Gale Warning 715, NWS Anchorage, AK

372 
FZAK52 PAFC 140604 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
904 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-141830-
904 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 965 MB LOW 50 NM NORTHEAST OF SITKINAK WILL WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS
FURTHER EAST ACROSS THE GULF THROUGH TUE. A WEAK FRONT ENTERS THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS TONIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES
TO 130 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA AT 995 MB MON AFTERNOON...THEN
MOVES TO 280 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL AT 1006 MB TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-141830-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
904 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
IN THE MORNING.SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ155-141830-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
904 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. STRONGER GUSTS UP TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 14 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 45 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ160-141830-
BRISTOL BAY-
904 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-141830-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
904 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-141830-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
904 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-141830-
UNALASKA BAY-
904 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. WIDESPREAD
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-141830-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
904 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-141830-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
904 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ174-141830-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
904 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ175-141830-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
904 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-141830-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
904 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ177-141830-
ADAK TO KISKA-
904 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ178-141830-
KISKA TO ATTU-
904 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ179-141830-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
904 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. SNOW. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ180-141830-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
904 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-141830-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
904 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ185-141830-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
904 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NW 25 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... S 25 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

197 
FZAK52 PAFC 141242
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
342 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-150115-
342 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
CENTRAL BERING SEA HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO BRISTOL BAY BY WED
MORNING. A 998 MB LOW 320 NM SOUTHWEST OF ATTU MOVES TO 440 NM
NORTHWEST OF ST PAUL ISLAND AT 1007 MB BY WED MORNING. THE
ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSHES INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA BY WED
MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-150115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
342 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT W OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND. E OF
CHIRIKOF ISLAND...SE WIND 20 KT EARLY BECOMING N 35 KT LATE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 40 KT. HIGHER
GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ155-150115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
342 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT. STRONGER GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 17 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES E OF THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NW WIND 35 KT
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ160-150115-
BRISTOL BAY-
342 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW WITH RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-150115-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
342 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...NW WIND 40 KT
DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...NW WIND 25 KT
DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-150115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
342 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 18 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-150115-
UNALASKA BAY-
342 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT 
BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-150115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
342 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT EARLY BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-150115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
342 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT EARLY BECOMING SW 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ174-150115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
342 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ175-150115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
342 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-150115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
342 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ177-150115-
ADAK TO KISKA-
342 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ178-150115-
KISKA TO ATTU-
342 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT EARLY BECOMING NW 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ179-150115-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
342 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ180-150115-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
342 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW...EXCEPT RAIN S OF 
CAPE NEWENHAM.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-150115-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
342 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
SNOW...MIXING WITH RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ185-150115-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
342 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TUE...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 15 KT
BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN
THE MORNING. SNOW...MIXING WITH RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

