Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Watches in 2016

Flash Flood Watch 5, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

May 31, 201633 counties in Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this flash flood watch at May 31, 2016, 10:52 AM CDT for 33 counties in Texas. It took effect at May 31, 2016, 11:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 31, 2016, 10:52 AM CDT (15:52 UTC)
In effect from
May 31, 2016, 11:00 AM CDT
Expired
Jun 4, 2016, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Flood severity
None
All 33 counties

Atascosa County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Comal County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Llano County, TX, Maverick County, TX, Medina County, TX, Real County, TX, Travis County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDLF), launched 12:00Z, 3.9 hours before the alert went out and 218 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-05-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1595 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-05-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 58 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1595 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-94 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
777 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
58 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

722 
WGUS64 KEWX 311552
FFAEWX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1052 AM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR MULTIPLE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL
FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY MORNING.
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST BETWEEN 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH
SOME LOCATIONS POTENTIALLY SEEING AS MUCH AS 10 INCHES. IN
ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL...MANY AREAS HAVE SEEN
MULTIPLE INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER THE PAST WEEK RESULTING IN
SATURATED SOILS UNABLE TO ABSORB MUCH MORE RAINFALL. THUS...HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF FLASH FLOODING
IN THE MOST VULNERABLE AREAS. ALSO...MULTIPLE AREA RIVERS AND
STREAMS ARE ELEVATED...SO FLASHY RIVER RISES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-011200-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FF.A.0005.160531T1600Z-160602T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...GEORGETOWN...DEL RIO...
ROCKSPRINGS...LEAKEY...KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG...
BOERNE...BLANCO...SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN...BASTROP...GIDDINGS...
BRACKETVILLE...UVALDE...HONDO...SAN ANTONIO...NEW BRAUNFELS...
SEGUIN...LOCKHART...LA GRANGE...EAGLE PASS...CRYSTAL CITY...
PEARSALL...PLEASANTON...FLORESVILLE...KARNES CITY...GONZALES...
CUERO...HALLETSVILLE...CARRIZO SPRINGS
1052 AM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...
   BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT... 
  DIMMIT...EDWARDS...FAYETTE...FRIO...GILLESPIE...GONZALES... 
  GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY...LAVACA...
   LEE...LLANO...MAVERICK...MEDINA...REAL...TRAVIS...UVALDE...
  VAL VERDE...WILLIAMSON...WILSON AND ZAVALA. 

* THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING

* WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH SOME LOCATIONS
  REACHING AS HIGH AS 10 INCHES. ALSO...VERY SATURATED SOILS WILL
  FURTHER ENHANCE THE POSSIBILITY FOR FLASH FLOODING AND INCREASE
  THE LIKELIHOOD OF RAPID FLOODING.

* RIVERS AND CREEKS ARE SWOLLEN AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL
  WORSEN THE CONDITIONS. SOILS ARE EXTREMELY SATURATED AND ANY
  ADDITIONAL RAINS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RAPID RUN OFF AND
  ACCUMULATION OF FLOOD WATERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

TB3
9 follow-up statements
618 
WGUS64 KEWX 010202
FFAEWX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
902 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR MULTIPLE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL
FROM TONIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY MORNING. WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST BETWEEN 4 AND 7 INCHES WITH SOME
LOCATIONS POTENTIALLY SEEING AS MUCH AS 15 INCHES. IN ADDITION TO
THE HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL...MANY AREAS HAVE SEEN MULTIPLE
INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE PAST WEEK RESULTING IN SATURATED SOIL UNABLE
TO ABSORB MUCH MORE WATER. THUS...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF FLASH FLOODING IN THE MOST
VULNERABLE AREAS. ALSO...MULTIPLE AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE
ELEVATED...SO FLASHY RIVER RISES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE DURING THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-011200-
/O.CON.KEWX.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-160602T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...GEORGETOWN...DEL RIO...
ROCKSPRINGS...LEAKEY...KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG...
BOERNE...BLANCO...SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN...BASTROP...GIDDINGS...
BRACKETVILLE...UVALDE...HONDO...SAN ANTONIO...NEW BRAUNFELS...
SEGUIN...LOCKHART...LA GRANGE...EAGLE PASS...CRYSTAL CITY...
PEARSALL...PLEASANTON...FLORESVILLE...KARNES CITY...GONZALES...
CUERO...HALLETSVILLE...CARRIZO SPRINGS
902 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO... 
  BURNET...CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT...DIMMIT...EDWARDS... 
  FAYETTE...FRIO...GILLESPIE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS... 
  KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO... 
  MAVERICK...MEDINA...REAL...TRAVIS...UVALDE...VAL VERDE... 
  WILLIAMSON...WILSON AND ZAVALA. 

* THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING

* WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES WITH SOME LOCATIONS
  REACHING AS HIGH AS 15 INCHES. ALSO...SATURATED SOILS WILL
  FURTHER ENHANCE THE POSSIBILITY FOR FLASH FLOODING.

* RIVERS AND CREEKS ARE SWOLLEN AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL
  WORSEN THE CONDITIONS. SOILS ARE SATURATED AND ANY ADDITIONAL
  RAINS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RAPID RUN OFF AND ACCUMULATION OF
  FLOOD WATERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
789 
WGUS64 KEWX 010902
FFAEWX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
402 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

.THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL FROM TODAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST
BETWEEN 3 AND 5 INCHES WITH SOME LOCATIONS POTENTIALLY SEEING AS
MUCH AS 10 INCHES. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL...
MANY AREAS HAVE SEEN MULTIPLE INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE PAST WEEK
RESULTING IN SATURATED SOIL UNABLE TO ABSORB MUCH MORE WATER.
THUS...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF
FLASH FLOODING IN THE MANY AREAS. ALSO...MULTIPLE AREA RIVERS AND
STREAMS ARE ELEVATED...SO FLASHY RIVER RISES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-012000-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-160603T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...GEORGETOWN...DEL RIO...
ROCKSPRINGS...LEAKEY...KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG...
BOERNE...BLANCO...SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN...BASTROP...GIDDINGS...
BRACKETVILLE...UVALDE...HONDO...SAN ANTONIO...NEW BRAUNFELS...
SEGUIN...LOCKHART...LA GRANGE...EAGLE PASS...CRYSTAL CITY...
PEARSALL...PLEASANTON...FLORESVILLE...KARNES CITY...GONZALES...
CUERO...HALLETSVILLE...CARRIZO SPRINGS
402 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO... 
  BURNET...CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT...DIMMIT...EDWARDS... 
  FAYETTE...FRIO...GILLESPIE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS... 
  KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO... 
  MAVERICK...MEDINA...REAL...TRAVIS...UVALDE...VAL VERDE... 
  WILLIAMSON...WILSON AND ZAVALA. 

* THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH SOME LOCATIONS
  REACHING AS HIGH AS 10 INCHES. ALSO...SATURATED SOILS WILL
  FURTHER ENHANCE THE POSSIBILITY FOR FLASH FLOODING.

* RIVERS AND CREEKS ARE SWOLLEN AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL 
  WORSEN THE CONDITIONS. SOILS ARE SATURATED AND ANY ADDITIONAL 
  RAINS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RAPID RUN OFF AND ACCUMULATION OF 
  FLOOD WATERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
968 
WGUS64 KEWX 011948
FFAEWX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
248 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

.THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS ARE
FORECAST BETWEEN 3 AND 5 INCHES WITH SOME LOCATIONS POTENTIALLY
SEEING AS MUCH AS 10 INCHES. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL
POTENTIAL... MANY AREAS HAVE SEEN MULTIPLE INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE
PAST WEEK RESULTING IN SATURATED SOIL UNABLE TO ABSORB MUCH MORE
WATER. THUS...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RAPID
DEVELOPMENT OF FLASH FLOODING IN THE MANY AREAS. ALSO...MULTIPLE
AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE ELEVATED...SO FLASHY RIVER RISES WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-021200-
/O.CON.KEWX.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-160603T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...GEORGETOWN...DEL RIO...
ROCKSPRINGS...LEAKEY...KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG...
BOERNE...BLANCO...SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN...BASTROP...GIDDINGS...
BRACKETVILLE...UVALDE...HONDO...SAN ANTONIO...NEW BRAUNFELS...
SEGUIN...LOCKHART...LA GRANGE...EAGLE PASS...CRYSTAL CITY...
PEARSALL...PLEASANTON...FLORESVILLE...KARNES CITY...GONZALES...
CUERO...HALLETSVILLE...CARRIZO SPRINGS
248 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO... 
  BURNET...CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT...DIMMIT...EDWARDS... 
  FAYETTE...FRIO...GILLESPIE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS... 
  KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO... 
  MAVERICK...MEDINA...REAL...TRAVIS...UVALDE...VAL VERDE... 
  WILLIAMSON...WILSON AND ZAVALA. 

* THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH SOME 
  LOCATIONS REACHING AS HIGH AS 10 INCHES. ALSO...SATURATED 
  SOILS WILL FURTHER ENHANCE THE POSSIBILITY FOR FLASH FLOODING. 

* RIVERS AND CREEKS ARE SWOLLEN AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL 
  WORSEN THE CONDITIONS. SOILS ARE SATURATED AND ANY ADDITIONAL 
  RAINS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RAPID RUN OFF AND ACCUMULATION OF 
  FLOOD WATERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
413 
WGUS64 KEWX 020659
FFAEWX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
159 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

.SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ARE LIKELY THIS MORNING
ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL
TEXAS. THERE WILL BE CONTINUED CHANCES FOR LOCALIZED AREAS OF
HEAVY RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES WITH SOME
LOCATIONS POTENTIALLY SEEING AS MUCH AS 8 INCHES. IN ADDITION TO
THE HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL...MANY AREAS HAVE SEEN MULTIPLE
INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE PAST WEEK RESULTING IN SATURATED SOIL
UNABLE TO ABSORB MUCH MORE WATER. THUS...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
LIKELY RESULT IN RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF FLASH FLOODING IN THE MANY
AREAS. ALSO...MULTIPLE AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE ELEVATED...SO
FLASHY RIVER RISES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-022000-
/O.CON.KEWX.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-160603T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...GEORGETOWN...DEL RIO...
ROCKSPRINGS...LEAKEY...KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG...
BOERNE...BLANCO...SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN...BASTROP...GIDDINGS...
BRACKETVILLE...UVALDE...HONDO...SAN ANTONIO...NEW BRAUNFELS...
SEGUIN...LOCKHART...LA GRANGE...EAGLE PASS...CRYSTAL CITY...
PEARSALL...PLEASANTON...FLORESVILLE...KARNES CITY...GONZALES...
CUERO...HALLETSVILLE...CARRIZO SPRINGS
159 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO... 
  BURNET...CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT...DIMMIT...EDWARDS... 
  FAYETTE...FRIO...GILLESPIE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS... 
  KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO... 
  MAVERICK...MEDINA...REAL...TRAVIS...UVALDE...VAL VERDE... 
  WILLIAMSON...WILSON AND ZAVALA. 

* THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH SOME LOCATIONS
  REACHING AS HIGH AS 8 INCHES. ALSO...SATURATED SOILS WILL
  FURTHER ENHANCE THE POSSIBILITY FOR FLASH FLOODING.

* RIVERS AND CREEKS ARE SWOLLEN AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL 
  WORSEN THE CONDITIONS. SOILS ARE SATURATED AND ANY ADDITIONAL 
  RAINS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RAPID RUN OFF AND ACCUMULATION OF 
  FLOOD WATERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

JR
690 
WGUS64 KEWX 022103
FFAEWX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
403 PM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING...

.SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. 
WHILE THE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY
DECREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...STORMS WILL STILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL RATES OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR.
WITH MANY AREAS ALREADY SEEING MULTIPLE INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE
PAST WEEK AND SOILS REMAINING SATURATED...THE POSSIBILITY FOR
FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES. ALSO...MULTIPLE AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS
ARE ELEVATED...SO FLASHY RIVER RISES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST
BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES WITH SOME LOCATIONS POTENTIALLY SEEING AS
MUCH AS 8 INCHES.

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-031215-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-160604T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...GEORGETOWN...DEL RIO...
ROCKSPRINGS...LEAKEY...KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG...
BOERNE...BLANCO...SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN...BASTROP...GIDDINGS...
BRACKETVILLE...UVALDE...HONDO...SAN ANTONIO...NEW BRAUNFELS...
SEGUIN...LOCKHART...LA GRANGE...EAGLE PASS...CRYSTAL CITY...
PEARSALL...PLEASANTON...FLORESVILLE...KARNES CITY...GONZALES...
CUERO...HALLETSVILLE...CARRIZO SPRINGS
403 PM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO... 
  BURNET...CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT...DIMMIT...EDWARDS... 
  FAYETTE...FRIO...GILLESPIE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS... 
  KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO... 
  MAVERICK...MEDINA...REAL...TRAVIS...UVALDE...VAL VERDE... 
  WILLIAMSON...WILSON AND ZAVALA. 

* THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

* EVENT RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH SOME LOCATIONS
  REACHING AS HIGH AS 8 INCHES. ALSO...SATURATED SOILS WILL
  FURTHER ENHANCE THE POSSIBILITY FOR FLASH FLOODING.

* RIVERS AND CREEKS ARE SWOLLEN AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL 
  WORSEN THE CONDITIONS. SOILS ARE SATURATED AND ANY ADDITIONAL 
  RAINS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RAPID RUN OFF AND ACCUMULATION OF 
  FLOOD WATERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
639 
WGUS64 KEWX 030922
FFAEWX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
422 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...

.SHOWERS AND STORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WITH RATES OF 2
INCHES PER HOUR. WITH MANY AREAS ALREADY SEEING MULTIPLE INCHES OF
RAIN OVER THE PAST WEEK AND SOILS REMAINING SATURATED...THE
POSSIBILITY FOR FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES. ALSO...LEVELS ON MANY
AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE ELEVATED AND FLASHY RIVER RISES ARE
POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH SOME LOCATIONS POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 6
INCHES. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED AS LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-032100-
/O.CON.KEWX.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-160604T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...GEORGETOWN...DEL RIO...
ROCKSPRINGS...LEAKEY...KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG...
BOERNE...BLANCO...SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN...BASTROP...GIDDINGS...
BRACKETVILLE...UVALDE...HONDO...SAN ANTONIO...NEW BRAUNFELS...
SEGUIN...LOCKHART...LA GRANGE...EAGLE PASS...CRYSTAL CITY...
PEARSALL...PLEASANTON...FLORESVILLE...KARNES CITY...GONZALES...
CUERO...HALLETSVILLE...CARRIZO SPRINGS
422 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO... 
  BURNET...CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT...DIMMIT...EDWARDS... 
  FAYETTE...FRIO...GILLESPIE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS... 
  KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO... 
  MAVERICK...MEDINA...REAL...TRAVIS...UVALDE...VAL VERDE... 
  WILLIAMSON...WILSON AND ZAVALA. 

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH SOME LOCATIONS
  AS HIGH AS 6 INCHES. ALSO...SATURATED SOILS WILL FURTHER ENHANCE
  THE POSSIBILITY FOR FLASH FLOODING.

* RIVERS AND CREEKS ARE SWOLLEN AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL 
  WORSEN THE CONDITIONS. SOILS ARE SATURATED AND ANY ADDITIONAL 
  RAINS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RAPID RUN OFF AND ACCUMULATION OF 
  FLOOD WATERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
972 
WGUS64 KEWX 031940
FFAEWX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
240 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...

