River Flood Warning 50, NWS Mobile, AL

680 
WGUS84 KMOB 250546
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1146 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington...Crenshaw and Escambia 
  Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 


SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC039-041-053-260546-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0050.151225T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.151225T1500Z.151227T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1146 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Conecuh River At River Falls
* From tomorrow late morning until further notice.
* At 10PM Thursday the stage was 33.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 37 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and continue to 
  rise near 40.7 feet by Sunday early afternoon.
* At 40 feet...Considerable flooding of farmlands and some rural roads in the area will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3137 8653 3132 8649 3111 8676 3118 8680


$$

857 
WGUS84 KMOB 251938
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
138 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Alabama...
 
  Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington...Crenshaw and Escambia 
  Counties. 
  Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC039-041-053-261938-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-151230T0846Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.151225T1348Z.151227T1800Z.151230T0246Z.NO/
138 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late Tuesday night...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
for
  the Conecuh River At River Falls
* until late Tuesday night.
* At 12PM Friday the stage was 38.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 41.3 feet by Sunday early afternoon. 
  The river will fall below flood stage  Tuesday evening.
* At 38.0 feet, Flooding of farmlands in the area will subside as the river drops 
  below 37 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3137 8653 3132 8649 3111 8676 3118 8680


$$

ALC039-053-261938-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.151227T0800Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.151227T0800Z.151230T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
138 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Conecuh River At Brewton
* From early Sunday morning until further notice.
* At 12PM Friday the stage was 25.9 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early Sunday morning and continue to 
  rise near 29.0 feet by Wednesday morning. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 27.0 feet, Flooding of farmland in the area will occur and cattle should be 
  moved to higher ground if this has not already been done.  

&&

LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712


$$

980 
WGUS84 KMOB 260350
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton affecting Escambia County. 
  Murder Creek At Brewton affecting Escambia County. 
  Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington...Crenshaw and Escambia 
  Counties. 
  Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. 
  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and Santa
  Rosa Counties. 
  Yellow River At Milligan affecting Covington...Okaloosa and Santa Rosa 
  Counties. 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Burnt Corn Creek Near Brewton affecting Escambia County. 
  Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 


SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC053-FLC033-270350-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-151227T1520Z/
/FLMA1.1.ER.151224T1958Z.151226T1800Z.151227T0920Z.NO/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Sunday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton
* From tonight until Sunday morning.
* At 9PM Friday the stage was 14 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise near 15.7 
  feet by tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* At 14 feet...Some homes north of highway 31 may become affected by flood water 
  as the level rises above 14 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3106 8731 3099 8722 3098 8724 3104 8733


$$

ALC053-261500-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-151226T1500Z/
/BCNA1.1.ER.151225T1245Z.151225T1900Z.151226T0900Z.NO/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Burnt Corn Creek Near Brewton
* until Saturday morning.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 16.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early tomorrow.
* At 16 feet...Flood stage. Persimmon and Ann Street start to flood. Ballfield on
  left bank of creek is flooded. This also a criticle stage for Crede foundry in 
  Brewton.  

&&

LAT...LON 3117 8713 3118 8707 3111 8705 3108 8709


$$

ALC053-261104-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-151226T1104Z/
/BWMA1.1.ER.151225T2034Z.151226T0230Z.151226T0504Z.NO/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late tonight...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Murder Creek At Brewton
* until late tonight.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 22.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tonight.
* At 22.5 feet...Street flooding in Brewton should gradually end as the creek 
  levels fall below 22 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3114 8704 3113 8701 3107 8709 3108 8713


$$

ALC039-041-053-270349-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-151228T1052Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.151225T1348Z.151227T0000Z.151228T0452Z.NO/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late Sunday night...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Conecuh River At River Falls
* until late Sunday night.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 40.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 37 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 42.8 feet by tomorrow evening. The 
  river will fall below flood stage Sunday around midnight.
* At 40 feet...Considerable flooding of farmlands and some rural roads in the 
  area will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3137 8653 3132 8649 3111 8676 3118 8680


$$

ALC039-053-270349-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.151226T1400Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.151226T1400Z.151229T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Conecuh River At Brewton
* From tomorrow morning until further notice.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 26.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 27 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise 
  near 29.1 feet by Tuesday early afternoon.
* At 27 feet...Flooding of farmland in the area will occur and cattle should be 
  moved to higher ground if this has not already been done.  

