Small Craft Advisory 891, NWS Anchorage, AK

280 
FZAK52 PAFC 150042
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-151330-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 994 MB LOW 140 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA MOVES TO 280 NM WEST OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AT 1005 LATE TUE NIGHT AND DISSIPATES. THE
ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSHES INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA BY TUE. A
SECOND FRONT ENTERS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TUE NIGHT AND MOVES OVER
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS LATE WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-151330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. STRONGER GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. STRONGER GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ155-151330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NW WIND 45 KT. STRONGER GUSTS TO 65 KT
OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. STRONGER GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-151330-
BRISTOL BAY-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-151330-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...NW WIND 40 KT
DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM PORT MOLLER
E...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ170-151330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ171-151330-
UNALASKA BAY-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO
3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-151330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ173-151330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ174-151330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ175-151330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ176-151330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ177-151330-
ADAK TO KISKA-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ178-151330-
KISKA TO ATTU-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...S WIND 55 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ179-151330-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-151330-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-151330-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-151330-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

899 
FZAK52 PAFC 151235
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
335 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-160145-
335 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN BERING MOVES TO BRISTOL BAY AND
OVER THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A 999
MB LOW 125 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT
TRACKS NORTH TO DISSIPATE OVER THE GULF OF ANADYR WED. A FRONTAL
SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH A 970 MB LOW OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA
WILL PUSH INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WED MORNING AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-160145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
335 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT EARLY DIMINISHING TO 35 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO
55 KT MAINLY IN THE MORNING OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ155-160145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
335 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...
EXCEPT NW 35 KT DIMINISHING TO N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-160145-
BRISTOL BAY-
335 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-160145-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
335 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT N 30 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. 
SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ170-160145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
335 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ171-160145-
UNALASKA BAY-
335 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-160145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
335 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND TO 15 KT EARLY BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ173-160145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
335 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ174-160145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
335 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ175-160145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
335 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ176-160145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
335 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ177-160145-
ADAK TO KISKA-
335 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ178-160145-
KISKA TO ATTU-
335 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT EARLY DIMINISHING TO W 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ179-160145-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
335 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-160145-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
335 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-160145-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
335 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT EARLY BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-160145-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
335 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

168 
FZAK52 PAFC 160046
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
346 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-161345-
346 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 1001 MB LOW 280 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WILL MOVE
TO 150 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AT 1010 MB WED MORNING
AND DISSIPATE. A FRONT PUSHES INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS LATE
TONIGHT AND TO THE CENTRAL BERING BY THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-161345-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
346 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ155-161345-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
346 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ160-161345-
BRISTOL BAY-
346 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-161345-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
346 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ170-161345-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
346 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-161345-
UNALASKA BAY-
346 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-161345-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
346 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-161345-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
346 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-161345-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
346 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ175-161345-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
346 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-161345-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
346 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ177-161345-
ADAK TO KISKA-
346 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ178-161345-
KISKA TO ATTU-
346 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ179-161345-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
346 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ180-161345-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
346 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-161345-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
346 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-161345-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
346 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 35 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

395 
FZAK52 PAFC 161239
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
339 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-170145-
339 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 1006 MB LOW 160 NM WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WED MORNING
MOVES 230 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AT 1011 MB WED
AFTERNOON BEFORE DISSIPATING. A FRONT TRACKS INTO THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS/BERING WED AFTERNOON MOVES INTO CENTRAL ALEUTIANS/BERING
BY THU MORNING. THIS WEATHER FRONT TRACKS INTO THE NORTHERN BERING
WITH A LOW FORMING 115 NM EAST OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND AT 1011 MB FRI
MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-170145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
339 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ155-170145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
339 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ160-170145-
BRISTOL BAY-
339 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-170145-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
339 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ170-170145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
339 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-170145-
UNALASKA BAY-
339 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-170145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
339 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-170145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
339 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-170145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
339 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ175-170145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
339 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-170145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
339 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ177-170145-
ADAK TO KISKA-
339 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ178-170145-
KISKA TO ATTU-
339 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 55 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ179-170145-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
339 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ180-170145-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
339 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-170145-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
339 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-170145-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
339 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 40 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

251 
FZAK52 PAFC 170038
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-171330-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS MOVES
SLOWLY INTO THE CENTRAL BERING BY THU AFTERNOON...THEN TO THE
EASTERN WATERS ON FRIDAY. A 1009 MB LOW DEVELOPS 90 NM NORTHEAST
OF SAINT PAUL EARLY FRI AND DRIFTS TO 170 NM NORTHEAST OF SAINT
PAUL AND MAINTAINS STRENGTH.

$$

PKZ150-171330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ155-171330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-171330-
BRISTOL BAY-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-171330-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SE 20 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-171330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-171330-
UNALASKA BAY-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 20
KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-171330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-171330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ174-171330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ175-171330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ176-171330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ177-171330-
ADAK TO KISKA-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ178-171330-
KISKA TO ATTU-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 34 FT.

$$

PKZ179-171330-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-171330-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-171330-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-171330-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 40 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18
FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
428 PM AKST Sun Nov 13 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
There are two main upper level features: a large upper low over
eastern Russia and a secondary upper level low complex extending
from south of the Ak Pen to near Kodiak Island. The latter feature
is serving as the focus of the weather in southern Alaska. The
upper level ridge extends out of western Canada and into the
interior of Alaska providing a fairly strong east to southeast
flow aloft over the Gulf of Alaska. The 250 mb jet stream runs
south of the low near Kodiak and remains well south of the
forecast area.

