Severe Thunderstorm Warning 84, NWS Fort Worth, TX

024 
WWUS54 KFWD 302106
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
406 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

TXC367-302130-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-160330T2130Z/
PARKER TX-
406 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL PARKER COUNTY...

AT 406 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTH OF HUDSON OAKS TO 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
COOL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WEATHERFORD...AZLE...BRIAR...WILLOW PARK...RENO...SPRINGTOWN...HUDSON OAKS...
ANNETTA...ANNETTA SOUTH...ANNETTA NORTH AND SANCTUARY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3273 9799 3299 9772 3299 9754 3282 9755
      3269 9765 3256 9790 3256 9803
TIME...MOT...LOC 2106Z 233DEG 21KT 3285 9772 3266 9793 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

92

132 
WWUS54 KFWD 302130
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
430 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

TXC367-302139-
/O.EXP.KFWD.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-160330T2130Z/
PARKER TX-
430 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL PARKER COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 430 PM CDT...
            
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER SMALL
HAIL...GUSTY WINDS...AND HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS.

IF THESE THUNDERSTORMS RESTRENGTHEN ANOTHER SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WARNING MAY BE REISSUED.

LAT...LON 3273 9799 3299 9772 3299 9754 3282 9755
      3269 9765 3256 9790 3256 9803
TIME...MOT...LOC 2128Z 222DEG 22KT 3285 9772 3266 9793 

$$

92

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
243 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
EARLY AFTERNOON SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME BREAKS
IN THE CLOUD COVER MAINLY WEST OF INTERSTATE 35. TEMPERATURES HAVE
WARMED INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S WITH THE DRYLINE MIXING
EAST TOWARD WICHITA FALLS AND EXTENDING SOUTHWEST TOWARD
SWEETWATER. LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT CONTINUES TO SPREAD
OVER THE AREA AND SHOULD HAVE NO PROBLEM LIFTING SURFACE BASED
PARCELS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE 18Z FWD
SOUNDING DID INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF TWO WEAK CAPS...LIKELY THE
RESULT OF SOME SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF EARLIER CONVECTION.
OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS OF SEVERE PARAMETERS INDICATES THAT MOST OF
NORTH TEXAS IS QUITE UNSTABLE WITH 1500-2000 J/KG CAPE WITH
POCKETS OF HIGHER INSTABILITY IN AREAS WHERE THE SUN HAS PEAKED
OUT. WIDESPREAD INHIBITION CONTINUES TO WEAKEN WHICH WILL SUPPORT
MORE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

THE DRYLINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST THIS EVENING AND SCATTERED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS WITH
THE BEST CHANCES ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. STEEP LAPSE
RATES WILL SUPPORT A VERY LARGE HAIL THREAT AND DAMAGING WIND
THREAT. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY BE LIMITED INITIALLY OWING
TO GENERALLY WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND A BACKED MID LEVEL WIND
PROFILE. THE WIND PROFILE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A LITTLE MORE
FAVORABLE LATER THIS EVENING AS THE STORMS CONTINUE EAST SO THIS
POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

CONCERNING THE FORECAST...WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST POPS SPREADING
EAST INTO THE METROPLEX ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR AND NORTH TO THE
RED RIVER THROUGH EARLY EVENING WITH A PROGRESSION RATHER QUICKLY
INTO THE ARKLATEX BY MIDNIGHT. OVERNIGHT...AS THE MAIN TROUGH
REMAINS TO THE WEST...WE WILL STILL BE IN A FAVORABLE AREA FOR
ASCENT. MOST OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE BRING A SLUG OF MID LEVEL
MOISTURE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS AFTER MIDNIGHT. IF THIS PANS OUT WITH
STEEP LAPSE RATES STILL IN PLACE...ISOLATED ELEVATED CONVECTION
MAY DEVELOP. HAIL WOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY STORMS LATE
OVERNIGHT.

BY THURSDAY MORNING...THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH NORTH TEXAS
USHERING IN SOME DRIER AIR AND CLEARING SKIES. THE NICE WEATHER
WILL BE BRIEF AS CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO THE AREA FRIDAY
WITH THE MAIN TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. A STRONGER TROUGH
ALSO MOVES THROUGH THE MIDWEST DURING THIS TIME SENDING A
SECONDARY COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION. THIS SHOULD ALLOW
TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY TO BE RATHER COOL WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S
AREAWIDE. IN ADDITION...SOME WEAK ASCENT WILL SUPPORT SOME LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS...ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES ARE GENERALLY AROUND 20
PERCENT.

AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE AREA ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO
THE 70S ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AND LOWER 80S BY MONDAY. MOST OF
NEXT WEEK LOOKS QUIET WITH TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.

