River Flood Warning 43, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

411 
WGUS84 KEWX 241115
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
615 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  South Fork San Gabriel River At Georgetown AFFECTING Williamson County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC491-250515-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-150525T1058Z/
/GETT2.2.ER.150524T0610Z.150524T1800Z.150524T2258Z.NO/
615 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

 The flood warning continues for the South Fork San Gabriel River At Georgetown.
* At  5:46 AM Sunday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will continue rising to near 19.2 feet by Sunday
  afternoon. The river level will fall below flood stage late Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding inundates many secondary and
  primary roads near the San Gabriel River from the headwaters of the South Fork
  to Granger Lake. The city park in Georgetown and any facilities and equipment 
  in the flood plain are damaged..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM 
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
  Georgetown         5    9   16.7   Sun 06 AM  16.3   5.5   4.6   4.1   3.8


&&

LAT...LON 3059 9777 3065 9778 3070 9760 3070 9740
      3064 9737 3062 9760             

$$

513 
WGUS84 KEWX 241404
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
904 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  South Fork San Gabriel River At Georgetown AFFECTING Williamson County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC491-250804-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-150525T1106Z/
/GETT2.2.ER.150524T0610Z.150524T1016Z.150524T2306Z.NO/
904 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the South Fork San Gabriel River At Georgetown.
* At  8:46 AM Sunday the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 10.7 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches low areas of the flood 
  plain with no significant damage. Lowest areas of the city park downtown are 
  flooded..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Georgetown          5    9    9.0   Sun  9 AM   6.2   4.9   4.5   4.1   3.8


&&

LAT...LON 3059 9777 3065 9778 3070 9760 3070 9740
      3064 9737 3062 9760             

$$

461 
WGUS84 KEWX 242202
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
502 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...

  South Fork San Gabriel River At Georgetown AFFECTING Williamson County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC491-242232-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-150525T1106Z/
/GETT2.2.ER.150524T0610Z.150524T1016Z.150524T1346Z.NO/
502 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for the South Fork San Gabriel River At Georgetown.
* At  4:15 PM Sunday the stage was 5.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river level will continue to fall to 4.2 feet by Monday morning.


&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Georgetown          5    9    5.8   Sun 04 PM   4.2   4.1   4.0   3.9   3.8


&&

LAT...LON 3059 9777 3065 9778 3070 9760 3070 9740
      3064 9737 3062 9760             

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
114 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.AVIATION... /06Z TAF UPDATE/
CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER AUS TEMPORARILY BUT WILL CONTINUE TO
REDEVELOP OVER SAT/SSF FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS. TSRA SHOULD BE MORE
ISOLATED AROUND DRT AND WILL KEEP ONLY A MENTION OF VCSH FOR THE
REST OF THE OVERNIGHT. A STRONG CONVECTIVE BAND MOVING THROUGH THE
HILL COUNTRY SHOULD IMPACT SAT/SSF IN THE NEXT 2 TO 4 HOURS AND IN
THE AUS AREA AS LATE AS 11Z. SOME WEAKENING OF THESE CELLS MAY
DEVELOP AS THEY MOVE INTO DOWNDRAFT INFLUENCED AIR ALONG I-35. BY
12Z CONVECTION COULD BECOME MORE SCATTERED AND MAINLY EAST OF
I-35 WITH MESOSCALE MODELS SUGGESTING SLIGHTLY INCREASED STABILITY
BY MIDDAY. WILL LEAVE OUT THE SCATTERED AFTERNOON STORM THREAT FOR
NOW AND FOCUS ON THE MORE LIKELY EXPECTATION FOR LOWERING CIGS
TOMORROW EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 226 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
AN ACTIVE AND COMPLEX FORECAST IS SHAPING UP OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH BOTH
SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM ON SUNDAY.

