Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
351 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
LARGE AREA OF PRECIPITATION AND EMBEDDED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
THE MAIN SHORT WAVE APPROACHING OUT OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AT THIS
TIME. MORE SCATTERED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH GOOD DIURNAL HEATING
HAS ALSO BEEN DEVELOPING ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA. STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH
THESE BOTH OF THESE AREA OF STORMS. INSTABILITY HAS REMAINED A BIT
LIMITED IS ASSOCIATION WITH THE CONVECTION TIED TO THE SHORT WAVE...
BUT MODERATE TO STRONG DYNAMICS KEEPS THE SEVERE THREAT IN PLACE.
NOT A LOT OF CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRENDS WITH THIS
CYCLE...HIGH POPS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE BETTER FORCING
PASSES WITH THE SHORT WAVE...DIMINISHING BEHIND THE WAVE INTO
FRIDAY.

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST. LONGWAVE TROUGH
IS SITUATED ACROSS THE EASTERN SEABOARD AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THE CWFA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
IN NW FLOW THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEKEND...WITH THE UPPER RIDGE
BUILDING BACK EASTWARD FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK. BY THE MID
TO LATTER PART OF THE WEEK...A DEEP TROUGH BEGINS TO DIG ACROSS
THE EASTERN QUARTER OF THE COUNTRY WITH AN UPPER LOW ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES.

AT THE SURFACE...COLD FRONT SHOULD BE SOUTH OF THE CWFA BY FRIDAY
NIGHT. THE FRONT SHOULD REMAIN STATIONARY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
BEFORE DISSIPATING. POPS ARE EXPECTED TO BE PRETTY LOW THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...WITH LOW END SCT/ISOLD MAINLY ACROSS THE MTNS AND IN THE
SOUTH. PRECIP CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE MONDAY AS ANOTHER FRONT
BEGINS TO APPROACH THE CWFA. THE FRONT IS CURRENTLY PROGGED TO MOVE
THROUGH TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THE FRONT SHOULD SETTLED TO THE
SOUTH OF THE CWFA BY THURSDAY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM
THE NORTH.

NLISTEMAA/01

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...

MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION THROUGH 06Z.
MVFR OR LOWER CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES DEVELOPING BETWEEN 06Z AND
09Z...CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST 14Z. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
CONVECTION CURRENTLY WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THROUGH 04Z...THEN
DECREASE IN COVERAGE AFTER 06Z. SHOULD STILL SEE SOME ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 06Z. WINDS WILL
REMAIN SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD. WIND
SPEEDS 7-10KT..WITH GUSTS 14-20KT THROUGH 02Z. WIND SPEEDS WILL
INCREASE TO 08-12KT AFTER 14Z. WIND GUSTS 25KT OR HIGHER POSSIBLE IN
THE VICINITY OF CONVECTION.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...

MEDIUM.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          72  90  71  92 /  70  30  10  20
ATLANTA         72  87  72  91 /  70  30  10  10
BLAIRSVILLE     70  82  66  86 /  70  20  10  20
CARTERSVILLE    72  87  68  91 /  70  20  10  10
COLUMBUS        74  92  73  94 /  60  40  20  20
GAINESVILLE     72  86  71  90 /  70  30  10  20
MACON           74  91  72  95 /  60  40  20  20
ROME            72  88  68  92 /  70  20  10  10
PEACHTREE CITY  72  88  69  92 /  70  30  10  10
VIDALIA         74  90  74  95 /  60  50  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: BALDWIN...BANKS...BARROW...BIBB...BLECKLEY...
BUTTS...CHATTAHOOCHEE...CLARKE...CRAWFORD...CRISP...DODGE...
DOOLY...EMANUEL...GLASCOCK...GREENE...HANCOCK...HENRY...
HOUSTON...JACKSON...JASPER...JEFFERSON...JOHNSON...JONES...
LAMAR...LAURENS...MACON...MADISON...MARION...MONROE...
MONTGOMERY...MORGAN...MUSCOGEE...NEWTON...OCONEE...OGLETHORPE...
PEACH...PIKE...PULASKI...PUTNAM...ROCKDALE...SCHLEY...SPALDING...
STEWART...SUMTER...TALBOT...TALIAFERRO...TAYLOR...TELFAIR...
TOOMBS...TREUTLEN...TWIGGS...UPSON...WALTON...WARREN...
WASHINGTON...WEBSTER...WHEELER...WILCOX...WILKES...WILKINSON.

