Severe Thunderstorm Warning 70, NWS Kansas City, MO

581 
WWUS53 KEAX 260426
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1126 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

KSC043-MOC003-087-147-260445-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0070.000000T0000Z-160526T0445Z/
DONIPHAN KS-ANDREW MO-NODAWAY MO-HOLT MO-
1126 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN DONIPHAN...WESTERN ANDREW...SOUTH CENTRAL NODAWAY AND
SOUTHEASTERN HOLT COUNTIES...

AT 1125 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER FOREST
CITY... OR 8 MILES NORTH OF HIGHLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
         WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HIGHLAND...OREGON...FOREST CITY...FILLMORE...WHITE CLOUD...GRAHAM...
FORTESCUE AND IOWA POINT.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 29 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 59 AND 82.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4024 9499 3990 9487 3980 9534 4000 9534
      4000 9531 4003 9535 4003 9539
TIME...MOT...LOC 0425Z 240DEG 32KT 3999 9524 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JULY

014 
WWUS53 KEAX 260452
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1152 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

KSC043-MOC003-087-147-260502-
/O.EXP.KEAX.SV.W.0070.000000T0000Z-160526T0445Z/
DONIPHAN KS-ANDREW MO-NODAWAY MO-HOLT MO-
1152 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN DONIPHAN...WESTERN
ANDREW...SOUTH CENTRAL NODAWAY AND SOUTHEASTERN HOLT COUNTIES HAS
EXPIRED...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN KANSAS...AND NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING STILL REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
EASTERN HOLT COUNTY UNTIL 1215 AM CDT.

LAT...LON 4024 9499 3990 9487 3980 9534 4000 9534
      4000 9531 4003 9535 4003 9539
TIME...MOT...LOC 0448Z 239DEG 28KT 3999 9524 

$$

JULY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
633 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

.Discussion...
Issued at 342 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

Short Term (Today through Friday night):

Showers and thunderstorms from this morning/early afternoon have
dissipated and the remainder of the evening is expected to remain
dry. Convection is expected to develop along a dryline out across
central Kansas late this afternoon and spread eastward tonight.
These storms will be in a weakening phase as they approach the area
however the western portion of the CWA may experience scattered
showers and thunderstorms tonight. Overnight...a shortwave moving
through the base of a trough across the northern Plains will force a
back door front towards the area and showers and thunderstorms are
expected to develop along this front and sink into northern
Missouri. These storms are also expected to be in a weakening phase
as they sink into the CWA. The best chance for severe weather will
occur late tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night. This will occur
as an upper level trough ejects out into the central High Plains.
This will provide the forcing for thunderstorms to develop along a
dryline out across western Kansas and then move east-northeastward
along a warm front which be progged to extend near the KS/NE border.
All modes of severe weather will be possible west of the area with
hail and damaging winds the main threats across the local area
tomorrow evening into tomorrow night. Storms are expected to
continue into Friday morning. The upper level trough will move into
the central Plains on Friday and weaken as it does. Consequently,
with morning storms helping to limit instability and a weakening
trough, severe potential should be minimized. Thunderstorm chances
are however expected to continue Friday into Friday night.

Extended Term: (Saturday through Wednesday):

The extended period looks to be a continuation of the unsettled
weather pattern. Saturday and Sunday the upper trough will slowly
move through the eastern Plains and into the Midwest continuing
scattered thunderstorm chances through the weekend. By the beginning
of next week the pattern reverts back to a similar one to the one at
the beginning of this week with a trough over the southwestern CONUS
and southwesterly flow aloft across the local area. Several
shortwaves ejecting out ahead of the trough over the southwestern
CONUS will continue scattered thunderstorm chances for the first
half of next week.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday Evening)
Issued at 633 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

VFR conditions will start the evening, but might give way to just
barely MVFR skies as cloud cover out of south central Kansas moves
across western Missouri later this evening, which will also bring
the onset for any VCTS that might bubble up tonight. Confidence on
specific timing is low, but in general think the low level jet
tonight should generate some storms somewhere across western Missouri
late tonight. Then we could have some lower MVFR clouds stick around
through the morning hours before scattering out Thursday afternoon,
just in time for afternoon thunderstorm development. Additionally,
winds Thursday afternoon might get a little gusty as clouds clear and
boundary layer mixing works with a tightening pressure gradient.

&&

.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...None.
MO...None.
&&

Discussion...73
Aviation...Cutter

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1252 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-261800-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
1252 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

 THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA. IF STORMS DO DEVELOP, GUSTY WINDS, SMALL HAIL, AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

 SEVERAL ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE.
GUSTY TO PERHAPS DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS
WITH ANY STRONGER STORM THAT DEVELOPS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING
TO POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING MAY ALSO BE A CONCERN IN AREAS THAT SEE
MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO