Small Craft Advisory 889, NWS Anchorage, AK

790 
FZAK51 PAFC 140430 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
730 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

UPDATE TO ZONE 119

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-141715-
730 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 965 MB LOW 50 NM NORTHEAST OF SITKINAK WILL TRACK TO 180 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK AT 983 MB MON AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKENS 
AS IT MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-141715-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
730 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-141715-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
730 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-141715-
RESURRECTION BAY-
730 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-141715-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
730 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-141715-
PORT VALDEZ-
730 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-141715-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
730 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-141715-
VALDEZ ARM-
730 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-141715-
PASSAGE CANAL-
730 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-141715-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
730 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-141715-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
730 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-141715-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
730 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  N
OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT EXCEPT N 30 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-141715-
CHINIAK BAY-
730 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT BY LATE EVENING.  SEAS
6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-141715-
MARMOT BAY-
730 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT BY LATE EVENING.  SEAS
7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-141715-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
730 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ139-141715-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
730 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT TOWARD MORNING. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-141715-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
730 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-141715-
KACHEMAK BAY-
730 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT...STRONGEST ALONG THE OUTER BAY. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT TOWARD MORNING.
STRONGEST ALONG THE OUTER BAY. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

824 
FZAK51 PAFC 140853 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1153 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-142200-
1153 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 965 MB LOW 50 NM NORTHEAST OF SITKINAK WILL TRACK TO 180 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK AT 983 MB MON AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKENS 
AS IT MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-142200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1153 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.  
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-142200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1153 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-142200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1153 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-142200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1153 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.  
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-142200-
PORT VALDEZ-
1153 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-142200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1153 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-142200-
VALDEZ ARM-
1153 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-142200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1153 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.  
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-142200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1153 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
13 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-142200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1153 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-142200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1153 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  N
OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT EXCEPT N 30 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
SEAS 10 FT.  
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-142200-
CHINIAK BAY-
1153 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT BY LATE EVENING.  SEAS
6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-142200-
MARMOT BAY-
1153 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT BY LATE EVENING.  SEAS
7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-142200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1153 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.MON...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ139-142200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1153 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT TOWARD MORNING.  
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.  
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-142200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1153 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.MON...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-142200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1153 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON...N WIND 25 KT...STRONGEST ALONG THE OUTER BAY. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT TOWARD MORNING.
STRONGEST ALONG THE OUTER BAY. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING.  
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

795 
FZAK51 PAFC 141259
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
359 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-150145-
359 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 975 MB LOW 120 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK SPLITS AND WEAKENS AS IT
CROSSES THE GULF OF ALASKA AND EXITS THE GULF 295 NM SOUTHWEST OF
KLAWOCK AT 997 MB WED MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT ERODES OVER
THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND THROUGH WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-150145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
359 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-150145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
359 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-150145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
359 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-150145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
359 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-150145-
PORT VALDEZ-
359 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-150145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
359 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-150145-
VALDEZ ARM-
359 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-150145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
359 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-150145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
359 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-150145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
359 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-150145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
359 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-150145-
CHINIAK BAY-
359 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-150145-
MARMOT BAY-
359 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-150145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
359 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ139-150145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
359 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-150145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
359 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-150145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
359 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
423 AM AKST Sun Nov 13 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The main center of the large vertically stack low remains south of
the Alaska Peninsula. Short wave troughs rotating around it spin
up surface lows which lift north through the western and central
Gulf with the associated frontal systems continuing inland across
Southwest and Southcentral Alaska. The most recent frontal system
has lifted most of the way through the area with the remnants of
the inland portion lifting north into interior Alaska. The
occluded portion of the front currently stretches from the
Kuskokwim Delta and into the eastern Bering, Pribilof Islands and
Eastern Aleutians with strong northerly winds. The next low is
currently centered around 54N 150W with its associated frontal
system running from west to east across the central Gulf.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Synoptically models are in good agreement with the mean pattern
of the large upper low in the southwestern Gulf, however
differences persist in the handling of the smaller scale waves.
Fair agreement also exists for the low approaching the western
Aleutians Monday and ridging building into the Bering. A blend of
the GEM/EC was preferred for the western domain and the NAM/GFS
for the east.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions will continue as downsloping limits
precipitation coming across the Chugach Mountains to isolated
light showers by the time it reaches PANC. Some low level wind
shear will be near the airport, but the strongest winds are mostly
expected to be above 2000 feet.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Much of the same would be an accurate description of the short
term forecast. A mature complex low will anchor the pattern near
Kodiak Island with a frontal boundary approaching the north Gulf
coast. The front quickly weakens and pushes inland while a handful
of weaker disturbances rotate around the main system. Once again,
the majority of rain/showers will be confined to the coast, and
Kachemak Bay area overnight tonight. The remainder of inland areas
will mainly be dry but a stray shower or sprinkle could make it
over the mountains at times. Otherwise the story will be slightly
colder air in place early next week. Mostly cloudy conditions will
continue with slightly above normal temperatures and light winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA...

A weak front moves east to west across the Southwest mainland this
afternoon into tonight, bringing rain mainly to the Bristol Bay
region. Snow will develop as frontogenesis occurs with colder air
moving in from the west later tonight through much of Monday across
much of the Kuskokwim Delta, with around 2 inches accumulation
possible in the Bethel area. The front begins to dry out as
northerly flow increases with the front moving back east through
Southwest Alaska Monday night into Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...

A well-developed warm front persists from near Nunivak Island
south to the southern tip of the Alaska Peninsula. To the west of
this front, rain and snow continues to impact the Pribilofs and
Eastern Aleutians, with snow and rain showers to the west over the
central Bering and Central Aleutians. With a building ridge over
the western Bering, colder air will begin to impinge upon the
front from the west, resulting in the front beginning to slowly
move east toward the far eastern Bering and Bristol Bay areas,
with snow also becoming snow showers as the cold advection
continues from northwest to southeast.

High pressure will be moving into the western Bering Sunday and
then track across the Bering into the eastern Bering Tuesday where
it will stall. Behind the high, a new system will move in over the
Western Aleutians and western Bering Monday into Tuesday and then
gradually diminish as the energy with this system splits as it
encounters ridging the Southwest Alaska mainland.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

A more progressive pattern is expected Tuesday through Sunday as
an amplification in the longwave pattern is expected. A series of
shortwaves and upper level lows are expected to push off the
Kamchatka Peninsula and move into the Northern Pacific Ocean
through the extended forecast. This will allow the persistent
upper level low over the Gulf of Alaska to finally shift eastward
while a period of unsettled weather moves back into the Bering
Sea. While models struggle quite a bit with low placement and
intensity with a series of lows in the Bering, periods of gale
force winds and heavy rain will be possible; especially over the
western half of the Bering. Southcentral and Southwest Alaska will
be on the calmer side as high pressure over Canada replaces the
broad low pressure over that has persisted for the past week or
so. As the low in the gulf shifts east, the upslope rainfall
observed across the northern gulf coast will come to an end. In
addition, the cold air advection seen over the eastern Bering will
shift across the Alaska mainland and bring a return to near normal
to slightly below normal temperatures for much of Alaska.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale 119 120 130-131 139 155 160 165 171 172 173 175-181
185 352 412-414.
Storm 170 174.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JR
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MTL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CC
LONG TERM...MC