TXZ183>185-202-203-217-218-228-032045-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-160604T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KINNEY-UVALDE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-DIMMIT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DEL RIO...ROCKSPRINGS...LEAKEY...
BRACKETVILLE...UVALDE...EAGLE PASS...CRYSTAL CITY...
CARRIZO SPRINGS
240 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING HAS DIMINISHED AND
THE WATCH IS NOT IN EFFECT.

$$

TXZ171>173-186>194-204>209-219>225-041100-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-160605T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-KERR-BANDERA-GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-
HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-
FAYETTE-FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...GEORGETOWN...
KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG...BOERNE...BLANCO...
SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN...BASTROP...GIDDINGS...HONDO...SAN ANTONIO...
NEW BRAUNFELS...SEGUIN...LOCKHART...LA GRANGE...PEARSALL...
PLEASANTON...FLORESVILLE...KARNES CITY...GONZALES...CUERO...
HALLETSVILLE
240 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO... 
  BURNET...CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT...FAYETTE...FRIO... 
  GILLESPIE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL... 
  KERR...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO...MEDINA...TRAVIS...WILLIAMSON AND 
  WILSON. 

* THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH SOME LOCATIONS
  AS HIGH AS 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. ALSO...SATURATED SOILS
  WILL FURTHER ENHANCE THE POSSIBILITY FOR FLASH FLOODING.

* RIVERS AND CREEKS ARE SWOLLEN AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL 
  WORSEN THE CONDITIONS. SOILS ARE SATURATED AND ANY ADDITIONAL 
  RAINS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RAPID RUN OFF AND ACCUMULATION OF 
  FLOOD WATERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
949 
WGUS64 KEWX 040823
FFAEWX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
323 AM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...

TXZ171>173-186>194-204>209-219>225-042000-
/O.CON.KEWX.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-160605T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-KERR-BANDERA-GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-
HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-
FAYETTE-FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...GEORGETOWN...
KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG...BOERNE...BLANCO...
SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN...BASTROP...GIDDINGS...HONDO...SAN ANTONIO...
NEW BRAUNFELS...SEGUIN...LOCKHART...LA GRANGE...PEARSALL...
PLEASANTON...FLORESVILLE...KARNES CITY...GONZALES...CUERO...
HALLETSVILLE
323 AM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO... 
  BURNET...CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT...FAYETTE...FRIO... 
  GILLESPIE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL... 
  KERR...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO...MEDINA...TRAVIS...WILLIAMSON AND 
  WILSON. 

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WHERE HEAVIER STORMS
  OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH ISOLATED POCKETS UP TO 3
  INCHES.

* RIVERS AND CREEKS ARE SWOLLEN AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL
  WORSEN THE CONDITIONS. SOILS ARE SATURATED AND ANY ADDITIONAL
  HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RAPID RUN OFF AND ACCUMULATION
  OF FLOOD WATERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
540 
WGUS64 KEWX 050018
FFAEWX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
718 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED...

.THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED. WHILE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED...THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME
HAS ENDED.

TXZ171>173-186>194-204>209-219>225-050130-
/O.EXP.KEWX.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-160605T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-KERR-BANDERA-GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-
HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-
FAYETTE-FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...GEORGETOWN...
KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG...BOERNE...BLANCO...
SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN...BASTROP...GIDDINGS...HONDO...SAN ANTONIO...
NEW BRAUNFELS...SEGUIN...LOCKHART...LA GRANGE...PEARSALL...
PLEASANTON...FLORESVILLE...KARNES CITY...GONZALES...CUERO...
HALLETSVILLE
718 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS HAS
EXPIRED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...BUT IT WILL BE SPOTTY
AND NOT HEAVY ENOUGH TO CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at May 31, 6:47 AM CDT, 4 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 31, 6:47 AM CDT, 4 hours 5 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
647 AM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.AVIATION... /12Z TAFS/