IN ADDITION TO THE SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
THAT IS ONGOING CURRENTLY ACROSS THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY AND I-35
CORRIDOR CONVECTION HAS BEGUN ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND THE BIG
BEND REGION. THIS IS THE START OF A LARGE LINEAR MCS THAT ALL OF
THE MESOSCALE MODELS SHOW MOVING ACROSS THE STATE THIS EVENING
INTO EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE THAT HAS
BEEN SITTING OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES WILL MOVE TO THE EAST
AND NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT PROVIDING THE LIFT FOR
THIS MCS. THERE IS PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN PLACE WITH DEWPOINTS IN
THE LOW 70S AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1.75 AND 2
INCHES. THERE IS ALSO PLENTY OF INSTABILITY OVER THE AREA WITH
THE MORNING DRT AND CRP SOUNDINGS BOTH HAVING 2000 - 3000 J/KG OF
CAPE. A GOOD AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL AND BULK SHEAR IS ALSO EVIDENT
ACCORDING TO THE MODELS. THIS MEANS THAT ALL OF THE INGREDIENTS
ARE IN PLACE FOR BOTH HEAVY RAINFALL AND SEVERE WEATHER THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO TOMORROW. WILL
BREAKDOWN THE THREATS AND THE TIME PERIODS IN THE REST OF THE
SHORT TERM AFD.

FOR TONIGHT...AS ALREADY DISCUSSED...THE MESOSCALE MODELS DEVELOP
A COMPLEX OF STORMS THAT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE STATE OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. TIMING FOR THIS CONTINUES TO GET EARLIER. THE NSSL WRF
AND ARM BOTH HAVE THE LINE APPROACHING THE I-35 CORRIDOR BY THE
LATE AFTERNOON. THE TEXAS TECH WRF AND HRRR AND NMM ALL SAY THAT
THE LINE WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE HILL COUNTRY AND APPROACHING
THE I-35 CORRIDOR BY 9PM AND SLOWLY PUSHING EAST THROUGH THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE TRENDS THE EARLIER
TIMING IS BEGINNING TO LOOK MORE LIKELY. MODELS ARE STILL HOLDING
ONTO 1-3 INCH RAINFALL TOTALS WITH THIS INITIAL WAVE OF
CONVECTION. THIS...ON TOP OF ADDITIONAL RAINS THAT HAVE ALREADY
FALLEN TODAY...AND THE FACT THAT SOILS ARE SATURATED WILL LEAD TO
THE THREAT OF BOTH RIVER FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING. THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL ALSO BE PRESENT. WHILE CONVECTION GROUPING
TOGETHER LIKE THIS TYPICAL MEANS THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS
A LITTLE BIT LESS...CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS ARE VERY FAVORABLE. THE
MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE FIRST DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS WITHIN
BOWING SECTIONS OF THE LINE. THE HRRR ACTUAL SUPPORTS THIS WITH
SEVERAL BOWING SECTIONS BEING SHOWN IN THE MODEL REFLECTIVITY.
THERE IS ALSO SUFFICIENT SURFACE WIND SHEAR AND HELICITY VALUES
TO RESULT IN AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT AS WINDS PROFILES TURN
WITH HEIGHT.

DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS IT IS IMPERATIVE THAT THOSE OUT AND
ABOUT FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY THOSE ON LOCAL RIVERS
AND LAKES...MONITOR THE WEATHER AND BE READY TO ACT SHOULD A
WARNING BE ISSUED FOR THEIR AREA. HAVE MULTIPLE WAYS TO RECEIVE
WEATHER INFORMATION...HAVE A PLAN TO SEEK SHELTER OR GET TO SAFETY
SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING OCCUR...AND ALWAYS REMEMBER TO
TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

AS WE GET INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THE LINE WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH ACROSS THE I-35 CORRIDOR INTO OUR EASTERN COUNTIES WITH
CONTINUED RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER. MODELS NOW
SHOW THE LINE MOVING OUT OF OUR CWA BY 09Z TO 12Z (4 TO 7 AM).
BEHIND THE LINE THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE SOME WHAT WORKED OVER FROM
THE NIGHT OF STORMS. ALTHOUGH MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW OVER 3000 J/KG
OF CAPE...SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY...DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS
ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR. THE SAME SOUNDINGS SHOW SIGNIFICANT LOW
AND UPPER LEVEL DRYING OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THIS SHOULD LIMIT SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS SUNDAYS. MESOSCALE MODELS LIKE THE ARM/NMM/NSSL WRF DO SHOW
SOME ISOLATED ACTIVITY SUNDAY AFTERNOON BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE
LIMITED.

