Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 57, NWS Mobile, AL

December 25, 2015Escambia County, Alabama

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Dec 25, 2015, 1:12 PM CST for Escambia County, Alabama. It took effect at Dec 25, 2015, 2:51 PM CST. It was in force for 17 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 25, 2015, 1:12 PM CST (19:12 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 25, 2015, 2:51 PM CST
Expired
Dec 26, 2015, 8:00 AM CST
In force
17 hr
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Escambia County, AL

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Murder Creek (AL) at Brewton (BWMA1). The gauge peaked at 22.54 ft at Dec 26, 2015, 5:00 PM CST.

actionminormoderate202512/2512/2612/27
Action stage
17 ft
Minor stage
22 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
29 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02374700, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

822 
WGUS44 KMOB 251912
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
112 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015



...The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a flood warning for the 
following river in Alabama... 

  Murder Creek At Brewton affecting Escambia County.

.Heavy rainfall has occurred over the past 24 hours. As a result...river
levels are forecast to rise and a flood warning is now in effect.  

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC053-261400-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0057.151225T2051Z-151226T1400Z/
/BWMA1.1.ER.151225T2051Z.151226T0000Z.151226T0800Z.NO/
112 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a 

* FLOOD WARNING for 
  The Murder Creek At Brewton
* From this afternoon until Saturday morning
* At 12PM Friday the stage was...21.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet. 
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to rise near
  22.4 feet by this evening. The river will fall below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* At 22 feet...Flooding of Persimmon and Ann streets begin as the creek rises above 22 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3114 8704 3113 8701 3107 8709 3108 8713


$$
1 follow-up statement
980 
WGUS84 KMOB 260350
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton affecting Escambia County. 
  Murder Creek At Brewton affecting Escambia County. 
  Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington...Crenshaw and Escambia 
  Counties. 
  Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. 
  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and Santa
  Rosa Counties. 
  Yellow River At Milligan affecting Covington...Okaloosa and Santa Rosa 
  Counties. 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Burnt Corn Creek Near Brewton affecting Escambia County. 
  Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 


SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC053-FLC033-270350-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-151227T1520Z/
/FLMA1.1.ER.151224T1958Z.151226T1800Z.151227T0920Z.NO/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Sunday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton
* From tonight until Sunday morning.
* At 9PM Friday the stage was 14 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise near 15.7 
  feet by tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* At 14 feet...Some homes north of highway 31 may become affected by flood water 
  as the level rises above 14 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3106 8731 3099 8722 3098 8724 3104 8733


$$

ALC053-261500-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-151226T1500Z/
/BCNA1.1.ER.151225T1245Z.151225T1900Z.151226T0900Z.NO/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Burnt Corn Creek Near Brewton
* until Saturday morning.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 16.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early tomorrow.
* At 16 feet...Flood stage. Persimmon and Ann Street start to flood. Ballfield on
  left bank of creek is flooded. This also a criticle stage for Crede foundry in 
  Brewton.  

&&

LAT...LON 3117 8713 3118 8707 3111 8705 3108 8709


$$

ALC053-261104-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-151226T1104Z/
/BWMA1.1.ER.151225T2034Z.151226T0230Z.151226T0504Z.NO/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late tonight...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Murder Creek At Brewton
* until late tonight.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 22.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tonight.
* At 22.5 feet...Street flooding in Brewton should gradually end as the creek 
  levels fall below 22 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3114 8704 3113 8701 3107 8709 3108 8713


$$

ALC039-041-053-270349-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-151228T1052Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.151225T1348Z.151227T0000Z.151228T0452Z.NO/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late Sunday night...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Conecuh River At River Falls
* until late Sunday night.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 40.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 37 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 42.8 feet by tomorrow evening. The 
  river will fall below flood stage Sunday around midnight.
* At 40 feet...Considerable flooding of farmlands and some rural roads in the 
  area will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3137 8653 3132 8649 3111 8676 3118 8680


$$

ALC039-053-270349-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.151226T1400Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.151226T1400Z.151229T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Conecuh River At Brewton
* From tomorrow morning until further notice.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 26.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 27 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise 
  near 29.1 feet by Tuesday early afternoon.
* At 27 feet...Flooding of farmland in the area will occur and cattle should be 
  moved to higher ground if this has not already been done.  

&&

LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712


$$

ALC053-FLC033-270349-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.151224T0452Z.151230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Escambia River Near Century
* until further notice.
* At 9PM Friday the stage was 19 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 21 feet by Monday early afternoon 
  then begin falling.
* At 19 feet...Low lying pastures will flood and cattle should be moved to higher
  ground.  