&&

LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712


$$

ALC053-FLC033-270349-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.151224T0452Z.151230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Escambia River Near Century
* until further notice.
* At 9PM Friday the stage was 19 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 21 feet by Monday early afternoon 
  then begin falling.
* At 19 feet...Low lying pastures will flood and cattle should be moved to higher
  ground.  

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
 3077 8733 3093 8731                  

$$

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-270246-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-151227T0246Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.151224T1619Z.151225T1601Z.151226T2046Z.UU/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker
* until Saturday evening.
* At 9PM Friday the stage was 14.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow early 
  afternoon.
* At 14 feet...Flooding of east park in Baker occurs and west park 
  becomes flooded at 14.5 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
 3070 8690 3082 8675                  

$$

ALC039-FLC091-113-270349-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0049.151226T0520Z-151228T2248Z/
/MLGF1.1.ER.151226T0520Z.151227T0000Z.151228T1648Z.UU/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Yellow River At Milligan
* From tonight until Monday afternoon.
* At 9PM Friday the stage was 11.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise near 14.7 
  feet by tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage by Monday evening.
* At 14.5 feet...Antioch road will flood.  

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8658 3099 8652 3069 8663 3069 8667


$$

157 
WGUS84 KMOB 261735
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1135 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Alabama...
 
  Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington...Crenshaw and Escambia 
  Counties. 
...The flood warning continues for the following river in Alabama...
 
  Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 


SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC039-041-053-271735-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-151229T0818Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.151225T1348Z.151227T0600Z.151229T0218Z.NO/
1135 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late Monday night...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Conecuh River At River Falls
* until late Monday night.
* At 10AM Saturday the stage was 40.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 41.7 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river will fall below flood stage  Monday evening.
* At 40.0 feet, Considerable flooding of farmlands and some rural roads in the 
  area will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3137 8653 3132 8649 3111 8676 3118 8680


$$

ALC039-053-271734-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.151226T2100Z.151229T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1135 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Conecuh River At Brewton
* From late this afternoon until further notice.
* At 10AM Saturday the stage was 26.9 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and continue to rise
  near 29.3 feet by Tuesday early afternoon.
* At 27.0 feet, Flooding of farmland in the area will occur and cattle should be 
  moved to higher ground if this has not already been done.  

&&

LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712


$$

948 
WGUS84 KMOB 270411
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
 

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Alabama...
Florida...
 
  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and 
  Santa Rosa Counties.
  
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
Mississippi...
 
  Perdido River Near Barrineau Park affecting Baldwin and Escambia Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 
  Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington...Crenshaw and Escambia 
  Counties. 
  Yellow River At Milligan affecting Covington...Okaloosa and Santa Rosa 
  Counties. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 
  Murder Creek At Brewton affecting Escambia County. 
  Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam affecting Dallas...Monroe and Wilcox 
  Counties. 
  Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam affecting Clarke...Monroe and Wilcox 
  Counties. 
  Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. 
  Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County. 
  Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along these rivers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC047-099-131-280411-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRFA1.1.ER.151226T1825Z.151231T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam
* until further notice.
* At 9PM Saturday the stage was 69.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 66 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 77.1 feet by Wednesday evening then 
  begin falling.


&&

LAT...LON 3215 8726 3205 8719 3203 8732 3184 8738
 3184 8756 3215 8749                  

$$

ALC025-099-131-280411-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLBA1.2.ER.151227T0055Z.160101T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam
* until further notice.
* At 9PM Saturday the stage was 42.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 42 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 50.3 feet by Thursday evening.  
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.


&&

LAT...LON 3184 8756 3184 8738 3146 8753 3114 8786
 3114 8797 3150 8766                  

$$

ALC053-271200-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-151227T1200Z/
/BWMA1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151226T2230Z.151227T0600Z.NO/
1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Murder Creek At Brewton
* until Sunday morning.
* At 9PM Saturday the stage was 22.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by after midnight 
  tomorrow.
* At 22.4 feet, Street flooding in brewton should gradually end as the creek 
levels falls below 22 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3114 8704 3113 8701 3107 8709 3108 8713


$$

ALC003-FLC033-280411-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-151228T2000Z/
/BRPF1.1.ER.151226T0448Z.151226T2300Z.151228T1400Z.NO/
1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Perdido River Near Barrineau Park
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 9PM Saturday the stage was 15 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Monday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3080 8761 3080 8756 3065 8737 3051 8744
 3052 8746 3064 8740                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-280411-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.151227T2320Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.151227T2320Z.160101T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* From tomorrow afternoon until further notice.
* At 9PM Saturday the stage was 25.9 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and continue to rise 
  near 35.6 feet by Thursday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-280411-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0056.151228T0325Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.151228T0325Z.160101T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From tomorrow late evening until further notice.
* At 9PM Saturday the stage was 20.6 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late evening and continue to 
  rise near 27.6 feet by Thursday evening. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