At the surface there is a complex low that is near Kodiak Island.
This low has a main center near the southern extent of the Island
but a weaker one that is south of it which will not get absorbed
into the main low but they will rotate around each other.
The size of the low in the Gulf is keeping the Bering sea in persistent
northerly flow which is bringing colder air into the region.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The biggest concern with the performance of the models is in
regards to the wave moving along the north Gulf coast. The
satellite imagery as well as the limited observations in the
northeast Gulf indicate this impulse is stronger than models are
showing. If this is the case this has the potential to cause
stronger winds and heavier rainfall than previously expected along
the north Gulf coast and Prince William Sound areas.

Models are also having a difficult time resolving the details of
the complex low that is in the western Gulf of Alaska near Kodiak
Island. There will be multiple centers in it which is reflected by
models not named GFS. However the development and movement of the
lows as they rotate around each other is producing different
solutions to when the strongest winds and best chances of rain
will be in the western Gulf.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...The biggest question for the TAF will be whether any low
level wind shear develops in the area this afternoon through
tonight. Surface winds look to remain northerly but the winds
aloft will become more from the east. At this time it appears that
any wind shear will be above the 2000 ft level for purposes of the
TAF.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Strong easterly winds will accompany an occluded front as it pushes
onshore of Southcentral this afternoon and evening. This will lead
to downslope drying in the lee of the Kenai and Chugach. Kept a
chance of rain and freezing rain in some areas, but if precip does
fall it will likely be trace amounts with no impact. Upslope
conditions will develop during the evening in the Susitna Valley
and northern Copper River Basin, so do expect some light precip to
develop. Although temperatures are above freezing, wet bulb temps
are at or below freezing for much of this area, so predominant
precipitation type will be snow. The one exception is the southern
Susitna Valley, which will be right on the edge of precip. Based
on Anchorage sounding think it is probably warm enough for rain to
fall in the Houston to Willow area, so there could be some patchy
light freezing rain.

Another low will track northward into the Gulf tonight and Monday,
replacing the current one near Kodiak. This will send another
front toward the north Gulf coast Monday afternoon. The orientation
of this front will become oriented northeast to southwest which is
less favorable for downslope. In addition, all guidance indicates
a fairly robust short-wave rotating westward around the low center
and pushing precip across the Kenai and Chugach Mountains. There
are some key differences in the track of this feature, so have
decided to stick with chance PoPs for now. The airmass will remain
warm, so precip-type will be rain in most places.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The low near Kodiak slowly moves in the direction of the
central and then southeastern Gulf through Tue. During this period
high pressure over the Bering will build and move east. The
pressure gradient between these features will maintain a band of
strong northerly winds across the eastern Bering and Alaska
Peninsula, diminishing on Tue as the strong gradient moves east.
Some rain and snow showers will persist over Southwest AK as well
as the Alaska Peninsula through Tue.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

High pressure builds into the central and eastern Bering through
Tue. This will push the band of strong northerly winds from the
eastern Aleutians into the Alaska Peninsula through Tue. Some
rain and snow showers will accompany this movement.

On Mon a low southwest of Attu will move to the northern Bering on
Tue. This will bring warmer air and Small Craft winds into the
western half of the Bering, with rain over the Aleutians
spreading north through Tue.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

A relatively quiet pattern is in store for Southcentral and
Southwest Alaska through much of the extended forecast. An area of
low pressure in the southern Gulf of Alaska on Tuesday will fall
apart as it drifts eastward toward the Alaska Panhandle. As this
happens, rain/snow chances will drastically diminish across the
gulf coast and some breaks in cloud cover are expected through
much of next week. High pressure will build over the mainland in a
two-pronged attack fashion with both high pressure building
across the western Gulf of Alaska and Canada. The upper level
pattern will shift and allow colder air from the arctic to funnel
in across Southwest and Southcentral Alaska. This will lead to the
end of above normal temperatures as continued cold air advection
likely drops temperature close to or slightly below normal across
much of the state. Unfortunately for snow enthusiasts, a lot of
dry air is expected with the colder air so snow looks like an
extreme long shot in the next seven to ten days.

The Bering Sea on the other hand will be quite active over the
long term forecast period as a series of lows move off the
Kamchatka Peninsula. Models are in good agreement with the first
low hanging off the coast of Kamchatka on Wednesday with a potent
gale force to storm force front moving across the western half of
the Bering Sea. Needless to say, copious amounts of rainfall are
expected with the frontal boundary as it shifts eastward before
stalling over the central Bering Sea as it clashes with the high
pressure mentioned earlier. The strongest low will move from the
North Pacific into the Bering Sea next weekend which has the
potential to produce gale to storm force winds but models are in
poor agreement with this feature at this time.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storms 170 and 174. Gales 119, 120 130 131 138 139 150
155 160 165 171 172 173 175 176 177 178 180 181 185 352 412 413
414.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DS
LONG TERM...MC