Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
351 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
LARGE AREA OF PRECIPITATION AND EMBEDDED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
THE MAIN SHORT WAVE APPROACHING OUT OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AT THIS
TIME. MORE SCATTERED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH GOOD DIURNAL HEATING
HAS ALSO BEEN DEVELOPING ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA. STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH
THESE BOTH OF THESE AREA OF STORMS. INSTABILITY HAS REMAINED A BIT
LIMITED IS ASSOCIATION WITH THE CONVECTION TIED TO THE SHORT WAVE...
BUT MODERATE TO STRONG DYNAMICS KEEPS THE SEVERE THREAT IN PLACE.
NOT A LOT OF CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRENDS WITH THIS
CYCLE...HIGH POPS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE BETTER FORCING
PASSES WITH THE SHORT WAVE...DIMINISHING BEHIND THE WAVE INTO
FRIDAY.

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST. LONGWAVE TROUGH
IS SITUATED ACROSS THE EASTERN SEABOARD AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THE CWFA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
IN NW FLOW THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEKEND...WITH THE UPPER RIDGE
BUILDING BACK EASTWARD FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK. BY THE MID
TO LATTER PART OF THE WEEK...A DEEP TROUGH BEGINS TO DIG ACROSS
THE EASTERN QUARTER OF THE COUNTRY WITH AN UPPER LOW ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES.

AT THE SURFACE...COLD FRONT SHOULD BE SOUTH OF THE CWFA BY FRIDAY
NIGHT. THE FRONT SHOULD REMAIN STATIONARY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
BEFORE DISSIPATING. POPS ARE EXPECTED TO BE PRETTY LOW THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...WITH LOW END SCT/ISOLD MAINLY ACROSS THE MTNS AND IN THE
SOUTH. PRECIP CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE MONDAY AS ANOTHER FRONT
BEGINS TO APPROACH THE CWFA. THE FRONT IS CURRENTLY PROGGED TO MOVE
THROUGH TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THE FRONT SHOULD SETTLED TO THE
SOUTH OF THE CWFA BY THURSDAY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM
THE NORTH.

NLISTEMAA/01

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...

MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION THROUGH 06Z.
MVFR OR LOWER CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES DEVELOPING BETWEEN 06Z AND
09Z...CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST 14Z. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
CONVECTION CURRENTLY WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THROUGH 04Z...THEN
DECREASE IN COVERAGE AFTER 06Z. SHOULD STILL SEE SOME ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 06Z. WINDS WILL
REMAIN SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD. WIND
SPEEDS 7-10KT..WITH GUSTS 14-20KT THROUGH 02Z. WIND SPEEDS WILL
INCREASE TO 08-12KT AFTER 14Z. WIND GUSTS 25KT OR HIGHER POSSIBLE IN
THE VICINITY OF CONVECTION.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...

MEDIUM.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          72  90  71  92 /  70  30  10  20
ATLANTA         72  87  72  91 /  70  30  10  10
BLAIRSVILLE     70  82  66  86 /  70  20  10  20
CARTERSVILLE    72  87  68  91 /  70  20  10  10
COLUMBUS        74  92  73  94 /  60  40  20  20
GAINESVILLE     72  86  71  90 /  70  30  10  20
MACON           74  91  72  95 /  60  40  20  20
ROME            72  88  68  92 /  70  20  10  10
PEACHTREE CITY  72  88  69  92 /  70  30  10  10
VIDALIA         74  90  74  95 /  60  50  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: BALDWIN...BANKS...BARROW...BIBB...BLECKLEY...
BUTTS...CHATTAHOOCHEE...CLARKE...CRAWFORD...CRISP...DODGE...
DOOLY...EMANUEL...GLASCOCK...GREENE...HANCOCK...HENRY...
HOUSTON...JACKSON...JASPER...JEFFERSON...JOHNSON...JONES...
LAMAR...LAURENS...MACON...MADISON...MARION...MONROE...
MONTGOMERY...MORGAN...MUSCOGEE...NEWTON...OCONEE...OGLETHORPE...
PEACH...PIKE...PULASKI...PUTNAM...ROCKDALE...SCHLEY...SPALDING...
STEWART...SUMTER...TALBOT...TALIAFERRO...TAYLOR...TELFAIR...
TOOMBS...TREUTLEN...TWIGGS...UPSON...WALTON...WARREN...
WASHINGTON...WEBSTER...WHEELER...WILCOX...WILKES...WILKINSON.