Rapid refresh models continue to struggle with the unstable
airmass over TX, each run attempting to break out new convection
in the first few hours. Given this poor performance, will revert
back to conventional late spring afternoon/early evening timing
with prob30s reflecting a breaking cap, as the 12z DRT sounding
suggests this could take some time today. The rest of the TAFs
continue to show routine lowering/raising of low cigs from VFR to
IFR and back in the early morning hours and mostly light winds.
Once organized convection develops over part of the area later
today...a more distinct forecast will be possible.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 357 AM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016/

SHORT TERM (Today through Wednesday)...
Early this morning, an upper level low centered over southwestern
Arizona is drifting south, a shortwave west of the Big Bend is
moving to the east, and a moist southeasterly lower level flow is
off the Gulf of Mexico. Radars show showers and thunderstorms west
of the Pecos River to the Big Bend and into Mexico and developing
over Rio Grande Plains. Expect these will move across Rio Grande
Plains and Edwards Plateau as other showers and thunderstorms
develop over those same areas as most hi-res models are showing.
The upper level low is forecast to move into northern Sonora state
of Mexico today and across northern Chihuahua state of Mexico on
Wednesday. Expect showers and thunderstorms to develop over
southwestern Texas and the Serranias del Burro of Mexico early
this afternoon, organize into an MCS by evening, and then move
across South Central Texas tonight. PWS rise with pockets near 2
inches with locally heavy rains possible. On Wednesday, a cold
front approaches from the north. Expect showers and thunderstorms
to develop along it and again over the Burros into southwestern
Texas around midday, then organize and move into South Central
Texas during the afternoon into evening. Locally heavy rains are
possible on Wednesday. Some models have slightly different timing
and location resulting in slight uncertainty on rainfall amounts.
Shear and instability are sufficient for isolated strong to severe
storms today through Wednesday.

LONG TERM (Wednesday Night through Monday)...
The upper level low moves into Texas on Thursday and then drifts
or meanders over mainly Central Texas Friday into Saturday. The
GFS shows it slowly pulling away Sunday into Monday, while the
ECMWF keeps it over our area Sunday into Monday. While yesterday's
model runs kept the front north of our area, the latest runs bring
it slowly through our area late Thursday into Friday. With these
latest developments, periods of showers and thunderstorms are
expected with the threat for heavy rains continuing to increase,
and possibly continue into late week or even this weekend should
the system slow as the ECMWF indicate. In addition, there is a
potential for the system to attain warm core characteristics which
along with elevated or surface boundaries could lead to copious
mainly nighttime rainfall amounts. For now, rainfall amounts of 3
to 6 inches are expected across most areas with some totals up to
10 inches possible.

HYDROLOGY...
Due to recent heavy rains making soils saturated in many places,
the potential for new or renewed flooding is high over the next
few days. Flash flood watches will likely be needed over the next
few days, possibly as early as tonight. In addition, some rivers
and streams may rise again out of banks or in flood.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              86  70  82  68  80 /  40  50  70  70  70
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  86  70  82  68  79 /  40  50  70  70  70
New Braunfels Muni Airport     86  70  82  68  80 /  40  50  70  70  70
Burnet Muni Airport            84  67  79  66  78 /  40  60  70  70  70
Del Rio Intl Airport           89  71  85  68  83 /  50  60  70  70  60
Georgetown Muni Airport        85  68  81  67  78 /  40  50  70  70  70
Hondo Muni Airport             86  70  83  67  81 /  50  60  70  70  70
San Marcos Muni Airport        85  70  81  67  79 /  40  50  70  70  70
La Grange - Fayette Regional   87  71  83  70  81 /  30  30  70  60  70
San Antonio Intl Airport       86  71  82  69  80 /  50  50  70  70  70
Stinson Muni Airport           87  72  83  70  81 /  50  50  70  70  70

