Severe Thunderstorm Warning 95, NWS Kansas City, MO

057 
WWUS53 KEAX 261858
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
158 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

MOC087-261908-
/O.CAN.KEAX.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-160526T1945Z/
HOLT MO-
158 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN HOLT COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 4057 9444 4039 9457 4038 9460 4034 9460
      4024 9467 4028 9545 4058 9524
TIME...MOT...LOC 1858Z 215DEG 28KT 4031 9535 4030 9487 

$$

MOC005-147-227-261945-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-160526T1945Z/
ATCHISON MO-WORTH MO-NODAWAY MO-
158 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN ATCHISON...WESTERN WORTH AND NODAWAY COUNTIES...

AT 158 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR FAIRFAX TO NEAR MARYVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
         WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MARYVILLE...FAIRFAX...BURLINGTON JUNCTION...HOPKINS...RAVENWOOD...
SKIDMORE...ATHELSTAN...CONCEPTION JUNCTION...SHERIDAN...PARNELL...
CLEARMONT...ELMO...PICKERING...BRADDYVILLE...CLYDE...ARKOE...
QUITMAN...BLANCHARD AND CONCEPTION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4057 9444 4039 9457 4038 9460 4034 9460
      4024 9467 4028 9545 4058 9524
TIME...MOT...LOC 1858Z 215DEG 28KT 4031 9535 4030 9487 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

PIETRYCHA

340 
WWUS53 KEAX 261908
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
208 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

MOC227-261918-
/O.CAN.KEAX.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-160526T1945Z/
WORTH MO-
208 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN WORTH COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN
MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 4057 9487 4033 9513 4034 9541 4058 9524
TIME...MOT...LOC 1908Z 209DEG 19KT 4037 9527 

$$

MOC005-147-261945-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-160526T1945Z/
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY MO-
208 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN ATCHISON AND NORTHWESTERN NODAWAY COUNTIES...

AT 208 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FAIRFAX...OR 7
MILES SOUTHEAST OF TARKIO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
         WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FAIRFAX...BURLINGTON JUNCTION...CLEARMONT...ELMO AND BLANCHARD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN
MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 4057 9487 4033 9513 4034 9541 4058 9524
TIME...MOT...LOC 1908Z 209DEG 19KT 4037 9527 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

PIETRYCHA

972 
WWUS53 KEAX 261918
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
218 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

MOC005-147-261928-
/O.CAN.KEAX.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-160526T1945Z/
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY MO-
218 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN ATCHISON AND
NORTHWESTERN NODAWAY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  HOWEVER SMALL HAIL AND
HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN
MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 4057 9487 4033 9513 4034 9541 4058 9524
TIME...MOT...LOC 1917Z 219DEG 28KT 4043 9520 

$$

PIETRYCHA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1239 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

.Discussion...
Issued at 349 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

Tricky forecast over the next 36-48 hours as a shortwave trough
ejects out of the desert Southwest and pushes surface low pressure
from the lee side of the Rockies out into western KS. The primary
focus for convective initiation later today, at least from a
synoptic perspective, will be the dryline stretching from west
central KS through the TX panhandle, and the warm front extending
northeastward from southwest KS through the central Plains. However,
there are many caveats to this synoptic perspective as overnight
convection sets up several possible outflow boundaries in and around
the CWA, and any additional convection that develops and moves
into the region early this morning could also have an impact on
today's storms. High-resolution models are definitely struggling to
resolve the severe potential, with the HRRR developing a cell on the
edge of the LLJ near sunrise in south central NE, expanding the storm
with time, and using its outflow to effectively push the warm front
into our CWA from its forecast afternoon position in southeast NE
through central IA, which then serves as a focus for what can only be
described as convective explosion by mid-afternoon. While that
scenario seems a bit unlikely, the warm front is currently fairly far
south across central KS, and if it does not lift north with time as
is currently forecast, that could result in another scenario with a
result similar to the HRRR forecast. What is known is that plentiful
CAPE and adequate deep-layer shear will be available this afternoon,
setting the stage for severe potential whenever storms do develop or
arrive in the CWA. Based on the large-scale perspective the highest
chances for strong to severe storms should be late this evening into
the night, but with that much instability and a possibility of some
convergence from lingering outflow boundaries, and an unknown
progression of the synoptic warm front, a few storms are at least
possible from late morning onward.

Friday's severe potential will be highly dependent on how much
convection is ongoing Friday morning, and whether or not any
clearing occurs during the afternoon. Shear is actually its highest
over our CWA on Friday evening as the upper trough shifts eastward,
however instability may be more limited and showers and storms may
be ongoing through much of the day with strong upper-level support
for convection melding into the period when isentropic lift/LLJ
support tends to diurnally wane; thus, it may not be possible to
develop robust updrafts later in the day. Storms are still expected
to develop out to our west along the dryline where instability will
be higher, so if we can clear out long enough to build a bit more
supportive lapse rates, these storms could still be strong to severe
when/if they arrive in the CWA later Friday evening or Friday night.