TO SUMMARIZE THE NEXT 24 HOURS...1 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE
EXPECTED WITH A LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT WILL SLOWLY MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IN EFFECT. THE LINE SHOULD BE PUSHING OUT OF OUR AREA
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WINDS
ALONG WITH AN ISOLATED TORNADO EXIST WITH THE LINE. BY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON ONLY AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. EVERYONE SHOULD BE
WEATHER AWARE FOR THIS WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY THOSE OUT AND ABOUT ON
AREA RIVERS AND LAKES.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
THE BREAK FROM THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE SHORT
LIVED AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES ON MONDAY.
THIS DISTURBANCE...CURRENTLY SEEN ON WATER VAPOR ACROSS NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA WILL ROTATE AROUND THE BASE OF THE LARGER UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH AND GIVE SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS ANOTHER SHOT OF RAIN AND
STORMS. MODELS INDICATE THAT THE BEST TIMING FOR ANOTHER WAVE OF
PRECIPITATION WILL BE FROM AROUND LUNCH TIME THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. MODEL QPF (FROM THE GFS AND ECMWF) FOR THIS TIME PERIOD
SUGGEST ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
REMAIN OVER 1.5 INCHES AS WELL. LATER SHIFTS WOULD POSSIBLE NEED
TO CONSIDER EXTENDING THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH INTO MONDAY AS
CONFIDENCE INCREASES. THE CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL ALSO
RETURN ON MONDAY. SPC HAS THE AREA CURRENTLY BLANKETED IN A DAY 3
SLIGHT RISK. MODEL SOUNDINGS AGAIN SHOW CAPE AND SHEAR VALUES
SUPPORTIVE OF HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. STORM
MODE AND COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL DETERMINE THE OVERALL THREAT OF
TORNADOES AS CHANCES ARE BETTER WITH ISOLATED SUPERCELLS RATHER
THAN WIDESPREAD CONVECTION OR MCS STORM MODES. WILL HAVE TO
MONITOR THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER MONDAY CLOSELY. STRESSING
AGAIN...ANYONE WITH OUTDOOR PLANS FOR THE HOLIDAY NEEDS TO MAKE
SURE THEY ARE WEATHER AWARE AND HAVE A PLAN TO SEEK SHELTER SHOULD
SEVERE WEATHER DEVELOP.

THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW FOR TUESDAY IS MORE ZONAL WITH SOME SLIGHT
RIDGING FOR WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER REDUCTION IN POP
CHANCES FOR MID-WEEK. BY THE END OF THE WEEK ANOTHER LARGE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH SETS UP ACROSS THE WEST RETURNING THE AREA TO A
SIMILAR PATTERN THAT WE HAVE BEEN IN FOR THE LAST FEW WEEKS WITH A
LARGE UPPER TROUGH SENDING A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES ACROSS THE
AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ON THE RISE AGAIN LATE NEXT WEEK INTO
NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              81  70  81  69  87 /  80  40  80  60  30
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  82  69  81  68  87 /  80  40  80  60  30
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     83  69  81  70  87 /  70  40  80  50  30
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            81  69  80  67  85 /  60  30  80  50  20
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           90  71  89  69  90 /  20  20  60  20  -
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        80  69  80  68  86 /  70  30  80  50  20
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             85  70  83  69  87 /  50  30  80  40  20
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        82  69  81  69  86 /  80  40  80  60  30
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   82  71  82  71  86 /  90  50  80  70  40
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       84  71  82  71  87 /  60  30  80  50  20
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           84  71  83  71  88 /  60  40  80  50  30

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:
ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...CALDWELL...
COMAL...DE WITT...DIMMIT...EDWARDS...FAYETTE...FRIO...GILLESPIE...
GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY...
LAVACA...LEE...LLANO...MAVERICK...MEDINA...REAL...TRAVIS...UVALDE...
VAL VERDE...WILLIAMSON...WILSON...ZAVALA.

&&

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...OAKS
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
640 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

TXZ171>173-186>194-203>209-217>225-228-242345-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-KERR-BANDERA-GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-
HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-UVALDE-MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-
CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-
GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
640 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
TODAY AND TONIGHT. A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM
SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE HILL COUNTRY...I-35 CORRIDOR AND POINTS
EAST. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED OVER WESTERN
PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY TODAY. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD LATER TODAY AS A LARGE
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX DEVELOPS OVER TEXAS. WITH NEARLY SATURATED
SOIL CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...THERE WILL BE A HIGH
THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING. WHILE THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE EXPECTED
TO EXTEND FROM TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF 1
TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW AREA STREAMS AND
RIVERS MAY EXPERIENCE NEW RISES...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN
EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY THROUGH TONIGHT.

IN ADDITION TO THE FLASH FLOOD AND POSSIBLE IMPACTS ON RIVERS...
CONDITIONS ALONG THE LEAD EDGE OF THE STORM COMPLEX WILL BE ALSO
FAVORABLE FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
ISOLATED BRIEF TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH 7 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING.

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE DAYTIME
HOURS SUNDAY WITH DECREASING POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL SUNDAY
EVENING. THE CONTINUED HEAVY RAIN THREAT INTO SUNDAY...MEANS ALL
OF THE RIVERS AND STREAMS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS HAVE A POTENTIAL
TO SEE SIGNIFICANT RISES. SOME RIVERS REMAIN SWOLLEN FROM RECENT
RAINFALL. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WINDS AND BRIEF TORNADOES WILL
ALSO CONTINUE SUNDAY...MAINLY ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX.

NEW EPISODES OF HEAVY RAIN COULD OCCUR AGAIN MONDAY INTO EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY EAST OF I-35. THE STORMS MONDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

WIDESPREAD RAINS FOR THE FIVE DAY PERIOD ENDING TUESDAY WILL
RANGE FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES...WHILE SOME LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVING UP
TO 6 INCHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

TXZ183>185-202-242345-
VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KINNEY-
640 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS THROUGH 9
PM SATURDAY EVENING.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
TODAY AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED
OVER WESTERN PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY TODAY. THE THREAT
FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD LATER TODAY AS A LARGE
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX DEVELOPS OVER TEXAS. WITH NEARLY SATURATED
SOIL CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...THERE WILL BE A HIGH
THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING. WHILE THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE EXPECTED
TO EXTEND FROM TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF 1
TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW AREA STREAMS AND
RIVERS MAY EXPERIENCE NEW RISES...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN
EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY THROUGH TONIGHT.

IN ADDITION TO THE FLASH FLOOD AND POSSIBLE IMPACTS ON RIVERS...
CONDITIONS ALONG THE LEAD EDGE OF THE STORM COMPLEX WILL BE ALSO
FAVORABLE FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
ISOLATED BRIEF TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH 7 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING.

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE DAYTIME
HOURS SUNDAY WITH DECREASING POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL SUNDAY
EVENING. THE CONTINUED HEAVY RAIN THREAT INTO SUNDAY...MEANS ALL
OF THE RIVERS AND STREAMS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS HAVE A POTENTIAL
TO SEE SIGNIFICANT RISES. SOME RIVERS REMAIN SWOLLEN FROM RECENT
RAINFALL. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WINDS AND BRIEF TORNADOES WILL
ALSO CONTINUE SUNDAY...MAINLY ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX.

NEW EPISODES OF HEAVY RAIN COULD OCCUR AGAIN MONDAY INTO EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY EAST OF I-35. THE STORMS MONDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

WIDESPREAD RAINS FOR THE FIVE DAY PERIOD ENDING TUESDAY WILL
RANGE FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES...WHILE SOME LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVING UP
TO 6 INCHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1113 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0522 AM     FLASH FLOOD      8 SE VANCE              29.75N  99.91W
05/23/2015                   REAL               TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            13 MILE LONG ROAD CLOSURE OF FM ROAD 337 FROM MILE
            MARKER 408 TO 421.

0559 AM     HEAVY RAIN       7 NE CAMP WOOD          29.74N  99.93W
05/23/2015  M4.10 INCH       REAL               TX   COCORAHS

0700 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MONTELL                 29.53N 100.02W
05/23/2015                   UVALDE             TX   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            MAVERICK CROSSING CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 SSE CAMP WOOD         29.60N  99.98W
05/23/2015  M2.85 INCH       UVALDE             TX   COCORAHS

            RAINFALL FROM EARLY THIS MORNING

0214 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 S NEW BRAUNFELS       29.66N  98.12W
05/23/2015  E60 MPH          GUADALUPE          TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

            ESTIMATED 50 TO 60 MPH WIND GUSTS

0220 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E CIRCLE D-KC ESTATE  30.16N  97.21W
05/23/2015                   BASTROP            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES BLOWN DOWN BY THUNDERSTORM WINDS AT HWY 21 AND
            CARDINAL

0222 PM     HAIL             1 NW NIEDERWALD         30.02N  97.75W
05/23/2015  M0.25 INCH       HAYS               TX   PUBLIC

0230 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 SSW DRIPPING SPRINGS  30.13N  98.11W
05/23/2015  M1.04 INCH       HAYS               TX   COCORAHS

            RAINFALL IN 30 MINUTES

0248 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 E PFLUGERVILLE        30.44N  97.59W
05/23/2015  M48 MPH          TRAVIS             TX   STORM CHASER

            AT LAKE PFLUGERVILLE

0257 PM     HAIL             2 SSE MANSFIELD DAM     30.36N  97.90W
05/23/2015  M0.25 INCH       TRAVIS             TX   PUBLIC

            AT STEINER RANCH

0318 PM     HAIL             2 S BRUSHY CREEK        30.49N  97.74W
05/23/2015  M0.25 INCH       WILLIAMSON         TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            AT FM620 AND CORNERWOOD DRIVE

0440 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 WNW GUADALUPE RIVER S 29.89N  98.56W
05/23/2015                   KENDALL            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROADS CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING. HIGH WATER RESCUE
            OCCURRING.

0459 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 WSW KENDALIA          29.96N  98.54W
05/23/2015  M5.55 INCH       KENDALL            TX   MESONET

            3.12 INCHES OF THE RAINFALL TOTAL FELL IN THE PAST
            HOUR. FROM PRIVATE MESONET STATION.

0500 PM     HEAVY RAIN       5 SSW KENDALIA          29.90N  98.55W
05/23/2015  M4.22 INCH       KENDALL            TX   COCORAHS

0500 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 W UTOPIA              29.62N  99.62W
05/23/2015                   UVALDE             TX   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            RM1050 WEST OF UTOPIA CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING

0500 PM     FLASH FLOOD      10 NW SABINAL           29.42N  99.59W
05/23/2015                   UVALDE             TX   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            WATER CROSSINGS FLOODED ON SH127 BETWEEN SABINAL AND
            CONCAN

0509 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NW BOERNE             29.81N  98.75W
05/23/2015  M3.53 INCH       KENDALL            TX   MESONET

            2.13 INCHES OF THE TOTAL FELL IN THE PAST HOUR. FROM
            CWOP MESONET STATION.

0514 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SSW SHAVANO PARK      29.55N  98.57W
05/23/2015                   BEXAR              TX   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING. ORSINGER LANE AT
            VANCE JACKSON.

0524 PM     HEAVY RAIN       6 WNW BLANCO            30.13N  98.52W
05/23/2015  M3.42 INCH       BLANCO             TX   MESONET

            CWOP STATION

0540 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SISTERDALE              29.97N  98.73W
05/23/2015                   KENDALL            TX   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            LOW WATER CROSSINGS FLOODING ON RM1376 AND RM473

0550 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 NW BANDERA            29.76N  99.11W
05/23/2015  M3.48 INCH       BANDERA            TX   COCORAHS

0613 PM     FLASH FLOOD      LEAKEY                  29.72N  99.76W
05/23/2015                   REAL               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            RM337 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0617 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 ENE FLUGRATH          30.10N  98.50W
05/23/2015                   BLANCO             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            RM 1623 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0645 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CAMP WOOD               29.67N 100.01W
05/23/2015                   REAL               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE ROADS IN AND OUT OF CAMP WOOD CLOSED DUE TO
            HIGH WATER

0740 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SABINAL                 29.32N  99.47W
05/23/2015                   UVALDE             TX   CO-OP OBSERVER

            SH127 FROM THE CITY PARK IN SABINAL TO THE SH127-187
            FORK NORTH OF TOWN IS FLOODED

0742 PM     HEAVY RAIN       SABINAL                 29.32N  99.47W
05/23/2015  M3.49 INCH       UVALDE             TX   CO-OP OBSERVER

0746 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 W UTOPIA              29.62N  99.57W
05/23/2015  M4.35 INCH       UVALDE             TX   COCORAHS

0822 PM     TSTM WND GST     LEON VALLEY             29.50N  98.61W
05/23/2015  E60 MPH          BEXAR              TX   PUBLIC

0838 PM     FLASH FLOOD      COMFORT                 29.97N  98.90W
05/23/2015                   KENDALL            TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            FM1621 FROM COMFORT TO SISTERDALE CLOSED DUE TO
            FLOODING

0855 PM     FLASH FLOOD      JOHNSON CITY            30.27N  98.41W
05/23/2015                   BLANCO             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MULTIPLE LOW WATER CROSSINGS CLOSED IN JOHNSON CITY DUE
            TO HIGH WATER.

0900 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 W LIVE OAK            29.55N  98.38W
05/23/2015                   BEXAR              TX   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            OCONNOR ROAD AT OLD OCONNOR CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0907 PM     HEAVY RAIN       BLANCO                  30.10N  98.42W
05/23/2015  M9.31 INCH       BLANCO             TX   PUBLIC

0911 PM     FLASH FLOOD      8 WNW FRIO TOWN         29.05N  99.44W
05/23/2015                   ZAVALA             TX   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            RM187 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0930 PM     TSTM WND GST     AUSTIN BERGSTROM INT AP 30.20N  97.67W
05/23/2015  M75 MPH          TRAVIS             TX   ASOS

0930 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 E PFLUGERVILLE        30.44N  97.57W
05/23/2015  M57 MPH          TRAVIS             TX   STORM CHASER

0930 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 S WELLS BRANCH        30.36N  97.68W
05/23/2015                   TRAVIS             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DAMAGE TO BUILDING. VANS PUSHED ACROSS PARKING LOT.

0930 PM     TSTM WND DMG     AUSTIN BERGSTROM INT AP 30.20N  97.67W
05/23/2015                   TRAVIS             TX   PUBLIC

            AIRPORT WEATHER OBSERVER OFFICE DAMAGED

0940 PM     LIGHTNING        8 NNE AUSTIN            30.38N  97.69W
05/23/2015                   TRAVIS             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LIGHTNING STRUCK UTILITY POLE NEAR INTERSECTION OF
            LAMAR BLVD AND BREAKER LN WITH POWER OUTAGES REPORTED.

0942 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 NE AUSTIN             30.35N  97.66W
05/23/2015                   TRAVIS             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN IN THE 10200 BLOCK OF NORTH IH
            35 SERVICE ROAD

0943 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 NE AUSTIN             30.34N  97.67W
05/23/2015                   TRAVIS             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN ON RUTHERFORD LN NEAR FURNESS
            DRIVE

0943 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S WELLS BRANCH        30.40N  97.67W
05/23/2015                   TRAVIS             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            THERE WAS A PARTIAL ROOF COLLAPSE AT AN APARTMENT
            BUILDING NEAR TECH RIDGE BLVD AND I-35.

1015 PM     FLASH FLOOD      LIBERTY HILL            30.67N  97.92W
05/23/2015                   WILLIAMSON         TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER THE ROAD ON CR282 AND CR279

1015 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N HUTTO               30.56N  97.54W
05/23/2015                   WILLIAMSON         TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROOF DAMAGED

1045 PM     FLASH FLOOD      LIBERTY HILL            30.67N  97.92W
05/23/2015                   WILLIAMSON         TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING OF HOMES IN LIBERTY HILL NEAR 1869 AND 279.
            EVACUATIONS ONGOING.