280 
FZAK52 PAFC 150042
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-151330-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 994 MB LOW 140 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA MOVES TO 280 NM WEST OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AT 1005 LATE TUE NIGHT AND DISSIPATES. THE
ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSHES INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA BY TUE. A
SECOND FRONT ENTERS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TUE NIGHT AND MOVES OVER
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS LATE WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-151330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. STRONGER GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. STRONGER GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ155-151330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NW WIND 45 KT. STRONGER GUSTS TO 65 KT
OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. STRONGER GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-151330-
BRISTOL BAY-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-151330-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...NW WIND 40 KT
DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM PORT MOLLER
E...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ170-151330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ171-151330-
UNALASKA BAY-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO
3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-151330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ173-151330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ174-151330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ175-151330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ176-151330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ177-151330-
ADAK TO KISKA-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ178-151330-
KISKA TO ATTU-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...S WIND 55 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ179-151330-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-151330-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-151330-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-151330-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
342 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
423 AM AKST Sun Nov 13 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The main center of the large vertically stack low remains south of
the Alaska Peninsula. Short wave troughs rotating around it spin
up surface lows which lift north through the western and central
Gulf with the associated frontal systems continuing inland across
Southwest and Southcentral Alaska. The most recent frontal system
has lifted most of the way through the area with the remnants of
the inland portion lifting north into interior Alaska. The
occluded portion of the front currently stretches from the
Kuskokwim Delta and into the eastern Bering, Pribilof Islands and
Eastern Aleutians with strong northerly winds. The next low is
currently centered around 54N 150W with its associated frontal
system running from west to east across the central Gulf.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Synoptically models are in good agreement with the mean pattern
of the large upper low in the southwestern Gulf, however
differences persist in the handling of the smaller scale waves.
Fair agreement also exists for the low approaching the western
Aleutians Monday and ridging building into the Bering. A blend of
the GEM/EC was preferred for the western domain and the NAM/GFS
for the east.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions will continue as downsloping limits
precipitation coming across the Chugach Mountains to isolated
light showers by the time it reaches PANC. Some low level wind
shear will be near the airport, but the strongest winds are mostly
expected to be above 2000 feet.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Much of the same would be an accurate description of the short
term forecast. A mature complex low will anchor the pattern near
Kodiak Island with a frontal boundary approaching the north Gulf
coast. The front quickly weakens and pushes inland while a handful
of weaker disturbances rotate around the main system. Once again,
the majority of rain/showers will be confined to the coast, and
Kachemak Bay area overnight tonight. The remainder of inland areas
will mainly be dry but a stray shower or sprinkle could make it
over the mountains at times. Otherwise the story will be slightly
colder air in place early next week. Mostly cloudy conditions will
continue with slightly above normal temperatures and light winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA...

A weak front moves east to west across the Southwest mainland this
afternoon into tonight, bringing rain mainly to the Bristol Bay
region. Snow will develop as frontogenesis occurs with colder air
moving in from the west later tonight through much of Monday across
much of the Kuskokwim Delta, with around 2 inches accumulation
possible in the Bethel area. The front begins to dry out as
northerly flow increases with the front moving back east through
Southwest Alaska Monday night into Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...

A well-developed warm front persists from near Nunivak Island
south to the southern tip of the Alaska Peninsula. To the west of
this front, rain and snow continues to impact the Pribilofs and
Eastern Aleutians, with snow and rain showers to the west over the
central Bering and Central Aleutians. With a building ridge over
the western Bering, colder air will begin to impinge upon the
front from the west, resulting in the front beginning to slowly
move east toward the far eastern Bering and Bristol Bay areas,
with snow also becoming snow showers as the cold advection
continues from northwest to southeast.

High pressure will be moving into the western Bering Sunday and
then track across the Bering into the eastern Bering Tuesday where
it will stall. Behind the high, a new system will move in over the
Western Aleutians and western Bering Monday into Tuesday and then
gradually diminish as the energy with this system splits as it
encounters ridging the Southwest Alaska mainland.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

A more progressive pattern is expected Tuesday through Sunday as
an amplification in the longwave pattern is expected. A series of
shortwaves and upper level lows are expected to push off the
Kamchatka Peninsula and move into the Northern Pacific Ocean
through the extended forecast. This will allow the persistent
upper level low over the Gulf of Alaska to finally shift eastward
while a period of unsettled weather moves back into the Bering
Sea. While models struggle quite a bit with low placement and
intensity with a series of lows in the Bering, periods of gale
force winds and heavy rain will be possible; especially over the
western half of the Bering. Southcentral and Southwest Alaska will
be on the calmer side as high pressure over Canada replaces the
broad low pressure over that has persisted for the past week or
so. As the low in the gulf shifts east, the upslope rainfall
observed across the northern gulf coast will come to an end. In
addition, the cold air advection seen over the eastern Bering will
shift across the Alaska mainland and bring a return to near normal
to slightly below normal temperatures for much of Alaska.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale 119 120 130-131 139 155 160 165 171 172 173 175-181
185 352 412-414.
Storm 170 174.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JR
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MTL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CC
LONG TERM...MC