Storm chances decrease for the weekend, and while PoPs are non-zero
due to available moisture, continued southerly flow, and at least
some instability, the overall forcing will decrease late Friday
night and especially Saturday and Sunday as the upper trough departs
and the dryline retreats back to the west, becoming more diffuse and
likely not sparking daily strong/severe convection is it has been
over the last several days. High temperatures will gradually warm
from the upper 70s on Friday to the mid 80s by Sunday, and lows will
continue at above normal readings in the mid to upper 60s. A return
to the active pattern then begins Monday night as another trough
digs into the western CONUS, and should continue through the end of
the forecast period until the trough ejects out.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 1239 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

Thunderstorms will affect the terminals thru most of the first 12
hours of the TAF pd. There may be a brief window btn 18Z-20Z where
storms will shift north and east of the TAF site however expect
storms to build back into the terminals around 20Z with a window of
strong storms possible btn 22Z-02Z when mod-hvy tsra will be possible
reducing vsbys to 1SM-3SM and produce wind gusts in excess of 35kts.
Thunderstorms may linger into the overnight before pushing east of
the terminals durg the morning hours. However...models are consistentwith
Low MVFR/IFR cigs building into the terminals tomorrow morning.

&&

.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...None.
MO...None.
&&

Discussion...Laflin
Aviation...73

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
144 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-271845-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
144 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SEVERE STORM THREAT CONTINUES INTO THIS AFTERNOON. PRIMARY HAZARDS
WILL BE LARGE HAIL, DAMAGING WINDS, AND HEAVY RAINFALL. A TORNADIC
THREAT CANNOT BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT. FLOODING WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY CONCERNING AS THE NIGHT CONTINUES.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

 THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING FRIDAY MORNING...AND MAY CONTINUE
 THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
 EVENING ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI..BUT THE
 SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL BE LIMITED BY MORNING STORMS...AND THE LESS
 CLEARING THAT OCCURS DURING THE DAY...THE LESSER THE POTENTIAL FOR
 SEVERE WEATHER THAT EVENING WILL BE.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
123 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0113 PM     HAIL             5 NW GLADSTONE          39.26N 94.62W
05/26/2016  E0.88 INCH       PLATTE             MO   PUBLIC

            DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED HWY 152 AND N GREEN
            HILLS RD IN THE NORTHLAND

&&

LG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
125 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0108 PM     HAIL             NORTH KANSAS CITY       39.13N 94.56W
05/26/2016  E1.25 INCH       CLAY               MO   PUBLIC

            LARGER THAN QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN NORTH KANSAS
            CITY VIA TWITTER

&&

LG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
127 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1245 PM     HAIL             PARKVILLE               39.20N 94.68W
05/26/2016  M1.00 INCH       PLATTE             MO   PUBLIC

            1 INCH HAIL MEASURED IN PARKVILLE. REPORTED VIA TWITTER.

&&

LG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
130 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

MOZ039-261915-
SALINE MO-
130 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL SALINE COUNTY UNTIL 215
PM CDT...

AT 130 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
MALTA BEND...OR NEAR MARSHALL...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MARSHALL...SLATER...MALTA BEND...GILLIAM...
MOUNT LEONARD AND ARROW ROCK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3906 9295 3901 9337 3920 9344 3931 9300
      3913 9293 3912 9294 3911 9294 3910 9291
      3908 9291
TIME...MOT...LOC 1830Z 252DEG 25KT 3911 9331

PIETRYCHA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
138 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0109 PM     HAIL             5 S CLAYCOMO            39.13N 94.50W
05/26/2016  E1.00 INCH       JACKSON            MO   PUBLIC

            SPOTTER REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL NEAR I-435 AND FRONT
            ST.

&&

LG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
142 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

MOZ001>003-011-012-261930-
WORTH MO-NODAWAY MO-ATCHISON MO-ANDREW MO-HOLT MO-
142 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ATCHISON...NORTH
CENTRAL ANDREW...SOUTHWESTERN WORTH...NODAWAY AND NORTHERN HOLT
COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CDT...

AT 142 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR CRAIG TO 6 MILES EAST
OF MAITLAND...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MARYVILLE...FAIRFAX...BURLINGTON JUNCTION...RAVENWOOD...MAITLAND...
SKIDMORE...CRAIG...BARNARD...CONCEPTION JUNCTION...BOLCKOW...
GRAHAM...PICKERING...GUILFORD...CLYDE...ARKOE...QUITMAN...
CORNING AND CONCEPTION.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 29 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 87 AND 100.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4041 9454 4039 9456 4038 9460 4033 9460
      4008 9479 4019 9549 4023 9547 4025 9549
      4053 9526
TIME...MOT...LOC 1842Z 217DEG 28KT 4022 9544 4017 9495

PIETRYCHA