DUNN

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1247 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016/
THE FIRST ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVED ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS THIS MORNING...AND THE REMAINING STORMS
EXTENDED EAST OF A PARIS TO WAXAHACHIE TO LAMPASAS LINE
AS OF 1730Z. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST.
THE NEXT THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE METROPLEX AND WACO
TAF SITES WILL BE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A DRYLINE THAT
EXTENDED FROM SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA TO EAST OF KCDS /CHILDRESS/ TO
KBPG /BIG SPRING/ AT 1730Z. THE CURRENT TIMING HAS THESE STORMS
AFFECTING THE METROPLEX TAF SITES 22Z-01Z...AND 00Z-03Z AT WACO.
THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS
AND VERY STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

THE STORM THREAT WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR
LATE THIS EVENING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO RETURN
TO THE METROPLEX...BUT STRATUS MAY COME BACK IN FOR THE 06 TO 15Z
PERIOD AT WACO. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE METROPLEX
TOWARD SUNRISE /12Z/ WITH A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AT 10 TO
15 KNOTS. THE WIND SHIFT AT WACO WILL 13 TO 15Z.

58

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  59  75  49  63  44 /  50  10   5  20  10
WACO, TX              60  76  49  64  43 /  40   5   5  20  10
PARIS, TX             60  74  46  64  41 /  70  10   5  10  10
DENTON, TX            54  73  43  62  40 /  40   5   5  10  10
MCKINNEY, TX          57  73  44  63  41 /  60  10   5  20  10
DALLAS, TX            60  75  48  63  45 /  50  10   5  20  10
TERRELL, TX           60  73  48  65  43 /  70  10   5  20  10
CORSICANA, TX         63  76  51  66  45 /  60  10   5  20  10
TEMPLE, TX            62  78  50  65  44 /  30   5   5  20  10
MINERAL WELLS, TX     53  74  44  62  39 /  20   5   5  20  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
313 AM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-310900-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
313 AM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE TODAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES
INTO THE PLAINS AND A DRYLINE AND COLD FRONT APPROACH FROM THE
WEST. THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS WILL BE
WARM...HUMID AND UNSTABLE RESULTING IN A THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS.

AT LEAST TWO ROUNDS OF STORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION THIS
MORNING...SHIFTING EAST THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL
BE SEVERE. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH THIS FIRST
ROUND OF SEVERE STORMS BUT THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND AN
ISOLATED TORNADO WILL INCREASE BY MIDDAY.

STORMS FROM THE FIRST ROUND MAY STILL BE ONGOING THIS AFTERNOON TO
THE EAST OF INTERSTATE 35/35E AS THE SECOND ROUND DEVELOPS. THIS
SECOND ROUND WILL BE LOCATED NEAR THE DRYLINE WEST OF INTERSTATE
35/35W. SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH A THREAT FOR LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE THREAT FOR
SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE NIGHT AS THE FRONT OVERTAKES
THE DRYLINE AND MOVES IT EAST THROUGH THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY STILL OCCUR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING EAST OF
A LINE FROM SULPHUR SPRINGS TO WACO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY
THROUGH TONIGHT.

JLDUNN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
205 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

TXZ122-135-301945-
VAN ZANDT TX-HENDERSON TX-
205 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL VAN ZANDT AND NORTH
CENTRAL HENDERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM CDT...

AT 205 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
EUSTACE...OR 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF ATHENS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ATHENS...GUN BARREL CITY...CANTON...MALAKOFF...EUSTACE...EDOM...ENCHANTED
OAKS...CANEY CITY...PURTIS CREEK STATE PARK...PAYNE SPRINGS...LOG CABIN
AND MURCHISON.

LAT...LON 3213 9597 3226 9612 3260 9581 3241 9558
TIME...MOT...LOC 1905Z 224DEG 30KT 3225 9599

92

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
221 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0219 PM     HAIL             5 NW BRECKENRIDGE       32.80N  98.96W
03/30/2016  E2.50 INCH       STEPHENS           TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            AT HUBBARD CREEK LAKE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
303 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

TXZ102-302030-
WISE TX-
303 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN WISE COUNTY UNTIL 330 PM
CDT...

AT 303 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
BOONSVILLE...OR 11 MILES SOUTH OF BRIDGEPORT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DECATUR...BRIDGEPORT...CHICO...PARADISE...BOONSVILLE...COTTONDALE...RUNAWAY
BAY AND LAKE BRIDGEPORT.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3300 9770 3301 9792 3332 9781 3319 9747
TIME...MOT...LOC 2003Z 221DEG 22KT 3304 9782

92

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
309 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0258 PM     HAIL             3 N EDGEWOOD            32.74N  95.88W
03/30/2016  E0.75 INCH       VAN ZANDT          TX   PUBLIC

            HWY 64 AND FM314

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
309 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

TXZ100-302030-
YOUNG TX-
309 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN YOUNG COUNTY UNTIL
330 PM CDT...

AT 309 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
ELBERT...OR 13 MILES EAST OF THROCKMORTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10
MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OLNEY AND NEWCASTLE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3338 9895 3340 9892 3340 9876 3322 9867
      3317 9894 3320 9896
TIME...MOT...LOC 2009Z 246DEG 9KT 3325 9897

92

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
319 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0317 PM     HAIL             PARADISE                33.15N  97.65W
03/30/2016  E1.00 INCH       WISE               TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL