Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
351 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
LARGE AREA OF PRECIPITATION AND EMBEDDED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
THE MAIN SHORT WAVE APPROACHING OUT OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AT THIS
TIME. MORE SCATTERED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH GOOD DIURNAL HEATING
HAS ALSO BEEN DEVELOPING ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA. STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH
THESE BOTH OF THESE AREA OF STORMS. INSTABILITY HAS REMAINED A BIT
LIMITED IS ASSOCIATION WITH THE CONVECTION TIED TO THE SHORT WAVE...
BUT MODERATE TO STRONG DYNAMICS KEEPS THE SEVERE THREAT IN PLACE.
NOT A LOT OF CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRENDS WITH THIS
CYCLE...HIGH POPS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE BETTER FORCING
PASSES WITH THE SHORT WAVE...DIMINISHING BEHIND THE WAVE INTO
FRIDAY.

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST. LONGWAVE TROUGH
IS SITUATED ACROSS THE EASTERN SEABOARD AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THE CWFA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
IN NW FLOW THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEKEND...WITH THE UPPER RIDGE
BUILDING BACK EASTWARD FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK. BY THE MID
TO LATTER PART OF THE WEEK...A DEEP TROUGH BEGINS TO DIG ACROSS
THE EASTERN QUARTER OF THE COUNTRY WITH AN UPPER LOW ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES.

AT THE SURFACE...COLD FRONT SHOULD BE SOUTH OF THE CWFA BY FRIDAY
NIGHT. THE FRONT SHOULD REMAIN STATIONARY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
BEFORE DISSIPATING. POPS ARE EXPECTED TO BE PRETTY LOW THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...WITH LOW END SCT/ISOLD MAINLY ACROSS THE MTNS AND IN THE
SOUTH. PRECIP CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE MONDAY AS ANOTHER FRONT
BEGINS TO APPROACH THE CWFA. THE FRONT IS CURRENTLY PROGGED TO MOVE
THROUGH TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THE FRONT SHOULD SETTLED TO THE
SOUTH OF THE CWFA BY THURSDAY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM
THE NORTH.

NLISTEMAA/01

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...

MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION THROUGH 06Z.
MVFR OR LOWER CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES DEVELOPING BETWEEN 06Z AND
09Z...CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST 14Z. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
CONVECTION CURRENTLY WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THROUGH 04Z...THEN
DECREASE IN COVERAGE AFTER 06Z. SHOULD STILL SEE SOME ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 06Z. WINDS WILL
REMAIN SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD. WIND
SPEEDS 7-10KT..WITH GUSTS 14-20KT THROUGH 02Z. WIND SPEEDS WILL
INCREASE TO 08-12KT AFTER 14Z. WIND GUSTS 25KT OR HIGHER POSSIBLE IN
THE VICINITY OF CONVECTION.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...

MEDIUM.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          72  90  71  92 /  70  30  10  20
ATLANTA         72  87  72  91 /  70  30  10  10
BLAIRSVILLE     70  82  66  86 /  70  20  10  20
CARTERSVILLE    72  87  68  91 /  70  20  10  10
COLUMBUS        74  92  73  94 /  60  40  20  20
GAINESVILLE     72  86  71  90 /  70  30  10  20
MACON           74  91  72  95 /  60  40  20  20
ROME            72  88  68  92 /  70  20  10  10
PEACHTREE CITY  72  88  69  92 /  70  30  10  10
VIDALIA         74  90  74  95 /  60  50  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: BALDWIN...BANKS...BARROW...BIBB...BLECKLEY...
BUTTS...CHATTAHOOCHEE...CLARKE...CRAWFORD...CRISP...DODGE...
DOOLY...EMANUEL...GLASCOCK...GREENE...HANCOCK...HENRY...
HOUSTON...JACKSON...JASPER...JEFFERSON...JOHNSON...JONES...
LAMAR...LAURENS...MACON...MADISON...MARION...MONROE...
MONTGOMERY...MORGAN...MUSCOGEE...NEWTON...OCONEE...OGLETHORPE...
PEACH...PIKE...PULASKI...PUTNAM...ROCKDALE...SCHLEY...SPALDING...
STEWART...SUMTER...TALBOT...TALIAFERRO...TAYLOR...TELFAIR...
TOOMBS...TREUTLEN...TWIGGS...UPSON...WALTON...WARREN...
WASHINGTON...WEBSTER...WHEELER...WILCOX...WILKES...WILKINSON.

&&

SHORT TERM...
AVIATION...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
518 AM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-071200-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
518 AM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WILL HELP
SPARK SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. SCATTERED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM
COLUMBUS TO NEAR DUBLIN. SOUTH OF THIS LINE...ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE. ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND FUEL FOR STORMS WILL EXIST TO ALLOW FOR ADDITIONAL
ACTIVITY DURING AFTERNOON AND EVENING EACH DAY. ISOLATED STRONG
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BECOME NECESSARY LATER TODAY. IN THE
MEANTIME...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE
WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
354 PM EDT THU AUG 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0307 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ENE MALCOLM WOODS     33.40N  83.86W
08/06/2015                   NEWTON             GA   911 CALL CENTER

            A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ON CAMPBELL RD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500586

RWILLIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
355 PM EDT THU AUG 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0318 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE MANSFIELD          33.50N  83.72W
08/06/2015                   NEWTON             GA   911 CALL CENTER

            A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ON MILL POND RD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500587

RWILLIS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
402 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

GAZ078-062030-
HARRIS GA-
402 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HARRIS COUNTY UNTIL 430 PM EDT...

AT 402 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES EAST OF RIVER VIEW...OR 8 MILES WEST OF
HAMILTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

  HAZARD...WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
           LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. WHEN WATER COVERS
           THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
HAMILTON...PINE MOUNTAIN...WAVERLY HALL...PINE MOUNTAIN-CALLAWAY
GARDENS...GOAT ROCK LAKE...JONES CROSSROADS...MOUNTAIN HILL...
BARTLETTS FERRY DAM...MULBERRY GROVE...FORTSON...LAKE HARDING...PINE
MOUNTAIN VALLEY...F.D. ROOSEVELT STATE PARK...ELLERSLIE...
WHITESVILLE-PINE LAKE AND CATAULA.

LAT...LON 3287 8510 3287 8475 3258 8475 3259 8491
      3261 8491 3261 8508 3263 8508 3264 8510
      3265 8510 3266 8509 3268 8510
TIME...MOT...LOC 2002Z 276DEG 24KT 3280 8501

16

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
404 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

GAZ082-083-094-095-062030-
TWIGGS GA-PEACH GA-HOUSTON GA-BIBB GA-
404 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN TWIGGS...PEACH...
NORTHEASTERN HOUSTON AND SOUTHERN BIBB COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EDT...

AT 404 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER CENTERVILLE...OR 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF FORT
VALLEY...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

  HAZARD...WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
           LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. WHEN WATER COVERS
           THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
FORT VALLEY...WARNER ROBINS...CENTERVILLE...BYRON...ROBINS AFB...
BONAIRE...LAKEWOOD...HUBER...ELBERTA...POWERVILLE...MIDDLE GEORGIA
REGIONAL AIRPORT...MIAMI VALLEY AND ROBINS AIR FORCE BASE.

LAT...LON 3254 8398 3255 8395 3256 8395 3257 8394
      3259 8393 3259 8391 3269 8377 3269 8372
      3270 8374 3271 8375 3274 8352 3253 8350
TIME...MOT...LOC 2004Z 272DEG 25KT 3261 8373

16

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
405 PM EDT THU AUG 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0344 PM     TSTM WND DMG     COMMERCE                34.20N  83.46W
08/06/2015                   JACKSON            GA   911 CALL CENTER

            A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN IN COMMERCE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500588

RWILLIS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
405 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

GAZ076-062030-
JEFFERSON GA-
405 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY UNTIL 430 PM
EDT...

AT 405 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR EDGEHILL...OR 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF
LOUISVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

  HAZARD...WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
LOUISVILLE...STAPLETONS CROSSROADS AND GRANGE.

LAT...LON 3292 8228 3305 8261 3312 8259 3312 8258
      3313 8258 3314 8227 3307 8229 3295 8227
TIME...MOT...LOC 2005Z 282DEG 29KT 3309 8255