&&

SHORT TERM...
AVIATION...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
452 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-071200-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
452 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO SPARK SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING... WITH A FEW STORMS
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. SEVERAL OF THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE THROUGH
THE EVENING... WITH THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTHEAST OF A COLUMBUS TO ATHENS LINES. THE SEVERE STORM THREAT
SHOULD GREATLY DIMINISH BY 10 PM WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE STORMS. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL COULD ALSO RESULT IN SOME BRIEF MINOR FLOODING ALONG LOW
LYING... FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND FUEL FOR STORMS WILL EXIST TO ALLOW FOR ADDITIONAL
ACTIVITY DURING AFTERNOON AND EVENING EACH DAY. ISOLATED STRONG
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BECOME NECESSARY LATER TODAY. IN THE
MEANTIME...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE
WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
551 PM EDT THU AUG 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0513 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 E SPANN               32.66N  82.70W
08/06/2015                   JOHNSON            GA   911 CALL CENTER

            A TREE WAS BLOWN ONTO HIGHWAY 15 SOUTH.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500605

RWILLIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
556 PM EDT THU AUG 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GORDON                  32.88N  83.33W
08/06/2015                   WILKINSON          GA   911 CALL CENTER

            911 CALL CENTER RECEIVED REPORT OF AT LEAST 1 TREE DOWN
            ON ZOLLIE LAVENDER ROAD...PAPERMILL ROAD...HWY 112...HWY
            57...RILEY ROAD...ALLEN STREET...CHURCH STREET...AND
            ASBELL ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500606

KOVACIK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
601 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

GAZ086-113-062230-
TOOMBS GA-EMANUEL GA-
601 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN TOOMBS AND
SOUTHEASTERN EMANUEL COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

AT 601 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER OAK PARK...OR 9 MILES NORTH OF LYONS...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

  HAZARD...WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
           LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. WHEN WATER COVERS
           THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
STILLMORE...OAK PARK AND NORMANTOWN.

LAT...LON 3252 8215 3248 8218 3242 8219 3235 8225
      3235 8224 3228 8223 3226 8243 3230 8243
      3235 8241 3237 8241 3239 8240 3242 8239
      3255 8210
TIME...MOT...LOC 2201Z 245DEG 27KT 3234 8229

16

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
603 PM EDT THU AUG 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0521 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SANDERSVILLE            32.98N  82.81W
08/06/2015                   WASHINGTON         GA   911 CALL CENTER

            WASHINGTON COUNTY 911 REPORTED NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER
            LINES DOWN IN THE WARTHEN... SANDERSVILLLE... AND
            TENNILLE AREAS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500607

DD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
608 PM EDT THU AUG 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SWAINSBORO              32.60N  82.33W
08/06/2015                   EMANUEL            GA   911 CALL CENTER

            NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES WERE BLOWN DOWN ACROSS
            THE COUNTY. MANY AREAS OF THE COUNTY ARE WITHOUT POWER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500608

RWILLIS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
614 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

GAZ058>060-071-072-062300-
JONES GA-JASPER GA-BUTTS GA-MONROE GA-PUTNAM GA-
614 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN JONES...SOUTHERN
JASPER...SOUTHEASTERN BUTTS...NORTHERN MONROE AND SOUTHWESTERN PUTNAM
COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

AT 613 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF
FORSYTH TO 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MONTICELLO...AND MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH.

  HAZARD...WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
           LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. WHEN WATER COVERS
           THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
JULIETTE...BLOUNT...JARRELL PLANTATION...STANFORDVILLE...BERNER...
RESSEAUS CROSSROADS...ADGATEVILLE...BLOUNTSVILLE...DAMES FERRY...
BRADLEY...WAYSIDE...ROUND OAK...MCELHENEYS CROSSROADS...HILLSBORO...
PLANT SCHERER AND ETHRIDGE.

LAT...LON 3318 8339 3318 8343 3314 8342 3296 8361
      3312 8404 3315 8404 3329 8379 3322 8333
TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 275DEG 39KT 3312 8398 3321 8359