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
 3077 8733 3093 8731                  

$$

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-270246-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-151227T0246Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.151224T1619Z.151225T1601Z.151226T2046Z.UU/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker
* until Saturday evening.
* At 9PM Friday the stage was 14.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow early 
  afternoon.
* At 14 feet...Flooding of east park in Baker occurs and west park 
  becomes flooded at 14.5 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
 3070 8690 3082 8675                  

$$

ALC039-FLC091-113-270349-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0049.151226T0520Z-151228T2248Z/
/MLGF1.1.ER.151226T0520Z.151227T0000Z.151228T1648Z.UU/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Yellow River At Milligan
* From tonight until Monday afternoon.
* At 9PM Friday the stage was 11.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise near 14.7 
  feet by tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage by Monday evening.
* At 14.5 feet...Antioch road will flood.  

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8658 3099 8652 3069 8663 3069 8667


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 25, 1:02 PM CST, 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 25, 1:02 PM CST, 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
102 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z ISSUANCE...LIFR TO IFR CIGS AND VISIBILITIES CONTINUE AT SOME
LOCATIONS (ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST) THIS AFTERNOON...IN THE MVFR
CATEGORY FURTHER INLAND. EXPECT A RETURN TO LIFR MOST LOCATIONS
OVERNIGHT AS LOW CLOUDS...FOG AND DRIZZLE CONTINUES. SOME SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOALTED THUNDERSTORMS ALSO POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE FCST AREA THROUGH THE FCST PERIOD. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH AT 8 TO 15 KNOTS...WITH HIGHER GUSTS
MOSTLY IN AND AROUND THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. 12/DS

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1225 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015/

DISCUSSION...SEE UPDATED INFORMATION FOR LAND AND MARINE AREAS BELOW.

UPDATE...UPDATED THE ZONES TO REMOVE DENSE FOG ADVSY THAT WAS ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE EARLIER THIS MORNING. STILL SOME PATCHY LIGHT FOG...WITH
VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY STILL DOWN TO 1 TO 2 MILES IN SOME LOCATIONS
ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST. OTHERWISE THE FCST FOR TODAY REMAINS ON
TRACK. FCST HIGHS NEAR RECORD LEVELS...WE HAVE ALREADY BROKEN THE
RECORD HIGH FOR THE DAY IN MOBILE (IT WAS 78 DEGREES EARLIER THIS
MORNING)...SO TEMPERATURE FORECAST OF UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S FOR
TODAY LOOKING REASONABLE. THE CHANCE POPS FOR THIS AFTERNOON OVER
WESTERN HALF OF THE FCST AREA ALSO LOOKING GOOD...AS RADAR IS
INDICATING DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS (ESPECIALLY OVER
MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES). 12/DS

MARINE...WENT AHEAD AND EXTENDED THE MARINE DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR
ALL AREA BAYS OF COASTAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
AS WELL AS OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OUT TO 20 NAUTICAL MILES
THROUGH NOON SATURDAY. THE WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO
INTERACT WITH THE RELATIVELY COOL COASTAL WATERS...ALLOWING FOR THE
OCCASIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG OVER THE NEAR SHORE
WATERS THROUGH NOON SATURDAY. OTHERWISE...MARINE FCST PACKAGE
REMAINED UNCHANGED WITH MORNING UPDATE. 12/DS

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 648 AM CST FRI DEC 25 2015/

DISCUSSION...SEE UPDATED INFORMATION BELOW.

UPDATE...A HIGH RISK FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS HAS BEEN EXTENDED
FOR THE GULF BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST THROUGH TONIGHT.

AREAL FLOODING WILL CONTINUE OVER MONROE...WILCOX AND COVINGTON
COUNTIES AND PARTS OF CONECUH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON TODAY. 32/EE

MARINE...A DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR THE NEAR SHORE WATERS OF ALABAMA
AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA OUT TO 20 NM WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDDAY. THIS
ADVISORY MAY BE EXTENDED FOR LATER TODAY OR REISSUED FOR TONIGHT AND
EARLY SATURDAY. 32/EE

AVIATION...
12Z ISSUANCE...LIFR TO IFR CIGS AND VISIBILITIES THROUGH MID TO LATE
MORNING FOLLOWED BY IFR TO MVFR CIGS THROUGH ABOUT 26.01Z FOLLOWED BY
IFR TO LIFR CIGS AND VISIBILITIES THROUGH 26.12Z. A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL TERMINAL SITES THROUGH MID MORNING
TODAY AND MAY BE REISSUED TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS
WILL CONTINUE FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH AT 8 TO 15 KNOTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS MOSTLY IN AND AROUND ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. 32/EE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 535 AM CST FRI DEC 25 2015/