&&

SHORT TERM...
AVIATION...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
452 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-071200-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
452 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO SPARK SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING... WITH A FEW STORMS
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. SEVERAL OF THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE THROUGH
THE EVENING... WITH THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTHEAST OF A COLUMBUS TO ATHENS LINES. THE SEVERE STORM THREAT
SHOULD GREATLY DIMINISH BY 10 PM WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE STORMS. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL COULD ALSO RESULT IN SOME BRIEF MINOR FLOODING ALONG LOW
LYING... FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND FUEL FOR STORMS WILL EXIST TO ALLOW FOR ADDITIONAL
ACTIVITY DURING AFTERNOON AND EVENING EACH DAY. ISOLATED STRONG
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BECOME NECESSARY LATER TODAY. IN THE
MEANTIME...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE
WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
536 PM EDT THU AUG 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0504 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BREWTON                 32.59N  82.80W
08/06/2015                   LAURENS            GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ON SOUTH PEACHTREE RD IN BREWTON.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500600

RWILLIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
539 PM EDT THU AUG 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSW CATLIN            32.50N  82.83W
08/06/2015                   LAURENS            GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN ON HIGHWAY 199 NEAR I-16 AND ON
            MAYBERRY RD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500601

RWILLIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
540 PM EDT THU AUG 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     TSTM WND DMG     COOPERS                 32.98N  83.29W
08/06/2015                   BALDWIN            GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED SEVERAL TREES AND POWERLINES
            DOWN ACROSS COOPERS AND PANCRAS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
            PORTION OF BALDWIN COUNTY.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500602

KOVACIK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
544 PM EDT THU AUG 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N BEDINGFIELD         32.80N  83.66W
08/06/2015                   BIBB               GA   PUBLIC

            TREE CRUSHED VEHICLE ON HOLLIS ROAD. REPORT VIA SOCIAL
            MEDIA

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500603

KOVACIK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
544 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

GAZ074>076-062215-
GLASCOCK GA-WASHINGTON GA-JEFFERSON GA-
544 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR GLASCOCK...NORTHEASTERN
WASHINGTON AND NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

AT 543 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR EDGEHILL...OR 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
GIBSON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

  HAZARD...WINDS UP TO 40 MPH.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
GIBSON...WRENS...DAVISBORO...STAPLETON...AVERA...MITCHELL...EDGE
HILL...EDGEHILL...STELLAVILLE...STAPLETONS CROSSROADS...DOWNS...
GRANGE...MATTHEWS AND AGRICOLA.

LAT...LON 3315 8227 3310 8228 3296 8269 3322 8274
      3329 8246 3328 8243 3331 8238 3331 8234
      3330 8231 3327 8229 3326 8225 3323 8223
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 245DEG 27KT 3309 8267

16

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
545 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

GAZ056-058-059-070>072-062215-
SPALDING GA-JONES GA-JASPER GA-BUTTS GA-LAMAR GA-MONROE GA-
545 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN SPALDING...
NORTHWESTERN JONES...SOUTHWESTERN JASPER...SOUTHERN BUTTS...NORTHERN
LAMAR AND NORTHERN MONROE COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

AT 545 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM ORCHARD HILL TO 7 MILES
WEST OF GRAY...AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

  HAZARD...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.
           ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN
           EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR
           DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN
           AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO
           HYDROPLANING. WHEN WATER COVERS THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO
           TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
JACKSON...FORSYTH...GRAY...FLOVILLA...MILNER...ORCHARD HILL...
JULIETTE...BLOUNT...CHAPPEL MILL...JARRELL PLANTATION...BERNER...
DAMES FERRY...JOHNSTONVILLE...BRADLEY...WAYSIDE...ROUND OAK...INDIAN
SPRINGS STATE PARK...PLANT SCHERER...HIGH FALLS STATE PARK AND
LIBERTY HILL.

LAT...LON 3318 8425 3329 8399 3305 8349 3294 8366
      3315 8425
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 260DEG 13KT 3319 8422 3300 8366