Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016

Small Craft Advisory 28, NWS Anchorage, AK

January 8, 2016

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jan 8, 2016, 3:01 PM AKST. It was in force for 13 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 8, 2016, 3:01 PM AKST (00:01 UTC)
Expired
Jan 9, 2016, 3:49 AM AKST
In force
13 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

447 
FZAK51 PAFC 090001
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
301 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-091300-
301 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 970 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY MAINTAINS STRENGTH 
AS IT MOVES TO 110 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK BEFORE CROSSING INTO 
THE EASTERN BERING SEA SAT AFTERNOON. A 981 MB LOW 260 NM 
SOUTH OF KODIAK SUN MORNING MOVES TO 60 NM SOUTHWEST OF 
AKHIOK SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-091300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
301 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT DURING THE EVENING 
AND DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ120-091300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
301 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT DURING THE EVENING. 
SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ121-091300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
301 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS 
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-091300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
301 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-091300-
PORT VALDEZ-
301 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-091300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
301 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-091300-
VALDEZ ARM-
301 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-091300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
301 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-091300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
301 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-091300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
301 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-091300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
301 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-091300-
CHINIAK BAY-
301 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-091300-
MARMOT BAY-
301 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-091300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
301 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-091300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
301 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-091300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
301 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-091300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
301 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT DURING THE EVENING. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$
1 follow-up statement
614 
FZAK51 PAFC 091249
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
349 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-100145-
349 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 970 MB LOW 140 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK CROSSES INTO THE
EASTERN BERING SEA THIS AFTERNOON. A FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHERN
GULF TONIGHT AND MOVES TO THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN GULF EARLY SUN
MORNING AND DISSIPATES LATE SUN NIGHT. A 980 MB LOW 160 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK SUN MORNING MOVES INLAND 100 NM WEST OF
SITKINAK SUN AFTERNOON.


$$

PKZ119-100145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
349 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE THIS MORNING. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE TONIGHT. SEAS
16 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT
BUILDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ120-100145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
349 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ121-100145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
349 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

.TODAY...WINDS BECOMING S 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-100145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
349 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 40 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE EARLY THIS MORNING. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-100145-
PORT VALDEZ-
349 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-100145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
349 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-100145-
VALDEZ ARM-
349 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-100145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
349 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-100145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
349 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-100145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
349 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-100145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
349 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-100145-
CHINIAK BAY-
349 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-100145-
MARMOT BAY-
349 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-100145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
349 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-100145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
349 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-100145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
349 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-100145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
349 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 8, 5:27 AM AKST, 9 hours 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 8, 5:27 AM AKST, 9 hours 34 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
527 AM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

EARLY THIS MORNING WV SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CLOSED UPPER LOW
IN THE NORTH PACIFIC BEGINNING TO TAKE A TURN TOWARD KODIAK ISLAND.
THIS SYSTEM IS PUMPING ABUNDANT MOISTURE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
BETWEEN THE PARENT LOW NEAR KAMCHATKA AND RIDGING OVER CENTRAL ALASKA.
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE SPREADING NORTH OVER THE KENAI TO THE NORTHERN
INLET AND INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY. AT THE SURFACE...RIDGING IS
BUILDING TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL WHILE A LOW IS PUSHING A WARM FRONT
INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE MAINLAND
WITH A FEW SHOWERS ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND ALONG A WEAK BOUNDARY
IN THE CENTRAL GULF. SKIES CLEARED OVERNIGHT ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL
ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE TEENS WITH BELOW ZERO
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER VALLEY. TEMPERATURE TRENDS
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST REMAINED NEARLY STEADY OVERNIGHT WITH A FEW
LOCATIONS SLIGHTLY WARMING ACROSS BRISTOL BAY. OUT WEST ACROSS THE
BERING...A SHARP DIVIDING LINE IS SITUATED IN THE CENTRAL BERING
WITH A SATURATED AIR MASS ACROSS THE EAST WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
LOW TO MID 30S AND COLDER DRIER CONDITIONS ALONG THE WEST.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE GENERALLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER THE SYSTEMS DEVELOPING IN THE
NORTH PACIFIC ARE LOCATED IN A LARGELY DATA VOID AREA SO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE...MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND
BERING. THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE INTO THE WEEKEND IS THE
DEVELOPING NORTH PACIFIC SYSTEM THAT IS EXPECTED TO BRING GUSTY
WINDS AND PRECIPITATION ALONG A FRONT. THE GFS AND ECMWF WERE THE
FAVORED MODEL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND AN SURROUNDING WATERS
WITH USE OF THE NAM FOR LOCAL EDITS THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A DEVELOPING LOW SOUTH OF THE GULF MOVES NW TO SOUTH OF THE AK
PEN LATE TONIGHT THEN INTO BRISTOL BAY SAT AFTERNOON. ITS
ASSOCIATED FRONTAL TROUGH MOVES TO THE NORTH GULF COAST EARLY
SAT THEN MOVES INLAND AND WEAKENS SAT AFTERNOON/NIGHT.
EXPECT GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS WITH AND AHEAD OF FRONT AS IT
MOVES NORTH. BRISK/STRONG GAP FLOWS WILL ALSO BE EVIDENT IN THE
FAVORED LOCALS (TURNAGAIN ARM PORTAGE VALLEY MAT VALLEY) WITH
WINDS PEAKING ON SAT PRIOR TO FRONTAL PASSAGE. SOUTH WINDS WILL
THEN DEVELOP ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN LATE SAT
AFTERNOON/EVENING.