NEAR TERM /NOW THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...AREAL FLOOD WARNINGS
CONTINUE FOR MONROE...WILCOX...AND COVINGTON COUNTIES AND PARTS OF
CONECUH COUNTY IN AL UNTIL MID AFTERNOON TODAY. RAINFALL TOTAL UP TO
5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS THROUGH TONIGHT HAS LEAD TO
WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING IN THESE AREAS YESTERDAY CONTINUING INTO
THE EVENING HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING HAS
DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE LAST FEW HOURS WIDESPREAD STANDING
WATER CONTINUES IN THESE AREAS AND WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH
TONIGHT. FOR NOW WILL CONTINUE WITH AREAL FLOOD WARNINGS IN THESE
AREAS THROUGH EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. STAYED TUNED FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS FLOODING SITUATION MOSTLY OVER INLAND SW AL.

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT TRAINED OVER THESE AREAS
YESTERDAY CONTINUE TO SHIFT NORTHWARD AS THE MAIN FRONTAL BOUNDARY
THAT STALLED OVER THE REGION SHIFTS NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE TO A DEEP
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC SHIFTING WEST.
ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE HEAVIER PRECIP SHIFTS NORTH AND WEST OF THE FA
TODAY WE COULD SEE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE FA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE BETTER COVERAGE
OCCURRING WEST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. WITH
ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS RATHER SATURATED ANY HEAVIER PRECIP THAT DOES
OCCUR COULD CREATE MORE MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING LOCALLY THOUGH
BELIEVE MOST OF THE PRECIP THROUGH TONIGHT WILL BE SHORT LIVED. WITH
DEWPTS TEMPS REMAINING IN THE LOWER 70S COMBINED WITH SURFACE TEMPS
CLIMBING TO THE NEAR 80 AFTERNOON CAPES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN AROUND
2500 J/KG DECREASING TO AROUND 1000 J/KG LATE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. THE BEST VERTICAL SHEAR IS NOTED IN THE MORNING TODAY
DECREASING FROM EAST TO WEST THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. LATEST
MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW PLENTY OF MID TO HIGH BASED MOISTURE OVER THE
REGION ALSO TODAY LEADING TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH TONIGHT.
AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING TODAY
MOSTLY OVER THE LOWER HALF OF THE FA WHERE THE HIGHER DEWPTS TEMPS
WILL BE LIKELY.

AS FOR TEMPS WE WILL LIKELY SEE MORE RECORD HIGHS TODAY ESPECIALLY
INLAND FROM THE COAST. WILL LEAN TOWARDS THE WARMER MAV/ECMWF
GUIDANCE FOR TEMPS THROUGH TONIGHT RESULTING IN HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 80S FOR MOST AREAS TODAY FOLLOWED BY LOWS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 60S. 32/EE

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...AN UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWEST
FLOW PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION THIS
WEEKEND BETWEEN AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SITUATED OVER
THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN AND A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM
THAT WILL MOVE FROM THE DESERT SOUTHWEST THROUGH WESTERN PORTIONS OF
TX. IMPULSES EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW MAY RESULT IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
SATURDAY...WITH BETTER CHANCES ACROSS SOUTHEAST MS AND SOUTHWEST AL
WITHIN SLIGHTLY MORE FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE. COVERAGE WILL BE
LESSER OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA UNDERNEATH MORE OF
AN INFLUENCE OF THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS. SIMILAR
WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES SUNDAY WITH ISOLATED STORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS
EASTERN AREAS...WITH A LITTLE BETTER COVERAGE OVER WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE REGION AS SOUTHWEST FLOW STRENGTHENS AHEAD OF THE UPPER STORM
SYSTEM ADVANCING INTO WEST TX.

COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY...AGAIN ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN AREAS AS THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW LIFTS TOWARD THE ARKLATEX REGION AND DEEP LAYER
FORCING/MOISTURE SPREADS ACROSS OUR AREA TO THE EAST OF THIS FEATURE
AND AHEAD OF A SURFACE COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE ADVANCING TOWARD THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. GUIDANCE STILL SHOWS SOME DIFFERENCES WITH
REGARD TO TIMING OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...BUT THE LATEST INDICATIONS
SUGGEST DURING THE DAY MONDAY. WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR A FEW STRONG TO
POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR PERHAPS MORESO INTO THE
DAY MONDAY AS DEEP LAYER SHEAR STRENGTHENS TO AROUND 50 KNOTS AND
MUCAPES RANGE FROM AROUND 700-1200 J/KG AHEAD OF THE EJECTING
NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH AND APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MUGGY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND PRIOR TO FRONTAL PASSAGE MONDAY. HIGHS BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
WILL CONTINUE TO RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80...WITH MORNING
LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO AROUND 70. /21