ALC039-041-053-280411-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-151228T2236Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.151225T1348Z.151226T1030Z.151228T1636Z.NO/
1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Conecuh River At River Falls
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 9PM Saturday the stage was 40.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 37 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 40.3 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river will fall below flood stage  late Monday morning.
* At 40 feet, Considerable flooding of farmlands and some rural roads in the 
area will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3137 8653 3132 8649 3111 8676 3118 8680


$$

ALC039-053-280411-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.151226T1945Z.151229T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Conecuh River At Brewton
* until further notice.
* At 9PM Saturday the stage was 27.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 27 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 29.2 feet by Tuesday early afternoon 
  then begin falling.
* At 27 feet, Flooding of farmland in the area will occur and cattle should be 
moved to higher ground if this has not already been done.  

&&

LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712


$$

ALC053-FLC033-280411-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.151224T0452Z.151230T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Escambia River Near Century
* until further notice.
* At 9PM Saturday the stage was 19.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 21.1 feet by Wednesday early afternoon 
  then begin falling.
* At 19.5 feet, Flooding of farm and pasture lands will gradually subside as the 
river level drops, but some flooding will continue the next several days.  

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
 3077 8733 3093 8731                  

$$

ALC039-FLC091-113-280411-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-151228T1832Z/
/MLGF1.1.ER.151226T0436Z.151227T1200Z.151228T1232Z.UU/
1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Yellow River At Milligan
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 9PM Saturday the stage was 14.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.6 feet by tomorrow morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage  Monday morning.
* At 14.4 feet, Flooding in old milligan will subside as the level drops below 14 
feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8658 3099 8652 3069 8663 3069 8667


$$

MSC039-041-111-280411-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-151230T1200Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.151225T1211Z.151225T1830Z.151230T0600Z.NO/
1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Leaf Near Mclain
* until Wednesday morning.
* At 12PM Friday the stage was 19 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Wednesday 
  morning.
* At 19 feet, Flooding of lowlands and agricultural land will subside as the 
water level drops below 18 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871
 3098 8877 3114 8887                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-280411-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160101T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.151228T1800Z.151231T1800Z.NO/
1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Thursday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until Thursday evening.
* At 09PM Saturday the stage was 21.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet by Monday early afternoon. 
  The river will fall below flood stage  Thursday early afternoon.
* At 22 feet, Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in 
low lying areas will become cut off by high water.  

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-270441-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-151227T0530Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.151224T1619Z.151225T1601Z.151227T0119Z.UU/
1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The FLOOD WARNING is CANCELLED for
  The Blackwater River Near Baker
* until this evening.
* At 9PM Saturday the stage was 10.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* Water levels along the Blackwater River near Baker are expected to continue to fall.  

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
 3070 8690 3082 8675                  

$$

613 
WGUS84 KMOB 271702
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1102 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington...Crenshaw and Escambia 
  Counties. 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC039-041-053-281702-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-151229T0138Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.151225T1348Z.151226T1030Z.151228T1938Z.NO/
1102 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Conecuh River At River Falls
* until Monday evening.
* At 9AM Sunday the stage was 40.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 40.0 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage  tomorrow early afternoon.
* At 40.0 feet, Considerable flooding of farmlands and some rural roads in the 
  area will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3137 8653 3132 8649 3111 8676 3118 8680


$$

ALC039-053-281701-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.151226T1945Z.151230T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1102 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Conecuh River At Brewton
* until further notice.
* At 10AM Sunday the stage was 27.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 29.3 feet by Tuesday evening then begin
  falling.
* At 28.0 feet, Flooding of farmlands will gradually subside as the river level 
  falls below 17 feet and continues to drop.  

&&

LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712


$$

338 
WGUS84 KMOB 281534
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
934 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Alabama...
 
  Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington...Crenshaw and Escambia 
  Counties. 
  Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC039-041-053-290920-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-151229T0920Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.151225T1348Z.151226T1030Z.151229T0320Z.NO/
934 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late tonight...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Conecuh River At River Falls
* until late tonight.
* At 08AM Monday the stage was 38.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tonight.
* At 38.0 feet, Flooding of farmlands in the area will subside as the river drops 
  below 37 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3137 8653 3132 8649 3111 8676 3118 8680


$$

ALC039-053-291534-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-160102T1630Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.151226T1945Z.151230T0000Z.160102T1030Z.NO/
934 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Conecuh River At Brewton
* until Saturday morning.
* At 08AM Monday the stage was 28.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 29.4 feet by tomorrow evening. The 
  river will fall below flood stage  Saturday morning.
* At 27.0 feet, Flooding of farmlands in the area will occur and cattle need to be moved
  to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712


$$

454 
WGUS84 KMOB 290433
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
Mississippi...
 
  Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington...Crenshaw and Escambia 
  Counties. 
  Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 
  Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and 
  Washington Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam affecting Dallas...Monroe and Wilcox 
  Counties. 
  Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam affecting Clarke...Monroe and Wilcox 
  Counties. 
  Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the rivers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC047-099-131-300433-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRFA1.1.ER.151226T1825Z.160101T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam
* until further notice.
* At 9PM Monday the stage was 76.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 66.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 78.9 feet by Thursday evening then 
  begin falling.


&&

LAT...LON 3215 8726 3205 8719 3203 8732 3184 8738
 3184 8756 3215 8749                  

$$

ALC025-099-131-300432-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLBA1.2.ER.151227T0055Z.160103T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam
* until further notice.
* At 10PM Monday the stage was 47.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 50.9 feet by Saturday evening.  
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.


&&

LAT...LON 3184 8756 3184 8738 3146 8753 3114 8786
 3114 8797 3150 8766                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-300432-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.151227T2027Z.160103T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until further notice.
* At 9PM Monday the stage was 32.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 37.3 feet by Saturday evening.  
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.


&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-300432-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.151228T1353Z.160102T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until further notice.
* At 10PM Monday the stage was 25.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 28.3 feet by Saturday morning.  
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands in the area will 
occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground.  

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

ALC039-041-053-292000-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-151229T2000Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.151225T1348Z.151226T1030Z.151229T1400Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Tuesday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Conecuh River At River Falls
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 9PM Monday the stage was 37.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 37.6 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river will fall below flood stage  tomorrow morning.
At 37.0 feet, Flooding of low-lying farm and pasturelands in the area will 
occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3137 8653 3132 8649 3111 8676 3118 8680


$$

ALC039-053-300432-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.151226T1945Z.151230T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Conecuh River At Brewton
* until further notice.
* At 9PM Monday the stage was 29.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 29.8 feet by tomorrow evening then 
  begin falling.
At 31.0 feet, Some county roads in the area will become flooded. State highway 
41 begins to flood at stages around 23 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712


$$

ALC053-FLC033-300432-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.151224T0452Z.151231T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Escambia River Near Century
* until further notice.
* At 10PM Monday the stage was 19.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.4 feet by Wednesday evening then 
  begin falling.
At 19.0 feet, Low lying pastures will flood and cattle should be moved to higher
ground.  

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
 3077 8733 3093 8731                  

$$

FLC091-300432-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0060.151230T1200Z-160102T1500Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151230T1200Z.151231T0000Z.160102T0900Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* From Wednesday morning until Saturday morning.
* At 9PM Monday the stage was 6.3 feet. 
* Nonflood flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and continue to rise 
  near 8.4 feet by Wednesday evening. 
At 8.0 feet, Some minor flooding of low lying areas will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

MSC039-041-111-300432-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.151225T1211Z.151225T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Leaf Near Mclain
* until further notice.
* At 5PM Monday the stage was 20.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
At 19.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands and agricultural land will subside as the 
water level drops below 18 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871
 3098 8877 3114 8887                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-300432-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160102T2100Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.151230T1200Z.160102T1500Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 10PM Monday the stage was 20.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet by Wednesday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage late Saturday morning.
At 20.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands in the area will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

245 
WGUS84 KMOB 291832
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA
1232 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Alabama...
 
  CONECUH RIVER AT RIVER FALLS affecting Covington...Crenshaw and 
  Escambia Counties.

&&

ALC039-041-053-291902-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-151229T2000Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.151225T1348Z.151226T1030Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1232 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The FLOOD WARNING is CANCELLED for
  The CONECUH RIVER AT RIVER FALLS
* until this afternoon.
* At 11AM Tuesday the stage was 35.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.  

&&


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
611 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...

