.CAN.KFWD.SV.W.0096.000000T0000Z-160331T0100Z/
BOSQUE TX-MCLENNAN TX-CORYELL TX-
750 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL BOSQUE...WEST
CENTRAL MCLENNAN AND NORTHEASTERN CORYELL COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE.

LAT...LON 3163 9785 3167 9777 3173 9781 3181 9777
      3178 9745 3154 9745 3158 9787
TIME...MOT...LOC 0048Z 286DEG 18KT 3167 9753 

$$

DUNN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
651 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

.AVIATION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT HAVE BEEN MOVING ACROSS THE
METROPLEX SINCE 22Z WILL MOVE TO THE EAST AFTER 01Z. THE DRYLINE
IS STALLING TO OUR WEST AND WILL LIKELY BE OVERTAKEN BY THE COLD
FRONT LATE TONIGHT. SOME REDEVELOPMENT COULD TAKE PLACE
OVERNIGHT...BUT THE CHANCES ARE NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO MENTION
ANYTHING IN THE TAFS. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL
TONIGHT AND WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST TOWARD 12Z AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE EVENING IN THE
WACO AREA. AFTER THESE STORMS PASS...SOME STRATUS WILL LIKELY
SPREAD BACK INTO THE AREA WITH MVFR DECREASING TO IFR BY 06Z.
SOUTH WINDS WILL PREVAIL FOR MOST OF TONIGHT... WITH WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHWEST TOWARD 10Z. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST
AT WACO 13-15Z WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT. THE LOW
CEILINGS WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.

58

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 243 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016/
EARLY AFTERNOON SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME BREAKS
IN THE CLOUD COVER MAINLY WEST OF INTERSTATE 35. TEMPERATURES HAVE
WARMED INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S WITH THE DRYLINE MIXING
EAST TOWARD WICHITA FALLS AND EXTENDING SOUTHWEST TOWARD
SWEETWATER. LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT CONTINUES TO SPREAD
OVER THE AREA AND SHOULD HAVE NO PROBLEM LIFTING SURFACE BASED
PARCELS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE 18Z FWD
SOUNDING DID INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF TWO WEAK CAPS...LIKELY THE
RESULT OF SOME SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF EARLIER CONVECTION.
OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS OF SEVERE PARAMETERS INDICATES THAT MOST OF
NORTH TEXAS IS QUITE UNSTABLE WITH 1500-2000 J/KG CAPE WITH
POCKETS OF HIGHER INSTABILITY IN AREAS WHERE THE SUN HAS PEAKED
OUT. WIDESPREAD INHIBITION CONTINUES TO WEAKEN WHICH WILL SUPPORT
MORE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

THE DRYLINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST THIS EVENING AND SCATTERED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS WITH
THE BEST CHANCES ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. STEEP LAPSE
RATES WILL SUPPORT A VERY LARGE HAIL THREAT AND DAMAGING WIND
THREAT. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY BE LIMITED INITIALLY OWING
TO GENERALLY WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND A BACKED MID LEVEL WIND
PROFILE. THE WIND PROFILE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A LITTLE MORE
FAVORABLE LATER THIS EVENING AS THE STORMS CONTINUE EAST SO THIS
POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

CONCERNING THE FORECAST...WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST POPS SPREADING
EAST INTO THE METROPLEX ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR AND NORTH TO THE
RED RIVER THROUGH EARLY EVENING WITH A PROGRESSION RATHER QUICKLY
INTO THE ARKLATEX BY MIDNIGHT. OVERNIGHT...AS THE MAIN TROUGH
REMAINS TO THE WEST...WE WILL STILL BE IN A FAVORABLE AREA FOR
ASCENT. MOST OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE BRING A SLUG OF MID LEVEL
MOISTURE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS AFTER MIDNIGHT. IF THIS PANS OUT WITH
STEEP LAPSE RATES STILL IN PLACE...ISOLATED ELEVATED CONVECTION
MAY DEVELOP. HAIL WOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY STORMS LATE
OVERNIGHT.

BY THURSDAY MORNING...THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH NORTH TEXAS
USHERING IN SOME DRIER AIR AND CLEARING SKIES. THE NICE WEATHER
WILL BE BRIEF AS CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO THE AREA FRIDAY
WITH THE MAIN TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. A STRONGER TROUGH
ALSO MOVES THROUGH THE MIDWEST DURING THIS TIME SENDING A
SECONDARY COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION. THIS SHOULD ALLOW
TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY TO BE RATHER COOL WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S
AREAWIDE. IN ADDITION...SOME WEAK ASCENT WILL SUPPORT SOME LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS...ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES ARE GENERALLY AROUND 20
PERCENT.

AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE AREA ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO
THE 70S ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AND LOWER 80S BY MONDAY. MOST OF
NEXT WEEK LOOKS QUIET WITH TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.

DUNN

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  59  75  49  63  44 /  50  10   5  20  10
WACO, TX              60  76  49  64  43 /  50   5   5  20  10
PARIS, TX             60  74  46  64  41 /  70  10   5  10  10
DENTON, TX            54  73  43  62  40 /  40   5   5  10  10
MCKINNEY, TX          57  73  44  63  41 /  60  10   5  20  10
DALLAS, TX            60  75  48  63  45 /  60  10   5  20  10
TERRELL, TX           60  73  48  65  43 /  60  10   5  20  10
CORSICANA, TX         63  76  51  66  45 /  60  10   5  20  10
TEMPLE, TX            62  78  50  65  44 /  30   5   5  20  10
MINERAL WELLS, TX     53  74  44  62  39 /  20   5   5  20  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

58/58

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
340 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-311200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
340 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
A DRYLINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THIS
EVENING AND A COLD FRONT WILL OVERTAKE THE DRYLINE OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AREA WIDE THROUGH
TONIGHT. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE THROUGH THIS EVENING.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY SOME OF THE STORMS. A
FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH
THIS EVENING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
556 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     HAIL             9 N HAMILTON            31.83N  98.12W
03/30/2016  E1.25 INCH       HAMILTON           TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            HAIL FROM QUARTER OF AN INCH UP TO HALF DOLLAR SIZED
            HAIL GUST UP TO 60MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
604 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0557 PM     HAIL             BRIAROAKS               32.49N  97.30W
03/30/2016  E1.25 INCH       JOHNSON            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL IN BRIAROAKS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
624 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0619 PM     HAIL             4 NE HAMILTON           31.74N  98.07W
03/30/2016  E1.00 INCH       HAMILTON           TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1 INCH HAIL 4 MILES NE OF HAMILTON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
625 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0624 PM     HAIL             1 S LILLIAN             32.49N  97.20W
03/30/2016  E1.75 INCH       JOHNSON            TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL JUST SOUTH OF LILIAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
632 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0631 PM     TSTM WND GST     VENUS                   32.43N  97.12W
03/30/2016  M60 MPH          JOHNSON            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            60 MPH WIND MEASURED BY AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
641 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     TSTM WND GST     DALLAS                  32.77N  96.78W
03/30/2016  E65 MPH          DALLAS             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            65 MPH WIND SPEED IN DALLAS NORTHEAST OF I35 AND EAST
            8TH STREET