LONG TERM /LATE MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
QUICKLY LIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES REGION MONDAY
NIGHT...WITH DRIER MID LEVEL AIR SPREADING INTO OUR REGION MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY DESPITE CONTINUED SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THERE MAY
BE A LINGERING CHANCE OF SHOWERS/STORMS MONDAY EVENING...BEFORE DRIER
WEATHER IS EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE
PASSING FRONT. THE NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTING FROM THE WESTERN
GULF TO THE GULF COAST WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH MOISTURE LINGERING OVER
EASTERN AND COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE REGION TO CLOSE OUT THE WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY BECOME MUCH COOLER DURING THE TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY TIME FRAME. LOWS SHOULD RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO
AROUND 50 OVER THE INTERIOR TO THE LOWER TO MID 50S OVER EASTERN
AREAS AND CLOSER TO THE COAST. HIGHS EACH DAY WILL MOSTLY RANGE IN
THE 60S. /21

MARINE...A DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NEAR SHORE
WATERS OUT TO 20 NM THROUGH NOON TODAY. AREAS OF FOG WILL CONTINUE
OVER THESE AREAS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT BECOMING DENSE AGAIN LATE
TONIGHT AND DURING THE MORNING HOURS ON SAT. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY
MAY BE NEEDED AGAIN OVERNIGHT AND EARLY SAT. OTHERWISE...SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...MAINTAINING A LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW OVER THE
MARINE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...PARTICULARLY OVER BAYS AND
SOUNDS. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS A
STRONG STORM SYSTEM LIFTS ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. A COLD
FRONT WILL LIKELY PASS THROUGH THE MARINE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON OR
MONDAY NIGHT. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED FOR PARTS OF THE
MARINE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. 32/EE

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR ALZ265-266.

FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR FLZ202-204-206.

MS...NONE.
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST SATURDAY FOR GMZ630>635-650-
     655.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MOB
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 25, 6:23 AM CST, 6 hours 49 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
623 AM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-261230-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
623 AM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD AREAL FLOODING MOSTLY OVER SOME INLAND COUNTIES OF
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. ALTHOUGH MOST
OF THE HEAVIER CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA TODAY A FEW STRONG TO BRIEFLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE LATER TODAY...DUE MOSTLY TO GOOD SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY
AND HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT IN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. SOME
LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH THE HEAVIER SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS.

A HIGH RISK FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE GULF BEACHES OF
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST BY
THE END OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS NEXT SYSTEM BY
MONDAY.

DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO BE LIKELY LATE THIS WEEKEND AND
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

AREAS OF FOG...POSSIBLY DENSE AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-261230-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
623 AM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE OVER THE MARINE AREA OUT TO 20 NM
THROUGH MIDDAY TODAY AND WILL LIKELY REFORM LATE TODAY AND OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THROUGH
MONDAY.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 24, 6:58 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningMOBMonroe6 hr
Dec 24, 8:07 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBCrenshaw4 hr
Dec 24, 8:21 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningMOBCovington6 hr
Dec 24, 8:34 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningMOBConecuh6 hr
Dec 24, 8:37 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningMOBCovington, Crenshaw, Escambia5 days
Dec 24, 8:48 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBMonroe6 hr
Dec 24, 8:59 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBWilcox6 hr
Dec 24, 9:16 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningMOBDallas, Monroe, Wilcox14 days
Dec 24, 9:16 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningMOBClarke, Monroe, Wilcox17 days
Dec 24, 10:58 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementMOBButler32 min
Dec 25, 2:19 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningMOBCovington12 hr
Dec 25, 2:31 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningMOBConecuh12 hr
Dec 25, 3:05 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningMOBMonroe, Wilcox12 hr
Dec 25, 6:02 AM CSTRip Current StatementMOBBaldwin, Mobile3 days
Dec 25, 7:32 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningMOBEscambia25 hr
Dec 25, 12:50 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningMOBChoctaw, Clarke, Washington14 days
Dec 25, 12:50 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningMOBChoctaw, Clarke, Washington14 days
Dec 25, 1:21 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementMOBWashington54 min
Dec 25, 2:10 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningMOBCovington12 hr
Dec 25, 4:50 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementMOBWilcox55 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.