Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016

Small Craft Advisory 893, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 14, 2016

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Nov 14, 2016, 3:54 PM AKST. It was in force for 60 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 14, 2016, 3:54 PM AKST (00:54 UTC)
Expired
Nov 17, 2016, 3:49 AM AKST
In force
60 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

212 
FZAK51 PAFC 150054
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
354 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-151400-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 985 MB LOW CENTERED 190 NM EAST OF SITKINAK WEAKENS AS IT MOVES
EASTWARD ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. THE ASSOCIATED
FRONT ERODES OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND THROUGH TUE. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST BY WED.

$$

PKZ119-151400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 30 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-151400-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-151400-
RESURRECTION BAY-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-151400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING 
TO 9 FT BY LATE EVENING. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-151400-
PORT VALDEZ-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-151400-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-151400-
VALDEZ ARM-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-151400-
PASSAGE CANAL-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 4 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-151400-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-151400-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-151400-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-151400-
CHINIAK BAY-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-151400-
MARMOT BAY-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-151400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-151400-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-151400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-151400-
KACHEMAK BAY-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
5 follow-up statements
691 
FZAK51 PAFC 151259
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
359 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-160130-
359 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

THE BROAD 991 MB LOW CENTERED 300 NM SOUTH OF CORDOVA WILL
STEADILY WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS SOUTHEAST TO EXIT THE FAR
SOUTHEASTERN GULF WED. OFFSHORE FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN ALONG THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER MAINLAND ALASKA
WED AND WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-160130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
359 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-160130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
359 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-160130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
359 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-160130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
359 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-160130-
PORT VALDEZ-
359 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-160130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
359 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-160130-
VALDEZ ARM-
359 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-160130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
359 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-160130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
359 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-160130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
359 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-160130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
359 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-160130-
CHINIAK BAY-
359 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-160130-
MARMOT BAY-
359 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-160130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
359 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-160130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
359 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-160130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
359 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-160130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
359 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
118 
FZAK51 PAFC 160034
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
334 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-161345-
334 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 997 MB LOW CENTERED 340 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND EXITS
TO THE SOUTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER MAINLAND ALASKA WED
AND WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-161345-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
334 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-161345-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
334 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-161345-
RESURRECTION BAY-
334 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-161345-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
334 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-161345-
PORT VALDEZ-
334 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-161345-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
334 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-161345-
VALDEZ ARM-
334 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-161345-
PASSAGE CANAL-
334 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KTS NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4
FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-161345-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
334 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-161345-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
334 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-161345-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
334 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT N 30 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-161345-
CHINIAK BAY-
334 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-161345-
MARMOT BAY-
334 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-161345-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
334 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-161345-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
334 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-161345-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
334 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-161345-
KACHEMAK BAY-
334 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$
335 
FZAK51 PAFC 161257
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
357 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-170145-
357 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN GULF WED AFTERNOON BEFORE
EXITING INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC BY THU EVENING. A 1017 MB LOW
DEVELOPS 120 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING THU MORNING MOVES 120 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SEWARD FRI MORNING. THIS SYSTEM MOVES 60 NM SOUTH OF
SEWARD AT 1012 MB FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-170145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
357 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-170145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
357 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-170145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
357 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5
FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-170145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
357 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-170145-
PORT VALDEZ-
357 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-170145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
357 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-170145-
VALDEZ ARM-
357 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-170145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
357 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-170145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
357 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-170145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
357 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-170145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
357 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 8
FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-170145-
CHINIAK BAY-
357 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-170145-
MARMOT BAY-
357 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-170145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
357 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-170145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
357 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-170145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
357 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-170145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
357 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$
089 
FZAK51 PAFC 170026
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
326 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-171300-
326 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE GULF THROUGH THU MORNING. A 1017
MB LOW DEVELOPS 160 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA THU MORNING AND
DRIFTS TO 140 NM SOUTHWEST OF CORDOVA AT 1013 MB FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-171300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
326 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-171300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
326 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-171300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
326 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-171300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
326 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-171300-
PORT VALDEZ-
326 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-171300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
326 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-171300-
VALDEZ ARM-
326 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-171300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
326 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-171300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
326 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-171300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
326 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-171300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
326 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-171300-
CHINIAK BAY-
326 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-171300-
MARMOT BAY-
326 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-171300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
326 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-171300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
326 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-171300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
326 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-171300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
326 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$
666 
FZAK51 PAFC 171249
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
349 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180145-
349 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE GULF THROUGH THU MORNING. A 1017
MB LOW DEVELOPS 160 NM SOUTH OF CORDOVA THIS MORNING AND DRIFTS
TO 100 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD AT 1011 MB LATE FRI NIGHT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-180145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
349 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-180145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
349 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-180145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
349 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-180145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
349 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-180145-
PORT VALDEZ-
349 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-180145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
349 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-180145-
VALDEZ ARM-
349 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-180145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
349 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-180145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
349 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-180145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
349 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-180145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
349 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-180145-
CHINIAK BAY-
349 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-180145-
MARMOT BAY-
349 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
1 FOOT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-180145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
349 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-180145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
349 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-180145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
349 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-180145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
349 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 14, 5:32 AM AKST, 10 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 14, 5:32 AM AKST, 10 hours 22 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
532 AM AKST Mon Nov 14 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The very large and persistent upper level low has shifted slightly
further east to extend from south of the Alaska Peninsula into
the Southwestern Gulf. Three low pressure centers are evident
within upper low with numerous fronts and troughs continuing to
pinwheel around it. The strongest portion of this complex weather
system remains the occluded front which stretches from the eastern
Bering across the Alaska Peninsula and continue to bring very
strong northerly winds...particularly through channeled terrain.
The frontal system inland extends from Southwest Alaska east-
northeast over the Alaska Range. Another trough along the northern
Gulf Coast is bringing showers to that area while a surface low
that rotated past Kodiak Island drops south. The next frontal
system which is spinning up is presently in the central Gulf and
is lifting quickly north.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models remain in good synoptic agreement regarding the larger
scale features, however smaller scale differences in the various
troughs spinning around the low remain impactful. The front and
following trough rotating through the northern Gulf and over the
Kenai Peninsula this afternoon and tonight are the biggest
challenges for todays forecast package. Models differ on how far
north the trough extends, how strong it is and how much moisture
overruns the Chugach Mountains and potentially spreads over
Southcentral Alaska.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...East to southeast winds across the Chugach Mountains and
through Turnagain Arm are in the process of lightening this
morning. VFR conditions will prevail today with isolated showers
remaining along the mountains. Forecast uncertainty increases this
evening as a front rotates across the area bringing the potential
for rain and/or snow. The first chance will be in the late
afternoon or early evening and would likely be rather light with
a second possibly heavier band around 09Z.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