EXPECT THE GREATEST IMPACTS TO AVIATION AT TERMINALS ACROSS COASTAL
AL AND THE W FL PANHANDLE...WHERE IFR CIGS (AT BEST) WILL LIKELY BE
SEEN THROUGH 25/1800 UTC BEFORE POSSIBLY APPROACHING LOW-END MVFR
TERRITORY. CIGS WILL BE SLIGHTLY BETTER FARTHER INLAND...BUT WILL
STILL LIKELY DROP INTO IFR TERRITORY OVERNIGHT. AREAS OF FG WILL
ALSO DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST BETWEEN 25/0300-0600 UTC...SPREADING
INLAND TO (MAINLY) COASTAL TERMINALS OVERNIGHT. THESE VSBYS SHOULD
IMPROVE A BIT BY MID-MORNING CHRISTMAS. LOWER VSBYS WILL LIKELY
PREVAIL AT AIRPORTS CLOSE TO SHALLOWER BAYS/INLAND WATERWAYS DUE TO
THE CONTINUED PRESENCE OF MARINE FOG. /02/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 335 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015/

NEAR TERM /NOW THROUGH CHRISTMAS DAY/...THE WIDESPREAD AND LONG
DURATION OF THE RAINFALL EVENT HAS RESULTED IN MANY FLOODING ISSUES
ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR IN SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTH CENTRAL AL. WE HAVE SEVERAL FLOOD WARNINGS IN EFFECT BASED OFF
OF REPORTS FROM LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AS THIS INUNDATION WILL
LIKELY PERSIST INTO THE EVENING. IF TRAINING OF HEAVY RAINFALL
COMMENCES IN AN AREA ONCE AGAIN...WE WILL ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD
WARNING TO HANDLE THE LIKELIHOOD OF RAPID WATER RISES. REGARDING
RAIN CHANCES...THE OVERALL AXIS OF RAIN SHOULD CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTH TONIGHT IN RESPONSE TO RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE EAST
AND THE BEST ZONE OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE SHIFTING EAST. HOWEVER...
THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING HOURS AS DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 70S ALONG THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
THE AREA IS FUELING MLCAPES OF 1500-2000 J/KG. THEREFORE...THE
REDEVELOPMENT OF STORMS IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING.
THEREFORE...WILL MAINTAIN HIGH CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS THROUGH EARLY
EVENING.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT MANY AREA RIVERS ARE ALSO IN OR FORECAST TO
REACH FLOOD STAGE. THE BIG ESCAMBIA CREEK AT FLOMATON IS FORECAST TO
NOW REACH MAJOR FLOOD STAGE. PLEASE REFER TO WATER.WEATHER.GOV FOR
THE LATEST RIVER FORECAST INFORMATION.

AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES
THROUGH THE NIGHT GIVEN THE ABNORMALLY HIGH DEWPOINTS FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR. WE HAVE ALREADY ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR COASTAL
AL/NW FL. PLEASE BE CAUTIOUS IF DRIVING TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY NEAR
ANY BAYS AND SOUNDS. LOWS TONIGHT WILL STRUGGLE TO DROP INTO THE
UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70. IN FACT...CHRISTMAS MORNING MAY BE THE
WARMEST ON RECORD (WARMEST CHRISTMAS MORNING ON RECORD IN MOBILE IS
69 IN 1987 AND FOR PENSACOLA 67 IN 1987).

UPPER RIDGING CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE REGION ON CHRISTMAS DAY.
DESPITE THE LACK OF ANY SIGNIFICANT FORCING...THE PRESENCE OF SUCH
WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL OF ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS. HOWEVER...COVERAGE SHOULD BE MUCH
LOWER COMPARED TO TODAY. HIGHS WILL LIKELY TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 70S
TO NEAR 80...WHICH WOULD BE RECORD SETTING ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION. 34/JFB