PRECIPITATION WILL BE MAINLY CONFINED TO THE COASTS WITH RAIN THE
DOMINATE TYPE...BECOMING MIXED INLAND KENAI AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS
ALONG THE COAST. CURRENT THOUGHT IS THAT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS
WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST THROUGH EARLY SAT
THEN WILL INCREASE AS THE 850 MB FLOW VEERS TO THE SOUTH. THOMPSON
PASS WILL LIKELY SEE INCREASED SNOW RATES AT THAT POINT BUT VALUES
SHOULD STAY WELL BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. STRONG CROSS BARRIER FLOW
ACROSS THE CHUGACH RANGE/KENAI MOUNTAINS WILL KEEP AREAS TO THE
LEE GENERALLY ON THE DRY SIDE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA
WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR ACTIVE WEATHER FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. A
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY OUT AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM JUST OFF THE
SOUTHWEST COAST WILL BRING SOME SNOW EARLY TODAY...MAINLY FOR THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST. THE STRONG EASTERLY FLOW DEVELOPING WITH
THIS SYSTEM WILL KEEP MOST OF THE MAINLAND ON THE DRY SIDE ALONG
WITH WARMER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. AS THE OCCLUDED FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM MOVES OVERHEAD THE GREATER BRISTOL BAY
AREA THIS EVENING...CHANCES FOR RAIN INCREASE...HOWEVER ANY RAIN
WILL BE LIGHT GIVEN THE STRONG CROSS BARRIER FLOW THAT REMAINS IN
PLACE. AS THE WHOLE UPPER TROUGH LIFTS NORTHWARD SATURDAY EVENING
AREAS OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL LINGER WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION BEING ALONG THE UPSLOPE AREAS OF WOOD RIVER
MOUNTAINS. EXPECT ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY EASTERLY
WINDS. A NEARLY IDENTICAL SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA IS THE FOCUS
FOR RAIN AND SNOW AS AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FEEDS
MOISTURE INTO IT FROM THE SOUTHEAST. SNOW WILL TURN TO RAIN TODAY
OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA THEN BECOME MORE SHOWERY FOR THAT AREA.
AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS TONIGHT
WINDS WILL INCREASE...BRINGING A THREAT FOR BLOWING SNOW. THE
DIVISION BETWEEN WARM AIR TO THE EAST AND COLD AIR TO THE WEST
WILL BE VERY CLOSE TO THE PRIBILOFS...HOWEVER CURRENT GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS THEY WILL STAY JUST ON THE COLD SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY.
GIVEN THIS SCENARIO...WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...AND FALLING/BLOWING SNOW APPEAR LIKELY. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN PRETTY CLOSE TO FREEZING AND THERE IS NO SNOW COVER TO AID
IN ADDITIONAL BLOWING SNOW. TAKING THOSE FACETS INTO CONSIDERATION
THIS SHIFT OPTED TO ISSUE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING
SNOW AS OPPOSED TO A BLIZZARD WATCH AT THIS POINT. HOWEVER...SOME
UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS DUE TO THE AREA'S CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE
FRONT.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

ON SUNDAY ANOTHER ELONGATED AND COMPLEX LOW MOVES NORTH FROM THE
NORTH PACIFIC TOWARD THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING
GALES FROM THE ALASKA SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS EAST THROUGH
THE GULF OF ALASKA...WITH STORM-FORCE WINDS THROUGH SHELIKOF
STRAIT. THIS SYSTEM WILL STALL...WEAKEN...AND ELONGATE IN THIS
REGION THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WHILE A SERIES OF FRONTAL
SYSTEMS MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE GULF TO THE GULF COAST.

THE RESULTANT IMPACTS WILL BE WET AND SNOWY CONDITIONS FROM EAST
TO SOUTHEAST FLOW UPSLOPING AGAINST THE MOUNTAIN RANGES ALONG THE
COASTS...WITH MUCH LESSER AMOUNTS ON THE LEE SIDES IN THE MUCH
MORE POPULATED AREAS...WHERE DOWNSLOPE DRYING WILL BE PREVALENT.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY 195.
MARINE...GALE 125 136 139 141 150 155 160 165 170 171 172 179 180.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RMC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MTL
LONG TERM...CC

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 8, 12:18 PM AKST, 2 hours 43 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1218 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

AKZ121-092100-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...
COOPER LANDING
1218 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...MINOR FLOODING ON THE ANCHOR RIVER NEAR ANCHOR POINT VILLAGE...

AS OF FRIDAY MORNING AN ICE JAM REMAINS IN PLACE ALONG THE ANCHOR
RIVER DOWNSTREAM OF THE OLD STERLING HIGHWAY BRIDGE. PORTIONS OF
CUFFEL DITTON ROAD AND THE HISTORIC ANCHOR POINT VILLAGE WILL
CONTINUE TO SEE SOME WATER MOVING THROUGH THE AREA UNTIL THE ICE
IN THE RIVER MOVES DOWNSTREAM.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED IF NECESSARY.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 8, 3:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC61 hr
Jan 8, 3:01 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC49 hr
Jan 8, 3:01 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC13 hr
Jan 8, 3:48 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Jan 8, 9:10 PM AKSTFreezing Rain AdvisoryAFC13 hr
Jan 8, 9:46 PM AKSTFreezing Rain AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Jan 9, 3:34 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Jan 9, 3:42 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC11 hr
Jan 9, 3:44 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC11 hr
Jan 9, 3:49 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Jan 9, 3:49 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.