1046 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BOERNE                  29.80N  98.74W
05/23/2015                   KENDALL            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CITY OF BOERNE PREPARING TO EVACUATE SENIOR CARE
            FACILITY THAT HAS BEEN SURROUNDED BY FLOOD WATER

1049 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 ENE AUSTIN            30.30N  97.69W
05/23/2015                   TRAVIS             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES BLOWN DOWN ON OLD MANOR RD

1050 PM     FLASH FLOOD      LIBERTY HILL            30.67N  97.92W
05/23/2015                   WILLIAMSON         TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING ON HWY 29 AT US 183

1102 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CEDAR PARK              30.51N  97.83W
05/23/2015                   WILLIAMSON         TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES BLOWN DOWN ONTO BUILDING. WAREHOUSE DOORS BLOWN
            AWAY AND ONE CANT BE LOCATED. CHAIN LINK FENCING BLOWN
            DOWN

1111 PM     FLASH FLOOD      WIMBERLEY               29.99N  98.10W
05/23/2015                   HAYS               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERE FLOODING IN WIMBERLEY. RESIDENTS STRANDED ON
            ROOFTOPS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500423 EWX1500425 EWX1500424 EWX1500426 EWX1500427
EWX1500429 EWX1500428 EWX1500433 EWX1500430 EWX1500431 EWX1500432
EWX1500434 EWX1500435 EWX1500437 EWX1500439 EWX1500440 EWX1500436
EWX1500438 EWX1500441 EWX1500442 EWX1500443 EWX1500444 EWX1500445
EWX1500446 EWX1500447 EWX1500448 EWX1500449 EWX1500450 EWX1500454
EWX1500451 EWX1500452 EWX1500455 EWX1500453 EWX1500456 EWX1500457
EWX1500464 EWX1500465 EWX1500458 EWX1500459 EWX1500460 EWX1500463
EWX1500461 EWX1500462 EWX1500466 EWX1500470 EWX1500467 EWX1500468
EWX1500469 EWX1500471

CVP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1127 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     TORNADO          DRIPPING SPRINGS        30.19N  98.09W
05/23/2015                   HAYS               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            APPARENT TORNADO TOUCHDOWN AT MOBILE HOME
            PARK...SEVERAL MOBILE HOMES DAMAGED

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500472

CVP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1151 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1150 PM     FLASH FLOOD      DEVINE                  29.15N  98.90W
05/23/2015                   MEDINA             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED IN DEVINE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500473

ZEITLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1236 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0937 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CEDAR PARK              30.51N  97.83W
05/23/2015                   WILLIAMSON         TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MULTIPLE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED...SOME TRUNKS AS
            LARGE AS 12 INCHES IN DIAMETER

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500474

SBS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1255 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

TXZ185>187-203-204-240645-
MEDINA TX-BANDERA TX-UVALDE TX-REAL TX-KERR TX-
1255 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN REAL...NORTHWESTERN
MEDINA...WESTERN BANDERA...NORTHEASTERN UVALDE AND CENTRAL KERR
COUNTIES UNTIL 145 AM CDT...

AT 1255 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF LOST
MAPLES STATE PARK TO REAGAN WELLS...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MEDINA...KERRVILLE...LEAKEY...TARPLEY...VANDERPOOL...HUNT...INGRAM...
WALTONIA...GARNER STATE PARK...LOST MAPLES STATE PARK...RIO FRIO...
KERRVILLE STATE PARK...UTOPIA AND REAGAN WELLS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3011 9912 2955 9923 2952 9982 3005 9968
TIME...MOT...LOC 0555Z 259DEG 30KT 2996 9967 2954 9980

MO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
223 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 N RIO FRIO            29.68N  99.73W
05/24/2015                   REAL               TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            OVER A FOOT OF WATER OVER THE ROAD AT SECOND CROSSING
            ON FM 1120.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500475

LJH