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...UPPER RIDGING
CONTINUES OVER THE FCST AREA FRIDAY NIGHT WITH THE SFC BOUNDARY WELL
NORTH OF THE FCST AREA LIFTS A LITTLE FURTHER AWAY FROM OUR AREA.
THIS GENERAL TREND CONTINUES THROUGH MOST OF SUNDAY BEFORE THE UPPER
RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN AS A LARGE UPPER LOW SWINGS INTO WESTERN
TEXAS. WITH THIS...THE FCST AREA REMAINS IN THE WARM AND MOIST
AIRMASS THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD.
PATCHY FOG TO OCNLY AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO BE A
POSSIBILITY... ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. ON
SUNDAY NIGHT...THE LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES EAST ACROSS
TEXAS...WITH THE BROADER UPPER LEVEL TROF TO OUR WEST BECOMING
NEGATIVELY TILTED. SFC CYCLOGENESIS WILL LIKELY OCCUR OVER EASTERN
TEXAS OR WESTERN LOUSIANA AND CHANCES FOR PCPN WILL BEGIN AN UPTICK
FROM THE WEST LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. VERY MILD TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME
OF THE YEAR WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD AS WELL...WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES APPROACHING OR REACHING RECORD LEVELS. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER
70S...AND EVEN A FEW LOWER 80S POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
FCST AREA. 12/DS

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...A STRONG STORM SYSTEM LOOKS TO
LIFT UP ACROSS ARKANSAS AND THEN NORTH ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
DELTA AREA ON MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A COLD FRONT TO FINALLY
SWEEP EAST ACROSS THE FCST AREA ON MONDAY. WITH THE ASSOCIATED NEGATIVELY
TILTED UPPER TROUGH NOTED IN THE SHORT TERM SECTION ABOVE ALSO LIFTING
FROM ARK-LA-TEX REGION TO KENTUCKY MONDAY...THERE WILL SUBSTANTIAL
DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT OVER OUR REGION WITH RESULTANT LIFT. IN ADDITION...
SOME MODEL DATA INDICATES AT LEAST A 40 TO 50 KNOT (MAYBE UP TO 60
KNOT) 850MB JET APPROACHING WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR FCST AREA
MONDAY...COMBINED SBCAPES APPROACHING 1000 J/KG AS WELL. THE PATTERN
SUGGESTS THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH THE PASSAGE
OF THIS SYSTEM ON MONDAY. WILL MAINTAIN WORDING IN THE HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS...MAINLY ON MONDAY...AND
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SITUATION. LIKELY POPS ON MONDAY WITH THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE. FINALLY GET SOME COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE WAKE OF
THE MONDAY FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH LOW COOLING FROM THE 50S TO THE 40S
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. DAYTIME HIGHS COOL INTO THE
LOW TO MID 60S TUESDAY AND INTO THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S WEDNESDAYAND
THURSDAY. 12/DS

MARINE...DENSE FOG WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT FOR
ALL NEAR SHORE AND INLAND WATERS UNTIL NOON FRIDAY MAY HAVE TO BE
EXTENDED INTO THE WEEKEND.

OTHERWISE...A LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST WITH SFC
HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
INCREASE FURTHER BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT MONDAY AHEAD OF
THE NEXT STRONG STORM SYSTEM. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY MOVE
ACROSS THE MARINE AREA DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. 34/JFB

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY FOR ALZ263>266.

FL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY FOR FLZ201>206.

MS...NONE.
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST FRIDAY FOR GMZ630>635-650-655.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MOB

BUTTS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
330 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-252130-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
330 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING. EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS OCCURRING OVER
INLAND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...ALONG AND EAST OF I-65. THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL THIS
EVENING MAY EXACERBATE SOME OF THE FLOODING. THE THREAT OF HEAVY
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT.

AREAS OF DENSE FOG ARE LIKELY ALONG COASTAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA TONIGHT.

A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST BY
THE END OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM BY MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ARE ENCOURAGED TO RELAY ANY
REPORTS OF FLOODING.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-252130-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
330 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL IMPACT THE INSHORE BAYS AND SOUNDS AND THE
NEAR SHORE GULF WATERS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE COASTAL WATERS ON MONDAY.
STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MARINE AREA WITH THIS STORM
SYSTEM.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
319 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1150 AM     FLOOD            MONROEVILLE             31.53N 87.32W
12/24/2015                   MONROE             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A FEW ROADS CLOSED IN AROUND MONROEVILLE DUE TO FLOODING.
            FLOODING MOST PREVALENT IN LOW LYING LOCATIONS AND WAS
            ENTERING A FEW HOMES.

0200 PM     FLOOD            GREENVILLE              31.83N 86.62W
12/24/2015                   BUTLER             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS ROADS ARE REPORTED CLOSED IN BUTLER COUNTY DUE
            TO FLOODING

0245 PM     FLOOD            ANDALUSIA               31.31N 86.48W
12/24/2015                   COVINGTON          AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED IN COVINGTON COUNTY DUE TO
            FLOODING.

&&

JFB