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Mesoscale/Aviation...Oaks
Synoptic/Grids...04
Hazardous weather outlook, May 31, 3:43 AM CDT, 7 hours 9 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
343 AM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-010845-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
343 AM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FORECAST TODAY INTO TONIGHT WILL BRING A
THREAT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. SOILS
OVER MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS REMAIN SATURATED...AND LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

THERE IS ALSO A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL
OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. PRIMARY SEVERE
THREATS ARE FOR HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A CONTINUED ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY
WITH NUMEROUS ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY
RAINFALL POSSIBLE EACH DAY. ENHANCED CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY
RAINS ARE EXPECTED EARLY WEDNESDAY THROUGH DAYTIME THURSDAY. BETWEEN
TODAY AND THURSDAY...MOST AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO RECEIVE BETWEEN 3
AND 6 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS UP TO 10 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THE WET PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THIS
WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LOW BECOMES ALMOST STATIONARY OVER TEXAS.

IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN AND FLOOD THREAT FOR THIS WEEK...A
FEW STORMS WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY COULD BRIEFLY BECOME SEVERE
WITH HAIL UP TO 1 INCH AND 60 MPH WINDS POSSIBLE. PLEASE STAY
TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES AS IMPACTS FROM POTENTIAL HAZARDS BECOME
MORE CLEAR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

PLEASE REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 31, 10:42 AM CDT, 10 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1042 AM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

TXZ171-311630-
LLANO TX-
1042 AM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN LLANO COUNTY UNTIL
1130 AM CDT...

AT 1040 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
CASTELL...OR 15 MILES EAST OF MASON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... FIELD CREEK...VALLEY SPRING...CASTELL
AND STATE HIGHWAYS 29 AND 71 WEST OF LLANO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3084 9861 3061 9896 3092 9896 3092 9869
TIME...MOT...LOC 1540Z 230DEG 14KT 3079 9897

PLATT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 30, 10:00 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar, Wilson15 hr
May 31, 10:42 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXLlano48 min
May 31, 11:31 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXLlano3 hr
May 31, 11:52 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXEdwards, Kerr, Real3 hr
May 31, 12:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXLlano3 hr
May 31, 12:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBandera, Gillespie, Kerr, Real3 hr
May 31, 12:58 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXMedina, Uvalde4 hr
May 31, 1:55 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXBlanco50 min
May 31, 2:05 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBexar3 hr
May 31, 2:15 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBlanco, Burnet, Gillespie, Kendall, Llano3 hr
May 31, 2:21 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXLlano20 hr
May 31, 2:25 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBandera22 hr
May 31, 2:25 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar4 days
May 31, 2:25 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXMedina50 min
May 31, 2:32 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXComal3 hr
May 31, 2:35 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXFayette4 days
May 31, 2:40 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXHays50 min
May 31, 2:53 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXComal3 hr
May 31, 2:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXCaldwell, Comal, Guadalupe, Hays64 min
May 31, 3:05 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXMedina40 min
May 31, 3:10 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXWilson65 min
May 31, 3:24 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBexar3 hr
May 31, 3:54 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXGuadalupe3 hr
May 31, 3:57 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXCaldwell48 min
May 31, 3:58 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXComal, Guadalupe18 hr
May 31, 4:01 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXComal, Guadalupe22 hr
May 31, 4:05 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXGonzales40 min
May 31, 4:10 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXHays, Travis3 hr
May 31, 4:15 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXCaldwell3 hr
May 31, 4:22 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXBastrop, Gonzales38 min
May 31, 4:31 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXWilson44 min
May 31, 4:34 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXWilliamson3 hr
May 31, 4:52 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXAtascosa, Gonzales, Karnes, Wilson3 hr
May 31, 4:52 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXLlano16 hr
May 31, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKarnes, Wilson32 min
May 31, 5:13 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBastrop, Fayette, Lee, Williamson3 hr
May 31, 5:29 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBlanco20 hr
May 31, 5:29 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXKarnes46 min
May 31, 5:50 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXFayette3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Texas, 2016Every flash flood watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.