A large low centered south of Kodiak Island remains the forecast
challenge for Southcentral this morning. A weak baroclinic zone
draped along the north Gulf coast is helping to support a low
level jet and gale force gusts. Gusts are expected to enhance
temporarily this morning as a wave pushes towards the east.
However, the low level jet will be reinforced tonight as a second
wave pushes through, and also brings the chance for precipitation
to Southcentral overnight. While cold air will begin to seep in
from the west tonight, currently it is not expected to push
through until after the precipitation has finished. In addition,
models indicate an orientation of the low level jet which is more
favorable for cross barrier flow and downsloping across Anchorage. Due
to the combination of expected downsloping and advection of a
warmer airmass from the gulf, precipitation type is expected to
remain mostly rain overnight. However, there is some uncertainty
in how much cold air may drain out of the Susitna valley. However,
a few quick inches of slushy snow cannot be ruled out for the
Anchorage Hillside tonight. Meanwhile, greater snow accumulations
are expected towards Thompson Pass where several inches of heavy
wet snow are expected by this afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The low near Kodiak slowly moves in the direction of the
central and then southeastern Gulf through Tue. During this period
high pressure over the Bering will build and move east. The
pressure gradient between these features will maintain a band of
strong northerly winds across the eastern Bering and Alaska
Peninsula, diminishing on Tue as the strong gradient moves east.
Some rain and snow showers will persist over Southwest AK as well
as the Alaska Peninsula through early Tuesday. Meanwhile, the next
system moving across the western and northern Bering will push
light snow to the Kuskokwim Delta coast Tuesday into Tuesday
night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

High pressure builds into the central and eastern Bering through
Tue. This will push the band of strong northerly winds
from the eastern Aleutians into the Alaska Peninsula through Tue.
Some rain and snow showers will accompany this movement.

Immediately on its heels, a low pressure system will push snow
and rain north and east across the western and central Bering Sea
through at least mid-week, with mainly rain over the Central
Aleutians.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

A relatively quiet pattern is in store for Southcentral and
Southwest Alaska through much of the extended forecast. An area of
low pressure in the southern Gulf of Alaska on Tuesday will fall
apart as it drifts eastward toward the Alaska Panhandle. As this
happens, rain/snow chances will drastically diminish across the
gulf coast and some breaks in cloud cover are expected through
much of next week. High pressure will build over the mainland in a
two-pronged attack fashion with both high pressure building
across the western Gulf of Alaska and Canada. The upper level
pattern will shift and allow colder air from the arctic to funnel
in across Southwest and Southcentral Alaska. This will lead to the
end of above normal temperatures as continued cold air advection
likely drops temperature close to or slightly below normal across
much of the state. Unfortunately for snow enthusiasts, a lot of
dry air is expected with the colder air so snow looks like an
extreme long shot in the next seven to ten days.

The Bering Sea on the other hand will be quite active over the
long term forecast period as a series of lows move off the
Kamchatka Peninsula. Models are in good agreement with the first
low hanging off the coast of Kamchatka on Wednesday with a potent
gale force to storm force front moving across the western half of
the Bering Sea. Needless to say, copious amounts of rainfall are
expected with the frontal boundary as it shifts eastward before
stalling over the central Bering Sea as it clashes with the high
pressure mentioned earlier. The strongest low will move from the
North Pacific into the Bering Sea next weekend which has the
potential to produce gale to storm force winds but models are in
poor agreement with this feature at this time.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storm...150 155 Gale... 119 120 125 130 131 132 136 139
160 165 170 171 172 174 180.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JR
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...ELN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CC
LONG TERM...MC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 14, 3:35 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 14, 3:42 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Nov 14, 3:42 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days
Nov 15, 3:34 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Nov 15, 3:34 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC36 hr
Nov 15, 3:35 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC3 days
Nov 15, 3:35 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Nov 15, 3:35 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC36 hr
Nov 15, 3:59 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.