Severe Thunderstorm Warning 32, NWS Fort Worth, TX

840 
WWUS54 KFWD 170955
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
455 AM CDT THU MAR 17 2016

TXC113-139-251-439-171030-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0032.000000T0000Z-160317T1030Z/
ELLIS TX-DALLAS TX-JOHNSON TX-TARRANT TX-
455 AM CDT THU MAR 17 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 AM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN ELLIS...SOUTHWESTERN DALLAS...NORTHEASTERN JOHNSON
AND SOUTHEASTERN TARRANT COUNTIES...

AT 454 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MANSFIELD...
MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DALLAS...FORT WORTH...ARLINGTON...IRVING...GRAND PRAIRIE...MANSFIELD...
DESOTO...CEDAR HILL...DUNCANVILLE...MIDLOTHIAN...GLENN HEIGHTS...COCKRELL
HILL...RENDON...OVILLA...VENUS...PANTEGO...MAYPEARL AND CEDAR HILL STATE
PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3247 9723 3280 9715 3278 9680 3232 9697
      3235 9703
TIME...MOT...LOC 0954Z 284DEG 29KT 3262 9708 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

30

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
332 AM CDT THU MAR 17 2016

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DEVELOPED OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST COUNTIES SHOULD CONTINUE NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A MID
LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND IS WORKING ITS WAY EAST ON THE NORTH SIDE OF
A WARM FRONT. THE FRONT APPEARED TO EXTEND ALONG A LINE FROM
BRECKENRIDGE TO PALESTINE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. ELEVATED
INSTABILITY CURRENTLY IN PLACE WILL LIKELY PERSIST AS THESE CELLS
WORK THEIR WAY EAST INTO THE DALLAS-FORT WORTH AREA...SO AN
OUTSIDE CHANCE OF LARGE HAIL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNRISE. STORMS
MAY WEAKEN BEFORE REACHING THE METROPLEX...BUT WILL STILL POSE A
THREAT FOR AT LEAST SMALL HAIL...LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN.

THERE WILL LIKELY BE A TRANSITION FROM THE ELEVATED STORMS NORTH
OF THE I-20 REGION TO SURFACE BASED CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE WARM
FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. GOOD INSTABILITY WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE REGION...BUT WEAKER SHEAR SHOULD PRECLUDE
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON. STILL..A FEW STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
SHIFT EAST OF THE REGION THIS EVENING AS THE IMPULSE RACES TOWARDS
THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

THE WARMER AIRMASS SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY WILL KEEP LOW
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES
OVERNIGHT. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES OR SO COOLER ON
THE NORTH SIDE OF THE FRONT.

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DROP SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THIS WILL SEND A COLD FRONT SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION FRIDAY...ALONG WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR CONVECTION WILL BE DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS ON FRIDAY WHEN THE BEST INSTABILITY WILL OCCUR IN
ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. A FEW STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF LARGE
HAIL. DAMAGING WINDS COULD ALSO OCCUR IF CONVECTION BECOMES
ORGANIZED ALONG THE ADVANCING FRONT. THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR STRONG
TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS WILL EXIST OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
THE REGION WHERE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BE HIGHEST.

COOLER AND DRIER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT AND SUBSIDENCE ON THE BACK
SIDE OF THE SHORTWAVE WILL BRING AN END TO OUR RAIN CHANCES LATE FRIDAY
EVENING. WE WILL KEEP SOME LOW POPS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN-MOST
COUNTIES EARLY SATURDAY DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW LINGERING
SHOWERS. BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND
WITH LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S AND HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL PROVIDE A WARM-UP DURING THE FIRST HALF
OF NEXT WEEK...THEN THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN CHANCES
BACK TO THE AREA ABOUT A WEEK FROM TODAY.

30

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1152 PM CDT WED MAR 16 2016/
/6Z TAFS/

VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS OF NOW BUT THE
WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO EDGE NORTHWARD WITH MVFR CIGS AND
VISIBILITY NOT FAR BEHIND. WACO WILL LIKELY FALL TO MVFR HERE
SHORTLY AS THE FRONT SPREADS NORTH. THERE WAS ONE SHOWER THAT
DEVELOPED WEST OF BRECKENRIDGE OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS BUT
THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGN OF ADDITIONAL CONVECTION. THE LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATER TONIGHT...MAINLY WEST OF THE MAJOR METROPLEX AIRPORTS. THESE
WILL LIKELY TRACK SOUTHEAST THROUGH EARLY MORNING. WILL CONTINUE
WITH THE VCTS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AT THE METROPLEX
AIRPORTS. OTHERWISE...MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL MUCH
OF THE DAY THURSDAY ACROSS NORTH TEXAS...WITH FURTHER
DETERIORATION OF CIGS/VIS EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL
LIKELY BE SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME THUNDERSTORMS...BUT COVERAGE AND
TIMING IS TOO UNCERTAIN TO PIN DOWN SPECIFICALLY IN THE TAFS.
LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME MORE EASTERLY OVERNIGHT INTO
THURSDAY.

DUNN

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  68  56  66  46  59 /  30  40  50  50  10
WACO, TX              73  59  71  47  60 /  50  40  50  60  20
PARIS, TX             69  51  64  43  58 /  30  40  50  50  10
DENTON, TX            66  53  63  43  58 /  30  40  50  50  10
MCKINNEY, TX          68  53  64  44  58 /  30  40  50  50  10
DALLAS, TX            68  57  66  46  59 /  30  40  50  50  10
TERRELL, TX           70  55  67  46  59 /  30  40  50  50  10
CORSICANA, TX         72  59  71  48  60 /  40  40  50  60  20
TEMPLE, TX            75  61  73  48  61 /  50  40  50  60  20
MINERAL WELLS, TX     66  54  63  42  58 /  40  30  50  40  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
949 PM CDT WED MAR 16 2016

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-171200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
949 PM CDT WED MAR 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MOST OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS AFTER MIDNIGHT. BEST CHANCES WILL BE WEST OF A
GAINESVILLE...TO DALLAS-FORT WORTH...TO HILLSBORO AND COMANCHE
LINE. GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY...AND WIND SHEAR...A FEW
STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MAIN
HAZARD BEING HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING AT DAYBREAK THURSDAY.
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE REGIONWIDE THROUGHOUT THE
DAY. HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS...
PARTICULARLY FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE
20 CORRIDOR.

FRIDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS
ON FRIDAY...BRINGING WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS.
INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR APPEAR MARGINAL FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER...BUT STRONG WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IF A SQUALL LINE IS
ABLE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE ADVANCING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL END FROM NORTH TO SOUTH EARLY SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME...BUT INTERESTS
ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 35 SHOULD BE ALERT FOR THE POSSIBILITY
OF HAIL AND REPORTS ARE APPRECIATED OVERNIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
413 AM CDT THU MAR 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 AM     HAIL             WHITE SETTLEMENT        32.77N  97.45W
03/17/2016  E0.88 INCH       TARRANT            TX   PUBLIC

            NICKEL HAIL IN WHITE SETTLEMENT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
418 AM CDT THU MAR 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 AM     HAIL             3 NE ALEDO              32.73N  97.56W
03/17/2016  E1.00 INCH       PARKER             TX   PUBLIC

            LARGE QUANTITY OF QUARTER HAIL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
422 AM CDT THU MAR 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0417 AM     HAIL             2 SW WESTOVER HILLS     32.75N  97.45W
03/17/2016  E1.50 INCH       TARRANT            TX   PUBLIC

            PING PONG BALL HAIL NEAR CAMP BOWIE BLVD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
423 AM CDT THU MAR 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 AM     HAIL             BENBROOK                32.68N  97.45W
03/17/2016  E1.75 INCH       TARRANT            TX   PUBLIC

            GOLF BALL HAIL IN BENBROOK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
427 AM CDT THU MAR 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0409 AM     TSTM WND DMG     BENBROOK                32.68N  97.45W
03/17/2016                   TARRANT            TX   PUBLIC

            FENCE BLOWN DOWN IN BENBROOK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
434 AM CDT THU MAR 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0423 AM     HAIL             2 SE WESTOVER HILLS     32.75N  97.41W
03/17/2016  M1.75 INCH       TARRANT            TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            GOLF BALL HAIL AT I-30 AND HULEN (ARLINGTON HEIGHTS)